China's rapid economic growth resulted in serious air pollution, which caused substantial losses to economic development and residents' health. In particular, the road transport sector has been blamed to be one of the major emitters. During the past decades, fluctuation in the international oil prices has imposed signi…
Deep learning predicts employment changes and industry health.
problem Forecasting short-term employment changes and assessing long-term industry health.
method LSTNet, a multi-scale deep learning model, processes multivariate time series data.
result LSTNet outperforms baseline models in most sectors, especially stable ones.
Study on stock market volatility and return dispersion during COVID-19.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on stock market volatility and return dispersion.
method Used Google index to proxy epidemic impact, modeled volatility, and analyzed influencing factors of log-return.
result Volatility significantly affected by epidemic and cross-sectional return dispersion, with positive coefficients.
Study clusters Kenyan medical insurance companies based on financial performance and reporting consistency.
problem Identifying financial health and reporting consistency in Kenyan medical insurance companies.
method Advanced clustering techniques (KMeans, DTW) on financial ratios and time series data.
result Four distinct clusters identified, each representing different financial performance and reporting consistency combinations.
New financial ratios using compositional data improve analysis of firm health.
problem Statistical issues with standard financial ratios, especially skewness and outliers.
method Compositional data (CoDa) methodology to analyze financial statements.
result Outliers and skewness reduced, results invariant to numerator and denominator permutation.
Digital tools may hinder or facilitate multidisciplinary collaboration in occupational health.
problem Challenges in multidisciplinary collaboration in occupational health.
method Study of a precursor SPSTI's digital tools and their impacts.
result Digital tools can act as both brakes and levers for multidisciplinary dynamics.
Study shows data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.
problem Understanding the economic impact of cyber incidents on listed firms.
method Event study using abnormal returns over 2012-2022, adjusting for event-induced variance and residual cross-correlation.
result Data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.
Study finds macroeconomic indicators predict health workforce and infrastructure measures.
problem Evaluating the predictive value of macroeconomic indicators for public health targets.
method Examined multiple forecasting approaches including neural networks, generalized additive models, random forests, and time series models with exogenous indicators.
result Macroeconomic indicators provide consistent and reproducible predictive signals for health workforce and infrastructure measures, but less so for other targets.
We present three case studies of organizations using a data science competition to answer a pressing question. The first is in education where a nonprofit that creates smart school budgets wanted to automatically tag budget line items. The second is in public health, where a low-cost, nonprofit women's health care prov…
The detection of community structure in stock market is of theoretical and practical significance for the study of financial dynamics and portfolio risk estimation. We here study the community structures in Chinese stock markets from the aspects of both price returns and turnover rates, by using a combination of the PM…
This research quantifies cross-sectoral inequalities using latent class analysis.
problem Addressing multiple and intersecting forms of inequality in various sectors.
method Innovative latent class analysis approach to quantify discrepancies.
result Significant discrepancies found among minority ethnic groups and between them and non-minority groups.
This paper uses PCA and FA for feature selection in credit rating.
problem Selecting important features for credit rating prediction.
method Principal Component Analysis and Factor Analysis.
result Factor Analysis reduces feature set significantly without losing much accuracy.
The study designs inherently interpretable machine learning models for high-risk sectors.
problem The need for transparent and explainable machine learning models in regulated industries.
method Qualitative template based on feature effects and model architecture constraints for assessing inherent interpretability.
result Demonstrates the design and evaluation of an interpretable ReLU DNN model for predicting credit default.
MARS model outperforms others in stock price prediction across sectors.
problem Developing accurate models for stock price prediction.
method Used time series, econometric, machine learning, and deep learning models on stock data.
result MARS model is the best performing model across IT, Banking, and Health sectors.
Study finds billing codes at IPO boost digital health companies' financial performance.
problem Identifying factors that drive long-term financial success in digital health companies.
method Analyzed 33 digital health IPOs from 2010-2021, comparing companies with and without billing codes.
result Companies with billing codes at IPO were significantly more likely to achieve positive CAGR and higher market capitalization.
GANs help create realistic synthetic health data, boosting medical research.
problem Challenges in creating realistic synthetic health data due to private patient data.
method Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to learn and produce synthetic health data.
result GANs can produce realistic synthetic health data, overcoming challenges in OHD.
Study shows how missing data from certain groups can unfairly bias risk models.
problem Data missingness without indicators of missingness can unfairly bias risk models.
method Developed an analytically tractable model of differential feature under-reporting and proposed new methods to mitigate bias.
result Under-reporting typically leads to increasing disparities in risk models.
Bias is known to be an impediment to fair decisions in many domains such as human resources, the public sector, health care etc. Recently, hope has been expressed that the use of machine learning methods for taking such decisions would diminish or even resolve the problem. At the same time, machine learning experts war…
The world is witnessing an unprecedented growth of cyber-physical systems (CPS), which are foreseen to revolutionize our world {via} creating new services and applications in a variety of sectors such as environmental monitoring, mobile-health systems, intelligent transportation systems and so on. The {information and …
Research predicts healthcare index movements using historical OHLC data.
problem Predicting the directional movement of healthcare indices based on historical data.
method Supervised classification task with a one-step-ahead rolling window, using a diverse feature set including OHLC ratios.
result Robust predictive performance with accuracy exceeding 0.8 and Matthews correlation coefficients above 0.6, highlighting the importance of nowcasting features.
