New algorithm forecasts health indicators for better equipment lifespan prediction.
problem Improving equipment lifespan prediction through health indicator forecasting.
method Generative + scenario matching approach using Gaussian Process.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods.
Study finds macroeconomic indicators predict health workforce and infrastructure measures.
problem Evaluating the predictive value of macroeconomic indicators for public health targets.
method Examined multiple forecasting approaches including neural networks, generalized additive models, random forests, and time series models with exogenous indicators.
result Macroeconomic indicators provide consistent and reproducible predictive signals for health workforce and infrastructure measures, but less so for other targets.
The study uses stock market indicators to forecast COVID-19 cases.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 for resource allocation.
method Reinterpreting daily cases as candlesticks and applying stock market indicators.
result The stock market indicators show statistical significance in predicting COVID-19 cases.
Research predicts healthcare index movements using historical OHLC data.
problem Predicting the directional movement of healthcare indices based on historical data.
method Supervised classification task with a one-step-ahead rolling window, using a diverse feature set including OHLC ratios.
result Robust predictive performance with accuracy exceeding 0.8 and Matthews correlation coefficients above 0.6, highlighting the importance of nowcasting features.
MMformer improves forecasting of environmental time series data.
problem Accurately forecasting environmental change trends for policy-making.
method Meta-learning MTS model combining self-attention and adaptive transferable multi-head attention.
result MMformer outperforms other models in air quality and climate datasets, reducing prediction errors by 50% in MSE and 20% in MAE.
Opioid overdose is a growing public health crisis in the United States. This crisis, recognized as "opioid epidemic," has widespread societal consequences including the degradation of health, and the increase in crime rates and family problems. To improve the overdose surveillance and to identify the areas in need of p…
Deep learning predicts employment changes and industry health.
problem Forecasting short-term employment changes and assessing long-term industry health.
method LSTNet, a multi-scale deep learning model, processes multivariate time series data.
result LSTNet outperforms baseline models in most sectors, especially stable ones.
Paper presents a method for imputing and forecasting structural response from incomplete sensor data.
problem Missing sensor data in structural health monitoring (SHM).
method Incremental Bayesian tensor learning for spatiotemporal missing data reconstruction and forecasting.
result The proposed method achieves accurate and robust imputation and prediction even with high rates of missing data.
Deep learning-based health status representation learning and clinical prediction have raised much research interest in recent years. Existing models have shown superior performance, but there are still several major issues that have not been fully taken into consideration. First, the historical variation pattern of th…
Over the years, several studies have demonstrated that there exist significant disparities in health indicators in the United States population across various groups. Healthcare expense is used as a proxy for health in algorithms that drive healthcare systems and this exacerbates the existing bias. In this work, we foc…
Flusion combines multiple data sources to improve flu forecasts.
problem Accurate flu predictions to improve public health actions.
method Ensemble model combining gradient boosting quantile regression and Bayesian autoregressive models.
result Flusion was the top-performing model in the CDC's influenza prediction challenge.
Deep models forecast epidemics with uncertainty quantification.
problem Accurate probabilistic forecasting of epidemics is challenging due to nonlinear temporal dependencies and spatial interactions.
method Deep spatiotemporal engression methods with geometric ergodicity and asymptotic stationarity.
result Proposed methods outperform benchmarks in point and probabilistic forecasting.
Model predicts default risk based on company's financial forecasts and credit conditions.
problem Estimating the risk of a company defaulting on its financial obligations.
method Developed an equilibrium model linking interest rates to corporate performance and credit supply.
result Estimates idiosyncratic default risk and provides forward-looking probability of default (PD).
Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.
problem Improving cryptocurrency market forecasting accuracy.
method Integrating various data types, including on-chain metrics, traditional indices, and macroeconomic indicators.
result Data source diversity significantly enhances forecasting model performance.
Method fuses low and high-resolution data for better health estimates.
problem Improving high-resolution health estimates from mixed data sources.
method Fusion of unbiased low-resolution and potentially biased high-resolution data, learning a distribution consistent with sampling bias.
result Significant reduction in bias in high-resolution estimates.
