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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for human-machine partnerships

AI agents learn to cooperate with users of unknown type.

problem Designing AI agents that can cooperate with new users effectively.
method Modeling user behavior as parameters, observing user actions to infer type, and adapting policies.
result Adaptive AI agents perform significantly better than non-adaptive ones in real scenarios.

Fair market valuations ignore future worker profits in employee-owned firms.

problem Ignoring future worker profits in fair market valuations for employee-owned firms.
method Analyzing property rights and residual claimants in employee-owned firms.
result Fair market valuations are inappropriate for employee-owned firms.

Study human-machine interaction with private info using offline RL.

problem Confounding bias and distributional mismatch in offline RL for human-guided interaction.
method Developed a novel identification result and OPE method to address confounding bias, and used pessimism to tackle distributional mismatch.
result Policy pair converges to optimal one at satisfactory rate under mild assumptions.

MCAL reduces labeling costs by 6x for auto-labeling data sets.

problem Expensive human annotation for ground-truth data sets.
method Iterative approach that trains a classifier to auto-label part of the data set, determining which samples to label using humans and which to label using the classifier at each step.
result 6x lower overall cost compared to human labeling the entire data set, always cheaper than competing strategies.

Improved speech emotion recognition using pre-trained language models.

problem Challenging task of speech emotion recognition for natural human-machine interaction.
method Fine-tuning pre-trained language models for text emotion recognition, combining with speech emotion recognition.
result 73.5% accuracy in speech emotion recognition on a subset of IEMOCAP dataset.

Study on predictable forward processes in trading without frequent evaluations.

problem Trading performance evaluation times not matching trading times.
method Solving a linear functional equation to construct predictable forward processes.
result Predictable forward processes are inherently myopic and optimal strategies do not use future information.

A model for human-machine decision-making with private info and opacity.

problem Optimizing decisions in a human-machine system with private info and opacity.
method Formulated as a two-player learning problem, proved lower and upper bounds on optimality.
result Simple coordination strategy is nearly minimax optimal, efficient learning possible under certain assumptions.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is intrinsically data-driven. It calls for the application of statistical concepts through human-machine collaboration during generation of data, development of algorithms, and evaluation of results. This paper discusses how such human-machine collaboration can be approached through the sta…

2017-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a tax-based system to share disaster risk among regions.

problem Systemic risk in catastrophic events and insurer insolvency.
method Public-private partnership with government intervention through taxation.
result Taxation system effectively shares residual claims in case of insurer insolvency.

Machine learning predicts criminal networks' missing partnerships and future behavior.

problem Predicting and understanding criminal networks' properties and future behavior.
method Combining graph representation learning and machine learning methods.
result Outstanding accuracy in predicting missing criminal partnerships and future behavior.

Study of public and private VC relationships in France using qualitative methods.

problem Understanding interactions between public and private venture capitalists in France.
method Qualitative approach with semi-structured interviews and thematic content analysis.
result Formal or informal relationships between public and private VCs are a 'economico-cognitive' approach to networking and innovation.

Visualizes board connections for socially responsible investing insights.

problem Understanding corporate governance and sustainability through board connections.
method Data Visualization tool to reveal connections between Directors and Executives.
result Strength of tool in investigating corporate governance and sustainability.

This project presents the results of a partnership between the Data Science for Social Good fellowship, Jakarta Smart City and Pulse Lab Jakarta to create a video analysis pipeline for the purpose of improving traffic safety in Jakarta. The pipeline transforms raw traffic video footage into databases that are ready to …

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper describes the Pressure Ulcers Online Website, which is a first step solution towards a new and innovative platform for helping people to detect, understand and manage pressure ulcers. It outlines the reasons why the project has been developed and provides a central point of contact for pressure ulcer analysi…

2018-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Mathematical framework for cooperative communication explains belief transmission.

problem Lack of understanding why cooperation enables effective belief transmission.
method Connection to optimal transport theory, deriving prior models, statistical interpretations, proofs of robustness and instability.
result Cooperative communication provably enables effective, robust belief transmission.

