A new method for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization.
problem Challenges in extending BO to high dimensions.
method Expected Coordinate Improvement (ECI) criterion for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization.
result Significantly better results than standard BO and competitive results with state-of-the-art methods.
Physical systems are modelled and investigated within simulation software in an increasing range of applications. In reality an investigation of the system is often performed by empirical test scenarios which are related to typical situations. Our aim is to derive a method which generates diverse test scenarios each re…
ICP improves text infilling and POS tagging with valid confidence sets.
problem Statistical reliability of machine learning predictions.
method Inductive conformal prediction algorithms for text infilling and POS tagging.
result Valid set-valued predictions with small size for real-world applications.
RaMViD uses diffusion models for video prediction and infilling.
problem Predicting and infilling missing information in videos.
method Extends image diffusion models to videos using 3D convolutions and a new conditioning technique.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on video prediction benchmarks.
Recent years have seen remarkable progress of text generation in different contexts, such as the most common setting of generating text from scratch, and the emerging paradigm of retrieval-and-rewriting. Text infilling, which fills missing text portions of a sentence or paragraph, is also of numerous use in real life, …
In this paper, we present an InSphereNet method for the problem of 3D object classification. Unlike previous methods that use points, voxels, or multi-view images as inputs of deep neural network (DNN), the proposed method constructs a class of more representative features named infilling spheres from signed distance f…
Anticipatory model generates music with control over events.
problem Controlling symbolic music generation.
method Interleaving event and control sequences to predict future events.
result Anticipatory model matches autoregressive models in performance and can infill control tasks.
Paper introduces TtT, market-implied transition time, from greenium term structure.
problem Estimating market-implied transition time to a low-carbon economy.
method Develops inference theory for TtT, introduces two stochastic models.
result Combines two-layer analysis for consistent estimation of diffusion parameters.
Model infers mineral locations from geospatial data, improving predictions with auxiliary data.
problem Challenges in characterizing hidden mineral deposits underground.
method Generative modeling approach using masked and infilled geospatial maps.
result Models achieve Dice coefficients of 0.31 and recalls of 0.22 at 1×1 mi² resolution.
Unified perspective unites Bayesian optimization and active learning for efficient goal-oriented optimization.
problem Efficiently optimize expensive engineering and scientific problems with limited data.
method Unified framework linking Bayesian infill criteria and active learning criteria.
result Unified approach formalizes Bayesian infill criteria and active learning criteria.
A scalable portfolio approach speeds up Bayesian optimization for noisy functions.
problem Efficiently selecting multiple designs in parallel for noisy, expensive black-box optimization.
method A portfolio approach that balances exploration and exploitation, using a scalable allocation strategy.
result Significant speed improvements over existing methods, with similar or better performance.
We present mlrMBO, a flexible and comprehensive R toolbox for model-based optimization (MBO), also known as Bayesian optimization, which addresses the problem of expensive black-box optimization by approximating the given objective function through a surrogate regression model. It is designed for both single- and multi…
Bayesian Optimization tackles hidden constraints in architecture optimization.
problem Optimizing system architectures with hidden constraints using expensive physics-based simulations.
method Surrogate-based optimization with Gaussian Process models, including strategies for handling failed evaluations.
result Best performance achieved with a mixed-discrete GP predicting Probability of Viability (PoV) and minimum PoV threshold selection.
Scalarizing functions have been widely used to convert a multiobjective optimization problem into a single objective optimization problem. However, their use in solving (computationally) expensive multi- and many-objective optimization problems in Bayesian multiobjective optimization is scarce. Scalarizing functions ca…
Study improves accuracy of weather data for real-time building simulations.
problem Anomalous and missing weather data affect real-time building energy simulations.
method Introduces a framework for quality control of measured weather data using anomaly detection and neural network infilling.
result Neural Networks enhance the accuracy of data imputation compared to traditional methods.
We use SMC with twist functions to improve probabilistic inference in LLMs.
problem Improving probabilistic inference in large language models.
method We use Sequential Monte Carlo with learned twist functions to estimate expected future values and focus inference on promising sequences.
result Twisted SMC improves the accuracy of language model inference and evaluation.
