Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.
problem Impact of State Bank of Pakistan's monetary policy communications on stock market.
method Sentiment analysis and high frequency stock market returns analysis.
result Positive or negative tone in SBP communications affects stock returns positively or negatively.
Market impact has become a subject of increasing concern among academics and industry experts. We put forward a price impact model which considers the heteroscedasticity of price in the time dimension and dependency between permanent impact and temporary impact. We discuss and derive the extremum of the expectation of …
We consider a market impact game for n risk-averse agents that are competing in a market model with linear transient price impact and additional transaction costs. For both finite and infinite time horizons, the agents aim to minimize a mean-variance functional of their costs or to maximize the expected exponential u…
We present a thorough empirical analysis of market impact on the Bitcoin/USD exchange market using a complete dataset that allows us to reconstruct more than one million metaorders. We empirically confirm the "square-root law'' for market impact, which holds on four decades in spite of the quasi-absence of statistical …
GJMS operators connect geometry, analysis, and physics.
problem None explicitly stated; focus on operators and their impact.
method Construction of conformally invariant differential operators.
result GJMS operators have significant impact in geometry, analysis, and physics.
In this paper are presented methods of impact analysis on informatics system security accidents, qualitative and quantitative methods, starting with risk and informational system security definitions. It is presented the relationship between the risks of exploiting vulnerabilities of security system, security level of …
Analyzes how economic policies affect wealth distribution in Bitcoin token economy.
problem Impact of economic policies on wealth distribution in token economies.
method Eliminated noise in wealth distribution data using macroeconomic and microeconomic time series. Causality analysis between BIPs and wealth distribution data.
result Proposed a structure for economic policy taxonomy in token economies.
Study liquidity impact on spread option pricing.
problem Imperfect liquidity in stock markets affects option pricing.
method Developed partial-impact and full-impact models to analyze European spread options.
result Full impact model leads to higher option prices due to increased stock buying.
Study analyzes price response and spread impact in foreign exchange markets.
problem Understanding deviations from Markovian behavior in foreign exchange markets.
method Detailed large-scale data analysis of price response functions for different years and time scales, using pip bid-ask spread definition.
result Large pip spreads significantly impact price response in foreign exchange markets.
Study shows how financial report sentiment impacts bank profitability.
problem Understanding causal effects of financial report sentiment on bank profitability.
method Causal forest machine learning methodology, FinancialBERT sentiment scores, SHAP analysis, comprehensive dataset.
result Statistically significant causal associations between balance sheet and expense management variables and profitability.
Two models are identified for robust cross-impact analysis.
problem Developing and validating cross-impact models that fit data and are well-behaved.
method Classified cross-impact models according to desirable properties and evaluated them on three asset classes.
result Only one model satisfies all desirable properties and is suitable for applications.
Proposes a new model to measure trade impact and information content in fluctuating markets.
problem Measuring price impact and information content of trades in a time-varying market setting.
method Non-linear observation-driven model for dynamically estimating market impact and information content.
result Market impact shows intraday patterns with large fluctuations, some of which are exogenous.
Paper develops an attention mechanism for long-term scientific impact prediction.
problem Predicting the long-term impact of scientific papers based on citation records.
method Develops an attention mechanism to predict long-term scientific impact.
result Emphasizing the limited attention can better stand on the shoulders of giants.
Introduces PIT-plot for prioritizing projects based on their impact.
problem Optimizing R&D investments in project portfolios.
method Develops a new tool (PIT-plot) focusing on project impact rather than project properties.
result Identifies projects with the largest impact for risk mitigation or value-adding.
Paper analyzes impact of PRM on binary random variables and distribution shifts.
problem Impact of performative risk minimization on binary random variables and distribution shifts.
method Formulated two measures of impact, derived explicit formulas for full information, and provided estimators for partial information.
result PRM can have amplified side effects compared to methods that do not model data shift.
