Study uses machine learning to predict future health from various health data types.
problem Predicting future health using diverse health data types.
method Applied machine learning (neural networks and XGBoost) to longitudinal data from 6830 individuals.
result Health-related measures were the strongest predictors of future health status, while genetic data performed poorly.
Deep neural network predicts health costs better than traditional models.
problem Accurate prediction of healthcare costs for optimal cost management.
method Developed a deep neural network to predict future health care costs from health insurance claims records.
result Deep neural network outperformed ridge regression and Morbi-RSA models in cost prediction.
Study finds macroeconomic indicators predict health workforce and infrastructure measures.
problem Evaluating the predictive value of macroeconomic indicators for public health targets.
method Examined multiple forecasting approaches including neural networks, generalized additive models, random forests, and time series models with exogenous indicators.
result Macroeconomic indicators provide consistent and reproducible predictive signals for health workforce and infrastructure measures, but less so for other targets.
LHIEM model predicts health, income, and employment over years.
problem Lack of path dependency in health policy simulations.
method Discrete-time microsimulation with Markov chain modules.
result Validates health care financing proposal through detailed modeling.
AdaCare learns health status from biomarkers across multiple time scales.
problem Lack of explicit extraction of historical biomarker variation and adaptability to diverse patient conditions.
method Scale-adaptive feature extraction and recalibration for interpretability.
result AdaCare achieves state-of-the-art prediction accuracy and provides interpretable results.
StageNet improves health risk prediction by integrating disease stage information.
problem Improving health risk prediction for patients with chronic conditions.
method StageNet uses a stage-aware LSTM and stage-adaptive convolutional modules to extract and integrate disease stage information.
result StageNet achieves up to 12% higher AUPRC for risk prediction and over 58% higher Calinski-Harabasz score for patient subtyping compared to state-of-the-art models.
Stable health predictions need deconfounding test set features.
problem Stability of predictions in health machine learning is compromised by selection biases.
method Deconfounding the test set features improves prediction stability across different environments.
result Improved stability achieved by deconfounding test set features.
Study on privacy-preserving health care models that sacrifice accuracy for data protection.
problem Privacy-preserving models in health care neglect data from the tails, reducing accuracy for small groups.
method Used state-of-the-art differentially private learning methods for clinical prediction tasks.
result Privacy-preserving models in health care exhibit steep tradeoffs between privacy and utility, and disproportionately influence large demographic groups.
Study shows racial bias in health data, which can be reduced with simple techniques.
problem Racial bias in health indicators measured by the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS).
method Used publicly available and nationally representative MEPS data to show bias in predictive models for care management.
result Racial bias can be significantly reduced using simple mitigation techniques.
Machine learning models outperform traditional actuarial methods in predicting health insurance costs.
problem Improving accuracy in health insurance pricing to identify concession opportunities.
method Developed and evaluated two machine learning models at the patient and employer-group levels.
result Machine learning models outperformed traditional actuarial models by 20% in predicting costs.
The huge wealth of data in the health domain can be exploited to create models that predict development of health states over time. Temporal learning algorithms are well suited to learn relationships between health states and make predictions about their future developments. However, these algorithms: (1) either focus …
Deep learning predicts drug prescriptions across global health records.
problem Predicting drug prescriptions in chronic disease patients.
method Adaptive cross-global attention graph kernel network with support vector machine.
result Model outperforms current methods in accuracy and interpretability.
Depression and anxiety are critical public health issues affecting millions of people around the world. To identify individuals who are vulnerable to depression and anxiety, predictive models have been built that typically utilize data from one source. Unlike these traditional models, in this study, we leverage a rich …
Precision medicine has received attention both in and outside the clinic. We focus on the latter, by exploiting the relationship between individuals' social interactions and their mental health to develop a predictive model of one's likelihood to be depressed or anxious from rich dynamic social network data. To our kno…
New algorithm forecasts health indicators for better equipment lifespan prediction.
problem Improving equipment lifespan prediction through health indicator forecasting.
method Generative + scenario matching approach using Gaussian Process.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods.
Online health communities such as the online breast cancer forum enable patients (i.e., users) to interact and help each other within various subforums, which are subsections of the main forum devoted to specific health topics. The changing nature of the users' activities in different subforums can be strong indicators…
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
problem Lack of precise individual level prediction in conventional models.
method Developed counterfactual dynamic survival model (CDSM).
result Inflection point of estimated survival curves predicts patient failure time.
The wide implementation of electronic health record (EHR) systems facilitates the collection of large-scale health data from real clinical settings. Despite the significant increase in adoption of EHR systems, this data remains largely unexplored, but presents a rich data source for knowledge discovery from patient hea…
Paper proposes sharing models instead of data for smart health predictions.
problem Sharing sensitive medical data is legally restricted and challenging.
method Train a teacher model on sensitive data, then transfer its knowledge to a student model without accessing original data.
result Student model mimics teacher model performance in making accurate predictions.
Simulation-based inference aids in predicting disease dynamics for health policy.
problem Predicting disease dynamics to inform public health interventions.
method Simulation-based inference using machine learning.
result Potential for efficient interpretable Bayesian inference in epidemiological models.
Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, recorded in electronic medical records, are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-to-end deep dynamic neural network t…
Infinite hierarchical contrastive clustering identifies personal environments linked to health outcomes.
problem Identifying meaningful relationships between environmental features and health outcomes on an individual level.
method Contrastive clustering framework with stick-breaking prior and participant-specific prediction loss.
result Model effectively identifies distinct personal environments and groups them into meaningful types linked to health outcomes.
Generative model predicts menstrual cycle lengths accounting for self-tracking artifacts.
problem Uncertainty in self-tracked health data due to user adherence.
method Hierarchical, generative model using machine learning.
result Model yields state-of-the-art performance in predicting menstrual cycle lengths.
