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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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84169253337 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for graph time-series

Generative model for inferring graph from time series data.

problem Generating graphs conditioned on multivariate time series data.
method Time Series Conditioned Graph Generation-Generative Adversarial Networks (TSGG-GAN).
result Demonstrates effectiveness and generalizability of TSGG-GAN on synthetic and real-world datasets.

This work proposes a method to learn graph structure for multivariate time series forecasting.

problem Improving multivariate time series forecasting by leveraging pairwise information.
method Learning a probabilistic graph model through optimizing mean performance over graph distribution parameterized by a neural network.
result Our method outperforms existing approaches in simplicity, efficiency, and performance.

Generative Adversarial Graph Neural Network (Sig-Graph GAN) models financial time series data.

problem Challenges in generating synthetic data for non-stationary financial time series.
method Integrates time-series signature, LSTM, and GNNs with visibility graph algorithm.
result Sig-Graph GAN outperforms baseline methods in replicating time series data distributions.

Proposes a GNN for multivariate time-series prediction with filtering.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in complex systems data.
method Integrates a spatial-temporal GNN with a matrix filtering module to generate filtered graphs.
result Proposed model outperforms baseline approaches in multivariate time-series prediction.

A method for inferring graph from multivariate time series using ADMM.

problem Inferring conditional independence graph from multivariate Gaussian time series.
method Formulated as multi-attribute graph estimation, used ADMM to minimize penalized negative log-likelihood.
result Proposed method outperforms existing frequency-domain approaches in graph edge detection.

DArtNet predicts time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.

problem Predicting time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.
method DArtNet learns static and dynamic embeddings for graph nodes and encodes history information using RNN for joint link and attribute prediction.
result Improved time series prediction accuracy on five datasets.

Project infinite time series graphs to finite marginal models using number theory.

problem Handling infinite time series graphs for causal inference.
method Projection method using number theory to find common ancestors in infinite graphs.
result Developed algorithm to project infinite graphs to finite marginal models.

GACAN combines multi-granularity time series for traffic forecasting.

problem High dynamics and complex spatial-temporal dependency of road networks in traffic forecasting.
method Graph Attention-Convolution-Attention Networks (GACAN) with Att-Conv-Att (ACA) block.
result GACAN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.

Graph Neural Networks improve financial time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Forecasting univariate financial time series with statistical significance.
method Introducing the Time-Geometric model combining geometric and temporal patterns.
result Statistically significant improvements in forecasting accuracy through geometric patterns.

The study learns causal graphs from time series data using entropy measures.

problem Learning causal graphs from time series data.
method Constraint-based framework, information-theoretic measures, generalized causation entropy, PC and FCI algorithms.
result The methods effectively construct causal graphs from time series data.

Proposes a GNN framework for multivariate time series forecasting.

problem Lack of exploiting latent spatial dependencies in multivariate time series forecasting.
method Automatically extracts graph structures from multivariate time series data, integrates external knowledge, and uses mix-hop and dilated inception layers for capturing dependencies.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods on 3 out of 4 benchmark datasets.

The accurate and interpretable prediction of future events in time-series data often requires the capturing of representative patterns (or referred to as states) underpinning the observed data. To this end, most existing studies focus on the representation and recognition of states, but ignore the changing transitional…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified analysis for graph learning from multi-attribute Gaussian time series.

problem Estimating conditional independence graph from multi-attribute Gaussian time series data.
method Unified theoretical analysis using a penalized log-likelihood objective function in the frequency domain.
result Established sufficient conditions for consistency and graph recovery in high-dimensional settings.

New bounds for causal effect identification in time series graphs with latent confounders.

problem Identifying causal effects in time series graphs with latent confounders over unbounded time intervals.
method Applying the Causal Identification algorithm to a constant-size segment of the time series graph.
result A bound on the number of past time steps needed for causal effect identification.

Unified pipeline classifies time series using complex networks and persistent homology.

problem Classifying univariate time series using various graph constructions and metrics.
method Time series to graph, graph to dissimilarity matrix, filtration to persistence diagrams, vectorization to features.
result Persistence-based features are robust to noise and optimal graph type depends on signal structure.

Novel graphical models for time series with latent confounders improve causal inference.

problem Causal relationships and independencies in multivariate time series with unobserved confounders.
method Introduced a novel class of graphical models and characterized their properties.
result Novel graphs provide stronger causal inferences without additional assumptions.

MTHetGNN models complex relations in multivariate time series forecasting.

problem Complex relations among variables in multivariate time series forecasting.
method Designs a relation embedding module and a temporal embedding module, using graph neural networks and CNNs.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results in multivariate time series forecasting.

Recently, the visibility graph has been introduced as a novel view for analyzing time series, which maps it to a complex network. In this paper, we introduce new algorithm of visibility, "cross-visibility", which reveals the conjugation of two coupled time series. The correspondence between the two time series is mappe…

2013-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

CaLoNet integrates spatial and local correlations for multivariate time series classification.

problem Ignoring spatial and local correlations in multivariate time series classification.
method Model spatial correlations using causality modeling, extract local correlations, integrate into graph neural network.
result Competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on UEA datasets.

