We aim to construct the optimal solutions to the undiscounted continuous-time infinite horizon optimization problems, the objective functionals of which may be unbounded. We identify the condition under which the limit of the solutions to the finite horizon problems is optimal for the infinite horizon problems under th…
arXiv research
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Long horizon reinforcement learning is as hard as short horizon learning.
Proves uniqueness of certain spacetime solutions with extremal horizons.
This paper studies the utility maximization problem with changing time horizons in the incomplete Brownian setting. We first show that the primal value function and the optimal terminal wealth are continuous with respect to the time horizon . Secondly, we exemplify that the expected utility stemming from applying th…
We aim to generalize the results of Cai and Nitta (2007) by allowing both the utility and production function to depend on time. We also consider an additional intertemporal optimality criterion. We clarify the conditions under which the limit of the solutions for the finite horizon problems is optimal among all attain…
Proves conditions for Cauchy horizons in low-regularity spacetimes.
New insights into black hole horizons from asymptotic expansions.
Study optimal portfolios in a non-Markovian regime-switching model with random time horizon.
In this paper, we study optimal switching problems under ambiguity. To characterize the optimal switching under ambiguity in the finite horizon, we use multidimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equations (multidimensional RBSDEs) and show that a value function of the optimal switching under ambiguity …
We study the problem of stability and instability of extreme Reissner-Nordstrom spacetimes for linear scalar perturbations. Specifically, we consider solutions to the linear wave equation on a suitable globally hyperbolic subset of such a spacetime, arising from regular initial data prescribed on a Cauchy hypersurface …
This paper solves the consumption-investment problem under Epstein-Zin preferences on a random horizon. In an incomplete market, we take the random horizon to be a stopping time adapted to the market filtration, generated by all observable, but not necessarily tradable, state processes. Contrary to prior studies, we do…
Study optimal liquidation strategies with infinite horizon and regime switching.
Careful tuning of the learning rate, or even schedules thereof, can be crucial to effective neural net training. There has been much recent interest in gradient-based meta-optimization, where one tunes hyperparameters, or even learns an optimizer, in order to minimize the expected loss when the training procedure is un…
Optimizes investment under uncertain time horizons with non-concave utility.
A new ML algorithm solves complex economic control problems.
We present a new infinite class of near-horizon geometries of degenerate horizons, satisfying Einstein's equations for all odd dimensions greater than five. The symmetry and topology of these solutions is compatible with those of black holes. The simplest examples give horizons of spatial topology S^3xS^2 or the non-tr…
Solves infinite horizon portfolio problem with path-dependent labor income.
Improved algorithm for optimal stopping problems reduces runtime.
We consider solutions to the linear wave equation on a suitable globally hyperbolic subset of an extreme Reissner-Nordstrom spacetime, arising from regular initial data prescribed on a Cauchy hypersurface crossing the future event horizon. We obtain boundedness, decay, non-decay and blow-up results. Our estimates hold …
Paper solves Bayesian bandit problem with continuous-time limit and approximate policy.
We consider the off-policy estimation problem of estimating the expected reward of a target policy using samples collected by a different behavior policy. Importance sampling (IS) has been a key technique to derive (nearly) unbiased estimators, but is known to suffer from an excessively high variance in long-horizon pr…
In this paper, we investigate dynamic optimization problems featuring both stochastic control and optimal stopping in a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly different from those of mixed dynamic optimal control and stopping problems in the existing literature, to stu…
Minimal surfaces connect to horizons and electrostatic systems.
State-of-the-art forecasting methods using Recurrent Neural Net- works (RNN) based on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells have shown exceptional performance targeting short-horizon forecasts, e.g given a set of predictor features, forecast a target value for the next few time steps in the future. However, in many appli…
Heterotic horizons preserving 4 supersymmetries have sections which are T^2 fibrations over 6-dimensional conformally balanced Hermitian manifolds. We give new examples of horizons with sections S^3 X S^3 X T^2 and SU(3). We then examine the heterotic horizons which are T^4 fibrations over a Kahler 4-dimensional manifo…
Paper proves existence of anisotropic dynamical horizons in gravitational collapse.
New approach confirms Kruskal-Szekeres extension for Schwarzschild spacetime.
The study classifies compact Cauchy horizons in vacuum spacetimes.
Solves expert prediction problem for 4 experts in finite time horizon.
Two new algorithms improve model-free RL for infinite-horizon MDPs.
Investment and consumption strategy for risk-averse agents with Epstein-Zin utility.
UCRL-WVTR tackles long-term reinforcement learning with general approximations, achieving horizon-free and instance-dependent regret bounds.
Study of marginally trapped surfaces in a perturbed Schwarzschild spacetime.
In this paper we present Horizon, Facebook's open source applied reinforcement learning (RL) platform. Horizon is an end-to-end platform designed to solve industry applied RL problems where datasets are large (millions to billions of observations), the feedback loop is slow (vs. a simulator), and experiments must be do…
This review tackles long horizon forecasting in time series analysis using deep learning.
Extends utility maximization theory for infinite horizons without strong no-arbitrage assumptions.
In this paper, we study optimal liquidation problems in a randomly-terminated horizon. We consider the liquidation of a large single-asset portfolio with the aim of minimizing a combination of volatility risk and transaction costs arising from permanent and temporary market impact. Three different scenarios are analyze…
This paper uses recent results on continuous-time finite-horizon optimal switching problems with negative switching costs to prove the existence of a saddle point in an optimal stopping (Dynkin) game. Sufficient conditions for the game's value to be continuous with respect to the time horizon are obtained using recent …
We prove that compact Cauchy horizons in a smooth spacetime satisfying the null energy condition are smooth. As an application, we consider the problem of determining when a cobordism admits Lorentzian metrics with certain properties. In particular, we prove a result originally due to Tipler without the smoothness hypo…
We characterise the value function of the optimal dividend problem with a finite time horizon as the unique classical solution of a suitable Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation. The optimal dividend strategy is realised by a Skorokhod reflection of the fund's value at a time-dependent optimal boundary. Our results are obt…
Study optimal stopping problems with finite-time horizon and proves continuity and strict monotonicity of the boundary.
Study long-term asset liquidation behavior with external flows.
Derives time-averaged active inference from control principles.
We study the following problem: Given initial data on a compact Cauchy horizon, does there exist a unique solution to wave equations on the globally hyperbolic region? Our main results apply to any spacetime satisfying the null energy condition and containing a compact Cauchy horizon with surface gravity that can be no…
BINOCULARS improves experimental design by balancing exploration and exploitation.
Paper identifies reductive MDPs, solving them in polynomial time.
Proves rigidity of extremal Kerr-Newman horizons.
A new method for risk-averse decision-making in Markov processes with improved regret bounds.