The theory of multilayer networks is in its early stages, and its development provides vital methods for understanding complex systems. Multilayer networks, in their multiplex form, have been introduced within the last three years to analysing the structure of financial systems, and existing studies have modelled and e…
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48 results for “interconnected systems”
New framework for 3D spatial topology enumeration and identification.
problem Efficient navigation through complex engineering system topologies.
method Mathematical spatial graph theory to represent, enumerate, and identify unique topological classes.
result Identification of distinctive 3D topological classes for engineering systems.
The blockchain technology promises to transform finance, money and even governments. However, analyses of blockchain applicability and robustness typically focus on isolated systems whose actors contribute mainly by running the consensus algorithm. Here, we highlight the importance of considering trustless platforms wi…
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk, the risk that a substantial fraction of the system ceases to function and collapses. Systemic risk can propagate through different mechanisms and channels of contagion. One important form of financial contagion arises from indirect interconnections between financial insti…
A lending scheme for a system of interconnected banks with probabilistic constraints of failureq-fin.MF
We derive a closed form solution for an optimal control problem related to an interbank lending schemes subject to terminal probability constraints on the failure of banks which are interconnected through a financial network. The derived solution applies to a real banks network by obtaining a general solution when the …
Identifying the location of a disturbance and its magnitude is an important component for stable operation of power systems. We study the problem of localizing and estimating a disturbance in the interconnected power system. We take a model-free approach to this problem by using frequency data from generators. Specific…
We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the presence of uncertainty on banks' external assets. At the same time, it also provid…
BOIS optimizes complex systems by combining known and unknown functions, improving efficiency.
problem Optimizing complex systems with limited structural knowledge.
method Adaptive linearization of composite functions using Gaussian Process models.
result BOIS outperforms existing grey-box methods in efficiency and effectiveness.
Research explores how interconnected systems synchronize and how to control their behavior.
problem Understanding and controlling the behavior of interconnected dynamical systems.
method Mean field games approach applied to controlled coupled oscillators.
result Developed methods to predict and influence emergent phenomena in interconnected systems.
BOIS optimizes complex systems by leveraging structural knowledge.
problem Optimizing complex systems with black-box models and structural knowledge.
method Adaptive linearization of composite functions to exploit structural knowledge.
result BOIS achieves performance gains and accurately captures composite function statistics.
The paper analyzes how disturbances affect the convergence of algorithms in complex systems.
problem Analyzing the impact of disturbances on algorithm convergence in complex systems.
method Leveraging converse Lyapunov theorems, the paper derives stability bounds and convergence rates in the presence of disturbances.
result Key inequalities quantify the impact of disturbances on algorithmic performance.
CoCos can increase financial fragility in certain network structures.
problem The effectiveness of CoCos in enhancing financial stability depends on the network structure.
method Analysis of phase transitions in a network of interconnected banks.
result CoCos can increase financial fragility under certain network structures.
System recommends workouts and predicts success rates using RNNs.
problem Promoting healthy lifestyles through personalized exercise recommendations.
method Two interconnected recurrent neural networks (RNNs) using historical workout data.
result Interconnected-RNN model predicts exercise success rates with improved accuracy.
This paper clarifies a global structure of Stokes-Dirac structures used for describing interconnected port-Hamiltonian systems defined on manifolds with non-trivial topology under consistent boundary condition.
Critical volatility triggers log-normal to power-law transitions in interconnected systems.
problem Understanding the transition from log-normal to power-law distributions in interconnected systems.
method Analyzing an infinite option-on-option chain model, deriving a critical volatility threshold.
result A critical volatility threshold of approximately 250.66% for unconditional cases, dropping to 125.3% with selective survival.
The paper analyzes risks and revenue dynamics of a liquid restaking protocol in decentralized finance.
problem Interconnected risks and revenue dynamics of a liquid restaking protocol in decentralized finance.
method Empirical analysis using OLS regression, Granger-causality, and random forest feature importance tests.
result Revenue is primarily driven by value locked in the ecosystem, yield of liquid restaking token, and multi-blockchain expansion.
Improved stability analysis of neural network systems using Zames-Falb multipliers.
problem Analyzing stability of linear systems with neural network nonlinearities.
method Using integral quadratic constraints, sector-bounded and slope-restricted structure, and acausal Zames-Falb multipliers.
result Flexible and versatile framework for stability analysis with improved computational efficiency.
Scenario Forecast of Cross-border Electric Interconnection towards Renewables in South Americaeess.SY
This paper forecasts renewable energy prospects in South America through cross-border interconnection.
problem Lack of renewable energy integration across South American countries.
method Long-term scenario forecasting methodology applied to raw data from typical countries.
result Promoting cross-border interconnection towards renewables can optimize energy supply, reduce costs, and balance the energy matrix.
A General Framework for Complex Network Applicationsphysics.soc-ph
Complex network theory has been applied to solving practical problems from different domains. In this paper, we present a general framework for complex network applications. The keys of a successful application are a thorough understanding of the real system and a correct mapping of complex network theory to practical …
Reconstructing patterns of interconnections from partial information is one of the most important issues in the statistical physics of complex networks. A paramount example is provided by financial networks. In fact, the spreading and amplification of financial distress in capital markets is strongly affected by the in…
How connected is too connected? Impact of network topology on systemic risk and collapse of complex economic systemsphysics.soc-ph
Modeling how network connectivity affects economic collapse and robustness.
problem Impact of network topology on systemic risk and collapse of complex economic systems.
method Proposed a model to study the effects of network structure on economic systems by varying connectivity.
result Emergent systemic risks arise with increased interconnections, leading to phase transitions and tipping points.
