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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for individual trajectories

Deep learning models can infer individual trajectories from sparse data.

problem Learning individual dynamics from limited data points.
method Combining variational autoencoders (VAEs) with ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for dynamic modeling.
result Deep learning can recover individual trajectories from sparse data, but requires careful adaptation.

New method learns behavioral representations from mobility data.

problem Analyzing behavioral similarity of moving individuals from CDR trajectories.
method mob2vec framework combining segmentation, generalization, and unsupervised learning.
result Mob2vec generates low-dimensional vector representations preserving mobility behavior similarities.

Consider a data set collected by (individuals-features) pairs in different times. It can be represented as a tensor of three dimensions (Individuals, features and times). The tensor biclustering problem computes a subset of individuals and a subset of features whose signal trajectories over time lie in a low-dimensiona…

2019-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning nonlinear dynamics from diffusion data is a challenging problem since the individuals observed may be different at different time points, generally following an aggregate behaviour. Existing work cannot handle the tasks well since they model such dynamics either directly on observations or enforce the availabi…

2018-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Medical researchers are coming to appreciate that many diseases are in fact complex, heterogeneous syndromes composed of subpopulations that express different variants of a related complication. Time series data extracted from individual electronic health records (EHR) offer an exciting new way to study subtle differen…

2016-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New method predicts Alzheimer's risk with individual uncertainty estimates.

problem Predicting conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease.
method Persistent homology of clinical trajectories combined with stacking ensemble.
result Pipeline achieves high accuracy and individual-level uncertainty quantification.

Novel framework predicts brain biomarker trajectories with superior performance.

problem Challenges in estimating longitudinal brain biomarker trajectories due to variability, inconsistencies, and irregular measurements.
method Personalized deep kernel regression with Adaptive Shrinkage Estimation.
result Superior predictive performance compared to state-of-the-art models.

Tracking large numbers of densely-arranged, interacting objects is challenging due to occlusions and the resulting complexity of possible trajectory combinations, as well as the sparsity of relevant, labeled datasets. Here we describe a novel technique of collective tracking in the model environment of a 2D honeybee hi…

2018-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning nonlinear dynamics from aggregate data is a challenging problem because the full trajectory of each individual is not available, namely, the individual observed at one time may not be observed at the next time point, or the identity of individual is unavailable. This is in sharp contrast to learning dynamics w…

2020-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a deep learning method for modeling dynamic individual-level latent trajectories with changing parameters.

problem Modeling longitudinal data with changing individual-level dynamics parameters.
method Combines deep learning for dimensionality reduction and differential equations for dynamic modeling, allowing different parameters for sub-periods.
result Successfully identifies dynamic parameters and predictors of resilience.

Generative model learns vehicle trajectory distributions for better data generalization.

problem Data sparsity and privacy issues in urban vehicle trajectory analysis.
method Generative adversarial imitation learning framework for urban vehicle trajectory generation.
result TrajGAIL model produces synthetic trajectories similar to real ones, achieving significant performance gains.

We introduce a method for learning the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems based on deep generative models over temporal segments of states and actions. Unlike dynamics models that operate over individual discrete timesteps, we learn the distribution over future state trajectories conditioned on past state, past acti…

2017-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study integrates causal inference and temporal complexity measures to analyze mental health symptoms.

problem Examining how individual symptom trajectories reveal diagnostic patterns in mental disorders.
method Causal inference, graph analysis, temporal complexity measures, machine learning.
result 91% accuracy in diagnosing symptom dynamics, highlighting disorder-specific causal mechanisms.

A method for inferring motility models and heterogeneity from particle trajectories.

problem Understanding motility patterns from discrete trajectory data of biological agents.
method Maximum likelihood approach for second-order Langevin models with population heterogeneity.
result The proposed method outperforms alternative approaches for short trajectories.

DDD reformulated for sparse matrices, integrating trajectory and snapshot time series data.

problem Efficiently integrate trajectory and snapshot time series data.
method Reformulate DDD to use compact basis functions, reducing parameter scaling.
result Inference of sparse matrices reduces the number of parameters in DDD.

New method improves learning from multiple correlated data trajectories.

problem Learning from multiple correlated data trajectories without mixing assumptions.
method Hellinger localization framework for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Instance-optimal bounds that scale with full data budget under broad conditions.

Model predicts multi-agent trajectories using a differentiable simulator.

problem Predicting future positions of multiple interacting agents.
method Conditional recurrent variational neural networks (CVRNNs) with a kinematic bicycle model.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on INTERACTION dataset.

Proposes a new method for dynamic treatment regimes that improves sample efficiency and stability.

problem Challenges in estimating optimal treatments for individuals with dynamic decision-making stages.
method Focuses on prioritizing alignment between observed and optimal treatment trajectories across decision stages.
result Improves sample efficiency and stability of IPWE-based methods by relaxing the alignment requirement.

Ability to quantify and predict progression of a disease is fundamental for selecting an appropriate treatment. Many clinical metrics cannot be acquired frequently either because of their cost (e.g. MRI, gait analysis) or because they are inconvenient or harmful to a patient (e.g. biopsy, x-ray). In such scenarios, in …

2019-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Model trains agents to optimize saving and investment strategies for diverse retirement needs.

problem Optimal saving and investment strategies for individuals in varied employment and income profiles.
method Deep reinforcement learning to train intelligent agents with heterogeneous profiles.
result Flexible methodology estimates lifetime consumption and investment choices for different profiles.

Statistical approach uses ODEs for modeling individual health trajectories.

problem Challenges in applying ODEs to longitudinal cohort data, especially noise and parameter sensitivity.
method Combines ODEs with neural networks to model individual health trajectories using each observation as initial value.
result Demonstrates improved modeling of individual health trajectories compared to global regression.

ELM combines machine learning and feature engineering for anomalous diffusion detection.

problem Quantitative characterization of anomalous diffusion from single trajectories.
method Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) combined with feature engineering.
result ELM achieves satisfactory performance in AnDi challenge tasks.

Exploration is a difficult challenge in reinforcement learning and even recent state-of-the art curiosity-based methods rely on the simple epsilon-greedy strategy to generate novelty. We argue that pure random walks do not succeed to properly expand the exploration area in most environments and propose to replace singl…

2018-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian meta-learning predicts Alzheimer's disease progression.

problem Predicting individual Alzheimer's disease progression from limited data.
method Bayesian meta-learning approach that dynamically predicts disease score distributions.
result Bayesian meta-learner outperforms single-task models and deterministic meta-learners, especially for long-term predictions.

Persistent neurons improve neural network optimization by leveraging previous solutions.

problem Improving neural network optimization under different initialization and data distributions.
method Persistent neurons use information from previous converged solutions to explore new landscapes and avoid local minima.
result Persistent neurons converge to more optimal solutions and improve model performance under various initializations.

Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) is a model for systems as varied as financial instruments and populations. The statistical properties of GBM are complicated by non-ergodicity, which can lead to ensemble averages exhibiting exponential growth while any individual trajectory collapses according to its time-average. A com…

2012-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

MAYA learns bee foraging decisions with limited memory.

problem Reproducing and predicting bees' foraging decisions with limited memory.
method Sequential imitation learning model based on multi-armed bandits, considering a temporal window τ of 7 trials.
result MAYA outperforms imitation baselines and classical models, providing interpretability and realistic trajectories.