Package implements ABC-Boost for multi-class classification.
problem Improving accuracy in multi-class classification.
method Combines histogram-based binning and explicit gain formula for efficient tree splitting.
result ABC-Boost significantly improves multi-class classification accuracy.
A new method detects concept drift in streaming data using k-means space partitioning.
problem Detecting distribution changes in streaming data.
method Equal intensity k-means space partitioning (EI-kMeans) and heuristic sensitivity improvement.
result EI-kMeans improves drift detection accuracy and sensitivity.
New method uses neural networks to estimate parameters without needing detector simulations.
problem Estimating parameters in high-energy physics with detector effects.
method Two-level fitting approach: SRGN (Simulation-level fit based on Reweighting Generator-level events with Neural networks).
result Demonstrated using simulated datasets, SRGN can estimate parameters without detector effects.
Stock price movement reveals complex interdependencies that are simplified through linear correlation.
problem Exploring the spectral dynamics of the Indonesian capital market using structural network representations.
method Combining three dependency estimators (Pearson, MI adaptive binning, and MI-kNN) with two graph filtering schemes (MST and PMFG) and four community decoders.
result MI adaptive binning is shown to be more proportional than kNN for detecting residual information.
EHBOS enhances HBOS by capturing feature interactions, improving anomaly detection.
problem Limited ability of HBOS to detect anomalies in datasets with feature interactions.
method Incorporates two-dimensional histograms to capture feature pair dependencies.
result EHBOS outperforms HBOS on datasets with critical feature interactions, achieving notable improvements in ROC AUC.
Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the true bin integrals. In this paper we propose an elegant method for performing G…
Histogram binning method proven with guarantees without splitting data.
problem Proving theoretical guarantees for histogram binning without sample splitting.
method Using Markov property of order statistics to prove calibration guarantees for original method.
result Proves histogram binning has strong calibration guarantees without sample splitting.
Isotonic regression binning affects calibration statistics of machine learning models.
problem Isotonic regression binning introduces aleatoric uncertainty in calibration statistics.
method Calibration error statistics are recalibrated using isotonic regression, which produces stratified uncertainties.
result Stratified uncertainties lead to significant differences in bin-based calibration statistics.
Improved binning technique boosts nUV measure performance.
problem Improving the performance of the nUV measure in real applications.
method Introduced the nUV measure, provided theoretical optimal binning techniques, and proposed algorithms for approximate solutions.
result Approximate binning techniques show 4-13% increase in AUC scores with statistical significance.
Optimal binning method for numeric targets using mathematical programming.
problem Optimizing the discretization of numeric variables for classification.
method Mathematical programming formulation for binary, continuous, and multi-class targets with constraints.
result Convex mixed-integer programming formulations for all target types.
Balls-and-Bins sampling improves DP-SGD privacy and utility.
problem Improving privacy and utility in DP-SGD implementations.
method Introducing Balls-and-Bins sampling as an alternative to shuffling in DP-SGD.
result Balls-and-Bins sampling achieves utility comparable to shuffling while offering better privacy amplification.
Bin Packing problems have been widely studied because of their broad applications in different domains. Known as a set of NP-hard problems, they have different vari- ations and many heuristics have been proposed for obtaining approximate solutions. Specifically, for the 1D variable sized bin packing problem, the two ke…
New methods reduce bias in estimating calibration error.
problem Reducing bias in estimating calibration error.
method Synthesizing model outputs and using equal-mass bins.
result Two reliable calibration-error estimators found: debiased estimator and ECE_sweep.
Improved kernel ridge regression for large datasets using weighted random binning.
problem Efficiently approximating kernel matrices for large-scale datasets.
method Introduced weighted random binning features for locality sensitive hashing.
result Weighted random binning features generate Gaussian processes of any desired smoothness.
This paper improves multi-class calibration methods using mutual information maximization-based binning.
problem Calibration of deep neural network predictions, especially for small prior classes.
method I-Max concept for binning, shared class-wise calibration strategy.
result Improves multi-class ranking and calibration performance using a small calibration set.