In this paper, a new sequential surrogate-based optimization (SSBO) algorithm is developed, which aims to improve the global search ability and local search efficiency for the global optimization of expensive black-box models. The proposed method involves three basic sub-criteria to infill new samples asynchronously to…
Bayesian optimal design of experiments (BODE) has been successful in acquiring information about a quantity of interest (QoI) which depends on a black-box function. BODE is characterized by sequentially querying the function at specific designs selected by an infill-sampling criterion. However, most current BODE method…
This paper presents the nonparametric inference for nonlinear volatility functionals of general multivariate Itô semimartingales, in high-frequency and noisy setting. Pre-averaging and truncation enable simultaneous handling of noise and jumps. Second-order expansion reveals explicit biases and a pathway to bias correc…
In this paper, we propose a new threshold-kernel jump-detection method for jump-diffusion processes, which iteratively applies thresholding and kernel methods in an approximately optimal way to achieve improved finite-sample performance. We use the expected number of jump misclassifications as the objective function to…
Diffusion models generate music sequences without autoregressive loops.
problem Generating music sequences from symbolic data using diffusion models.
method Parameterize discrete symbolic data in continuous latent space, train diffusion model, generate sequences through reverse process.
result Strong unconditional generation and post-hoc conditional infilling compared to autoregressive models.
Near-future large galaxy surveys will encounter blended galaxy images at a fraction of up to 50% in the densest regions of the universe. Current deblending techniques may segment the foreground galaxy while leaving missing pixel intensities in the background galaxy flux. The problem is compounded by the diffuse nature …
Sparse Gaussian process quantile regression tackles computational challenges in Bayesian quantile regression.
problem Nonconjugacy and computational cost in Gaussian process quantile regression.
method Sparse Gaussian process framework with Laplace approximation, adaptive inducing-input placement, and sequential data acquisition.
result Accuracy of Laplace approximation and effectiveness of adaptive mechanisms in reducing predictive uncertainty.
New scalarizing functions improve multi-objective Bayesian optimisation.
problem Improving multi-objective Bayesian optimisation efficiency.
method Comparing two infill criteria based on hypervolume improvement.
result Effective scalarizing functions enhance hypervolume maximisation.
New method boosts performance of diffusion models on discrete data like natural language.
problem Performance of diffusion models on discrete data like natural language is poor.
method Proposes score entropy, a novel loss that extends score matching to discrete spaces.
result Significantly boosts performance on language modeling tasks.
The Matérn covariance function is a popular choice for prediction in spatial statistics and uncertainty quantification literature. A key benefit of the Matérn class is that it is possible to get precise control over the degree of mean-square differentiability of the random process. However, the Matérn class possesses e…
In the field of multi-objective optimization algorithms, multi-objective Bayesian Global Optimization (MOBGO) is an important branch, in addition to evolutionary multi-objective optimization algorithms (EMOAs). MOBGO utilizes Gaussian Process models learned from previous objective function evaluations to decide the nex…
Proposes a method to improve surrogate modeling and design optimization using latent variables.
problem Improving efficiency in multi-fidelity adaptive sampling without hierarchical assumptions.
method A framework using a latent variable Gaussian process to capture correlations between different fidelity models and optimize adaptive sampling.
result Demonstrates superior performance in convergence rate and robustness compared to existing methods.
New method estimates selection event for black-box models.
problem Infeasibility of conditional selective inference due to unavailable selection event.
method Bootstrapping to estimate selection event and conditional distribution.
result Feasibility of conditional selective inference for models without exact selection event.
Cluster stability selection improves feature selection in correlated data.
problem Feature selection stability in correlated data.
method Cluster stability selection exploiting known cluster structure.
result Better predictive performance than lasso alone and stability selection.
New method corrects selection bias in post-selective inference for Group LASSO.
problem Inference after Group LASSO selection is unreliable.
method Develops a consistent, post-selective Bayesian method to adjust for selection bias.
result Corrects bias in recovering effects of selected variables.
