The paper proposes a new model for financial order books without assuming prices or quantities.
problem Understanding the geometry of financial order books without assuming prices or quantities.
method Modeling financial order books as an inflationary relational system without metric, temporal, or price coordinates. Observable quantities arise through spectral embeddings of the graph Laplacian.
result Projected supply and demand are constrained to gamma-like functional forms, which can be observed as integrated-gamma cumulative profiles in high-frequency data.
A proof is given that the maximal Fermi coordinate chart for any comoving observer in a broad class of Robertson-Walker spacetimes consists of all events within the cosmological event horizon, if there is one, or is otherwise global. Exact formulas for the metric coefficients in Fermi coordinates are derived. Sharp uni…
Study shows inflation in 3+1D cosmologies with bounded scalar potential and specific symmetry.
problem Understanding inflation in 3+1D cosmologies with specific constraints.
method Mean curvature flow and asymptotic analysis of metric variations, stress-energy tensor, and inflaton field dynamics.
result Inflation occurs in 3+1D cosmologies with specific constraints, demonstrating it is possible with inhomogeneous initial conditions.
The paper investigates the singularity and extendibility of inflationary spacetimes.
problem The existence and extendibility of initial curvature singularities in inflationary spacetimes.
method Classification and rigorous extendibility criteria derivation for quasi-de Sitter spacetimes.
result Past-eternal inflationary scenarios are most likely physically singular, except in very special initial conditions.
The main goal of this paper is to define a 1-1 correspondence between between substitution tilings constructed by inflation and the arithmetic of positional representation in the underlying real vector space. It introduces a generalization of inflationary tessellations to equivalence classes of tiles. Two tiles belong …
Study uses social network data to analyze regional inflation trends.
problem Analyzing inflation trends using social media data.
method BERT neural networks for identifying pro-inflationary and disinflationary keywords.
result Models can visualize and classify inflationary keywords in different contexts.
Investigates optimal life insurance and annuity decisions in inflationary economies.
problem Optimal consumption and investment decisions in an inflationary economy with money illusion.
method Formulated as a random horizon utility maximization problem, derived optimal strategy.
result Money illusion increases life insurance demand for young adults and reduces annuity demand for retirees.
Milne-like spacetimes are a class of FLRW models which admit C0 spacetime extensions through the big bang. The boundary of a Milne-like spacetime can be identified with a null cone in the extension. We find that the comoving observers all emanate from a single point in the extension. This suggests that something phy…
New findings show cosmological constant as initial condition for non-isotropic spacetimes.
problem Cosmological constant as initial condition in non-isotropic spacetimes.
method Generalized previous results to non-isotropic spacetimes.
result Quasi de Sitter expansion for early universe, potential for inflationary scenarios.
This paper analyzes microstructure dynamics in coupled markets using CFMMs.
problem Quantifying contributions of CFMMs to market dynamics in coupled markets.
method Examined constant function market makers (CFMMs) in coupled markets, focusing on basket inflation/deflation.
result CFMMs contribute significantly to basket inflation/deflation in coupled markets.
Investigates cryptocurrency maturity through collective dynamics and diversification.
problem Determining if cryptocurrency market exhibits similar mathematical properties to equity market.
method Adjusts focus to retail cryptocurrency investors' behavioral patterns, contrasting with equity market.
result Identifies ideal portfolio size and spread across cryptocurrencies, revealing signatures of maturity.
The paper analyzes global inflation's systemic nature and its impact on equity markets.
problem Understanding the systemic nature of global inflation and its financial market implications.
method Data-driven study using eigenvalue analysis, inner-product optimization, and time-varying portfolio optimization.
result Countries with high centrality in global inflation are identified, and the robustness of equity indices and sectors during inflationary periods are explored.
Inflationary flows use DBMs for accurate Bayesian inference.
problem Calibrated uncertainty quantification in Bayesian inference.
method Inflationary flows leverage DBMs to map data to a Gaussian latent space.
result Inflationary flows produce accurate, identifiable posterior distributions.
