A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study on skew and curvature of implied and local volatilities using Malliavin calculus.
In this paper, we present a method for constructing a (static) portfolio of co-maturing European options whose price sign is determined by the skewness level of the associated implied volatility. This property holds regardless of the validity of a specific model - i.e. the method is robust. The strategy is given explic…
The ADO-Heston model approximates market implied skew in vanilla options.
Study local volatility from rough volatility models, finding new skew rule.
Using Malliavin Calculus techniques, we derive closed-form expressions for the at-the-money behaviour of the forward implied volatility, its skew and its curvature, in general Markovian stochastic volatility models with continuous paths.
Volatility models must be rough to match market skew.
Paper proves SVV model reproduces power-law skew in implied volatilities.
Enhanced SABR model captures complex volatility smiles in Chinese financial options.
Study on implied volatility of Asian options with stochastic volatility.
Flexible model captures commodity skews with maturity effects.
We review and illustrate how the volatility smile translates into a probability distribution, the market-implied probability distribution representing believes priced in. The effects of changes in the smile are examined. Special attention is given to the effects of slope, which might appear at first counter-intuitive. …
Model predicts jump risk premia influencing cryptocurrency futures and option performance.
We revisit the ``Smile Dynamics'' problem, which consists in relating the implied leverage (i.e. the correlation of the at-the-money volatility with the returns of the underlying) and the skew of the option smile. The ratio between these two quantities, called ``Skew-Stickiness Ratio'' (SSR) by Bergomi (Smile Dynamics …
The paper examines short-term volatilities in equity indexes using a ranking procedure.
The implied volatility skew has received relatively little attention in the literature on short-term asymptotics for financial models with jumps, despite its importance in model selection and calibration. We rectify this by providing high-order asymptotic expansions for the at-the-money implied volatility skew, under a…
Study on implied volatility of Inverse options under stochastic volatility models.
DCNN improves volatility smile and skewness calibration without arbitrage constraints.
The paper studies estimation of parameters of diffusion market models from historical data. The standard definition of implied volatility for these models presents its value as an implicit function of several parameters, including the risk-free interest rate. In reality, the risk free interest rate is unknown and need …
Paper derives new option pricing formulas and approximations for a local volatility model with discontinuity.
Modeling implied volatility surface dynamics with Hawkes kernels.
We develop a method to study the implied volatility for exotic options and volatility derivatives with European payoffs such as VIX options. Our approach, based on Malliavin calculus techniques, allows us to describe the properties of the at-the-money implied volatility (ATMI) in terms of the Malliavin derivatives of t…
The paper analyzes implied volatility for European and Asian options under stochastic volatility Bachelier model.
We study specific nonlinear transformations of the Black-Scholes implied volatility to show remarkable properties of the volatility surface. Model-free bounds on the implied volatility skew are given. Pricing formulas for the European options which are written in terms of the implied volatility are given. In particular…
Study shows different types of volatility and skewness changes affect stock prices.
The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out-of-the-money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be integrated into the theoretical framework of convex monetary measures of risk. In …
Extended Jarrow-Rudd model with skewness and kurtosis for option pricing.
Paper addresses xVA models for market-implied skew and smile.
Study on short-term behavior of ATM-IV for jump-diffusion model.
It is known that the implied volatility skew of FX options demonstrates a stochastic behavior which is called stochastic skew. In this paper we create stochastic skew by assuming the spot/instantaneous variance correlation to be stochastic. Accordingly, we consider a class of SLV models with stochastic correlation wher…
A small-time Edgeworth expansion of the density of an asset price is given under a general stochastic volatility model, from which asymptotic expansions of put option prices and at-the-money implied volatilities follow. A limit theorem for at-the-money implied volatility skew and curvature is also given as a corollary.…
Skew parallelogram nets factorize, encompassing discrete differential geometry.
Skew Gaussian Processes improve classification performance by allowing asymmetry.
Innovative extensions to option pricing models using asymmetric Brownian motion and random walk approaches.
Local logarithmic export distributions show non-zero skewness that changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
Study examines short-term IVS dynamics using a model-independent approach.
Improved model for SOFR, SONIA, and ESTR caplets pricing.
The Black-Scholes implied volatility skew at the money of SPX options is known to obey a power law with respect to the time-to-maturity. We construct a model of the underlying asset price process which is dynamically consistent to the power law. The volatility process of the model is driven by a fractional Brownian mot…
We revisit the problem of pricing options with historical volatility estimators. We do this in the context of a generalized GARCH model with multiple time scales and asymmetry. It is argued that the reason for the observed volatility risk premium is tail risk aversion. We parametrize such risk aversion in terms of thre…
Derives token price process for AMM tokens, finds leverage effect and pricing discrepancies.
We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the form of the graph of the option price, related to our strategy, demonstrates the "skewness…
Deep learning calibrates a rough Heston model to match implied volatilities.
The paper examines the short-time implied volatility of additive processes and finds key parameters.
New encoding improves volatility surface generation and risk management.
We study in details the skew of stock option smiles, which is induced by the so-called leverage effect on the underlying -- i.e. the correlation between past returns and future square returns. This naturally explains the anomalous dependence of the skew as a function of maturity of the option. The market cap dependence…
We propose a new static parameterization of the implied volatility surface which is constructed by using polynomials of sigmoid functions combined with some other terms. This parameterization is flexible enough to fit market implied volatilities which demonstrate smile or skew. An arbitrage-free calibration algorithm i…
The paper demonstrates that a pure-diffusion 3/2 model is able to capture the observed upward-sloping implied volatility skew in VIX options. This observation contradicts a common perception in the literature that jumps are required for the consistent modelling of equity and VIX derivatives. The pure-diffusion model, h…
We derive an extremal fractional Gaussian by employing the Lévy-Khintchine theorem and Lévian noise. With the fractional Gaussian we then generalize the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing formula. We obtain an easily applicable and exponentially convergent option-pricing formula for fractional markets. We also carry o…
We introduce a non-parametric method to recover physical probability distributions of asset returns based on their European option prices and some other sparse parametric information. Thus the main problem is similar to the one considered foir instance in the Recovery Theorem by Ross (2015), except that here we conside…