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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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326495127 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for industrial analytics

This paper improves federated learning for industrial predictive analytics by accommodating client heterogeneity.

problem Traditional federated models assume homogeneity in degradation processes, which doesn't apply to industrial settings.
method Personalized federated prognostic model using proximal gradient descent algorithm for joint parameter estimation.
result The proposed model enhances performance and provides comprehensive failure time distributions.

In this pedagogical study, carried out by adopting standard mathematical methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have presented some simple analytical models to understand terminal behaviour in industrial growth. This issue has also been addressed from a dynamical systems perspective, with especial emphasis on the concept of…

2007-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses Bayesian regression to analyze consumer behavior changes in restaurants post-COVID-19.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on consumer behavior in the restaurant industry.
method Bayesian regression with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Estimates change in consumer behavior before and after the pandemic.

We discuss the class of "Quadratic Normal Volatility" models, which have drawn much attention in the financial industry due to their analytic tractability and flexibility. We characterize these models as the ones that can be obtained from stopped Brownian motion by a simple transformation and a change of measure that o…

2012-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Analytical, free of time consuming Monte Carlo simulations, framework for credit portfolio systematic risk metrics calculations is presented. Techniques are described that allow calculation of portfolio-level systematic risk measures (standard deviation, VaR and Expected Shortfall) as well as allocation of risk down to…

2010-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Analytical, free of time consuming Monte Carlo simulations, framework for credit portfolio systematic risk metrics calculations is presented. Techniques are described that allow calculation of portfolio-level systematic risk measures (standard deviation, VaR and Expected Shortfall) as well as allocation of risk down to…

2009-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we apply tools from the random matrix theory (RMT) to estimates of correlations across volatility of various assets in the S&P 500. The volatility inputs are estimated by modeling price fluctuations as GARCH(1,1) process. The corresponding correlation matrix is constructed. It is found that the distribut…

2013-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The autocorrelation function of volatility in financial time series is fitted well by a superposition of several exponents. Such a case admits an explicit analytical solution of the problem of constructing the best linear forecast of a stationary stochastic process. We describe and apply the proposed analytical method …

2004-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Currently, the world is witnessing a mounting avalanche of data due to the increasing number of mobile network subscribers, Internet websites, and online services. This trend is continuing to develop in a quick and diverse manner in the form of big data. Big data analytics can process large amounts of raw data and extr…

2018-01-19abs ↗pdf ↗

S3VDC improves DC methods for scalability, stability, and simplicity.

problem Poor scalability, instability, and lack of simplicity in DC methods.
method Four algorithmic improvements: initial γγ-training, periodic ββ-annealing, mini-batch GMM initialization, and inverse min-max transform. S3VDC incorporates all improvements.
result S3VDC outperforms state-of-the-art methods on benchmark and industrial datasets.

The process of exploring and exploiting Oil and Gas (O&G) generates a lot of data that can bring more efficiency to the industry. The opportunities for using data mining techniques in the "digital oil-field" remain largely unexplored or uncharted. With the high rate of data expansion, companies are scrambling to develo…

2017-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles robust prediction of nuclear reactor materials under scarce data.

problem Challenges of data scarcity and uncertainty in nuclear reactor design.
method Meta-learning approach informed by uncertainty and prior knowledge.
result Achieves superior performance in rupture life prediction.

Predictive models that are developed in a regulated industry or a regulated application, like determination of credit worthiness, must be interpretable and rational (e.g., meaningful improvements in basic credit behavior must result in improved credit worthiness scores). Machine Learning technologies provide very good …

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we compare static and dynamic (reduced form) approaches for modeling wrong-way risk in the context of CVA. Although all these approaches potentially suffer from arbitrage problems, they are popular (respectively) in industry and academia, mainly due to analytical tractability reasons. We complete the sto…

2016-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes portfolios using relative tail risk measures.

problem Optimizing portfolios with respect to relative tail risk.
method Analytic forms of portfolio CoVaR and CoCVaR derived on a market model. Monte-Carlo simulation for CoCVaR and marginal contributions. Risk budgeting method applied.
result Derivation of analytic forms for CoVaR and CoCVaR, and their marginal contributions.