Proposes PEMI for online selective conformal prediction with asymmetric rules.
problem Challenges of handling asymmetric selection mechanisms in online selective conformal prediction.
method PEMI: permutation-based framework for selective conformal prediction with arbitrary asymmetric selection rules.
result Achieves exact selection-conditional coverage for any asymmetric selection mechanism and any prediction model.
The paper addresses errors in online selective conformal prediction and proposes new strategies to ensure valid inference.
problem Online selective conformal prediction's exchangeability issues and false coverage rate control problems.
method Evaluation and correction of existing calibration selection strategies, proposing new ones that preserve exchangeability.
result Novel calibration selection strategies ensure both selection-conditional coverage and FCR control.
This work develops scalable model selection methods with fast update and selection.
problem Efficient model selection for large pools of candidate models.
method Isolated model embedding, which supports asymptotically fast update and selection.
result Standardized Embedder achieves competitive model selection performances.
Online method selects candidates from data streams, ensuring irreversible decisions.
problem Conformal selection's incompatibility with irreversible decisions in online scenarios.
method Online Conformal Selection with Accept-to-Reject Changes (OCS-ARC) incorporating online Benjamini-Hochberg procedure.
result OCS-ARC controls FDR at or below nominal level, improving selection power.
Paper improves k-NN predictive performance with efficient variable selection.
problem Improving predictive performance of k-NN models. method Efficient forward selection of predictor variables.
result Novel approach approaches outperformance of stepwise selection models.
Value selection reduces model size while maintaining accuracy.
problem Space efficiency in model size reduction.
method Two probabilistic methods based on information theory's metric: PVS and P + VS.
result Value selection achieves balance between accuracy and model size reduction.
Proposes HSIC-Lasso for selective inference in non-linear data.
problem Detecting influential features in non-linear and high-dimensional data.
method Model-free HSIC-Lasso based on truncated Gaussians and polyhedral lemma.
result Tight control of type-I error even for small sample sizes.
Paper proposes a statistical test for feature selection pipelines using selective inference.
problem Assessing the significance of feature selection pipelines in data analysis.
method Selective inference technique applied to feature selection pipelines composed of various algorithms.
result The proposed statistical test controls false positive feature selection probabilities.
New method improves feature selection by integrating stability paths.
problem Improving feature selection with tighter false positive control.
method Integrating stability paths to strengthen theoretical bounds on E(FP).
result Significantly more true positives with same E(FP) control.
UniFeat is an open-source Java tool for feature selection.
problem Efficient feature selection in various research areas.
method Provides a set of advanced feature selection methods.
result Facilitates rapid development of new feature selection algorithms.
We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the approach to model selection by the lasso to form valid confidence intervals for the sel…
Flexible selective inference using flow-based transport maps.
problem Selective inference with complex selection events.
method Flow-based generative modeling for conditional distribution approximation.
result Valid p-values and confidence sets for adaptively selected hypotheses and parameters.
Recently, many regularized procedures have been proposed for variable selection in linear regression, but their performance depends on the tuning parameter selection. Here a criterion for the tuning parameter selection is proposed, which combines the strength of both stability selection and cross-validation and therefo…
Develops a more powerful selective inference method for stepwise feature selection.
problem Loss of power in existing conditional SI methods due to over-conditioning.
method Uses homotopy continuation approach to overcome over-conditioning.
result Shows improved power and efficiency in selective inference for feature selection.
Paper tackles selective regression using uncertainty estimation.
problem Selective regression for machine learning models to avoid predictions when uncertain.
method Model-agnostic non-parametric uncertainty estimation.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art selective regressors.
Online selection of dynamic features has attracted intensive interest in recent years. However, existing online feature selection methods evaluate features individually and ignore the underlying structure of feature stream. For instance, in image analysis, features are generated in groups which represent color, texture…
A new method selects clean samples to train DNNs with noisy labels.
problem Training deep neural networks with noisy labeled data.
method Adaptive k-set selection to choose clean samples at each epoch.
result The method guarantees performance with a theoretical bound on regret.