Bayesian methods detect and forecast inclinometer anomalies in UK rail data.
problem Detecting and predicting dangerous movements in earthwork slopes.
method Bayesian UQ techniques applied to latent Markov process and non-linear Bayesian filter.
result Anomaly detection and forecasting demonstrated on large real-world data.
We study epidemic forecasting on real-world health data by a graph-structured recurrent neural network (GSRNN). We achieve state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy on the benchmark CDC dataset. To improve model efficiency, we sparsify the network weights via transformed-ℓ1 penalty and maintain prediction accuracy at…
New model outperforms traditional disease models in forecasting COVID-19.
problem Forecasting COVID-19 spread with high accuracy and reliability.
method Developed a novel neural forecasting model called ACTS using inter-series attention.
result ACTS outperforms leading forecasters in multiple metrics.
Imaging fluorescent disease biomarkers in tissues and skin is a non-invasive method to screen for health conditions. We report an automated process that combines intraoral fluorescent porphyrin biomarker imaging, clinical examinations and machine learning for correlation of systemic health conditions with periodontal d…
This paper analyzes air pollution trends in Rwanda using low-cost sensors and machine learning.
problem Lack of reliable air pollution data in Rwanda due to high costs of equipment.
method Analysis of existing data and development of forecasting models using low-cost sensors and machine learning.
result Proposes forecasting models for air pollution data collected by low-cost sensors.
This study enhances sales forecasts by integrating market indicators into forecasting models.
problem Traditional forecasting models rely solely on historical demand data.
method Automated integration of macroeconomic time series data (GDP growth) into forecasting models using feature selection methods.
result Feature selection methods, especially Forward Feature Selection, significantly improve forecasting accuracy.
Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.
problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.
Study forecasts COVID-19 cases in Iran using deep learning.
problem Predicting the spread of COVID-19 in Iran.
method Deep learning models (Prophet, LSTM, AR, ARIMA) for forecasting.
result Deep learning models outperform time series forecasting.
Generative model predicts vehicle faults up to 1000 hours in advance.
problem Forecasting vehicle faults for predictive maintenance.
method Generative model trained on US Army data, incorporating real-world factors.
result Highly accurate predictions of time to first fault.
A3T-GCN model forecasts FTSE100 stock prices using technical indicators and financial ratios.
problem Forecasting closing stock prices of FTSE100 constituents.
method Hybrid A3T-GCN architecture using technical indicators, financial ratios, and sector correlations.
result A3T-GCN model improves prediction accuracy with annualized log-returns and shorter sequence lengths.
Seasonal influenza infects between 10 and 50 million people in the United States every year, overburdening hospitals during weeks of peak incidence. Named by the CDC as an important tool to fight the damaging effects of these epidemics, accurate forecasts of influenza and influenza-like illness (ILI) forewarn public he…
AICov integrates population covariates for better COVID-19 forecasting.
problem Forecasting COVID-19 with broader social context.
method Integrative deep learning framework with LSTM and multiple data sources.
result Improved prediction of COVID-19 cases and deaths with population risk factors.
Gradient boosting predicts promotion efficiency using multiple performance indicators.
problem Forecasting promotion efficiency in FMCG retail.
method Gradient boosting applied to six performance indicators for different product groups.
result Models accurately forecast promotion efficiency, optimizing marketing strategies.
Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.
problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.
Study shows HPO improves stock return forecasting models.
problem Improving accuracy of stock return forecasting models.
method Used deep neural networks with hyperparameter optimization (HPO) and regularization techniques.
result Model with technical indicators and dropout regularization outperformed other models by 0.53% in-sample and 1.11% out-of-sample.
High levels of air pollution may seriously affect people's living environment and even endanger their lives. In order to reduce air pollution concentrations, and warn the public before the occurrence of hazardous air pollutants, it is urgent to design an accurate and reliable air pollutant forecasting model. However, m…
Paper introduces new indicators for forecasting crude oil prices using short news headlines.
problem Forecasting crude oil prices from short, noisy news headlines using LDA.
method Developed two novel indicators for topic and sentiment from short text data, and applied AdaBoost.RT.
result AdaBoost.RT with the proposed indicators outperforms benchmarks in crude oil forecasting.
