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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for individualized treatment rules

LI-ITR combines flexible ML with interpretable approximations for personalized treatment rules.

problem Combining flexibility and interpretability in personalized treatment rules.
method Uses variational autoencoders and a mixture of interpretable experts.
result Accurately recovers true local coefficients and optimal treatment strategies.

The paper develops deep learning models for personalized treatment rules in survival analysis.

problem Deriving optimal treatment rules for bivariate survival outcomes in randomized trials.
method Adaptive prediction-powered learning using deep neural networks and stochastic policies.
result Maximizes joint survival probability beyond fixed time points (t1,t2)(t_1, t_2).

The paper learns personalized treatment rules from observational data.

problem Developing effective treatment policies for individual patients.
method Contextual bandit approach to minimize expected risk of treatment policies.
result The proposed method outperforms physicians and baseline approaches in IV and VP administration.

Paper extends transfer learning for decision rules, improving treatment rule estimation.

problem Estimating optimal individualized treatment rules under changing conditions.
method Bayes decision rules and low-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
result Consistent estimators and risk bounds established under mild conditions.

CRL approach improves understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects in complex diseases.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex diseases.
method Causal rule learning (CRL) workflow consisting of rule discovery, selection, and analysis.
result CRL outperforms other methods in providing interpretable estimates of HTE.

Meta-analysis improves personalized treatment rules across multiple sites.

problem Lack of generalizability in learning individualized treatment rules across different medical sites.
method Developed a method for individual-level meta-analysis of ITRs, borrowing sign-coherency information between sites.
result Jointly learned site-specific ITRs with improved generalizability.

Paper proposes a new framework for individualized treatment rules that generalize better across different distributions.

problem Existing individualized treatment rules may not generalize well when training and testing distributions differ.
method Distributionally robust individualized treatment rules (DR-ITR) framework that maximizes worst-case value function across close distributions.
result Calibrated DR-ITR outperforms standard ITR in generalizability.

A new method improves efficiency in finding optimal personalized treatment rules.

problem Heteroscedasticity and misspecified treatment-free effect models affect optimal ITR estimation.
method E-Learning framework that accounts for covariate-treatment dependent variance of residuals.
result E-Learning framework improves efficiency of optimal ITR estimation.

Fuses ITRs for primary and secondary outcomes to minimize harm.

problem Learn an ITR maximizing primary outcome while minimizing harm to secondary outcomes.
method Introduces fusion penalty to encourage similar recommendations for different outcomes. Two algorithms estimate the ITR using surrogate loss functions.
result Agreement rate between primary and secondary optimal ITRs converges faster than ignoring secondary outcomes.

The paper develops a method to optimize individualized treatment rules for cost-effectiveness.

problem Developing cost-effective individualized treatment rules for healthcare policy.
method Using conditional random forest and net-monetary-benefit (NMB) to estimate optimal CE-ITR.
result The approach optimizes healthcare resource allocation by maximizing health gains and minimizing costs.

There is tremendous interest in precision medicine as a means to improve patient outcomes by tailoring treatment to individual characteristics. An individualized treatment rule formalizes precision medicine as a map from patient information to a recommended treatment. A treatment rule is defined to be optimal if it max…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Differentially private method for estimating individualized treatment rules.

problem Estimating individualized treatment rules while preserving privacy.
method Differentially private two-stage empirical risk minimization (DP-2ERM).
result Improved privacy-utility trade-off demonstrated through simulations and applications.

RL algorithms with medical integration improve personalized treatment recommendations.

problem Developing effective personalized treatment strategies for chronic diseases.
method Integrating medical knowledge into RL algorithms for DTR.
result Enhanced treatment recommendations with increased confidence.

Neyman's framework evaluates personalized treatment rules using experiments.

problem Evaluating the efficacy of individualized treatment rules derived by machine learning.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework applied to cross-fitted ITRs.
result Ex-post evaluation of ITRs can be more efficient than random assignment.

RATE metrics evaluate treatment prioritization rules, subsuming existing methods.

problem Comparing and testing the quality of treatment prioritization rules.
method Rank-weighted average treatment effect (RATE) metrics.
result RATE metrics enable asymptotically exact inference in various study settings.

The paper develops methods to estimate optimal treatment sequences under policy constraints.

problem Estimating the best sequence of treatments over multiple stages for individuals.
method Empirical welfare maximization approach, solving treatment assignment sequentially or simultaneously.
result Established convergence rates and upper bounds for estimation methods.

Proposes robust ITRs integrating multiple datasets to handle posterior shift.

problem Posterior shift in conditional outcome distributions between source and target populations.
method Distributionally robust approach with closed-form solution and adaptive uncertainty tuning.
result Achieves superior performance compared to existing methods in simulations and real-data applications.

Develops a weighting framework to generalize ITRs from source to target populations.

problem Challenges in generalizing ITRs from a source population to a target population with differing characteristics.
method A robust sample weighting framework using a reproducing kernel Hilbert space to balance covariates and improve ITR learning methods.
result Improves ITR estimation for the target population compared to other weighting methods.

The increasing availability of individual-level data has led to numerous applications of individualized (or personalized) treatment rules (ITRs). Policy makers often wish to empirically evaluate ITRs and compare their relative performance before implementing them in a target population. We propose a new evaluation metr…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to create fair ITRs that balance value and fairness.

problem Fairness issues in ITRs that can lead to unfair advantages or disadvantages.
method Optimal transport theory to transform optimal ITRs into fair ITRs.
result Established a theoretical upper bound on value loss for improved trade-off ITRs.

