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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3673109145 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for heterogeneous treatment

The paper compares methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using multiple randomized trials.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects reliably and precisely with a single dataset is challenging.
method Non-parametric approaches for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using data from multiple trials.
result Methods that directly allow for heterogeneity of the treatment effect across trials perform better than those that do not.

Bayesian approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in RDD designs.

problem Heterogeneity in treatment effects in RDD designs can lead to misleading conclusions.
method Direct Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for modeling heterogeneous treatment effects.
result Flexibly captures complicated structures of heterogeneous treatment effects as a function of covariates.

Algorithm uncovers treatment effect heterogeneity in educational RD designs.

problem Discovering sources of treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs.
method Causal supervised machine learning algorithm to build a 'regression discontinuity tree'.
result Algorithm uncovers various sources of heterogeneity in the impact of attending a better secondary school.

Method for understanding heterogeneous treatment effects in complex causal graphs.

problem Heterogeneity and comorbidity in healthcare problems.
method Developed a new approach to characterize heterogeneous causal effects (HCEs) in graphical contexts, including heterogeneous causal graphs (HCGs) with confounders and mediators.
result Established theoretical forms and properties of HCEs in linear and nonlinear models, and developed interactive structural learning for estimation.

The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, has many important applications, from precision medicine to recommender…

2019-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework assesses variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem High-risk domains need reliable methods to assess treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Inferential framework based on Shapley values and semiparametric theory.
result Valid inference on variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects.

Estimates price sensitivity from transaction data using a novel odds ratio method.

problem Estimate price sensitivity from transaction-level data with partially observed treatment assignments.
method Recursive partitioning procedure with adversarial imputation for robust estimation.
result Validated on synthetic data and applied to three case studies, demonstrating heterogeneity in treatment effects.

New method quantifies variable importance in causal forests for treatment effect heterogeneity.

problem Lack of understanding how input variables affect treatment effect heterogeneity in causal forests.
method Developed a new importance variable algorithm for causal forests based on the drop and relearn principle.
result Shows how to handle forest retraining without a confounding variable and introduces a corrective term for confounders.

Estimates heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with a new method.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with general treatment patterns.
method Partition observations into clusters with similar treatment effects using a regression tree, then estimate average treatment effects for each cluster.
result Our method achieves superior accuracy compared to alternative approaches.

Develops statistical inference for ML-discovered heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects in practical settings.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework, dividing sample into groups, estimating average treatment effects, constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid methodology for estimating and testing heterogeneous treatment effects without relying on ML algorithm properties.

New method estimates heterogeneous treatment effects with improved guarantees.

problem Estimating treatment effects in panel data with heterogeneous assignments.
method Matrix completion approach with row-wise error analysis.
result Achieves a row-wise O~(1n+nm2)\tilde{O}(\sqrt{\frac{1}{n} + \frac{n}{m^2}}) error bound.

New algorithm estimates treatment effects for more efficient contextual bandits.

problem Contextual bandits struggle with action-independent reward redundancies.
method Reduces contextual bandits to heterogeneous treatment effect estimation.
result Heterogeneous treatment effect estimation leads to more efficient model estimation.

Study identifies and estimates treatment effect heterogeneity within principal stratification subpopulations.

problem Causal inference with intermediate outcomes and treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Proposes a novel doubly cross-fit doubly robust machine learner to efficiently learn conditional principal causal effects under principal ignorability.
result Demonstrates informative patterns of treatment effect heterogeneity within the always-survivor subpopulation in an acute lung injury trial.

The paper proposes a method to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects using pretraining strategies.

problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in the presence of many covariates.
method The approach leverages prognostic factors that also predict treatment effect heterogeneity, using the R-learner framework.
result The proposed method improves estimation accuracy and power for detecting treatment effect heterogeneity.

In personalised decision making, evidence is required to determine whether an action (treatment) is suitable for an individual. Such evidence can be obtained by modelling treatment effect heterogeneity in subgroups. The existing interpretable modelling methods take a top-down approach to search for subgroups with heter…

2019-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a generalized causal tree for handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.

problem Handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.
method Generalizes causal tree algorithm to handle multiple discrete and continuous-valued treatments.
result Demonstrates improved performance over existing methods in experiments and real data examples.

Study improves machine learning for estimating survival treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous survival treatment effects in observational data.
method Flexible machine learning methods in the counterfactual framework, including AFT-BART-NP.
result AFT-BART-NP consistently yields best performance in terms of bias, precision, and frequentist coverage.

DSL estimates heterogeneous treatment effects over time in survival settings.

problem Complicated by right censoring and time-varying treatment effects.
method Deep survival learner (DSL) for estimating CATEs over a clinically relevant time spectrum.
result DSL reveals heterogeneity in perioperative chemotherapy effects over time.

Framework integrates mental disorder measurements for personalized treatment.

problem Optimizing treatment for mental disorders with latent mental states and heterogeneity.
method Measurement theory and multi-layer neural network for complex treatment effects.
result Learned treatment policies outperform alternatives on heterogeneous treatment effects.

