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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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74148222296 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for hyperparameter inference

Improves hyperparameter learning in GP models with non-conjugate likelihoods.

problem Hyperparameter learning entangled with approximate inference in GP models.
method Hybrid training procedure combining VI for inference and EP-like marginal likelihood approximation for hyperparameter learning.
result Empirically demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed training procedure across various data sets.

PriorCVAE uses deep generative models to infer hyperparameters in MCMC.

problem Losing hyperparameter information in GP prior inference.
method Conditioning VAE on hyperparameters to encode and estimate them during inference.
result PriorCVAE enables efficient and distinct inference of hyperparameters.

Combines VI and EP for better Gaussian process hyperparameter learning.

problem Improving hyperparameter learning in Gaussian processes for better performance.
method Hybrid training procedure combining Variational Inference (VI) for posterior inference and Expectation Propagation (EP) for hyperparameter learning.
result The hybrid training procedure provides a better learning objective and generalizes better than using only VI or EP.

Learning in Gaussian Process models occurs through the adaptation of hyperparameters of the mean and the covariance function. The classical approach entails maximizing the marginal likelihood yielding fixed point estimates (an approach called \textit{Type II maximum likelihood} or ML-II). An alternative learning proced…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm tunes SGMCMC hyperparameters for scalable Bayesian inference.

problem Tuning hyperparameters for SGMCMC is challenging due to lack of principled methods.
method Proposes a bandit-based algorithm using Stein discrepancies to tune hyperparameters.
result The method effectively tunes SGMCMC hyperparameters for various applications.

MR estimator simplifies causal inference by combining models without hyperparameter tuning.

problem Difficulty in choosing optimal hyperparameters for neural network models in causal inference.
method Multiply Robust (MR) estimator that combines multiple first-step models.
result MR estimator is nrn^r consistent and asymptotically normal under certain conditions.

AutoPC optimizes hyperparameters for the PC algorithm to improve its performance.

problem The unsupervised nature of the PC algorithm makes it difficult to tune the Type I αα level.
method AutoPC optimizes αα directly for a chosen metric and ensures stability through a second run.
result AutoPC consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods across multiple metrics.

Structured sparsity has recently emerged in statistics, machine learning and signal processing as a promising paradigm for learning in high-dimensional settings. All existing methods for learning under the assumption of structured sparsity rely on prior knowledge on how to weight (or how to penalize) individual subsets…

2015-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning models are full of hyperparameters, which are set manually before the learning process can start. To find the best configuration for these hyperparameters in such a high dimensional space, with time-consuming and expensive model training / validation, is not a trivial challenge. Bayesian optimization is a…

2019-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

With the advent of automated machine learning, automated hyperparameter optimization methods are by now routinely used in data mining. However, this progress is not yet matched by equal progress on automatic analyses that yield information beyond performance-optimizing hyperparameter settings. In this work, we aim to a…

2017-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Kalman filtering with hierarchical variational approach.

problem Inconsistent process covariance estimation and slow convergence speed in traditional variational Kalman filtering.
method Introducing a surrogate variable for process-noise-free state, reformulating CAVI, and sliding-window hyperparameter estimation.
result Enhanced convergence speed and superior estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection approaches usually present special requirements (e.g., hyperparameter validation, collection of outlier data) and produce side effects (e.g., classification accuracy drop, slower energy-inefficient inferences). We argue that these issues are a consequence of the SoftMax loss anisotro…

2019-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently optimizes hyperparameters for PDE and inverse problems using Gaussian processes.

problem Hyperparameter optimization for scientific computing and inference methods.
method Bilevel optimization with Gauss-Newton linearization for efficient hyperparameter updates.
result Significant improvements in accuracy and robustness compared to random initialization.

VisEvol uses evolutionary optimization to find optimal hyperparameters for machine learning models.

problem Finding the best hyperparameters for complex machine learning models is computationally intensive and challenging.
method VisEvol employs evolutionary optimization, storing performant models and improving others through crossover and mutation processes.
result VisEvol generates a voting ensemble of models with improved predictive performance.

Sparse Gaussian process hyperparameters optimized using MCMC.

problem Hyperparameter uncertainty leads to biased estimates and underestimation of predictive uncertainty.
method Proposes an MCMC algorithm to sample from the hyperparameter posterior in sparse Gaussian process regression.
result Significantly improves sampling efficiency in the Gaussian likelihood case.

FlowVAT improves variational inference for multi-modal distributions.

problem Mode-seeking behavior and collapse in variational inference for complex posteriors.
method Conditional tempering approach for normalizing flow variational inference.
result FlowVAT outperforms traditional and adaptive annealing methods in multi-modal distributions, finding more modes and achieving better ELBO values.

