A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New AI model optimizes personalized care for elderly residents.
Proposes a new model for estimating individual treatment effects.
Model predicts COVID-19 growth in Senegal, highlighting health care capacity importance.
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
Develops a personalized reinforcement learning algorithm for dyadic health interventions.
System predicts HIV patients at risk of dropping out of care.
LHIEM model predicts health, income, and employment over years.
The economic crisis in Argentina around year 2002 provides a unique opportunity for Econophysics studies. The available data on individual income are analyzed to show that they correspond to non stationary states. However, the rather restricted size of the data survey imposes difficulties that must be overcome through …
The distribution of health care payments to insurance plans has substantial consequences for social policy. Risk adjustment formulas predict spending in health insurance markets in order to provide fair benefits and health care coverage for all enrollees, regardless of their health status. Unfortunately, current risk a…
A new model framework called Realized Conditional Autoregressive Expectile (Realized-CARE) is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the conventional CARE model, in a manner analogous to the Realized-GARCH model. Competing realized measures (e.g. Realized Variance and Realized Range) are employed a…
Objective: Predict patient-specific vitals deemed medically acceptable for discharge from a pediatric intensive care unit (ICU). Design: The means of each patient's hr, sbp and dbp measurements between their medical and physical discharge from the ICU were computed as a proxy for their physiologically acceptable state …
In healthcare, the highest risk individuals for morbidity and mortality are rarely those with the greatest modifiable risk. By contrast, many machine learning formulations implicitly attend to the highest risk individuals. We focus on this problem in point processes, a popular modeling technique for the analysis of the…
Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a degenerative brain disease impairing a person's ability to perform day to day activities. The clinical manifestations of Alzheimer's disease are characterized by heterogeneity in age, disease span, progression rate, impairment of memory and cognitive abilities. Due to these variabilities, …
Ensemble methods for classification and clustering have been effectively used for decades, while ensemble learning for outlier detection has only been studied recently. In this work, we design a new ensemble approach for outlier detection in multi-dimensional point data, which provides improved accuracy by reducing err…
Models for predicting the risk of cardiovascular events based on individual patient characteristics are important tools for managing patient care. Most current and commonly used risk prediction models have been built from carefully selected epidemiological cohorts. However, the homogeneity and limited size of such coho…
HOLMES improves real-time model serving for ICU patients, balancing accuracy and speed.
Deep learning, an area of machine learning, is set to revolutionize patient care. But it is not yet part of standard of care, especially when it comes to individual patient care. In fact, it is unclear to what extent data-driven techniques are being used to support clinical decision making (CDS). Heretofore, there has …
A treatment regime is a function that maps individual patient information to a recommended treatment, hence explicitly incorporating the heterogeneity in need for treatment across individuals. Patient responses are dichotomous and can be predicted through an unknown relationship that depends on the patient information …
Estimating treatment effects in time series with hidden confounding.
A new privacy accountant for Gaussian differential privacy measures individual privacy losses.
Deep learning has shown remarkable results for image analysis and is expected to aid individual treatment decisions in health care. To achieve this, deep learning methods need to be promoted from the level of mere associations to being able to answer causal questions. We present a scenario with real-world medical image…
We reproduced the results of CheXNet with fixed hyperparameters and 50 different random seeds to identify 14 finding in chest radiographs (x-rays). Because CheXNet fine-tunes a pre-trained DenseNet, the random seed affects the ordering of the batches of training data but not the initialized model weights. We found subs…
Proposes a method to estimate personalized treatments from high-dimensional data.
The excessive compensation packages of CEOs of U.S. corporations in recent years have brought to the foreground the issue of fairness in economics. The conventional wisdom is that the free market for labor, which determines the pay packages, cares only about efficiency and not fairness. We present an alternative theory…
Study assesses health plan risk measures for Solvency Capital Requirement.
Study uses LLMs to create personalized treatment plans for rare gynecological tumors.
Sequential processing biases asset allocation in artificial stock markets.
WRSE predicts dynamic survival distributions in ICU patients.
Consider a setting with independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, drawn from some unknown distribution . After observing the outcomes of independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., per individual, our objective is to accurately estimate $P^\sta…
Continuous monitoring of cardiac health under free living condition is crucial to provide effective care for patients undergoing post operative recovery and individuals with high cardiac risk like the elderly. Capacitive Electrocardiogram (cECG) is one such technology which allows comfortable and long term monitoring t…
The huge wealth of data in the health domain can be exploited to create models that predict development of health states over time. Temporal learning algorithms are well suited to learn relationships between health states and make predictions about their future developments. However, these algorithms: (1) either focus …
A Longitudinal Attribute-Conditioned Neural Network (LANTERN) framework for modeling health-state transition probabilities in irregular longitudinal data.
The occurrence of drug-drug-interactions (DDI) from multiple drug dispensations is a serious problem, both for individuals and health-care systems, since patients with complications due to DDI are likely to reenter the system at a costlier level. We present a large-scale longitudinal study (18 months) of the DDI phenom…
Causal thinking improves healthcare decisions from EHRs.
Study predicts individual treatment effects in ride-sharing competitions.
A new method uses deep Gaussian processes to handle missing values in irregularly sampled healthcare data.
We present a system and a set of techniques for learning linear predictors with convex losses on terascale datasets, with trillions of features, {The number of features here refers to the number of non-zero entries in the data matrix.} billions of training examples and millions of parameters in an hour using a cluster …
The health outcomes of high-need patients can be substantially influenced by the degree of patient engagement in their own care. The role of care managers includes that of enrolling patients into care programs and keeping them sufficiently engaged in the program, so that patients can attain various goals. The attainmen…
After admission to emergency department (ED), patients with critical illnesses are transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) due to unexpected clinical deterioration occurrence. Identifying such unplanned ICU transfers is urgently needed for medical physicians to achieve two-fold goals: improving critical care quality a…
Improving the quality of end-of-life care for hospitalized patients is a priority for healthcare organizations. Studies have shown that physicians tend to over-estimate prognoses, which in combination with treatment inertia results in a mismatch between patients wishes and actual care at the end of life. We describe a …
CARE improves LLM aggregation by accounting for shared confounders.
Traditional methods for assessing illness severity and predicting in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients require time-consuming, error-prone calculations using static variable thresholds. These methods do not capitalize on the emerging availability of streaming electronic health record data or capture time…
New method predicts Alzheimer's risk with individual uncertainty estimates.
New insights on Shapley value precision for tabular data predictions.
Study on privacy-preserving health care models that sacrifice accuracy for data protection.
Inpatient care is a large share of total health care spending, making analysis of inpatient utilization patterns an important part of understanding what drives health care spending growth. Common features of inpatient utilization measures include zero inflation, over-dispersion, and skewness, all of which complicate st…
Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.
The globalization feeded by the technology explosion that begans in the end of the last century, started the world to change faster every day. The only today's certain is the tomorrow's uncertain. Risk is defined as uncertain where one or many causes composed of ocurrence probality can generate an impact or consequence…