This study maps systemic risks in TradFi and DeFi, highlighting their interdependence.
problem Systemic risks in traditional and decentralized finance.
method Conceptual model and comparative analysis of TradFi and DeFi.
result Systemic risks in DeFi can affect TradFi and vice versa, creating a crosstagion effect.
We test the hypothesis that interconnections across financial institutions can be explained by a diversification motive. This idea stems from the empirical evidence of the existence of long-term exposures that cannot be explained by a liquidity motive (maturity or currency mismatch). We model endogenous interconnection…
We develop a structural default model for interconnected financial institutions in a probabilistic framework. For all possible network structures we characterize the joint default distribution of the system using Bayesian network methodologies. Particular emphasis is given to the treatment and consequences of cyclic fi…
dynoGP uses deep Gaussian processes for dynamic system identification.
problem System identification for complex dynamical systems.
method Interconnecting linear dynamic GPs and static GPs to model dynamic and static nonlinearities.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the approach using both simulated and real-world data.
EM-GAN: Fast Stress Analysis for Multi-Segment Interconnect Using Generative Adversarial Networkscs.LG
EM-GAN uses GANs for fast stress analysis of multi-segment interconnects.
problem Fast and accurate stress analysis for EM failure assessment in multi-segment interconnects.
method Conditional GAN model trained on images of multi-segment wires and current densities.
result EM-GAN provides accurate stress distribution with 6.6% error and 8.3X speedup.
Network theory assesses systemic risk in the insurance sector.
problem Detecting critical insurance companies in systemic risk.
method Complex network approach with weighted effective resistance centrality.
result Identifies companies with significant influence on network robustness.
Semi-analytical solution of a McKean-Vlasov equation with feedback through hitting a boundarymath.NA
In this paper, we study the non-linear diffusion equation associated with a particle system where the common drift depends on the rate of absorption of particles at a boundary. We provide an interpretation as a structural credit risk model with default contagion in a large interconnected banking system. Using the metho…
Paper develops a new fluid flow model with energy exchange through boundaries.
problem Modeling ideal fluid flow with energy exchange through boundaries.
method Port-Hamiltonian model based on Stokes-Dirac structures.
result Wide range of fluid dynamical systems can be achieved with this model.
Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing inspiration from the field of complex networks, these attempts are largely unaware o…
We present a model of an economy inspired by individual based model approaches in evolutionary ecology. We demonstrate that evolutionary dynamics in a space of companies interconnected through a correlated interaction matrix produces time dependencies of the total size of the economy total number of companies, companie…
Study extends Gai-Kapadia framework to assess systemic risk in global equity markets.
problem Systemic risk and default cascades in global equity markets.
method Network analysis, threshold filtering, Monte Carlo simulations, tail risk assessment.
result System exhibits strong global resilience with negligible probability of large-scale failure.
The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical forecasting have seen to be inadequate to describe financial systems in any reasonable w…
Cryptocurrencies are becoming more linked in their returns and volatilities.
problem Understanding the increasing interconnectivity of cryptocurrencies.
method Examined market linkages using returns and volatilities, applied various methodologies.
result Significant increase in market linkages for both returns and volatilities.
The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events. This paper analyzes the dependencies among nearly 4,000 stocks from 15 countries. T…
The goal of this paper is to study organized flocking behavior and systemic risk in heterogeneous mean-field interacting diffusions. We illustrate in a number of case studies the effect of heterogeneity in the behavior of systemic risk in the system, i.e., the risk that several agents default simultaneously as a result…
The econophysics approach to socio-economic systems is based on the assumption of their complexity. Such assumption inevitably lead to another assumption, namely that underlying interconnections within socio-economic systems, particularly financial markets, are nonlinear, which is shown to be true even in mainstream ec…
Paper uses stochastic algorithms to estimate systemic risk measures.
problem Estimating systemic risk measures in interconnected financial systems.
method Uses stochastic algorithms to estimate MSRM and proves consistency and asymptotic normality.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of MSRM are obtained.
Much research in systemic risk is focused on default contagion. While this demands an understanding of valuation, fewer articles specifically deal with the existence, the uniqueness, and the computation of equilibrium prices in structural models of interconnected financial systems. However, beyond contagion research, t…
As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking network model composed of banks and bank assets and propose a cascading failure model …
Estimates parameters of interconnected linear systems using total variation penalization.
problem Joint estimation of parameters in interconnected linear dynamical systems.
method Total variation penalized least-squares estimator.
result The MSE goes to zero as the number of systems increases, even with constant trajectory length.
The increasing complexity of the power grid, due to higher penetration of distributed resources and the growing availability of interconnected, distributed metering devices re- quires novel tools for providing a unified and consistent view of the system. A computational framework for power systems data fusion, based on…
The ongoing concern about systemic risk since the outburst of the global financial crisis has highlighted the need for risk measures at the level of sets of interconnected financial components, such as portfolios, institutions or members of clearing houses. The two main issues in systemic risk measurement are the compu…
This paper proposes RiskRank as a joint measure of cyclical and cross-sectional systemic risk. RiskRank is a general-purpose aggregation operator that concurrently accounts for risk levels for individual entities and their interconnectedness. The measure relies on the decomposition of systemic risk into sub-components …
Rethinking Financial Contagionq-fin.RM
How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of contagion in financial networks. We develop a common framework encompassing seve…
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are usually over-parameterized, causing excessive memory and interconnection cost on the hardware platform. Existing pruning approaches remove secondary parameters at the end of training to reduce the model size; but without exploiting the intrinsic network property, they still require the f…
One 'problem' with the 21st century world, particularly the economic and business worlds, is the phenomenal and increasing number of interconnections between economic agents (consumers, firms, banks, markets, national economies). This implies that such agents are all interacting and consequently giving raise to enormou…