Proposes a method to optimize neural network initialization using marginal likelihood maximization.

problem Optimizing hyperparameters for neural network initialization.
method Leverages the connection between neural networks and Gaussian processes to infer optimal hyperparameters.
result Marginal likelihood maximization provides near-optimal prediction performance on MNIST classification tasks.

BDC uses Distance Correlation for efficient Bayesian optimization of expensive functions.

problem Efficiently optimizing expensive black-box functions with Bayesian methods.
method Integrates Bayesian optimization with Distance Correlation for automatic exploration and exploitation.
result BDC performs similarly to popular BO methods on benchmark tests and real terrain optimization.

The paper proposes a method to improve Bayesian inference for periodic data using data-driven priors.

problem Efficiency in approximating posterior distribution in models with periodicity.
method Construct a prior distribution from data using a Gaussian process with a periodic kernel, approximated using adaptive importance sampling.
result The proposed method improves the marginal posterior distribution of the period parameter.

Improves Bayesian inference for deep models to better approximate posterior distributions.

problem Bayesian deep learning struggles with intractable posterior distributions, leading to overconfident predictions.
method Uses variational inference to approximate posterior distributions, proposing a unified view and improving inference for deep Gaussian processes.
result Variational inference can provide a lower bound for marginal likelihood, facilitating model selection and optimization.

We present the particle stochastic approximation EM (PSAEM) algorithm for learning of dynamical systems. The method builds on the EM algorithm, an iterative procedure for maximum likelihood inference in latent variable models. By combining stochastic approximation EM and particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling (PGAS), PS…

2018-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for adaptive estimation and inference in econometric models without knowing smoothness.

problem Adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems with unknown smoothness.
method Discrepancy principle-based framework for adaptive hyperparameter selection.
result Achieves optimal rates in weak and strong metrics for linear functionals.

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian approaches and scales easily to millions of data points. It provides additional features …

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

MuyGPs efficiently estimates GP hyperparameters using local cross-validation.

problem Efficiently estimating GP hyperparameters for large datasets.
method Uses nearest neighbors structure and leave-one-out cross-validation.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art competitors in time and prediction accuracy.

Conditional kernel mean embeddings form an attractive nonparametric framework for representing conditional means of functions, describing the observation processes for many complex models. However, the recovery of the original underlying function of interest whose conditional mean was observed is a challenging inferenc…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimisation improves with fully-Bayesian treatment of hyperparameters.

problem Overconfident model predictions in BO due to ignoring hyperparameter uncertainty.
method Investigate FBBO using three approximate inference schemes compared to maximum likelihood approach.
result FBBO using EI with an ARD kernel leads to best performance in noise-free setting.

New method improves uncertainty quantification in latent variable models.

problem Uncertainty quantification in latent variable models with SGLD-Gibbs.
method Statistical scaling limit theory for SGLD-Gibbs, proposing hyperparameter tuning.
result Explicit guidance on hyperparameter tuning for SGLD-Gibbs ensures meaningful uncertainty quantification.

The paper proposes a method to learn hyperparameters without validation sets, improving efficiency and accuracy.

problem Training large models on limited data to avoid overfitting and reduce validation set usage.
method Gradient-based learning of hyperparameters via a data-emphasized evidence lower bound (ELBO) objective.
result The data-emphasized ELBO reduces hyperparameter search time from 88+ hours to under 3 hours while maintaining comparable accuracy.

Bayesian TNKMs automatically infer model complexity and feature relevance.

problem Manual tuning of TN rank and feature dimensions is error-prone and computationally expensive.
method Bayesian approach with hierarchical priors on TN factors for automatic rank and feature selection.
result Superior performance in prediction accuracy, uncertainty quantification, interpretability, and scalability.

Develops fully Bayesian LVGP for better uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in qualitative inputs for GP models.
method Maps qualitative inputs to latent variables, uses standard GP over LVs, estimates LVs through ML, develops fully Bayesian approach.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification over plug-in approach.

Unified Bayesian-AI framework improves epidemiological risk prediction and uncertainty quantification.

problem Lack of calibrated uncertainty in machine learning models for epidemiology.
method Combines Bayesian prediction with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization using logistic regression and Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization.
result Unified Bayesian-AI framework provides reliable coverage and improved calibration, enhancing epidemiological decision making.

This paper introduces ASCAI, a novel adaptive sampling methodology that can learn how to effectively compress Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) for accelerated inference on resource-constrained platforms. Modern DNN compression techniques comprise various hyperparameters that require per-layer customization to ensure high ac…

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