A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper efficiently infers differential parameters in time-varying models using time score matching.
A novel graphical matching approach improves pairs trading by reducing portfolio variance and risk-adjusted returns.
Adapts score matching for missing data in flexible settings.
Clusterpath estimator simplifies graphical model interpretation for large datasets.
The task of matching co-referent records is known among other names as rocord linkage. For large record-linkage problems, often there is little or no labeled data available, but unlabeled data shows a reasonable clear structure. For such problems, unsupervised or semi-supervised methods are preferable to supervised met…
Generalized score matching for densities on general domains.
Robust score matching improves parameter estimation in contaminated data.
Innovative PGMs match neural networks, revealing precise approximations during forward propagation.
We propose a new family of combinatorial inference problems for graphical models. Unlike classical statistical inference where the main interest is point estimation or parameter testing, combinatorial inference aims at testing the global structure of the underlying graph. Examples include testing the graph connectivity…
A common challenge in estimating parameters of probability density functions is the intractability of the normalizing constant. While in such cases maximum likelihood estimation may be implemented using numerical integration, the approach becomes computationally intensive. The score matching method of Hyvärinen [2005] …
Framework generates causal probabilities from observational data.
Although information extraction and coreference resolution appear together in many applications, most current systems perform them as ndependent steps. This paper describes an approach to integrated inference for extraction and coreference based on conditionally-trained undirected graphical models. We discuss the advan…
A fundamental computation for statistical inference and accurate decision-making is to compute the marginal probabilities or most probable states of task-relevant variables. Probabilistic graphical models can efficiently represent the structure of such complex data, but performing these inferences is generally difficul…
The matching of multiple objects (e.g. shapes or images) is a fundamental problem in vision and graphics. In order to robustly handle ambiguities, noise and repetitive patterns in challenging real-world settings, it is essential to take geometric consistency between points into account. Computationally, the multi-match…
We study the problem of learning latent variables in Gaussian graphical models. Existing methods for this problem assume that the precision matrix of the observed variables is the superposition of a sparse and a low-rank component. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the low-rank component, which encodes the e…
Paper relaxes independence assumption for non-centered data.
Transfer entropy shows abnormal brain connectivity in depression.
New method controls error in low-dimensional marginals of spatial models.
We propose a novel distributed inference algorithm for continuous graphical models, by extending Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) to leverage the Markov dependency structure of the distribution of interest. Our approach combines SVGD with a set of structured local kernel functions defined on the Markov blanket…
Graph matching consists of aligning the vertices of two unlabeled graphs in order to maximize the shared structure across networks; when the graphs are unipartite, this is commonly formulated as minimizing their edge disagreements. In this paper, we address the common setting in which one of the graphs to match is a bi…
Graphical models for structured domains are powerful tools, but the computational complexities of combinatorial prediction spaces can force restrictions on models, or require approximate inference in order to be tractable. Instead of working in a combinatorial space, we use hinge-loss Markov random fields (HL-MRFs), an…
We characterize the effectiveness of a classical algorithm for recovering the Markov graph of a general discrete pairwise graphical model from i.i.d. samples. The algorithm is (appropriately regularized) maximum conditional log-likelihood, which involves solving a convex program for each node; for Ising models this is …
Advances in deep generative networks have led to impressive results in recent years. Nevertheless, such models can often waste their capacity on the minutiae of datasets, presumably due to weak inductive biases in their decoders. This is where graphics engines may come in handy since they abstract away low-level detail…
Delta-AI speeds up inference in sparse PGMs by local credit assignment.
The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous work has explored Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and MAP approximations for le…
Several statistical models are given in the form of unnormalized densities, and calculation of the normalization constant is intractable. We propose estimation methods for such unnormalized models with missing data. The key concept is to combine imputation techniques with estimators for unnormalized models including no…
Dynamic Black-Litterman integrates expert views with portfolio optimization over varying time horizons.
The problem of structure estimation in graphical models with latent variables is considered. We characterize conditions for tractable graph estimation and develop efficient methods with provable guarantees. We consider models where the underlying Markov graph is locally tree-like, and the model is in the regime of corr…
Flow deforms curves to match an embedded target.
Causal Posterior Estimation improves Bayesian inference in complex models.
Generative modeling of 3D shapes has become an important problem due to its relevance to many applications across Computer Vision, Graphics, and VR. In this paper we build upon recently introduced 3D mesh-convolutional Variational AutoEncoders which have shown great promise for learning rich representations of deformab…
Graphical lasso may fail to fit models when data points are insufficient.
Study on rigidity of translating hypersurfaces not in graphical direction.
This is a short description of graphic lambda calculus, with special emphasis on a duality suggested by the two different appearances of knot diagrams, in lambda calculus and emergent algebra sectors of the graphic lambda calculus respectively. This duality leads to the introduction of the dual of the graphic beta move…
Max-product Belief Propagation (BP) is a popular message-passing algorithm for computing a Maximum-A-Posteriori (MAP) assignment over a distribution represented by a Graphical Model (GM). It has been shown that BP can solve a number of combinatorial optimization problems including minimum weight matching, shortest path…
We give polynomial-time algorithms for the exact computation of lowest-energy (ground) states, worst margin violators, log partition functions, and marginal edge probabilities in certain binary undirected graphical models. Our approach provides an interesting alternative to the well-known graph cut paradigm in that it …
We consider the problem of learning high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models. The graphical lasso is one of the most popular methods for estimating Gaussian graphical models. However, it does not achieve the oracle rate of convergence. In this paper, we propose the graphical nonconvex optimization for optimal estimat…
New method for tuning Graphical Lasso hyperparameters.
Consider a mean curvature flow of hypersurfaces in Euclidean space, that is initially graphical inside a cylinder. There exists a period of time during which the flow is graphical inside the cylinder of half the radius. Here we prove a lower bound on this period depending on the Lipschitz-constant of the initial graphi…
Undirected graphical models, or Markov networks, are a popular class of statistical models, used in a wide variety of applications. Popular instances of this class include Gaussian graphical models and Ising models. In many settings, however, it might not be clear which subclass of graphical models to use, particularly…
Bayesian method for estimating functional graphical models from neuroimaging data.
Paper introduces a nonparametric functional graphical model for random functions.
Graphical models improve portfolio optimization for financial time series.
Paper estimates non-causal graphical models using covariance extension and transportation distance.
In this paper, we prove a generalization of Rado's Theorem, a fundamental result of minimal surface theory, which says that minimal surfaces over a convex domain with graphical boundaries must be disks which are themselves graphical. We will show that, for a minimal surface of any genus, whose boundary is "almost graph…
Probabilistic graphical models combine the graph theory and probability theory to give a multivariate statistical modeling. They provide a unified description of uncertainty using probability and complexity using the graphical model. Especially, graphical models provide the following several useful properties: - Graphi…
rags2ridges simplifies graphical modeling of high-dimensional data.
We consider the task of estimating a Gaussian graphical model in the high-dimensional setting. The graphical lasso, which involves maximizing the Gaussian log likelihood subject to an l1 penalty, is a well-studied approach for this task. We begin by introducing a surprising connection between the graphical lasso and hi…