This paper is a continuation of Ishitani and Kato (2015), in which we derived a continuous-time value function corresponding to an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact as the limit of a discrete-time value function. Here, we investigate some properties of the derived value function. In particular, we …
We present an analysis of the price impact associated with trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the instantaneous impact functions and in the time-dependent market response to trades by ind…
This note complements the inspiring work on dimensional analysis and market microstructure by Kyle and Obizhaeva [18]. Following closely these authors, our main result shows by a similar argument as usually applied in physics the following remarkable fact. If the market impact of a meta-order only depends on four well-…
Study evaluates if LLMs have company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
problem Evaluating if large language models exhibit company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
method Comparing sentiment scores with and without company names, constructing economic models, and empirical analysis.
result LLMs show company-specific biases in sentiment analysis, impacting investor behavior and stock prices.
This paper is devoted to the important yet little explored subject of the market impact of limit orders. Our analysis is based on a proprietary database of metaorders - large orders that are split into smaller pieces before being sent to the market. We first address the case of aggressive limit orders and then, that of…
Study shows news from various topics impacts Nifty 50 index.
problem Lack of analysis on news impact on Nifty 50 index.
method Analyzed Nifty 50 index movement with sentiments from diverse news topics.
result Sentiment scores from different topics significantly impact Nifty 50 index.
We analyze how batch learning impacts bandit problems.
problem Impact of batch learning in stochastic bandits.
method Policy-agnostic regret analysis, upper and lower bounds demonstration.
result The impact of batch learning can be measured in terms of online behavior.
System identifies high impact research from academic papers.
problem Identifying high impact research amidst a growing volume of papers.
method Combines visual and text classifiers on a large dataset of PDFs and citation counts.
result Improved accuracy in predicting high impact research.
Optimal strategy for liquidating portfolios under discrete time intervals.
problem Optimizing liquidation of portfolios with discrete time constraints and impact effects.
method Modeling portfolio liquidation with N risky assets, using VaR for cost measurement, and deriving an optimal liquidation time.
result The optimal liquidation time is only influenced by temporary price impacts, not permanent ones.
Framework ranks sectors influenced by Indian Union Budgets.
problem Real-time analysis of budgetary impacts on sector-specific equity performance.
method Fine-tuned embeddings and language models for sector identification and performance ranking.
result 0.997 NDCG score in predicting sector ranks based on post-budget performances.
The paper analyzes how deep neural networks handle noisy labels and finds disparate impacts.
problem Disparate impacts of noisy labels on instances with different representation frequencies.
method Quantifying harms, analyzing solutions, and comparing their impacts on different frequency instances.
result Existing solutions lead to disparate treatments, benefiting higher-frequency instances more.
DBPA assesses LLM perturbations using frequentist hypothesis testing.
problem Quantifying input perturbation impacts on LLM outputs.
method DBPA reformulates perturbation analysis as frequentist hypothesis testing, using Monte Carlo sampling for empirical null and alternative distributions.
result DBPA provides interpretable p-values and scalar effect sizes for LLM perturbations.
This study analyzes how weather impacts bike sharing usage in Washington D.C.
problem Understanding how weather affects bike sharing usage patterns.
method Gathered bike usage and weather data, used k-means clustering algorithm to identify clusters.
result Weather significantly impacts bike usage, with temperature and precipitation being the most influential factors.
Machine learning impacts computational math, offering new functions approximations.
problem Machine learning's black box nature hinders further progress in computational math.
method Analyzes machine learning's impact on computational math and vice versa.
result Integrating computational math with machine learning can enhance both fields.
This study analyzes how the Indian stock market reacts to budget announcements using fractal methods.
problem Understanding the impact of Union Budget announcements on the Indian stock market.
method Utilizes fractal interpolation function and fractal dimensional analysis to study the NIFTY50 index over -15 to +15 days post-budget day.
result The budget announcements significantly affect the Indian stock market, as evidenced by average abnormal return and cumulative abnormal return.
This paper is devoted to the important yet unexplored subject of crowding effects on market impact, that we call "co-impact". Our analysis is based on a large database of metaorders by institutional investors in the U.S. equity market. We find that the market chiefly reacts to the net order flow of ongoing metaorders, …
The paper gauges AGI's impact on GDP growth using mathematical metrics.
problem Determining the economic effect of AGI on GDP growth.
method Analysis of historical data, development of a new mathematical algorithm, regression analysis.
result There is a positive correlation between AGI growth and real GDP growth.