Paper analyzes ECE bias and provides bounds for its estimation.
problem Understanding the estimation bias in ECE for machine learning models.
method Information-theoretic approach to analyze bias in uniform mass and uniform width binning strategies.
result Established upper bounds on ECE estimation bias and optimal number of bins.
New methods improve estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.
problem Estimating nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.
method Formulated as a learning generalization problem, proposed adaptive and data-driven binning methods.
result Improved estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes with limited data.
A new method detects and displays pairwise dependence between variates.
problem Detecting and visualizing dependence between variates of different types.
method Recursive random binning with approximations to Pearson's statistic.
result The method is well-calibrated and powerful against common test alternatives.
In this era of big data, databases are growing rapidly in terms of the number of records. Fast automatic detection of anomalous records in these massive databases is a challenging task. Traditional distance based anomaly detectors are not applicable in these massive datasets. Recently, a simple but extremely fast anoma…
The MAP-Elites algorithm produces a set of high-performing solutions that vary according to features defined by the user. This technique has the potential to be a powerful tool for design space exploration, but is limited by the need for numerous evaluations. The Surrogate-Assisted Illumination algorithm (SAIL), introd…
New bin-wise scaling methods improve prediction uncertainty calibration for machine learning.
problem Improving prediction uncertainty calibration for machine learning regression.
method Adaptations of Binwise Variance Scaling (BVS) with alternative loss functions and feature-based binning.
result Improved adaptivity and consistency in prediction uncertainty calibration.
A method for non-parametric conditional distribution estimation using CRPS-optimal binning.
problem Non-parametric conditional distribution estimation.
method Partitioning covariate-sorted observations into bins to minimize LOO-CRPS, selecting K by K-fold cross-validation of test CRPS.
result Produces narrower prediction intervals with near-nominal coverage compared to split-conformal competitors.
Solves online 3D bin packing with deep reinforcement learning under constraints.
problem Challenges of packing items immediately without information and constraints.
method Constrained deep reinforcement learning (DRL) with feasibility predictor.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in online 3D bin packing.
Probability Density Estimation (PDE) is a multivariate discrimination technique based on sampling signal and background densities defined by event samples from data or Monte-Carlo (MC) simulations in a multi-dimensional phase space. In this paper, we present a modification of the PDE method that uses a self-adapting bi…
New method estimates graphons from multiple networks with high accuracy and low complexity.
problem Estimating graphon function from multiple networks with different node sets and sizes.
method Histogram-based estimator that aligns nodes across all networks.
result High accuracy and low computational complexity achieved.
In this paper, we present a novel massively parallel algorithm for accelerating the decision tree building procedure on GPUs (Graphics Processing Units), which is a crucial step in Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) and random forests training. Previous GPU based tree building algorithms are based on parallel multi-…
Study three types of uncertainty quantification for binary classification without distributional assumptions.
problem Uncertainty quantification for binary classification in a distribution-free setting.
method Established theorems connecting calibration, confidence intervals, and prediction sets for score-based classifiers.
result Distribution-free calibration is only possible using scoring functions that partition feature space into countably many sets.
This paper introduces minimum-risk recalibration for probabilistic classifiers, improving their reliability and accuracy.
problem Improving the reliability and accuracy of probabilistic classifiers.
method Minimum-risk recalibration within the MSE decomposition framework, analyzing UMB method and label shift adaptation.
result The optimal number of bins for UMB scales with n1/3, resulting in a risk bound of approximately O(n−2/3). Object detection in streaming images is a major step in different detection-based applications, such as object tracking, action recognition, robot navigation, and visual surveillance applications. In mostcases, image quality is noisy and biased, and as a result, the data distributions are disturbed and imbalanced. Most…
A new survival analysis method eliminates hyperparameter tuning.
problem Survival analysis model hyperparameters are difficult to tune.
method Flexible survival density estimation with importance sampling.
result Matches or outperforms existing methods on real-world datasets.
This study examines how discretization improves neural forecasting models.
problem Improving predictive performance of neural forecasting models.
method Empirical investigation of data binning techniques on various neural forecasting architectures.
result Data binning almost always improves forecasting accuracy, but the type of binning is less important.