Deep RL solves complex economic models with heterogeneous agents.
problem Solving models with heterogeneous economic actors is difficult.
method Reinforcement Learning techniques for solving general equilibrium models.
result Successfully captures economic behaviors induced by age-based health risks.
Framework ranks sectors influenced by Indian Union Budgets.
problem Real-time analysis of budgetary impacts on sector-specific equity performance.
method Fine-tuned embeddings and language models for sector identification and performance ranking.
result 0.997 NDCG score in predicting sector ranks based on post-budget performances.
For a finitely generated discrete group Γ, the Γ-sectors of an orbifold Q are a disjoint union of orbifolds corresponding to homomorphisms from Γ into a groupoid presenting Q. Here, we show that the inertia orbifold and k-multi-sectors are special cases of the Γ-sectors, and that the Γ-sectors are orbif…
Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.
problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.
Market sectors play a key role in the efficient flow of capital through the modern Global economy. We analyze existing sectorization heuristics, and observe that the most popular - the GICS (which informs the S&P 500), and the NAICS (published by the U.S. Government) - are not entirely quantitatively driven, but rather…
Study uses multidimensional SE-NBD process to analyze default portfolios and identify shock amplification.
problem Analyzing interactions and shock propagation in default portfolios with multiple sectors.
method Applied multidimensional self-exciting negative binomial distribution (SE-NBD) process to 13 sectors.
result Identified upstream and downstream sectors, showing shock amplification in default portfolios.
Control charts have traditionally been used in industrial statistics, but are constantly seeing new areas of application, especially in the age of Industry 4.0. This paper introduces a new method, which is suitable for applications in the healthcare sector, especially for monitoring a health-characteristic of a patient…
With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the business sectors (subsectors) are mainly contained in the sector mode. In the secto…
This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.
The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.
problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.
The study finds significant financial sector volatility and tail risk spillovers to real economy sectors.
problem Volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors.
method New measure of tail risk spillover, empirical analysis of U.S. economy 2001-2011.
result Significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors, especially during crises.
Proposes a two-stage sector rotation method using machine learning and deep learning.
problem Identifying sectors with high investment attractiveness based on market conditions.
method Two-stage methodology: 1) Predict ETF prices using market indicators and feature selection, 2) Rank sectors based on predicted returns and select top sectors.
result The proposed methodology outperforms equally weighted portfolios and Echo State Networks show outstanding performance.
This paper models default data to capture dynamic dependence across sectors.
problem Static models fail to explain monthly default dependence.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model for monthly multi-sector default-count data.
result Effective correlation matrices and copulas are induced from monthly data.
In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we consider separately life and non-life companies. To achieve this goal we apply …
Study develops sector rotation models using factor and fundamental analysis.
problem Understanding and predicting sector shifts in financial markets.
method Systematic sector classification, factor analysis, and fundamental metrics evaluation.
result Developed predictive models with notable predictive capabilities.
Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always yield easily interpretable results. In this study, we develop improved factor mo…
A classification of companies into sectors of the economy is important for macroeconomic analysis and for investments into the sector-specific financial indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Major industrial classification systems and financial indices have historically been based on expert opinion and developed ma…
Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
problem Understanding risk transmission within Chinese economic sectors.
method Volatility spillovers analysis using VAR model and rolling window approach.
result 17 sectors are risk transmitters and 11 are risk takers.
Paper uses LLMs for sector allocation, showing better returns.
problem Automated trading sector allocation inefficiencies.
method Systematic analysis of macroeconomic data and sentiment.
result LLM-based sector allocation outperforms traditional strategies.
Temporal coarse-graining of multi-sector default count data generates effective correlation matrices and rank copulas.
problem Explaining the difference in default dependence between monthly and annual aggregation.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model with AR(1) latent credit-state factors.
result Effective correlation matrices and rank copulas are generated from monthly default count data.
New techniques identify shifts in financial market sectors.
problem Identifying shifts in financial market structure and composition.
method Developed new mathematical techniques to identify nonlinear shifts in market sectors.
result Identified meaningful sector-to-sector mappings and optimal portfolio styles.
Mathematical models help keep vaccine prices low.
problem Pricing COVID-19 vaccines to ensure affordability and profitability.
method Optimization and game theory approaches modeling a duopoly market.
result Government can negotiate low prices while manufacturers earn profits.
Improved DNN calibration without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Poor calibration of over-parametrized DNNs in safety-critical applications.
method Decoupling feature extraction and classification layers, and applying Gaussian priors.
result Significant improvement in model calibration with minimal training cost.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
problem Weak asset quality, inadequate provisioning, and negative capitalization of state-owned banks.
method Two phases of reforms: private ownership promotion and gradual deregulation.
result Significant improvements in asset quality and capitalization, but challenges persist.
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
problem Designing accurate models for future stock volatility.
method GARCH framework applied to ten Indian stocks.
result Asymmetric GARCH models outperform in volatility forecasting.
Identifies key industrial sectors in S&P 500 states.
problem Understanding changing market conditions in financial markets.
method Clustering algorithm, XAI relevance scores, Bayesian change point analysis.
result Dominant sectors (energy and IT) determine market states.
We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the sectors in the course of economic development. The model fits for the majority of coun…
Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.
problem Understanding the relationship between technology and economic growth.
method ARIMA modeling, stationarity tests, data wrangling, exploratory data analysis.
result The technology sector decouples from non-technology sectors post-2015 and predicts economic growth.