A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Combining deep learning and ensemble smoothers for better history matching.
Deep learning calibrates CO2 storage formations from seismic and well data.
The literature about history matching is vast and despite the impressive number of methods proposed and the significant progresses reported in the last decade, conditioning reservoir models to dynamic data is still a challenging task. Ensemble-based methods are among the most successful and efficient techniques current…
Novel PCA method for high-dimensional inverse problems.
Many households in developing countries lack formal financial histories, making it difficult for firms to extend credit, and for potential borrowers to receive it. However, many of these households have mobile phones, which generate rich data about behavior. This article shows that behavioral signatures in mobile phone…
User identity linkage is a task of recognizing the identities of the same user across different social networks (SN). Previous works tackle this problem via estimating the pairwise similarity between identities from different SN, predicting the label of identity pairs or selecting the most relevant identity pair based …
We propose Generative Predecessor Models for Imitation Learning (GPRIL), a novel imitation learning algorithm that matches the state-action distribution to the distribution observed in expert demonstrations, using generative models to reason probabilistically about alternative histories of demonstrated states. We show …
Study constructs balanced datasets for seismic failure prediction.
The calibration of a reservoir model with observed transient data of fluid pressures and rates is a key task in obtaining a predictive model of the flow and transport behaviour of the earth's subsurface. The model calibration task, commonly referred to as "history matching", can be formalised as an ill-posed inverse pr…
A new method predicts future paths using a Monte-Carlo approach.
A new low-dimensional parameterization based on principal component analysis (PCA) and convolutional neural networks (CNN) is developed to represent complex geological models. The CNN-PCA method is inspired by recent developments in computer vision using deep learning. CNN-PCA can be viewed as a generalization of an ex…
BLOB combines organic and bandit signals for better user interest estimation.
Bayesian inference over admissible histories leads to irreversible kinetics.
FRESH combines patient-level and aggregate-level data for better clinical decision making.
HS-FNO models non-Markovian PDEs by learning history and future states.
Overview of affine surface area and its history.
Feature Quantization improves GAN training stability.
Survey on DDVV-type inequalities, their history, and recent developments.
We partner with a leading European healthcare provider and design a mechanism to match patients with family doctors in primary care. We define the matchmaking process for several distinct use cases given different levels of available information about patients. Then, we adopt a hybrid recommender system to present each…
SRMC framework reduces Monte Carlo variance by history-based sampling in high-dimensional spaces.
Paper analyzes history-based RL methods for MDPs, introduces a theoretical framework and practical algorithm.
Neural networks improve cancer risk prediction from family history data.
The paper explains why estimating a history-dependent policy can reduce MSE in reinforcement learning.
It is shown how the generating functional method of De Dominicis can be used to solve the dynamics of the original version of the minority game (MG), in which agents observe real as opposed to fake market histories. Here one again finds exact closed equations for correlation and response functions, but now these are de…
This paper suggests claim history will be deprecated in future auto insurance rates.
We present in this chapter (Chapter II) the history of ideas which lead up to the development of modern knot theory. We are more detailed when pre-XX century history is reported. With more recent times we are more selective, stressing developments related to Jones type invariants of links. In the Appendix, A.Przybyszew…
Develops a framework for clustering and distribution matching with bandit feedback.
Study forecasts sub-city real estate prices weekly using radar and news sentiment.
Paper tackles reinforcement learning for STL specifications with state history.
We propose an online algorithm for cumulative regret minimization in a stochastic multi-armed bandit. The algorithm adds i.i.d. pseudo-rewards to its history in round and then pulls the arm with the highest average reward in its perturbed history. Therefore, we call it perturbed-history exploration (PHE). Th…
Paper presents a novel method to assess boundedness and stability of nonlinear systems with variable delays.
Machine learning algorithms are increasingly involved in sensitive decision-making process with adversarial implications on individuals. This paper presents mdfa, an approach that identifies the characteristics of the victims of a classifier's discrimination. We measure discrimination as a violation of multi-differenti…
We propose a new online algorithm for cumulative regret minimization in a stochastic linear bandit. The algorithm pulls the arm with the highest estimated reward in a linear model trained on its perturbed history. Therefore, we call it perturbed-history exploration in a linear bandit (LinPHE). The perturbed history is …
The learning rate is one of the most important hyper-parameters for model training and generalization. However, current hand-designed parametric learning rate schedules offer limited flexibility and the predefined schedule may not match the training dynamics of high dimensional and non-convex optimization problems. In …
We give an explicit definition of decentralization and show you that decentralization is almost impossible for the current stage and Bitcoin is the first truly noncentralized currency in the currency history. We propose a new framework of noncentralized cryptocurrency system with an assumption of the existence of a wea…
Cold-start PV forecasting uses synthetic histories to train time-series foundation models.
Enhances RL in target domains with limited data using augmented return.
Epsilon-machines are minimal, unifilar presentations of stationary stochastic processes. They were originally defined in the history machine sense, as hidden Markov models whose states are the equivalence classes of infinite pasts with the same probability distribution over futures. In analyzing synchronization, though…
New framework handles dynamic contexts in reinforcement learning.
The statistical description and modeling of volatility plays a prominent role in econometrics, risk management and finance. GARCH and stochastic volatility models have been extensively studied and are routinely fitted to market data, albeit providing a phenomenological description only. In contrast, the field of econop…
The aim of this paper is to introduce a synthetic ALM model that catches the main specificity of life insurance contracts. First, it keeps track of both market and book values to apply the regulatory profit sharing rule. Second, it introduces a determination of the crediting rate to policyholders that is close to the p…
A dangerously brief history of the developments of the main ideas in economics, as observed by a physicist, is given. This was published in 'Econophysics of Stock and Other Markets', Eds. A. Chatterjee, B. K. Chakrabarti, New Economic Windows Series, Springer, Milan, 2006, pp~219-224.
Transformers improve Alzheimer's disease progression prediction by accounting for irregular biomarker histories.
Foundation models improve wage gap decomposition by capturing omitted career history factors.
Marden's Tameness Conjecture predicts that every hyperbolic 3-manifold with finitely generated fundamental group is homeomorphic to the interior of a compact 3-manifold. It was recently established by Agol and Calegari-Gabai. We will survey the history of work on this conjecture and discuss its many applications.
Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure---a difficult permutation inference problem. In this paper, we in…
In this paper, we consider the distributed stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, where a global arm set can be accessed by multiple players independently. The players are allowed to exchange their history of observations with each other at specific points in time. We study the relationship between regret and communica…
A new method uses a frozen language model to improve sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.