New method unfolds distribution moments directly from data without binning.
problem Deconvolving detector distortions in particle physics.
method Uses machine learning, inspired by GANs, to unfold moments directly.
result More precise than bin-based approaches and comparable to unbinned methods.
In this paper we perform a statistical analysis over the returns and relative prices of the CAC 40 and the S\&P 500 with the purpose of analyzing the intra-day seasonalities of single and cross-sectional stock dynamics. In order to do that, we characterized the dynamics of a stock (or a set of stocks) by the evolut…
A new DP algorithm improves privacy in hashing and sampling for search and learning.
problem Improving privacy in hashing and sampling for large-scale applications.
method Combines differential privacy with one permutation hashing and bin-wise consistent weighted sampling.
result Proposes DP-OPH and DP-BCWS algorithms that enhance privacy while maintaining utility.
The objective of this work is to take advantage of deep neural networks in order to make next day crime count predictions in a fine-grain city partition. We make predictions using Chicago and Portland crime data, which is augmented with additional datasets covering weather, census data, and public transportation. The c…
For various applications, the relations between the dependent and independent variables are highly nonlinear. Consequently, for large scale complex problems, neural networks and regression trees are commonly preferred over linear models such as Lasso. This work proposes learning the feature nonlinearities by binning fe…
TCE measures calibration error with a test-based approach.
problem Measuring calibration error of probabilistic binary classifiers.
method TCE uses a novel loss function based on a statistical test.
result TCE offers clear interpretation, consistent scale, and enhanced visual representation.
PoET-BiN reduces power consumption in neural networks on embedded devices.
problem Power inefficiency in neural network implementations on embedded platforms.
method Look-Up Table based implementation with a modified Decision Tree approach.
result Near state-of-the-art results with up to 6 orders of magnitude energy reduction.
Recent developments have linked causal inference with Algorithmic Information Theory, and methods have been developed that utilize Conditional Kolmogorov Complexity to determine causation between two random variables. We present a method for inferring causal direction between continuous variables by using an MDL Binnin…
In subgroup discovery, also known as supervised pattern mining, discovering high quality one-dimensional subgroups and refinements of these is a crucial task. For nominal attributes, this is relatively straightforward, as we can consider individual attribute values as binary features. For numerical attributes, the task…
A 3D flexible bin packing problem (3D-FBPP) arises from the process of warehouse packing in e-commerce. An online customer's order usually contains several items and needs to be packed as a whole before shipping. In particular, 5% of tens of millions of packages are using plastic wrapping as outer packaging every day, …
Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures calibration remains a challenge: expected calibration error, the most popular metric, ha…
Paper analyzes nonconvex bandit problems with improved adaptive methods.
problem Continuous armed bandit problems for nonconvex cost functions.
method Simple and adaptive bin splitting methods.
result Adaptive method achieves locally minimax optimal expected cumulative regret.
New method improves bivariate causal discovery by accurately estimating cause variable complexity.
problem Improper estimation of cause variable complexity in current MDL-based methods.
method Rate-distortion MDL (RDMDL) using information dimension for cause variable complexity estimation.
result RDMDL achieves competitive performance on Tübingen dataset.
Unified framework connects credit risk metrics with information theory.
problem Disconnection between industry-standard metrics and statistical theory.
method Unified information-theoretic framework, proving IV equals PSI, deriving standard errors, formalizing trade-off, automated binning with XGBoost.
result Unified framework connects IV and PSI, providing statistical foundation for metrics.
Unified framework for PDF estimation using MDL-based binning and tensor factorization.
problem Challenges in estimating PDFs for non-uniform, multimodal data.
method MDL-based binning with quantile cuts, tensor factorization (CPD).
result Effective PDF estimation on synthetic and real data.
We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's ε-contamination model, in which an ε fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median step can effectively remove the adversary noise and this median estimator is minimax optimal up t…
Applications such as weather forecasting and personalized medicine demand models that output calibrated probability estimates---those representative of the true likelihood of a prediction. Most models are not calibrated out of the box but are recalibrated by post-processing model outputs. We find in this work that popu…