New method calibrates heterogeneous treatment effect models.

problem Difficulty in estimating and calibrating heterogeneous treatment effects.
method Defined and proposed a robust estimator for HTE calibration, based on doubly robust treatment effect estimators.
result Proposed method evaluates calibration of learned HTE models, addressing overfitting and high-dimensionality.

Paper identifies and estimates CAPCEs in continuous treatment settings.

problem Estimating heterogeneous causal effects of continuous treatments.
method Instrumental variable approach to identify CAPCEs under weaker conditions.
result Developed three families of CAPCE estimators with statistical properties analyzed.

M-learner estimates treatment effects in mediation models with subgroup identification.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in mediation models.
method Four-step procedure: compute conditional effects, construct distance matrix, apply tSNE and K-means clustering, refine clusters.
result Validates robustness and effectiveness in real-world dataset.

A new method estimates treatment effects across multiple studies considering differences.

problem Estimating treatment effects across multiple studies with varying conditions.
method The multi-study R-learner framework that accounts for between-study heterogeneity.
result The multi-study R-learner is more efficient and normal than existing methods in the presence of heterogeneity.

QR-learner estimates individual treatment effects using external data.

problem Limited power to detect individual treatment effects in randomized trials.
method Model-agnostic learner that estimates conditional average treatment effects (CATE) using external data.
result QR-learner reduces mean squared error and can recover true CATE.

GCF estimates heterogeneous treatment effects for continuous treatments in online marketplaces.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects for continuous treatments in online marketplaces.
method Kernel-based doubly robust estimator and distance-based splitting criterion.
result GCF estimates heterogeneous treatment effects for continuous treatments effectively.

Combines observational and randomized data to estimate treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using only observational data is biased.
method Two-step framework: learn shared structure from observational data, then data-specific structures from randomized data.
result Combining observational and randomized data improves treatment effect estimation.

A new method corrects weight values to improve treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in high-dimensional data with sample selection bias.
method Differentiable Pareto-Smoothed Weighting (DPSW) framework.
result Our method outperforms existing methods in treatment effect estimation.

Develops HCQRF for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with censored data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects on censored responses with high-dimensional variables.
method Hybrid Censored Quantile Regression Forest (HCQRF) combining random forests and censored quantile regression.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and stability of HCQRF through simulation studies and real-world application.

CRL approach improves understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects in complex diseases.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex diseases.
method Causal rule learning (CRL) workflow consisting of rule discovery, selection, and analysis.
result CRL outperforms other methods in providing interpretable estimates of HTE.

This paper analyzes meta-learners for estimating multi-valued treatment effects.

problem Estimating Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE) with multi-valued treatments.
method The paper considers different meta-learners and analyzes their error bounds.
result Meta-learners perform well as the number of treatments increases, improving upon naive extensions.

New Random Forest variants estimate heterogeneous treatment effects using Wasserstein distances.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex situations.
method Proposes natural variants of Random Forests using Wasserstein distances.
result Natural variants of Random Forests are well-suited for estimating conditional distributions.

Framework assesses treatment effects by risk groups in observational studies.

problem Evaluating treatment effects in observational studies with risk stratification.
method Five-step framework for risk-based assessment of treatment effect heterogeneity.
result Low-risk patients received negligible absolute benefits, while high-risk patients had pronounced effects.

New methods for estimating treatment effects with missing data.

problem Missing outcome data complicates estimating treatment effects.
method Proposed two de-biased machine learning estimators (mDR-learner and mEP-learner) to address under-representation.
result Oracle efficiency of the proposed estimators under reasonable conditions.

A novel framework synthesizes treatment data across sites using optimal transport.

problem Estimating treatment effects across different sites with varying conditions.
method Distributional causal inference, Optimal Transport for alignment of control group distributions.
result Synthetic treatment group data aligns with true target distribution under general conditions.

Unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity and uplift modeling methods.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects and uplift modeling.
method Unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity and uplift modeling approaches.
result Unified notations for comparing methods and applications in personalized marketing, medicine, and social studies.

Proposes modifications to model-based forests for HTE estimation in observational data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies with complex outcomes.
method Orthogonalization strategy from Robinson (1988) applied to model-based forests.
result The orthogonalization strategy reduces confounding effects in simulated studies.

Develops algorithm to find subgroups with different treatment effects in HIV patients.

problem Estimating treatment effects in EHR data with challenges like time-varying confounding.
method SDLD algorithm combining generalized interaction tree and longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimation.
result Identifies subgroups of HIV patients at higher risk of weight gain with dolutegravir-containing ARTs.

New method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in non-stationary, temporally dependent panel data.
method Proposes H1SL and H2SL, synthetic learners for panel data, based on existing non-panel data estimators.
result Established convergence rates for proposed estimators and demonstrated superior performance.

CausalMix generates synthetic data with causal controls for mixed-type tables.

problem Synthetic data for causal inference with mixed-type and multimodal tabular data.
method CausalMix combines Gaussian latent priors with data-type-specific decoders for control over overlap, confounding, and treatment effect heterogeneity.
result CausalMix achieves state-of-the-art distributional metrics and stable causal control.