The paper optimizes sensor selection for network time series data.

problem Optimizing sensor selection for network time series data with minimal error.
method Data-driven strategies to turn off sensors or select a sampling set of nodes.
result Proposes and compares various data-driven strategies for sensor selection.

Proposes a model to detect changes in multivariate time series data.

problem Detect abrupt changes in multivariate time series data considering dependencies and correlations.
method Integrates graph neural networks into an encoder-decoder framework to model correlation structures and dynamics.
result Advantageous performance on CPD tasks over strong baselines, classifying changes as correlation or independent.

Amortized Causal Discovery learns to infer causal graphs from time-series data, improving performance.

problem Inference of causal graphs from time-series data is inefficient due to fitting new models for each sample.
method Proposes Amortized Causal Discovery, a variational model that leverages shared dynamics across samples with different causal graphs.
result Significant improvements in causal discovery performance demonstrated experimentally.

Proposes a THGNN for dynamic financial time series prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting stock market price movements.
method Temporal and heterogeneous graph neural network (THGNN) approach.
result Significantly improved prediction performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

This study applies EMD to MSCI World index and converts IMFs into graphs for GNN modeling.

problem Modeling financial time series with GNNs.
method EMD, CEEMDAN, graph transformations (natural visibility, horizontal visibility, recurrence, transition graphs), topological analysis.
result High-frequency IMFs yield dense, highly connected small-world graphs; low-frequency IMFs produce sparser networks.

FC-GAGA forecasts traffic using a novel gating mechanism.

problem Forecasting multivariate time-series, especially with graph relationships.
method Learnable fully connected hard graph gating mechanism for fully connected time-series forecasting.
result Competitive or better performance than existing algorithms without graph knowledge.

Sparse Tucker decomposition with graph regularization improves time series forecasting accuracy.

problem High-dimensional time series forecasting with over-parameterization issue.
method Sparse Tucker decomposition and graph regularization for tensor-based model.
result Non-asymptotic error bound and superior performance in numerical experiments.

CryptoGAT improves cryptocurrency price prediction by treating it as a graph problem.

problem Cryptocurrency price prediction challenges due to extreme volatility.
method CryptoGAT, a Graph Attention Network, redefines cryptocurrency prediction as a cross-asset graph problem.
result CryptoGAT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in cryptocurrency price prediction.

ReGENN improves time series forecasting by considering inter and intra-temporal relationships.

problem Achieving reliable predictions in real-world time series applications.
method ReGENN combines graph evolution with deep recurrent learning to model dynamic dependencies among multiple variables.
result Sound improvement of up to 64.87% over competing algorithms in time-series forecasting.

Paper presents a new dataset for testing causal discovery methods in industrial systems.

problem Lack of real-world datasets for evaluating causal discovery methods on time series data.
method Develops a dataset from an industrial system and its known causal graph.
result Provides a benchmark for evaluating causal discovery methods in complex systems.

This work builds a sensor graph from DC sensors for anomaly detection.

problem Anomaly detection in data centers with complex sensor relationships.
method Data-driven pipeline (ts2graph) to build a sensor graph from sensor time series.
result Graph neural network (GNN) outperforms existing methods by 2-3 times in anomaly detection.

Online graph learning from matrix-valued time series data.

problem Identifying dependency structure among sensors in a network.
method Extends VAR models to matrix-variate models, proposes online procedures for graph learning, and introduces Lasso-type approaches.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of online graph learning methods in both synthetic and real data.

Proposes a neural network for handling multi-sensor time series with varying input dimensions.

problem Handling multi-sensor time series with varying input dimensions.
method Graph neural network conditioning vectors for zero-shot transfer learning.
result Better generalization in activity recognition and equipment prognostics datasets.

Sparse graph learning for dependent time series using ADMM.

problem Inferring conditional independence graph of sparse, high-dimensional stationary multivariate Gaussian time series.
method Sparse-group lasso-based frequency-domain formulation and alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) optimization.
result Convergence of inverse PSD estimators to true value under certain conditions.

Casper uses causal graph neural networks to improve spatiotemporal time series imputation.

problem Imputing missing values in spatiotemporal time series with confounders and non-causal correlations.
method Casper introduces a novel Prompt Based Decoder (PBD) and Spatiotemporal Causal Attention (SCA) to block confounders and discover causal relationships.
result Casper outperforms baselines and effectively discovers causal relationships in spatiotemporal time series imputation.

CausalTime generates realistic time-series for TSCD evaluation.

problem Lack of realistic synthetic datasets for TSCD performance evaluation.
method Harnessing deep neural networks and normalizing flow for dynamics, extracting causal graphs, and deriving ground truth causal graphs.
result Generated datasets accurately reflect real data and ground truth causal graphs.

Paper estimates differences in conditional independence graphs from time-dependent data.

problem Estimating changes in conditional dependencies between two time series with known similar structure.
method Penalized D-trace loss function approach in the frequency domain, using Wirtinger calculus, with convex and non-convex penalties.
result Established sufficient conditions for consistency and graph recovery in high-dimensional settings.

GANF uses normalizing flows to detect anomalies in multiple time series.

problem Detecting anomalies in multiple time series with interdependencies.
method Bayesian network integration with normalizing flows for unsupervised anomaly detection.
result GANF effectively detects anomalies and identifies distribution drift in time series data.