We study the structure of inter-industry relationships using networks of money flows between industries in 20 national economies. We find these networks vary around a typical structure characterized by a Weibull link weight distribution, exponential industry size distribution, and a common community structure. The comm…

2012-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A new risk measure framework captures multivariate risk in banking.

problem Scalar risk measures fail to capture the multivariate nature of risk in banking.
method A novel multivariate risk measure framework based on the Magnitude-Propensity approach.
result The proposed framework provides a more comprehensive characterization of extreme events.

We propose a simple stochastic volatility model which is analytically tractable, very easy to simulate and which captures some relevant stylized facts of financial assets, including scaling properties. In particular, the model displays a crossover in the log-return distribution from power-law tails (small time) to a Ga…

2010-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves industry classification for diversified companies.

problem Traditional industry classification struggles with multi-sector conglomerates.
method Bayesian Non-Parametrics, Markov Updating, and hierarchical modeling.
result MIS-2 provides a measurable improvement over GICS in predicting future correlations.

Although software analytics has experienced rapid growth as a research area, it has not yet reached its full potential for wide industrial adoption. Most of the existing work in software analytics still relies heavily on costly manual feature engineering processes, and they mainly address the traditional classification…

2016-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops MIS, a probabilistic model for multi-industry classification.

problem GICS's limitation of assigning each firm to exactly one industry, especially for diversified firms.
method Topic modeling to probabilistically assign firms to multiple industries based on business descriptions.
result Demonstrates MIS's ability to flexibly assign firms to multiple industries with relevance probabilities.

Study finds environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions.

problem Reduction of industrial carbon emissions.
method Two-way fixed effect model using provincial (city) level panel data from 2010 to 2020.
result Environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions at both direct and indirect levels, with varying effects.

We collect and analyze the data for working time, life expectancy, and the pair output and infrastructure of industrializing nations. During S-functional recovery from disaster the pair's time shifts yield 25 years for the infrastructure's physical lifetime. At G7 level the per capita outputs converge and the time shif…

2012-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The influence of human judgement is ubiquitous in datasets used across the analytics industry, yet humans are known to be sub-optimal decision makers prone to various biases. Analysing biased datasets then leads to biased outcomes of the analysis. Bias by protected characteristics (e.g. race) is of particular interest …

2020-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.

problem Understanding the dynamics of drug pipelines in global pharmaceutical industry.
method Multilayer network analysis of drug pipeline, global supply chain, and ownership data.
result Proven similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.

Quantitative Investment, built on the solid foundation of robust financial theories, is at the center stage in investment industry today. The essence of quantitative investment is the multi-factor model, which explains the relationship between the risk and return of equities. However, the multi-factor model generates e…

2019-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We provide complete source code for building a fundamental industry classification based on publically available and freely downloadable data. We compare various fundamental industry classifications by running a horserace of short-horizon trading signals (alphas) utilizing open source heterotic risk models (https://ssr…

2017-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Constrained optimization of high-dimensional numerical problems plays an important role in many scientific and industrial applications. Function evaluations in many industrial applications are severely limited and no analytical information about objective function and constraint functions is available. For such expensi…

2015-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a new process for portfolio rebalancing that is more equitable than existing methods.

problem Improving portfolio rebalancing processes in finance to be more equitable.
method Introduces a new market-invariant process for portfolio rebalancing, proving its superiority over existing methods.
result The market-invariant process is more equitable than the banker and linear processes, as demonstrated by empirical results.

We give complete algorithms and source code for constructing (multilevel) statistical industry classifications, including methods for fixing the number of clusters at each level (and the number of levels). Under the hood there are clustering algorithms (e.g., k-means). However, what should we cluster? Correlations? Ret…

2016-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum computing offers financial industry new optimization and risk management tools.

problem Traditional computing limits financial industry's problem-solving capabilities.
method Structured review of quantum computing platforms, algorithms, and use cases.
result Quantum computing can enhance financial industry applications like optimization and risk management.