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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

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122244366488 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for information signal

Enhances reinforcement learning with partial state information.

problem Improving learning under partial observability with limited privileged signals.
method Introduced informed asymmetric actor-critic framework that uses arbitrary state-dependent privileged signals.
result Unbiased policy gradient estimates with arbitrary privileged signals.

Informed traders strategically reveal noisier signals, making prices less responsive to public information.

problem How informed traders strategically reveal signals impacts market prices and utility.
method Modeling a market with an informed trader, an uninformed trader, and liquidity providers, proving equilibrium existence.
result In equilibrium, the insider strategically reveals a noisier signal, making prices less responsive to public information.

We create a formal framework for the design of informative securities in prediction markets. These securities allow a market organizer to infer the likelihood of events of interest as well as if he knew all of the traders' private signals. We consider the design of markets that are always informative, markets that are …

2012-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on markets with insiders receiving private signals affecting asset prices and information flow.

problem Understanding markets with heterogeneous information flows and private signals.
method Proves existence of a partial communication equilibrium with jumps in information and prices.
result The public information flow and asset prices jump at each private signal time, creating incomplete markets between jumps.

Study on optimal information acquisition in Kyle model with entropy cost.

problem Optimal information acquisition in Kyle model with entropy cost.
method Continuous signals are optimal, and any signal with a logit posterior distribution yields the same ex-ante value.
result Posterior expected payoff becomes normally distributed as information acquisition cost increases.

Detects graph topology changes from noisy signals using prior spectral information.

problem Detecting changes in graph topology from graph signals.
method Leverages graph filtering and subspace detection to distill problem into a CUSUM-based algorithm.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of incorporating prior spectral signatures for change-point detection.

Studying a softmax-attention model, we show that the learned query converges to the latent signal subspace spanned by the informative direction.

problem Understanding the theoretical principles of attention mechanisms in large-scale token collections.
method Deriving a population objective and analyzing the limiting ordinary differential equation of the learning dynamics.
result The learned query asymptotically recovers the latent signal up to the intrinsic sign ambiguity.

Investor flows in Korean equity market transmit shared information, not private signals.

problem Whether investor flows transmit private information or only public signals.
method Transfer Entropy networks constructed from investor-type flows over umNDates{} trading days.
result Investor flows transmit shared information, not private signals.

Optimal adversarial attacks minimize mutual information, revealing classifier vulnerabilities.

problem Designing optimal attacks to degrade machine learning performance.
method Information-theoretic approach to finding optimal perturbations.
result Optimal attacks minimize mutual information between degraded and original signals.

Kähler information manifolds for signal filters in weighted Hardy spaces are explored.

problem Developing a geometric framework for signal processing filters in weighted Hardy spaces.
method Introducing weighted Hardy spaces and smooth transformations of transfer functions, demonstrating the Kähler manifold structure.
result The Riemannian geometry of weighted Hardy norms for transfer functions forms a Kähler manifold.

We introduce an interactive market setup with sequential auctions where agents receive variegated signals with a known deadline. The effects of differential information and mutual learning on the allocation of overall profit \& loss (P\&L) and the pace of price discovery are analysed. We characterise the signal-based e…

2016-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper investigates the impact of dark pools on price discovery (the efficiency of prices on stock exchanges to aggregate information). Assets are traded in either an exchange or a dark pool, with the dark pool offering better prices but lower execution rates. Informed traders receive noisy and heterogeneous signal…

2016-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Solves a game between brokers and informed traders using stochastic differential equations.

problem Optimizing wealth in a game between brokers and informed traders with private signals.
method Closed-form solutions to a mean-field game using forward-backward SDEs.
result Optimal trading strategies for both brokers and informed traders are found.

Non-linear image reconstruction and signal analysis deal with complex inverse problems. To tackle such problems in a systematic way, I present information field theory (IFT) as a means of Bayesian, data based inference on spatially distributed signal fields. IFT is a statistical field theory, which permits the construc…

2013-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

A new distance metric derived from information theory and estimation theory.

problem Developing a robust distance metric for complex signal distributions.
method Information-Estimation Metric (IEM) derived from continuous probability density and denoising errors.
result The IEM is a valid global distance metric that adapts to the geometry of complex distributions.

Unified framework linking firm signals and cross-asset spillovers for SDF estimation.

problem Estimating SDF with cross-asset spillovers and firm-level predictive signals.
method Maximizing Sharpe ratio to jointly estimate signals and spillovers, yielding interpretable SDF.
result SDF consistently outperforms benchmarks across various investment universes and market states.

Source separation problems are ubiquitous in the physical sciences; any situation where signals are superimposed calls for source separation to estimate the original signals. In this tutorial I will discuss the Bayesian approach to the source separation problem. This approach has a specific advantage in that it require…

2013-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper describes a method to infer the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization.

problem Estimating the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization problems.
method A statistic similar to the Sharpe Ratio Information Criterion is used for inference.
result The method works well for reasonable sample and asset universe sizes.

