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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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87174261348 · May 202619922001200920182026
48 results for geometry inference

Transformers infer tasks from context via two modes, geometrically shaped task vectors explain their behavior.

problem Understanding how transformers infer tasks from context and the geometric properties of task vectors.
method Synthetic setting to train small transformers, mathematical characterization of task-vector geometry and inference modes.
result Task-vector geometry shapes in-distribution and out-of-distribution behavior of transformers.

Geometric methods solve sampling, optimisation, inference, and adaptive decision-making.

problem Efficient solutions for sampling, optimisation, inference, and adaptive decision-making.
method Derive algorithms exploiting geometric structures of Hamiltonian systems, Hilbertian subspaces, and information geometry.
result Wide range of geometric theories emerge in these fields, enabling efficient solutions.

New method improves counterfactual distribution learning for high-dimensional outcomes.

problem Counterfactual distribution learning for high-dimensional outcomes with concentrated structure.
method Geometry-adaptive diffusion-guided smoothing estimators combining causal nuisance adjustment and local outcome geometry.
result Geometry-adaptive methods show steeper error decay in semi-synthetic experiments.

We review basic notions in the field of information geometry such as Fisher metric on statistical manifold, αα-connection and corresponding curvature following Amari's work . We show application of information geometry to asymptotic statistical inference.

2014-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

GABI learns geometry from diverse systems to improve Bayesian inference.

problem Bayesian inversion of physical systems with varying geometries.
method Geometric Autoencoders for Bayesian Inversion (GABI) learns geometry-aware priors from large datasets.
result GABI yields comparable predictive accuracy to deterministic methods and well-calibrated uncertainty quantification.

This paper solves the normalizability crisis in sequential inference by introducing bounded information geometry.

problem Structural failure in standard sequential inference architectures when dealing with extreme outliers.
method Non-parametric field actions and bounded information geometry to truncate infinite tails of spatial distributions.
result Empirical benchmarks across three domains show robust estimation without infinite-tailed distributional assumptions.

Model financial dynamics using 2-manifold geometries, revealing the torus as best for cyclical data.

problem Financial forecasting using complex market data.
method Embedding market data onto 2-manifolds (S2, R2, H2, T) guided by uniformization theorem, inferring latent curvature.
result The torus geometry best predicts cyclical financial data, aligning with IS-LM theory.

Paper introduces geometry-aware normalizing flows for improved causal inference.

problem Disparity between sample and population distributions in causal inference.
method Integrates continuous normalizing flows with parametric submodels, employing Wasserstein gradient flows and optimal transport.
result Significantly reduces parameter estimation bias and variance in finite-sample settings.

Geometric Variational Inference improves efficiency in complex probability distributions.

problem Efficiently accessing information in non-linear and high-dimensional probability distributions.
method Geometric Variational Inference (geoVI) uses Riemannian geometry and the Fisher information metric to construct a coordinate transformation.
result geoVI provides a more efficient variational approximation by a normal distribution, demonstrated on various problems.

Enhances graph modeling with hyperbolic geometry and variational inference.

problem Challenges in modeling relational data with complex dependencies.
method Semi-implicit hierarchical variational Bayes with Poincaré embedding and mutual information regularization.
result Improves graph representation quality and flexibility in edge prediction and node classification.

Active learning reduces spin network inference complexity by 10^6-fold.

problem Difficulty in inferring direct interactions in complex networks.
method Information geometry framework to quantify inference difficulty and information gain from perturbations.
result Designed perturbations reduce sampling complexity by 10^6-fold across various network architectures.

A new model encodes distances and topology in latent variables.

problem Modeling dissimilarity data with latent variables and invariances.
method Isometric Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model using Riemannian geometry and variational inference.
result The model can encode invariances in learned manifolds.

DepthNets learns 3D face geometry and transformations without supervision.

problem Learning 3D face geometry and transformations from a single image.
method Unsupervised learning of facial keypoints depth, using backpropable loss for 3D transformations.
result DepthNets can predict 3D transformations and re-target faces to new poses or geometries.

New algorithm speeds up large-scale statistical inference.

problem Efficiently solving large-scale mean-field variational inference problems.
method Developed a novel primal-dual algorithm (PD-VI) and a block-preconditioned extension (P2^2D-VI) for mean-field variational inference.
result PD-VI and P2^2D-VI achieve faster convergence and better solution quality compared to existing methods.

Paper accelerates Bayesian few-shot classification using mirror descent.

problem Non-conjugate inference in Bayesian few-shot classification.
method Integrates mirror descent-based variational inference into Gaussian process-based few-shot classification.
result Accelerated convergence and improved uncertainty quantification.

New method learns dynamics from sparse data using geometric constraints.

problem Learning dynamics from sparse, undersampled data.
method Reformulates inference as a stochastic control problem, using geometry-driven path augmentation.
result Accurately recovers stochastic dynamics from extremely undersampled data.

GAGA learns a warped metric for geometry-aware data generation and interpolation.

problem Challenges in generating data with meaningful geometry in high-dimensional datasets.
method Combines manifold learning with generative modeling to learn a warped Riemannian metric.
result GAGA improves trajectory inference by 30% in single-cell population-level data.