New method for efficient personalized learning in mobile health.
problem Efficient and personalized learning in mobile health.
method Proposes a novel generative process on kernel composition for online Gaussian Process regression.
result Trajectories of kernel evolutions can be transferred between users to improve learning and kernels are meaningful for mHealth prediction.
Deep learning predicts opioid use disorder risk in patients.
problem Identifying patients at high risk of opioid use disorder.
method Applied LSTM models to analyze electronic health records of opioid users.
result LSTM model outperformed other methods with F1 score of 0.8023 and AUCROC of 0.9369.
Accurate real-time monitoring systems of influenza outbreaks help public health officials make informed decisions that may help save lives. We show that information extracted from cloud-based electronic health records databases, in combination with machine learning techniques and historical epidemiological information,…
Language models improve clinical prediction models using EHR data.
problem Limited patient data for training clinical prediction models.
method Using patient representation schemes from natural language processing.
result 3.5% mean improvement in AUROC on five prediction tasks.
Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…
In recent years, increasingly augmentation of health data, such as patient Electronic Health Records (EHR), are becoming readily available. This provides an unprecedented opportunity for knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to dig insights from them, which can, later on, be helpful to the improvement of the q…
Model predicts COVID-19 growth in Senegal, highlighting health care capacity importance.
problem Impact of health care capacity on COVID-19 growth in Senegal.
method Compartmental model with logistic growth health care capacity, machine learning projection.
result Condition to avoid overwhelming health care system provided.
Satellite images predict U.S. county mortality rates.
problem Predicting mortality rates in U.S. counties using satellite imagery.
method Convolutional neural network trained on crude mortality rates, learned features interpreted using Shapley Additive Feature Explanations.
result Predicted mortality from satellite images correlated strongly with true mortality rates (Pearson r=0.72).
Model predicts cognitive health risks based on smartphone usage patterns.
problem Identifying cognitive health risks through smartphone usage.
method Structured models of smartphone interactions analyzed over 12 weeks.
result AUROC of 0.79 in discriminating between healthy and symptomatic subjects.
Cardea automates machine learning for EHRs, improving model building efficiency.
problem Lack of a trusted, open-source framework for automated machine learning in EHRs.
method Uses FHIR for data structure, AUTOML frameworks for feature engineering, model selection, and tuning, and an adaptive data assembler.
result Demonstrates framework's effectiveness on 5 prediction tasks, highlighting its flexibility and human competitiveness.
While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease labels there can be differences (e.g. "fever" may mean something different repor…
The paper improves decision tree stability for health care applications.
problem Stability of decision trees in health care applications.
method Introducing a new distance metric to determine tree stability and proposing a novel training methodology.
result On average, a 4.6% decrease in predictive power yields a 38% increase in model stability.
Study identifies key health behaviors linked to adolescent suicide attempts.
problem Understanding health behaviors associated with increased risk of adolescent suicide attempts.
method Cross-sectional data analysis using machine learning algorithms and logistic regression.
result Non-parametric Bayesian tree ensemble model outperforms other models, achieving 80.0% accuracy in goodness-of-fit and 78.2% in predictive accuracy.
AI system predicts acute critical illness from EHRs with explainability.
problem Lack of clinical interpretability in AI predictions for acute critical illness.
method Developed an explainable AI early warning score (xAI-EWS) system.
result System provides clinicians with insights into EHR data explaining predictions.
This study seeks to validate a search protocol of ill health-related terms using Twitter data which can later be used to understand if, and how, Twitter can reveal information on the current health situation. We extracted conversations related to health and disease postings on Twitter using a set of pre-defined keyword…
Early diagnosis is important for type 2 diabetes (T2D) to improve patient prognosis, prevent complications and reduce long-term treatment costs. We present a novel risk profiling approach based exclusively on health expenditure data that is available to Belgian mutual health insurers. We used expenditure data related t…
Bayesian model predicts patient survival from sparse EHR data.
problem Analyzing EHR data with few samples and diverse information.
method Nonparametric probabilistic model using Bayesian trees.
result Improved survival trajectory predictions on patient data.
Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically rely on logistic regression. One reason for this is that existing machine learning…
AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.
problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.
MLHO predicts COVID-19 adverse outcomes using past medical records.
problem Predicting adverse outcomes after COVID-19 infection.
method Iterative feature and algorithm selection, sequential representation mining.
result Mean AUC ROC of 0.91 for mortality prediction.
Neural network predicts cardiovascular events from EHRs with high accuracy.
problem Predicting onset of cardiovascular diseases from electronic health records.
method Multi-task gated recurrent units with attention mechanism.
result Model outperforms clinical risk scores in predicting stroke and myocardial infarction.
Improved disability insurance model with collective health claims.
problem Enhance disability insurance model with collective health claims.
method Expand classic semi-Markov model with collective health claims, solve many-body problem using mean-field approach.
result Mean-field approach simplifies complex model into a transparent pricing method.
Paper proposes a hierarchical approach for early anomaly detection in time series data for critical health events.
problem Early detection of critical health events in intensive care units.
method A layered learning architecture that breaks the problem into pre-conditional and event layers.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art approaches for critical health episode prediction.
The distribution of health care payments to insurance plans has substantial consequences for social policy. Risk adjustment formulas predict spending in health insurance markets in order to provide fair benefits and health care coverage for all enrollees, regardless of their health status. Unfortunately, current risk a…
Databases of electronic health records (EHRs) are increasingly used to inform clinical decisions. Machine learning methods can find patterns in EHRs that are predictive of future adverse outcomes. However, statistical models may be built upon patterns of health-seeking behavior that vary across patient subpopulations, …