Dynamic risk assessment method for WUI fires improves upon static frameworks.
problem Static risk assessment methods fail to capture dynamic changes in WUI fire risks.
method Dynamic evaluation matrix, grey incidence analysis, optimization model.
result The proposed method effectively captures dynamic risk evolution patterns.
Proposes SAG-DBSCAN for clustering with self-adaptation.
problem Clustering analysis in data mining.
method Uses grey relational matrix and DBSCAN for clustering.
result Demonstrates superior performance compared to other methods.
This paper presents a brief introduction to the key points of the Grey Machine Learning (GML) based on the kernels. The general formulation of the grey system models have been firstly summarized, and then the nonlinear extension of the grey models have been developed also with general formulations. The kernel implicit …
With the widespread engineering applications ranging from artificial intelligence and big data decision-making, originally a lot of tedious financial data processing, processing and analysis have become more and more convenient and effective. This paper aims to improve the accuracy of stock price forecasting. It improv…
Proposes a new model for equity options calibration.
problem Calibration of joint SPX/VIX options.
method Replaces fractional Brownian motion with grey Brownian motion.
result Shows potential advantages and calibration results for new model.
A framework for analyzing regularizers to ensure trustworthy theory-driven model estimation.
problem Uncertain choice of regularizers can compromise the interpretability of deep grey-box models.
method Adapting neural net architecture and training objective to analyze regularizer behavior empirically.
result Empirical analysis of regularizers helps in making a justified choice for trustworthy theory-driven model estimation.
Residual generation helps diagnose engine faults using neural networks.
problem Fault diagnosis in engines with unknown classes and limited data.
method Grey-box recurrent neural networks incorporating physical insights.
result Improved fault classification and root cause identification.
Machine learning (ML) classifiers are vulnerable to adversarial examples. An adversarial example is an input sample which is slightly modified to induce misclassification in an ML classifier. In this work, we investigate white-box and grey-box evasion attacks to an ML-based malware detector and conduct performance eval…
A new kNN imputation method improves classification performance on datasets with missing data.
problem Missing data in classification problems.
method Class weighted grey distance with MI weighting for kNN imputation.
result Improved classification performance compared to existing methods.
Crimes emerge out of complex interactions of human behaviors and situations. Linkages between crime incidents are highly complex. Detecting crime linkage given a set of incidents is a highly challenging task since we only have limited information, including text descriptions, incident times, and locations. In practice,…
BOIS optimizes complex systems by combining known and unknown functions, improving efficiency.
problem Optimizing complex systems with limited structural knowledge.
method Adaptive linearization of composite functions using Gaussian Process models.
result BOIS outperforms existing grey-box methods in efficiency and effectiveness.
Although aviation accidents are rare, safety incidents occur more frequently and require a careful analysis to detect and mitigate risks in a timely manner. Analyzing safety incidents using operational data and producing event-based explanations is invaluable to airline companies as well as to governing organizations s…
A tutorial on optimizing complex functions with partial knowledge.
problem Optimizing functions with limited or partial information.
method Grey-box Bayesian optimization, blending black-box and white-box approaches.
result Improves optimization performance by leveraging internal information.
Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.
problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.
Model predicts traffic incident duration and identifies key features.
problem Predict traffic incident duration and identify critical features.
method Multi-task learning framework with sparsity optimization and ADMM algorithm.
result Model predicts incident duration and identifies key features effectively.
Sparse incidence tensors can represent a variety of structured data. For example, we may represent attributed graphs using their node-node, node-edge, or edge-edge incidence matrices. In higher dimensions, incidence tensors can represent simplicial complexes and polytopes. In this paper, we formalize incidence tensors,…
Kernel-based machine learning approaches are gaining increasing interest for exploring and modeling large dataset in recent years. Gaussian process (GP) is one example of such kernel-based approaches, which can provide very good performance for nonlinear modeling problems. In this work, we first propose a grey-box mode…
This paper aims to optimize incident-specific cyber insurance design.
problem Complexity in determining optimal risk retention and transfer.
method Economic foundation for incident-specific cyber insurance with Pareto optimality.
result Illustrates feasibility of designing incident-specific indemnities for both parties.
We present a new approach for detecting related crime series, by unsupervised learning of the latent feature embeddings from narratives of crime record via the Gaussian-Bernoulli Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM). This is a drastically different approach from prior work on crime analysis, which typically considers on…
Crowdsourced data helps detect incidents faster, balancing accuracy and practicality.
problem Detecting incidents from crowdsourced data is challenging due to noise and uncertainty.
method CROME (Crowdsourced Multi-objective Event Detection) uses CNN and Pareto optimization.
result The approach outperforms existing methods in incident detection and practicality.
Hybrid model combines physics and data to handle incomplete systems.
problem Incomplete physics models with missing terms.
method Combines deep grey-box models with Optimal Transport.
result Enhances incomplete physics models with superior performance.
Predicting traffic incident duration is a major challenge for many traffic centres around the world. Most research studies focus on predicting the incident duration on motorways rather than arterial roads, due to a high network complexity and lack of data. In this paper we propose a bi-level framework for predicting th…
Study uses machine learning to detect early COVID-19 from CT images.
problem Early detection of COVID-19 from CT images.
method Machine learning methods applied to patches of CT images, feature extraction (GLCM, LDP, GLRLM, GLSZM, DWT), SVM classification.
result Best classification accuracy of 99.68% with 10-fold cross-validation and GLSZM feature extraction.
Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.
problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.
HYVINT generates hypergraphs with intensity-driven incidence formation and variational learning.
problem Challenges in generating hypergraphs with mechanistic interpretation and limited latent space.
method HYVINT uses intensity-driven incidence formation and a lower-bound variational estimator for latent representations.
result HYVINT achieves strong fidelity and novelty on synthetic and real-world hypergraphs.