Study the distribution for low-rank matrix learning, improving inference methods.

problem Lack of understanding of underlying probability distributions in low-rank matrix learning.
method Analyze the distribution f(X)eλXf(X)\propto e^{-λ\Vert X\Vert_*}, using differential geometry to design an improved MCMC algorithm and learn penalty parameter λ.
result Improved MCMC algorithm and penalty parameter learning for low-rank Bayesian inference.

This work trains GFlowNets using information geometry, improving inference efficiency.

problem Efficient inference over discrete and mixed objects with GFlowNets.
method Formulates forward-policy training through the Fisher-Rao metric of trajectory families.
result Derives exact decomposition of trajectory Fisher and identifies computational regimes.

The paper identifies universal features for high-dimensional data inference.

problem Identifying universal low-dimensional features from high-dimensional data for inference tasks.
method Introduces natural notions of universality and shows a local equivalence among them, using information geometry.
result Reveals the complementary roles of various data analysis techniques.

Study explores geometric structure and prior for beta-logistic distribution.

problem Understanding the geometric structure and prior distributions of the beta-logistic distribution.
method Exploring dual geometric structure and uncovering α\alpha-parallel prior.
result The beta-logistic distribution admits an α\alpha-parallel prior for any real number α\alpha.

We present a general method for deriving collapsed variational inference algo- rithms for probabilistic models in the conjugate exponential family. Our method unifies many existing approaches to collapsed variational inference. Our collapsed variational inference leads to a new lower bound on the marginal likelihood. W…

2012-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometric framework analyzes bias in variational inference for posterior functionals.

problem Analyzing the bias of posterior functionals under variational approximations.
method Developed a geometric framework to evaluate the bias of posterior functionals using the variational tangent space.
result The leading-order bias of a posterior functional is determined by its component orthogonal to the variational tangent space.

Bayesian models for networks are often misspecified, leading to overconfident inference.

problem Real-world networks violate assumptions of geometry and link function in latent space models.
method Proposes a generalized posterior framework for random geometric graphs, using Link-Sequential R-SafeBayes to adaptively tune posterior regularization.
result Improved calibration and better link prediction performance demonstrated on synthetic and real-world networks.

Square-root natural-gradient improves variational inference convergence.

problem Challenges in establishing theoretical convergence guarantees for natural-gradient descent.
method Square-root parameterization for Gaussian covariance.
result Establishes novel convergence guarantees for natural-gradient Gaussian inference.

This paper proposes a new method for learning covers of geometric datasets to improve topological inference and visualization.

problem Improving topological inference and visualization of large-scale geometric datasets.
method Proposes a method for learning topologically-faithful covers of geometric datasets using optimization.
result Simplicial complexes obtained from learned covers outperform standard methods in terms of size and representation of large-scale topology.

Estimates classifier errors without ground truth using algebraic geometry.

problem Lack of ground truth in real-world production systems.
method Non-parametric estimation using algebraic geometry to solve the self-assessment problem.
result Accuracy estimators are better than one part in a hundred.

TabPFN's internal geometry topology correlates with dataset reliability.

problem Understanding TabPFN's behavior on structurally difficult tabular geometries.
method Using zigzag persistent homology, studying TabPFN's internal representations on synthetic tabular tasks with known topology.
result Topology of TabPFN's internal representation geometry is strongly associated with dataset-level reliability.

New methods compare neural network models using geometric and topological summaries.

problem Comparing deep representations of complex networks in models and brains.
method Develops inference methods based on topological data analysis (TDA) and graph-based techniques.
result New statistical methods enable better model comparison and inference.

Proposes Dirichlet Simplex Nest for probabilistic modeling of various data types.

problem Modeling and inference for diverse data types.
method Probabilistic models based on Dirichlet distribution and Voronoi tessellation, with fast and accurate inference algorithms exploiting convex geometry and simplicial structure.
result Inference algorithms achieve consistency and strong error bounds across various settings and data distributions.

Improves Laplace approximation for Bayesian inference on Riemannian manifolds.

problem Inaccurate Gaussian approximations for complex targets and finite-data posteriors.
method Develops alternative variants of the Laplace approximation using a Riemannian metric.
result Exact approximations at the limit of infinite data, improving practical performance.

Bayesian updating is modeled as a dynamical system, revealing learning rate laws.

problem Modeling Bayesian inference as a dynamical system.
method Formulated Bayesian updating as a continuous dynamical system, solving for trajectories in information geometry.
result Learning rate is governed by a 1/T1/T power-law when the Cramér-Rao bound is saturated.

Natural-gradient methods improve Bayesian inference in complex models.

problem Computational challenges in Bayesian inference for complex models.
method Derive fast natural-gradient updates for variational inference.
result Natural-gradient methods provide more accurate local approximations.

New framework accelerates particle-based variational inference methods.

problem Improving the accuracy and speed of particle-based variational inference.
method Unified understanding of ParVIs through Wasserstein gradient flows, and acceleration framework based on the geometry of the Wasserstein space.
result Improved convergence and enhanced sample accuracy through the proposed acceleration framework and bandwidth-selection method.