The stability of money value is an important requisite for a functioning economy, yet it critically depends on the actions of participants in the market themselves. Here we model the value of money as a dynamical variable that results from trading between agents. The basic trading scenario can be recast into an Ising t…
The aim of this paper is to compare statistical properties of a bubble period with those of the anti-bubble period in stock markets. We investigate the statistical properties of daily data for the Nikkei 225 index in the 28-year period from January 1975 to April 2003, corresponded to the periods of bubbles and anti-bub…
The analysis of dollar inflation performed by the authors through the approximation of empirical data for 1913-2012 with a power-law function with an accelerating log-periodic oscillation superimposed over it has made it possible to detect a quasi-singularity point around the 17th of December, 2012. It is demonstrated …
This paper is intended as an investigation of the statistical properties of {\it absolute log-returns}, defined as the absolute value of the logarithmic price change, for the Nikkei 225 index in the 28-year period from January 4, 1975 to December 30, 2002. We divided the time series of the Nikkei 225 index into two per…
New cosmological models with changing curvature slices.
problem Cosmological models with varying and sign-changing curvature.
method Constructing globally hyperbolic spacetimes with slices of constant curvature that can change sign.
result Shows at least one comoving observer disappearing in finite time.
In general relativity, an IDEAL (Intrinsic, Deductive, Explicit, ALgorithmic) characterization of a reference spacetime metric g0 consists of a set of tensorial equations T[g]=0, constructed covariantly out of the metric g, its Riemann curvature and their derivatives, that are satisfied if and only if g is loc…
Over the last two decades, many unexpected relations between exotic smoothness, e.g. exotic R4, and quantum field theory were found. Some of these relations are rooted in a relation to superstring theory and quantum gravity. Therefore one would expect that exotic smoothness is directly related to the quan…
We present a novel analysis extending the recent work of Mizuno et al. [2002] on the hyperinflations of Germany (1920/1/1-1923/11/1), Hungary (1945/4/30-1946/7/15), Brazil (1969-1994), Israel (1969-1985), Nicaragua (1969-1991), Peru (1969-1990) and Bolivia (1969-1985). On the basis of a generalization of Cagan's model …
Bitcoin reacts negatively to inflation surprises, contrary to belief.
problem Bitcoin's ability to hedge inflation is questioned.
method Examined cryptocurrency responses to macroeconomic news announcements.
result Bitcoin's price decreases by 24 bps in response to inflationary surprises.
Improves neural relational inference for dynamic multi-agent trajectories.
problem Limited accuracy of NRI in short output sequences for relational inference in multi-agent trajectories.
method Proposes DYnamic multi-AgentRelational Inference (DYARI) model to handle changing interactions over time.
result DYARI model outperforms NRI in dynamic relational inference tasks.
DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.
problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.
MDGNN predicts stock prices by capturing multifaceted relations over time.
problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to dynamic and intricate relations.
method MDGNN uses a discrete dynamic graph and Transformer structure to capture multifaceted relations and temporal evolution.
result MDGNN achieves the best performance in public datasets compared to SOTA methods.
Paper connects dynamics of mechanical systems to Reeb dynamics.
problem Understanding dynamics in mechanical systems with Poisson structures.
method Using Jacobi bundle metrics and linear Poisson structures.
result Extends classical results on Reeb dynamics to mechanical systems.
The paper generalizes relations between dynamical series and resolvents of vector fields.
problem Analyzing dynamical series using resolvents of vector fields.
method Derives the general form of relations involving intersection of kernel with integration currents for any smooth flow.
result Computes values of dynamical series and their relation with topological invariants.
Recurrent-DBN models dynamic relational data with interpretable latent structures.
problem Interpreting dynamic relational data with hidden structures.
method Recurrent Dirichlet Belief Network framework with hierarchical latent structures and efficient inference strategy.
result Recurrent-DBN discovers interpretable latent structures and improves link prediction.
Proposes a graph dynamics prior for more accurate relational inference.
problem Identifying interactions in dynamical systems from observed dynamics.
method Graph Dynamics Prior (GDP) that uses error amplification in non-local polynomial filters.
result Reconstructs graphs more accurately than previous methods, robust to under-sampling.
Model for dynamic relational data with regime changes.
problem Handling abrupt changes in dynamic relational data.
method Factorized fusion shrinkage model with global-local shrinkage priors.
result Posterior distribution attains minimax optimal rate up to logarithmic factors.
DOODL learns shared spectral dynamics across related dynamical systems.
problem Learning independent dynamical operators for each system limits discovery of shared structure.
method DOODL learns a dictionary of characteristic spectral dynamics on a manifold of related systems.
result DOODL achieves errors one to two orders of magnitude lower than independent operator estimation methods.