This research tackles information design in multi-agent reinforcement learning.

problem Designing information to influence other adaptive agents in a non-stationary environment.
method Formulated Markov signaling game, introduced signaling gradient and extended obedience constraints.
result Developed efficient algorithm for mixed-motive tasks in multi-agent reinforcement learning.

Study shows how much information can be learned from sparse signals with limited data.

problem Understanding information limits in learning sparse signals with sublinear data.
method Proved variational formula for mutual information, derived MMSE expressions, analyzed phase transitions.
result Nonincreasing piecewise constant MMSE with all-or-nothing phase transitions for certain conditions.

New algorithm improves signal reconstruction from noisy measurements with side information.

problem Reconstructing unknown signals from noisy linear measurements with side information.
method Integrates side information into approximate message passing (AMP) and tracks performance using state evolution.
result AMP-SI performance is accurately predicted by state evolution.

Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.

problem Analyzing the impact of information signals on trading behavior and market equilibrium in limit order books.
method Static equilibrium model with profit-maximizing investors and competitive dealers, using iterative algorithms and asymptotic analysis.
result The market impact of large trades follows a power law with fat tails and a logarithmic law with lighter tails, and the order book flattens as noise trading increases.

Paper improves signal proportion estimation by accounting for variable dependence.

problem Traditional estimators assume independence, limiting applicability in real-world scenarios.
method Integrates arbitrary covariance dependence information using principal factor approximation.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art estimators in accuracy and detection of weaker signals.

Uncertainty principles such as Heisenberg's provide limits on the time-frequency concentration of a signal, and constitute an important theoretical tool for designing and evaluating linear signal transforms. Generalizations of such principles to the graph setting can inform dictionary design for graph signals, lead to …

2016-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove the correspondence between the information geometry of a signal filter and a Kähler manifold. The information geometry of a minimum-phase linear system with a finite complex cepstrum norm is a Kähler manifold. The square of the complex cepstrum norm of the signal filter corresponds to the Kähler potential. The…

2014-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by an external dynamic signal of information. This signal can be interpreted as a …

2015-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

HR-calculus enables adaptive processing of quaternion signals.

problem Lack of adaptive processing techniques for quaternion-valued signals.
method Introduction and development of HR-calculus for quaternion algebra.
result Derivation of gradient operator, chain and product derivative rules, and Taylor series expansion for quaternion calculus.

We study the value of information in sequential compressed sensing by characterizing the performance of sequential information guided sensing in practical scenarios when information is inaccurate. In particular, we assume the signal distribution is parameterized through Gaussian or Gaussian mixtures with estimated mean…

2015-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study dynamic equilibrium with insider and general uninformed agent preferences.

problem Analyzing asymmetric information and general utility functions in a continuous-time economy.
method Introducing a new method to prove existence of a partial communication equilibrium (PCE) for agents with general utility functions.
result Identify the equilibrium price in the small and large risk aversion limits for agents with power utility.

New algorithms detect and estimate rank-one signals with prior directional information.

problem Detecting and estimating rank-one signals with directional prior information.
method Construct nonlinear Laplacians and examine top eigenvalues and eigenvectors.
result Nonlinear Laplacian algorithms outperform direct spectral methods for biased signals.

This paper uses RL and RNN to optimize trading with latent market information.

problem Optimal trading strategies exploiting latent information in financial markets.
method Blend of RL and RNN, integrating GRU networks for temporal dependencies.
result prob-DDPG achieves superior cumulative rewards and interpretable strategies.

Matched filters reveal optimal normalization methods for different market participants.

problem Optimizing signal extraction from order flow for market microstructure analysis.
method General matched filter principle applied to normalization strategies.
result Optimal normalization methods (e.g., SMCS^{MC} and STVS^{TV}) differ based on trader types.

A HMM for intraday momentum trading reduces lagging and incorporates side information.

problem Time-lagging in existing momentum trading models leads to incorrect momentum signals.
method State space formulation with latent momentum states, cross-validation for state estimation, and Bayesian inference for prediction.
result The model reduces lagging and accurately predicts market changes.

We consider an important class of signal processing problems where the signal of interest is known to be sparse, and can be recovered from data given auxiliary information about how the data was generated. For example, a sparse Green's function may be recovered from seismic experimental data using sparsity optimization…

2012-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves DMs for solving inverse problems by maximizing conditional mutual information.

problem Efficiently solving noisy linear inverse problems without additional task-specific training.
method Maximizing conditional mutual information between reconstructed signal and measurement.
result Significantly improves the quality of generated images in inverse problems.

Signal recovery is one of the key techniques of Compressive sensing (CS). It reconstructs the original signal from the linear sub-Nyquist measurements. Classical methods exploit the sparsity in one domain to formulate the L0 norm optimization. Recent investigation shows that some signals are sparse in multiple domains.…

2012-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