New method detects changes in high-dimensional Markov processes without explicit likelihood evaluation.
problem Quickest change detection in Markov processes with unknown transition kernels.
method Learn conditional score from sample pairs, develop score-based CUSUM procedure.
result Exponential lower bounds on mean time to false alarm and asymptotic upper bounds on detection delay.
New method improves high-dimensional Bayesian optimization efficiency using MCMC.
problem High-dimensional optimization challenges and computational complexity.
method Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to efficiently sample from approximated posterior.
result Metropolis-Hastings and Langevin Dynamics versions outperform state-of-the-art methods.
Paper proposes a new method for training diffusion models using Markov operators.
problem Training efficiency and accuracy in diffusion models.
method Operator-informed score matching using spectral decomposition of Markov operators.
result Improved score matching for both low and high-dimensional distributions.
Paper introduces DMPMs for efficient discrete data generation with sharp convergence bounds.
problem Efficient generation of discrete data with theoretical guarantees.
method Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs) operating in bit space with time-reversal process.
result Sharp convergence bounds established under minimal assumptions, competitive performance in discrete data generation.
STANLEY improves sampling for complex data models.
problem Training Energy-Based models with intractable normalizing constants.
method Anisotropic Langevin Dynamics with gradient-informed covariance.
result Geometrically uniformly ergodic Markov Chain for sampling.
Several applications of Reinforcement Learning suffer from instability due to high variance. This is especially prevalent in high dimensional domains. Regularization is a commonly used technique in machine learning to reduce variance, at the cost of introducing some bias. Most existing regularization techniques focus o…
The paper develops methods for high-dimensional inference in Markov random fields.
problem Statistical inference for high-dimensional Markov random fields.
method Markov Chain Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MCMC-MLE) with Elastic-net regularization.
result The proposed methods achieve ℓ1-consistency and false discovery rate control. Gaussian Belief Propagation (BP) algorithm is one of the most important distributed algorithms in signal processing and statistical learning involving Markov networks. It is well known that the algorithm correctly computes marginal density functions from a high dimensional joint density function over a Markov network i…
Develops RL for optimal market-making in non-Markov processes.
problem Optimal market-making in non-Markov price processes.
method Deep reinforcement learning with Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) algorithm.
result Optimal strategy for market-making in semi-Markov and Hawkes Jump-Diffusion dynamics.
Deep neural nets approximate high-dimensional HJB equations efficiently.
problem Approximating solutions to high-dimensional HJB equations.
method Deep neural networks for approximating solutions.
result Deep neural networks can approximate solutions without the curse of dimensionality.
A neural network method estimates entropy production from system trajectories.
problem Estimating entropy production from system trajectories without detailed dynamics.
method Developed a neural estimator (NEEP) for entropy production (EP).
result NEEP rigorously proves to provide stochastic EP by optimizing an objective function.
New method detects metastable basins in high dimensions using trajectory sampling.
problem Identifying distinct basins in high-dimensional Markov processes.
method Discriminative approach based on marginal trajectory distribution comparison.
result Bayes-optimal classifier achieves high accuracy distinguishing between basins.
Deep neural network learns discrete state abstractions for efficient planning.
problem Efficient sequential decision making in large state spaces.
method Information bottleneck method for learning approximate bisimulations using deep neural encoders and action-conditioned HMM.
result Trained method efficiently plans for unseen goals in multi-goal reinforcement learning.
SEEK algorithm selects minimal state in reinforcement learning for better policy learning.
problem Challenges in obtaining a state representation that is parsimonious and satisfies the Markov property.
method SEEK algorithm estimates the minimal sufficient state in reinforcement learning.
result The SEEK algorithm achieves selection consistency in large samples.
Proposes an EM algorithm for high-dimensional Markov-switching VAR models.
problem Estimating regime shifts in high-dimensional time series data.
method Approximate EM algorithm for Markov-switching VAR models.
result Established consistency of the proposed EM algorithm in high dimensions.
Continuous time framework for discrete data denoising models.
problem Efficient training and sampling for discrete data denoising models.
method Formulated as Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMCs), efficient training using continuous time ELBO, high-dimensional CTMC simulation, novel theoretical error bound.
result Continuous time treatment enables novel theoretical error bound between generated and true data distributions.
Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) are probability distributions over vector-valued functions, and have been previously used for multi-output regression and for multi-class classification. A less explored facet of the multi-output Gaussian process is that it can be used as a generative model for vector-valued rando…
Efficiently infers coupled hidden Markov models with noisy discrete observations.
problem Intractable inference for coupled continuous-time Markov chains with discrete observations.
method Latent Interacting Particle Systems, look-ahead functions, twisted Sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on latent SIRS model and wildfire spread dynamics.
New algorithm speeds up MCMC for complex distributions.
problem Efficient sampling from complex, high-dimensional distributions.
method Numerical Generalized Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with state-dependent event rates.
result Approximates Hamiltonian trajectories for robust sampling.
Algorithm estimates human decision-making in high-dimensional states with finite-time guarantees.
problem Estimating optimal policies and measures of fit in dynamic decision models with high-dimensional state spaces.
method Single-loop estimation algorithm with stochastic gradient steps for reward maximization.
result Algorithm converges to a stationary solution with finite-time guarantees and approximates maximum likelihood sublinearly.
New algorithms extract low-dimensional representations from sequential data, revealing insights into complex processes.
problem Challenges in extracting low-dimensional representations from sequential, high-dimensional, sparse, and noisy data.
method Developed new clustering algorithms based on Block Markov Chains theory, validated on real-world data.
result These algorithms can successfully extract low-dimensional representations from real-world sequential data, revealing insights into complex processes.
Markov networks are widely studied and used throughout multivariate statistics and computer science. In particular, the problem of learning the structure of Markov networks from data without invoking chordality assumptions in order to retain expressiveness of the model class has been given a considerable attention in t…
New neural processes use stacked Markov operators to improve flexibility.
problem Improving flexibility in neural processes.
method Stacking neural parameterized Markov transition operators in function space.
result MNPs outperform baseline models on various tasks.
A new method tackles Bayesian inverse problems with complex PDEs.
problem Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations and high-dimensional priors.
method Domain-decomposed variational auto-encoder Markov chain Monte Carlo (DD-VAE-MCMC) method.
result The method efficiently solves Bayesian inverse problems in parallel and low-dimensional latent spaces.
We study discretizations of polynomial processes using finite state Markov processes satisfying suitable moment matching conditions. The states of these Markov processes together with their transition probabilities can be interpreted as Markov cubature rules. The polynomial property allows us to study such rules using …
The Mondrian process represents an elegant and powerful approach for space partition modelling. However, as it restricts the partitions to be axis-aligned, its modelling flexibility is limited. In this work, we propose a self-consistent Binary Space Partitioning (BSP)-Tree process to generalize the Mondrian process. Th…
Molecular simulations produce very high-dimensional data-sets with millions of data points. As analysis methods are often unable to cope with so many dimensions, it is common to use dimensionality reduction and clustering methods to reach a reduced representation of the data. Yet these methods often fail to capture the…
Deep neural networks can solve optimal stopping problems without dimensionality issues.
problem Optimal stopping problems in high-dimensional state spaces.
method Established a general framework for deep ReLU neural networks to approximate value functions and continuation values.
result Deep neural networks can approximate value functions and continuation values with error at most ε of size κd^q ε^(-r).
We prove that the variance swap rate (fair strike) equals the price of a co-terminal European-style contract when the underlying is an exponential Markov process, time-changed by an arbitrary continuous stochastic clock, which has arbitrary correlation with the driving Markov process, provided that the payoff function …
Fitting high-dimensional data involves a delicate tradeoff between faithful representation and the use of sparse models. Too often, sparsity assumptions on the fitted model are too restrictive to provide a faithful representation of the observed data. In this paper, we present a novel framework incorporating sparsity i…
The paper analyzes local minima in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
problem Understanding local minima in high-dimensional data models.
method Using Kac-Rice formula and proportional asymptotics, the paper derives bounds on local minima.
result Sharp asymptotics on estimation and prediction errors are derived.
This paper applies AMP theory to improve learning tasks.
problem Improving learning efficiency by optimizing task-specific models.
method Uses aggregated Markov processes to reduce model complexity and enhance learning.
result Demonstrates how AMP theory can be effectively applied to stochastic learning.