Relational data-like graphs, networks, and matrices-is often dynamic, where the relational structure evolves over time. A fundamental problem in the analysis of time-varying network data is to extract a summary of the common structure and the dynamics of the underlying relations between the entities. Here we build on t…
We introduce dynamic asymptotic dimension, a notion of dimension for actions of discrete groups on locally compact spaces, and more generally for locally compact étale groupoids. We study our notion for minimal actions of the integer group, its relation with conditions used by Bartels, Lück, and Reich in the context of…
To each dynamic equivalence of two control systems is associated an infinite permutation matrix. We investigate how such matrices are related to the existence of dynamic equivalences.
Study L2 regularization in deep networks, uncovering performance relations and proposing a training schedule.
problem Understanding and optimizing L2 regularization in deep learning models. method Empirical observations and theoretical analysis of gradient flow dynamics in infinitely wide networks.
result Empirical relations between model performance, L2 coefficient, learning rate, and training steps; optimal regularization parameter prediction; improved training schedule. Most previous contributions to BSDEs, and the related theories of nonlinear expectation and dynamic risk measures, have been in the framework of continuous time diffusions or jump diffusions. Using solutions of BSDEs on spaces related to finite state, continuous time Markov chains, we develop a theory of nonlinear expe…
The paper explores dynamic regret with switching cost in online decision making.
problem The relation between dynamic regret and switching cost in online decision making.
method Investigates two classic online settings: Online Algorithms (OA) and Online Convex Optimization (OCO). Provides a new theoretical analysis framework.
result The switching cost impacts dynamic regret differently in OA and has no impact in OCO.
Sharkovskii proved that the existence of a periodic orbit in a one-dimensional dynamical system implies existence of infinitely many periodic orbits. We obtain an analog of Sharkovskii's theorem for periodic orbits of shear homeomorphisms of the torus. This is done by obtaining a dynamical order relation on the set of …
Paper introduces dynamic strategies for multi-period investment models.
problem Optimizing investment strategies over multiple periods with risk and return considerations.
method Developed a Bellman principle for discrete time multi-period mean-variance models, leading to dynamic optimal strategies and efficient frontiers.
result Dynamic optimal strategies can achieve higher returns with lower risk compared to the 1/n strategy.
Symmetric binary matrices representing relations among entities are commonly collected in many areas. Our focus is on dynamically evolving binary relational matrices, with interest being in inference on the relationship structure and prediction. We propose a nonparametric Bayesian dynamic model, which reduces dimension…
Introduces R-SSM for modeling multi-object dynamics with GNNs and normalizing flows.
problem Complex interactions and evolutions in multi-object systems are hard to model.
method Relational state-space model (R-SSM) using graph neural networks (GNNs) and normalizing flows.
result Empirically validated on synthetic and real datasets.
Graph-based approach predicts stock trends using dynamic multi-relational graphs.
problem Predicting future stock movements in complex, time-evolving stock relationships.
method Dynamic multi-relational stock graphs, stochastic diffusion process, parallel retention.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in stock trend forecasting.
Study the geometry and dynamics of skew evolutes and involutes, related to bicycle kinematics.
problem Understanding the geometry and dynamics of skew evolutes and involutes.
method Investigate the skew evolute and involute maps, comparing them to bicycle kinematics.
result The skew evolute and involute maps have properties analogous to bicycle kinematics.
DREAM model improves computational efficiency for non-linear effects in relational event models.
problem Efficiently modeling non-linear effects in dynamic relational networks.
method Introduces Deep Relational Event Additive Model (DREAM) using Neural Additive Models.
result Demonstrates superior computational efficiency compared to traditional REM approaches.
Model captures neural activity related to behavior while separating internal computations.
problem Capturing neural activity related to behavior from complex brain recordings.
method Behavior-decomposed linear dynamical systems (b-dLDS) model.
result Improves over state-of-the-art models in disentangling behavior-related dynamics.
Temporal networks are ubiquitous and evolve over time by the addition, deletion, and changing of links, nodes, and attributes. Although many relational datasets contain temporal information, the majority of existing techniques in relational learning focus on static snapshots and ignore the temporal dynamics. We propose…
Bayesian meta-learning on relation graphs improves few-shot relation extraction.
problem Predicting relations in sentences with limited labeled examples.
method Bayesian meta-learning on a global relation graph, using graph neural networks and Langevin dynamics.
result Framework effectively learns and generalizes to new relations.
Meta-Dynamic models learn shared neural dynamics across tasks.
problem Learning latent dynamics from neural recordings across different tasks.
method Captures variabilities on a low-dimensional manifold to meta-learn dynamics.
result Meta-Dynamic models can rapidly learn latent dynamics from new recordings.