The large volume of text in electronic healthcare records often remains underused due to a lack of methodologies to extract interpretable content. Here we present an unsupervised framework for the analysis of free text that combines text-embedding with paragraph vectors and graph-theoretical multiscale community detect…
Researchers disrupt Gaussian model inference to test adversarial attacks.
problem Disrupting conditional inference in multivariate Gaussian models under adversarial conditions.
method Considered white- and grey-box settings with complete and incomplete knowledge of the Gaussian distribution, respectively. Reduced to quadratic and stochastic quadratic programs. Derived structural properties for solution methods.
result Demonstrated the impact and efficacy of attacks in various applications, including real estate evaluation, interest rate estimation, and signals processing.
Study shows data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.
problem Understanding the economic impact of cyber incidents on listed firms.
method Event study using abnormal returns over 2012-2022, adjusting for event-induced variance and residual cross-correlation.
result Data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.
Automated suggestions help train technicians diagnose incidents faster.
problem Manual and time-consuming incident diagnosis by train maintenance technicians.
method Developed and deployed a learning machine to suggest diagnostics to technicians.
result The model refines its accuracy through feedback from experts and uses feature engineering.
Investigates proving geometric theorems over complex and real numbers using tilings.
problem Proving incidence theorems over C and R using the master theorem.
method Formalizes tiling proofs and introduces a hierarchy of theorems based on topological spaces.
result Identifies which theorems can or cannot be proved over C and R.
This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.
problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.
We characterize the boundary at infinity of a complex hyperbolic space as a compact Ptolemy space that satisfies four incidence axioms.
The paper studies how points and lines can move while preserving incidences.
problem Understanding how point-line configurations can move while maintaining their geometric relationships.
method Developed a projective rigidity matrix to analyze the infinitesimal motions and dependencies of point-line configurations.
result The symmetry-adapted projective rigidity matrix provides a more detailed analysis of symmetric configurations and their motions.
Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.
problem Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks settings.
method Uses augmented estimators of the Brier score risk to build and prune regression trees.
result Demonstrates the utility of the proposed methods through simulation studies and real data.
The paper explains the topological origin of the distinction between incidence theorems over division rings and fields.
problem Understanding the distinction between incidence theorems over division rings and fields.
method Extending the surface-graph approach to noncommutative settings, the paper analyzes the topological properties of graphs embedded on surfaces of different genera.
result Theorems associated with graphs on the sphere hold over any division ring, while those on surfaces of positive genus typically hold only if the ground ring is a field.
In a recent work of Ayaka Shimizu[5], she defined an operation named region crossing change on link diagrams, and showed that region crossing change is an unknotting operation for knot diagrams. In this paper, we prove that region crossing change on a 2-component link diagram is an unknotting operation if and only…
MOBONS optimizes complex systems with multi-objective Bayesian optimization.
problem Balancing multiple objectives in networked systems with varying model types.
method Leverages network representations and Bayesian optimization for grey-box systems.
result Efficiently optimizes general function networks with cyclic dependencies.
Enhances cyber risk assessment with entity-specific features.
problem Lack of high-quality public cyber incident data.
method Develops an InsurTech framework to enrich cyber incident data with entity-specific attributes and implements machine learning models.
result InsurTech features improve prediction robustness and provide customized risk profiles.
Study finds companies react negatively to material cybersecurity incident disclosures.
problem Understanding market reactions to cybersecurity incidents.
method Examined daily stock price movements of companies disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
result Companies tend to experience negative price reactions after disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
In this paper we continue the study of generic properties of the Novikov complex, began in the work "The incidence coefficients in the Novikov complex are generically rational functions" ( dg-ga/9603006). For a Morse map f:M→S1 there is a refined version of Novikov complex, defined over the Novikov completion of …
QTIP improves traffic prediction in sudden disruptions.
problem Traffic models fail during sudden disruptions.
method Simulation-based framework for real-time adaptation.
result QTIP improves traffic prediction in critical minutes of incidents.
Characterizes groups with specific boundary properties.
problem Groups with Schottky set boundaries.
method Study relatively hyperbolic group pairs with Schottky boundaries.
result Groups with boundaries where Schottky sets have 1 or 2 component incidence graphs.
The paper improves alignment methods for deep neural networks using geometric and spectral analysis.
problem Improving alignment methods for deep neural networks.
method Geometric and spectral analysis of residual Jacobian chains.
result Deterministic and margin-verified results on the transport of dominant singular subspaces across layers.
Finite rigid sets found in surface curve complexes.
problem Finding rigid sets in surface curve complexes.
method Incidence-preserving maps to find rigid subcomplexes.
result Finite rigid subcomplexes identified in surface curve complexes.
Statistical models outperform mechanistic models in short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.
problem Comparing accuracy of mechanistic vs statistical models for short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.
method Empirical comparison of forecasts from mechanistic and statistical models using daily incidence data from six US states.
result Statistical models are at least as accurate as mechanistic models and better capture volatility.
We estimate treatment cost-savings from early cancer diagnosis. For breast, lung, prostate and colorectal cancers and melanoma, which account for more than 50% of new incidences projected in 2017, we combine published cancer treatment cost estimates by stage with incidence rates by stage at diagnosis. We extrapolate to…
Despite the robust structure of the Internet, it is still susceptible to disruptive routing updates that prevent network traffic from reaching its destination. Our research shows that BGP announcements that are associated with disruptive updates tend to occur in groups of relatively high frequency, followed by periods …
The paper extends group constructions to coset geometries, creating new ways to combine geometries.
problem Combining and gluing incidence geometries in a general framework.
method Extending classical group-theoretic constructions to coset geometries.
result Provides a general framework for combining or gluing incidence geometries.