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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for influential observations

Algorithm detects influential observations in high-dimensional data.

problem Challenges in identifying influential observations in high-dimensional datasets.
method Three-step algorithm based on expectiles and asymmetric correlations.
result Higher detection power than competing methods.

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally, observed weather data are applied in the solar PV generation forecasting model w…

2017-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A model predicts influential nodes in complex networks by considering indirect interactions.

problem Identifying influential nodes in complex networks using indirect interactions.
method Proposes MOGen, a multi-order generative model that considers all indirect influences up to a maximum distance.
result MOGen consistently outperforms network models and path-based approaches in predicting influential nodes.

This work defines observation-specific explanations for black-box models.

problem Assigning importance to data points in black-box model predictions.
method Surrogate model construction using scattered data approximation and orthogonal matching pursuit.
result Validated approach on simulated and real-world datasets.

Develops a framework to test excessive influence of small data subsets.

problem Identifying when small data subsets significantly impact model conclusions.
method Formalizes the concept of most influential sets, deriving influence formulas and extreme value distributions.
result Allows rigorous hypothesis testing for excessive influence, resolving contested findings.

This study uses complex networks to analyze influential spreaders and their effects on different market sectors.

problem Existing methods failed to distinguish between positive and negative influences of market sectors.
method LIEST (Local Influential Effects for Specific Target) method using complex network analysis.
result LIEST effectively distinguishes positive and negative influences of market sectors during different periods.

Data cleansing is a typical approach used to improve the accuracy of machine learning models, which, however, requires extensive domain knowledge to identify the influential instances that affect the models. In this paper, we propose an algorithm that can suggest influential instances without using any domain knowledge…

2019-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a method to highlight influential transitions for off-policy evaluation.

problem Validating off-policy evaluation in high-stakes settings.
method Highlight influential transitions, develop influence functions for Q-evaluation.
result Method can identify limitations and make evaluation more robust.

In the field of machine learning, it is still a critical issue to identify and supervise the learned representation without manually intervening or intuition assistance to extract useful knowledge or serve for the downstream tasks. In this work, we focus on supervising the influential factors extracted by the variation…

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for finding most influential sets reduces a complex problem to a sequence of simpler top-kk problems.

problem Identifying most influential subsets in complex models.
method Reduces the problem to a sequence of top-kk problems using Dinkelbach's method.
result The method returns a globally optimal set for the univariate ratio objective, including partial linear models.

Subsampling methods have been recently proposed to speed up least squares estimation in large scale settings. However, these algorithms are typically not robust to outliers or corruptions in the observed covariates. The concept of influence that was developed for regression diagnostics can be used to detect such corrup…

2014-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

With the rapid adoption of machine learning systems in sensitive applications, there is an increasing need to make black-box models explainable. Often we want to identify an influential group of training samples in a particular test prediction for a given machine learning model. Existing influence functions tackle this…

2019-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows influence functions are poor for neural networks but useful for identifying influential examples.

problem Influence functions misalign with leave-one-out retraining in neural networks.
method Decomposed the discrepancy into five terms and studied their contributions across different architectures and datasets.
result Influence functions are a good approximation to the proximal Bregman response function (PBRF), useful for identifying influential examples.

Traditional works on community detection from observations of information cascade assume that a single adjacency matrix parametrizes all the observed cascades. However, in reality the connection structure usually does not stay the same across cascades. For example, different people have different topics of interest, th…

2018-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The optimization of high dimensional functions is a key issue in engineering problems but it frequently comes at a cost that is not acceptable since it usually involves a complex and expensive computer code. Engineers often overcome this limitation by first identifying which parameters drive the most the function varia…

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

For any matrix A in R^(m x n) of rank ρ, we present a probability distribution over the entries of A (the element-wise leverage scores of equation (2)) that reveals the most influential entries in the matrix. From a theoretical perspective, we prove that sampling at most s = O ((m + n) ρ^2 ln (m + n)) entries of the ma…

2013-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A game-theoretic framework identifies influential hyperparameters for neural networks.

problem Understanding which hyperparameters are most important for neural network performance.
method Employing Shapley Effects for global sensitivity analysis and Pareto front sets for identifying effective configurations.
result Reveals which hyperparameters are most influential for different objectives in neural networks.

Study uses VC correlation to uncover directional financial relationships.

problem Understanding causal relationships between financial variables.
method Volatility constrained correlation (VC correlation) method.
result Operating income is most influential, while market capitalization and revenue are most susceptible.

Bayesian approach scores influential training examples for model predictions.

problem Enhance interpretability and safety of machine learning models.
method Formulate TDA as a Bayesian information-theoretic problem, scoring subsets by information loss.
result Method aligns with classical influence scores while promoting diversity for subsets.

Automata learning techniques automatically generate system models from test observations. These techniques usually fall into two categories: passive and active. Passive learning uses a predetermined data set, e.g., system logs. In contrast, active learning actively queries the system under learning, which is considered…

2019-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In this short note, we hope to give a rapid induction for non-experts into the world of Differential Harnack inequalities, which have been so influential in geometric analysis and probability theory over the past few decades. At the coarsest level, these are often mysterious-looking inequalities that hold for `positive…

2013-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove that the moduli space of 2-convex embedded n-spheres in R^{n+1} is path-connected for every n. Our proof uses mean curvature flow with surgery and can be seen as an extrinsic analog to Marques' influential proof of the path-connectedness of the moduli space of positive scalar curvature metics on three-manifold…

2016-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new method to measure the shape relations between biological objects using r-parallel sets.

problem The influence of neighboring objects on the shape and function of biological objects.
method The authors develop a theory based on spatial point processes to measure the geometrical interaction between objects.
result The proposed measures provide detailed information about the shape of individual objects and their interactions.

Paper tackles non-monotonic resource utilization in sequential decision-making.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with resource constraints.
method Introduces a new MDP policy with constant regret against LP relaxation.
result Develops a learning algorithm with logarithmic regret for unknown outcome distributions.

Study evaluates deep learning methods for climate downscaling over Spain.

problem Deep learning methods' extrapolation capability for climate projections.
method Intercomparison experiment using PP and RCM emulation models.
result Existing models struggle with extrapolating unseen conditions.

In terms of transfer entropy, we investigated the strength and the direction of information transfer in the US stock market. Through the directionality of the information transfer, the more influential company between the correlated ones can be found and also the market leading companies are selected. Our entropy analy…

2005-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Two novel methods identify influential features in CMABs for better reward distribution.

problem Suboptimal features degrade rewards, interpretability, and efficiency in CMABs.
method Heterogeneous Incremental Effect (HIE) and Heterogeneous Distribution Divergence (HDD) methods.
result Consistent ability to identify influential HTE features, enhancing CMAB performance.

Machine-learning models have been recently used for detecting malicious Android applications, reporting impressive performances on benchmark datasets, even when trained only on features statically extracted from the application, such as system calls and permissions. However, recent findings have highlighted the fragili…

2018-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