New neural method for inferring Markov jump processes.
problem Inference in Markov jump processes is challenging.
method Variational inference using neural ODEs and backpropagation.
result Trains neural representations of data to approximate process rates.
New scalable variational Bayes methods for Hawkes processes.
problem Computational intractability of Bayesian estimation for generalised nonlinear Hawkes processes.
method Unified variational Bayes framework, adaptive mean-field approximation, sparsity-inducing procedure.
result Adaptive mean-field variational algorithm for sigmoid Hawkes processes is scalable and robust.
Study uses multi-agent reinforcement learning to control self-assembly with high-resolution external control.
problem Designing effective external control protocols for self-assembly with high-resolution control.
method Investigated a multi-agent reinforcement learning approach, comparing fully decentralized and partially decentralized strategies.
result Partially decentralized approach outperforms fully decentralized in controlling self-assembly towards target structures.
Paper tests Markov assumption in sequential decision making.
problem Testing the Markov assumption in sequential decision making.
method Forward-Backward Learning procedure to test MA without assuming parametric forms.
result The proposed test plays a crucial role in identifying optimal policies in complex decision processes.
Study of Markov-modulated affine processes for richer models in finance.
problem Richer models in various applications.
method Martingale problem approach, characteristic function derivation, mathematical properties study.
result Existence and characteristic function of Markov-modulated affine processes.
The Viterbi process can be extended indefinitely in a pairwise Markov model.
problem Estimating hidden chains in pairwise Markov models.
method Construction of barriers to ensure Viterbi path goes through states.
result The Viterbi process is regenerative in the PMM.
We introduce Markov substitute processes, a new model at the crossroad of statistics and formal grammars, and prove its main property : Markov substitute processes with a given support form an exponential family.
Learning the undirected graph structure of a Markov network from data is a problem that has received a lot of attention during the last few decades. As a result of the general applicability of the model class, a myriad of methods have been developed in parallel in several research fields. Recently, as the size of the c…
New method uses reinforcement learning to sample from complex data structures efficiently.
problem Constructing reliable samples from high-dimensional polytopes for goodness-of-fit tests.
method Markov decision process and reinforcement learning for sampling.
result Demonstrated scalable tools from linear algebra for theoretical guarantees in non-linear algebra context.
Paper proposes Langevin dynamics for adaptive IRL of stochastic gradient algorithms.
problem Estimating reward functions from noisy gradient estimates of stochastic gradient agents.
method Generalized Langevin dynamics algorithm for IRL.
result Proposed algorithms asymptotically generate samples proportional to exp(R(θ)).
In this paper we demonstrate that tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers for Bayesian models by recursively subsampling observations without replacement can improve the performance of baseline samplers in terms of effective sample size per computation. We present two tempering by subsampling algorithms, subsampled…
Cumulative entropy regularization introduces a regulatory signal to the reinforcement learning (RL) problem that encourages policies with high-entropy actions, which is equivalent to enforcing small deviations from a uniform reference marginal policy. This has been shown to improve exploration and robustness, and it ta…
New method for sampling from complex distributions using stochastic localization.
problem Sampling from unnormalized target densities in multi-modal distributions.
method Stochastic Localization via Iterative Posterior Sampling (SLIPS) framework.
result Approximate samples from target distribution and denoiser learned iteratively.
New algorithm improves knowledge transfer in dynamic decision-making.
problem Utilizing data from existing ventures to improve decision-making in new ventures.
method Proposes Transferred Fitted Q-Iteration algorithm for estimating optimal action-state function Q∗. result Significantly improved final learning error of Q∗ function. We review some developments concerning Markov and Feller processes with jumps in geometric settings. These include stochastic differential equations in Markus canonical form, the Courrège theorem on Lie groups, and invariant Markov processes on manifolds under both transitive and more general Lie group actions.
In this paper we propose a semi-Markov modulated model of interest rates. We assume that the switching process is a semi-Markov process with finite state space E and the modulated process is a diffusive process. We derive recursive equations for the higher order moments of the discount factor and we describe a Monte Ca…