Machine learning enhances cosmology through new tools and data analysis.
problem Leveraging machine learning in cosmology for better understanding of the universe.
method Development of new computational tools, data analysis techniques, and community building.
result Substantial potential in cosmology remains untapped with machine learning.
In a recent Nature paper, Gabaix et al. \cite{Gabaix03} presented a theory to explain the power law tail of price fluctuations. The main points of their theory are that volume fluctuations, which have a power law tail with exponent roughly -1.5, are modulated by the average market impact function, which describes the r…
We study the problem of the optimal execution of a large trade in the presence of nonlinear transient impact. We propose an approach based on homotopy analysis, whereby a well behaved initial strategy is continuously deformed to lower the expected execution cost. We find that the optimal solution is front loaded for co…
Study finds environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions.
problem Reduction of industrial carbon emissions.
method Two-way fixed effect model using provincial (city) level panel data from 2010 to 2020.
result Environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions at both direct and indirect levels, with varying effects.
Develops a new model to optimize trading in markets.
problem Optimal execution of market securities with transaction costs.
method Introduces a utility function balancing market impact and transaction costs, incorporating existing optimal trading strategies.
result Demonstrates a new approach to balancing market impact and transaction costs.
Open AI models affect bond yields differently than closed ones.
problem Understanding how market reactions to AI releases impact bond yields.
method Analyzed US bond yields before and after the release of open and closed AI models.
result Open AI models shift bond yields in the opposite direction of closed models.
Investment strategies in financial markets can lead to instability due to market impacts.
problem Market impacts make it impossible for investors to accurately optimize their strategies.
method Built an agent-based model with technical analysis strategy agents to investigate optimization instability.
result Investment strategies' parameters never converged but continued to change, leading to unstable market price evolution.
We solve the superhedging problem for European options in an illiquid extension of the Black-Scholes model, in which transactions have transient price impact and the costs and the strategies for hedging are affected by physical or cash settlement requirements at maturity. Our analysis is based on a convenient choice of…
Study shows SEC crypto classification led to significant market reactions.
problem Impact of SEC classification of crypto assets as securities.
method Event study methodology focusing on explicitly named crypto assets.
result Significant adverse market reactions, with returns plummeting 12% over one week.
The study examines how brokers' identity affects their trading strategies on the Toronto Stock Exchange.
problem Impact of anonymous trading on brokers' optimal execution strategies.
method Formulated a stochastic differential game and mean-field game to analyze the optimal execution problem of anonymous and identity-revealed trading.
result Obtained a closed-form solution for the optimal strategy under Almgren-Chris price impact framework.
This paper improves credit line impact analysis by considering spending as a distribution.
problem Previous studies on credit lines' impact on spending have overlooked the distributional nature of spending.
method Developed a distribution-valued estimator framework to extend existing real-valued estimators.
result Credit lines positively influence spending across all quantiles, but more towards luxuries as they increase.
Study uses data to analyze COPD patients' impact on hospital systems.
problem Understanding and quantifying resource requirements for COPD patients.
method Combines segmentation, queuing theory, and data recovery techniques.
result Finding useful operational results from incomplete administrative data.
This study examines how economic policy uncertainty impacts commodity prices across different crises.
problem Impact of economic policy uncertainty on commodity prices during various crises.
method Wavelet coherence analysis of time series data.
result Commodity prices are more correlated during global financial and Covid-19 crises.
The paper proposes a new order slicing strategy to reduce market impact in large-volume trading.
problem Significant market impact and slippage in large-volume trading.
method Volatility-volume-based order slicing strategy using Exponential Weighted Moving Average and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improves trade execution efficiency and reduces market impact.
The composition of natural liquidity has been changing over time. An analysis of intraday volumes for the S&P500 constituent stocks illustrates that (i) volume surprises, i.e., deviations from their respective forecasts, are correlated across stocks, and (ii) this correlation increases during the last few hours of the …
The electronic platform has been increasingly popular for executing large corporate bond orders by asset managers, who in turn have to assess the quality of their executions via Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA). One of the challenges in TCA is to build a realistic benchmark for the expected transaction cost and to chara…