Subsidized insurance reduces poverty by providing social benefits and lowering government costs.

problem Reducing poverty through effective social protection mechanisms.
method Modeling household capital dynamics under four insurance frameworks (uninsured, insured, insured with subsidies, insured with flexible premiums) to assess poverty reduction and governmental costs.
result Subsidized insurance schemes provide maximum social benefits while reducing governmental costs, effectively reducing poverty.

Compared to humans, machine learning models generally require significantly more training examples and fail to extrapolate from experience to solve previously unseen challenges. To help close this performance gap, we augment single-task neural networks with a meta-recognition model which learns a succinct model code vi…

2018-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

It is common wisdom that no nation is an isolated economic island. All nations participate in the global economy and are linked together through trade and finance. Here we analyze international trade network (ITN), being the network of import-export relationships between countries. We show that in each year over the an…

2012-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods to identify and estimate causal effects with instrumental variables.

problem Causal inference with confounded treatment assignment and unobserved variables.
method General nonparametric causal framework, debiased machine learning, semiparametric theory.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for average treatment effect.

The large-scale organization of the world economies is exhibiting increasingly levels of local heterogeneity and global interdependency. Understanding the relation between local and global features calls for analytical tools able to uncover the global emerging organization of the international trade network. Here we an…

2007-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles dynamic behavior of variable topology mechanisms, presenting new transition conditions.

problem Dynamic behavior of mechanisms with changing kinematic topology.
method Presented new transition conditions for variable topology mechanisms using projected motion equations and Voronets equations.
result Results show the dynamic behavior of joint locking in 3R and 6DOF mechanisms.

Autonomous systems can substantially enhance a human's efficiency and effectiveness in complex environments. Machines, however, are often unable to observe the preferences of the humans that they serve. Despite the fact that the human's and machine's objectives are aligned, asymmetric information, along with heterogene…

2017-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a graph-based method for active learning in regression.

problem Active learning for regression is understudied and faces challenges with noisy labels and parameter uncertainty.
method Formulates active regression as a bipartite graph optimization problem.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed graph-based approach on benchmark data sets.

Dual-stage sEMG classification improves gesture recognition accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy in hand gesture recognition from sEMG signals.
method Dual-stage classification approach: first stage groups similar activities, second stage classifies within groups.
result Dual-stage classification yields significantly higher accuracy than single-stage approach.

Enhances insurance loss models using InsurTech data and machine learning.

problem Traditional insurance loss models lack predictive accuracy due to limited data sources.
method Combining proprietary claims data with InsurTech data and applying machine learning techniques.
result Improved predictive accuracy of the loss model through machine learning.

Bayesian topological learning improves EEG signal analysis for brain state classification.

problem Challenges in classifying and analyzing noisy, nonlinear, nonstationary EEG signals.
method Persistent homology with Bayesian framework to track topological features and incorporate prior knowledge.
result Bayesian topological learning outperforms existing methods for noisy EEG classification.

This paper evaluates deferring systems using causal inference.

problem Evaluating the impact of deferring systems on model accuracy is challenging.
method The paper uses a causal inference framework to evaluate deferring systems, distinguishing between scenarios with and without access to human predictions.
result The approach allows identifying causal effects of deferring strategies on predictive accuracy.

Combines human and model predictions for improved accuracy.

problem Improving classification accuracy when both human and model predictions are imperfect.
method Uses confusion matrices and calibration to combine probabilistic model outputs with human class-level predictions.
result Human-model combinations consistently outperform either alone, with accuracy gains even with limited human input.

AI systems are being deployed to support human decision making in high-stakes domains. In many cases, the human and AI form a team, in which the human makes decisions after reviewing the AI's inferences. A successful partnership requires that the human develops insights into the performance of the AI system, including …

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