We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the forecast accuracy and a cluster structure of the predictive tasks around these. The …
Forecasting US stock market indices during COVID-19 using machine learning models.
problem Predicting stock market behavior during the pandemic.
method Used Random Forest and LSTM models on historical stock prices.
result Improved accuracy in forecasting stock market returns.
The study analyzes river water quality using statistical and machine learning methods.
problem Analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of dissolved oxygen in the River Thames.
method Superstatistical methods and machine learning (e.g., Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Informer model).
result The Informer model outperforms others in long-term dissolved oxygen concentration forecasting.
Model predicts short-term Amazon rainforest fires with high accuracy.
problem Accurate short-term forecasting of Amazon rainforest fires is challenging.
method Used Seasonal and Trend decomposition based on Loess combined with multi-month-ahead load forecasting algorithms.
result Proposed decomposition-ensemble models provide more accurate forecasts than other models.
We present three case studies of organizations using a data science competition to answer a pressing question. The first is in education where a nonprofit that creates smart school budgets wanted to automatically tag budget line items. The second is in public health, where a low-cost, nonprofit women's health care prov…
Accurately predicting the future capacity and remaining useful life of batteries is necessary to ensure reliable system operation and to minimise maintenance costs. The complex nature of battery degradation has meant that mechanistic modelling of capacity fade has thus far remained intractable; however, with the advent…
Generative models create personalized patient health simulations.
problem Creating accurate digital twins for personalized medicine.
method Neural network architecture for conditional generative models of clinical trajectories.
result Same architecture generates accurate twins across 13 indications.
Model forecasts global stock market volatility using dynamic graphs and all trading days.
problem Enhance forecasting accuracy and practical utility in global stock market volatility.
method Spatial-temporal graph neural network architecture to capture volatility spillover effect.
result Forecasting performance surpasses baseline models in all scenarios.
A novel deep probabilistic model for dynamic systems forecasting.
problem Probabilistic forecasting in dynamic systems.
method Combining deep generative models and state space models with recurrent neural networks and variational sequence models.
result Outperforms existing models in system identification benchmarks and real-world centrifugal compressor forecasting.
We consider forecasting a single time series when there is a large number of predictors and a possible nonlinear effect. The dimensionality was first reduced via a high-dimensional (approximate) factor model implemented by the principal component analysis. Using the extracted factors, we develop a novel forecasting met…
Enhanced Zika spread forecasting using topological data analysis.
problem Challenging prediction of Zika virus spread due to nonlinear spatio-temporal dependency and lack of historical records.
method Integrates topological data analysis, specifically persistent homology, into predictive machine learning models.
result Ensemble forecasting improves Zika spread predictions in Brazil.
Online health communities such as the online breast cancer forum enable patients (i.e., users) to interact and help each other within various subforums, which are subsections of the main forum devoted to specific health topics. The changing nature of the users' activities in different subforums can be strong indicators…
Paper forecasts recession indicators using yield spread models.
problem Forecasting the leading indicator of a recession using yield spread.
method Applied econometric time series and machine learning models to forecast yield spread.
result Parsimonious univariate ARIMA model outperforms richly parameterized VAR method.
Deep learning using neural networks has provided advances in image style transfer, merging the content of one image (e.g., a photo) with the style of another (e.g., a painting). Our research shows this concept can be extended to analyse the design of streetscapes in relation to health and wellbeing outcomes. An Austral…
The paper compares clustering methods for improving time series forecasting accuracy.
problem Improving time series forecasting accuracy using neural networks.
method Investigates feature-based and distance-based clustering methods for time series forecasting.
result Feature-based clustering outperforms distance-based clustering in terms of speed and efficiency.
New deep probabilistic model handles missing data in time series forecasting.
problem Handling missing data in time series forecasting.
method Combination of deep learning and probabilistic methods.
result Advantage in forecasting and novelty detection with missing data.