Given two possible treatments, there may exist subgroups who benefit greater from one treatment than the other. This problem is relevant to the field of marketing, where treatments may correspond to different ways of selling a product. It is similarly relevant to the field of public policy, where treatments may corresp…

2016-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Developed a new algorithm to improve dynamic treatment regimens.

problem Non-convergence of Q-learning-based Q-shared algorithm in dynamic treatment regimens.
method Penalized Q-shared algorithm to address convergence issues.
result The penalized Q-shared algorithm converges and outperforms the original in various settings.

Paper derives policy rules from observational data for hepatitis C treatment.

problem Improving treatment guidelines for HIV/HCV co-infected patients.
method Weighted K-means algorithm for estimating CATEs, decision tree implementation.
result Identifies a subgroup with high spontaneous HCV clearance rate.

The paper tackles fair policy targeting by optimizing allocation rules to minimize unfairness.

problem Discrimination in individualized treatments of social welfare programs.
method Formulated as a mixed-integer linear program, solved using off-the-shelf algorithms, derived regret bounds and small sample guarantees.
result Designs fair and efficient treatment allocation rules within the Pareto frontier.

Proposes an interpretable machine learning framework for multi-arm HTE estimation.

problem Challenges in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in multi-arm settings.
method Rule-based ensemble approach for HTE estimation in multi-arm trials.
result Achieved lower bias and higher estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

New method estimates optimal personalized treatment rules from mixed data sources.

problem Combining RCT and observational data for personalized treatment rules.
method Doubly robust estimator for value function, maximizing within pre-specified ITR class.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal optimal value estimator with N1/3N^{-1/3} rate of convergence.

Proposes a fusion method for many treatment groups in ITRs.

problem Challenges in handling many treatment groups with data sparsity and covariate imbalance.
method Calibration-weighted treatment fusion procedure that balances covariates and fuses similar treatments.
result Ensures robust treatment group recovery and policy value compared to existing methods.

The vision for precision medicine is to use individual patient characteristics to inform a personalized treatment plan that leads to the best healthcare possible for each patient. Mobile technologies have an important role to play in this vision as they offer a means to monitor a patient's health status in real-time an…

2016-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes robust methods for estimating optimal treatment rules with censored survival data.

problem Estimating optimal treatment rules for censored survival data.
method Developed two robust criteria and a sampling-based difference-of-convex algorithm for learning optimal treatment rules.
result Proposed methods show improved performance compared to existing methods in simulations and real data.

A new DP algorithm for weighted ERM protects sensitive data in predictive models.

problem Protecting sensitive personal information in predictive models trained via ERM.
method Proposes the first differentially private algorithm for weighted ERM with formal privacy guarantees.
result Demonstrates strong DP guarantees while maintaining robust performance in real-world data.

Framework optimizes targeting high-need individuals while estimating treatment effects.

problem Balancing resource allocation to high-need individuals with evaluating treatment effects.
method Proposes a framework to design randomized allocation rules that balance targeting high-need recipients with learning treatment effects.
result Optimized policies can significantly mitigate the tradeoff between targeting high-need individuals and estimating treatment effects.

Proposes methods for learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes robust to unconfoundedness violations.

problem Estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes using historical observational data when unconfoundedness is violated.
method Utilizes proximal causal inference framework to propose three nonparametric identification methods, a (K+1)-robust method, and establish a semiparametric efficiency bound.
result Establishes the (K+1)-robust method for learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes, validating its efficiency and multiple robustness through numerical experiments.

The complexity of human cancer often results in significant heterogeneity in response to treatment. Precision medicine offers potential to improve patient outcomes by leveraging this heterogeneity. Individualized treatment rules (ITRs) formalize precision medicine as maps from the patient covariate space into the space…

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal and equitable encouragement policies for treatment adherence.

problem Optimal treatment adherence policies in the presence of human non-adherence.
method Covariate-conditional no-direct-effect model of encouragement; tractable policy characterizations under constraints.
result Induced treatment take-up is the fairness target, not recommendation rates.

Heteroskedasticity biases uplift model rankings, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.

problem Bias in uplift model rankings due to heteroskedasticity.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation on real-world data.
result Heteroskedasticity can cause individuals with high treatment effects to be ranked at the bottom, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.

Method uses semi-supervised learning to estimate optimal treatment regimes from medical records.

problem Estimating optimal treatment regimes from electronic medical records.
method Imputation-based semi-supervised method using unlabeled data.
result Proposed method yields more efficient estimators of optimal treatment regimes.

Proposes a new model for estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data is challenging.
method Integrates diffusion modeling and conformal inference with propensity score and covariate approximation.
result Establishes rigorous theoretical guarantees and demonstrates competitive performance.

The paper clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.

problem Confusion between CATE and ITE hinders personalized effect estimation.
method Clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.
result CATE and ITE are not necessarily the same under ignorability assumptions.

Develops methods for near-optimal personalized treatment recommendations.

problem Assigning optimal treatments to patients based on individual characteristics.
method Outcome weighted learning framework to estimate near-optimal alternative individualized treatment recommendations (A-ITR).
result Consistency of proposed methods and upper bound for risk between optimal and estimated recommendations.