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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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155311466621 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for genetic risk prediction

Gradient boosting enhances existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.

problem Improving existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.
method Combining gradient boosting with existing Mendelian models.
result Improved model outperforms both original and gradient boosting-only models.

New methods improve genetic studies of complex diseases.

problem Improving genetic studies of complex diseases using high-dimensional clinical data.
method Evaluation of unsupervised disentangled representation learning methods (autoencoders, VAE, beta-VAE, FactorVAE) for genetic association studies.
result FactorVAEs and beta-VAEs outperform standard VAEs and non-variational autoencoders in genetic studies of asthma and COPD.

Develops a SAS approach for high-dimensional risk prediction using unlabeled data.

problem Challenges in risk modeling with EHR data due to lack of direct disease outcomes and high dimensionality.
method Surrogate Assisted Semi-supervised Learning (SAS) approach leveraging unlabeled and labeled data.
result Valid inference for predicted risk even when underlying model is dense and mis-specified.

With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction m…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses machine learning to predict future health from various health data types.

problem Predicting future health using diverse health data types.
method Applied machine learning (neural networks and XGBoost) to longitudinal data from 6830 individuals.
result Health-related measures were the strongest predictors of future health status, while genetic data performed poorly.

ENN method uses expectile regression for genetic data analysis of complex diseases.

problem Discover additional genetic variants contributing to complex diseases.
method Developed an expectile neural network (ENN) method integrating expectile regression and neural networks.
result ENN method outperforms existing expectile regression in discovering genetic variants predisposing to sub-populations.

Paper uses AI to predict stock market volatility with neural networks and genetic algorithms.

problem Traditional methods for predicting stock market volatility have high errors.
method Back-propagation neural network and genetic algorithm integrated model.
result The model predicts future volatility with low errors and high accuracy.

One component of precision medicine is to construct prediction models with their predictive ability as high as possible, e.g. to enable individual risk prediction. In genetic epidemiology, complex diseases have a polygenic basis and a common assumption is that biological and genetic features affect the outcome under co…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

U-aggregation combines multiple models without labels for better risk prediction.

problem Challenges in selecting best model for new populations due to limited data and lack of true labels.
method U-aggregation, an unsupervised model aggregation method that integrates pre-trained models without observed labels.
result U-aggregation improves genetic risk prediction of complex traits using publicly available models.

Lapse-supported life insurance exacerbates adverse selection risks.

problem Lapse-supported life insurance increases adverse selection costs.
method Modeling 'Term to 100' contracts and analyzing three methods of managing lapse surplus.
result Adverse selection losses can be almost unlimited under certain conditions.

Advances of modern sensing and sequencing technologies generate a deluge of high dimensional space-temporal physiological and next-generation sequencing (NGS) data. Physiological traits are observed either as continuous random functions, or on a dense grid and referred to as function-valued traits. Both physiological a…

2014-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new model selects low-carbon mutual funds considering ESG criteria, risk, and investor preferences.

problem Aligning financial investments with a low-carbon economy.
method Tri-criterion portfolio selection model using a preference-based multi-objective genetic algorithm (ev-MOGA).
result The model successfully incorporates carbon risk exposure and loss-adverse attitudes into portfolio construction.

Neural networks improve cancer risk prediction from family history data.

problem Improving cancer risk prediction from family history data using machine learning.
method Developed and trained neural network models on large pedigrees to predict hereditary cancers.
result Neural networks can achieve nearly optimal prediction performance and outperform traditional models in misreported data.

Diagnosing an inherited disease often requires identifying the pattern of inheritance in a patient's family. We represent family trees with genetic patterns of inheritance using hypergraphs and latent state space models to provide explainable inheritance pattern predictions. Our approach allows for exact causal inferen…

2018-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian transfer learning improves predictive performance with limited source data.

problem Improving statistical procedures with limited target and source datasets.
method Total risk prior for joint parameter distribution, Bayesian Lasso, model averaging, Gibbs sampling.
result Superior predictive performance compared to frequentist baseline, especially with limited source data.

This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.

Metaheuristics optimize portfolios with pre-assignment and margin trading for better risk-adjusted returns.

problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in portfolio optimization.
method Incorporates pre-assignment constraints and margin trading strategies using Genetic Algorithms and Particle Swarm Optimization.
result Metaheuristic-based portfolio optimization yields superior risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional methods.

VEGN uses graph neural networks to predict disease-causing mutations from genetic variants.

problem Identifying disease-causing mutations from millions of genetic variants.
method VEGN employs a graph neural network on a heterogeneous graph of genes and variants, learning gene-gene interactions.
result VEGN outperforms existing state-of-the-art models in variant effect prediction.

Optimizes stock portfolios with profit, risk, and sustainability.

problem Balancing profit, risk, and sustainability in stock portfolio management.
method Developed a novel utility function combining Sharpe ratio and ESG scores; used genetic algorithm for optimization.
result System outperforms traditional reinforcement learning methods and improves on risk and sustainability metrics.

New benchmark predicts cardiometabolic risk from accelerometer data, with varying accuracy.

problem Lack of accurate tabular benchmarks for cardiometabolic risk from accelerometer data.
method Tabular learning methods (ridge regression, XGBoost, TabPFN v2) applied to NHANES data.
result TabPFN v2 achieves best performance, but triglycerides remain largely unpredictable.

Improved genetic algorithm optimizes SVR for robust long-term stock index forecasting.

problem Inaccurate long-term stock price predictions.
method Adaptive Weighted Genetic Algorithm-Optimized SVR (IGA-SVR).
result Reduction in MAPE by 19.87% compared to LSTM and 50.03% compared to OGA-SVR.

New method uses DNN for genetic variant identification, controlling randomness and improving interpretability.

problem Challenges in interpreting deep neural networks for genetic variant identification.
method Interpretable neural network model with controlled variable selection using ensembling, knockoffs, and de-randomization.
result The proposed method leads to more discoveries compared to conventional methods.

EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.

problem Challenges in integrating longitudinal tumor measurements, dropout information, and genetic covariates.
method Extended EB-VAE framework to jointly model longitudinal and time-to-event data, incorporating dropout hazard and genetic covariates.
result Hybrid decoder formulation yields consistent treatment-effect parameters and prior predictive performance comparable to neural decoder.

New causal models perform poorly when evaluated on biased training sets.

problem Sample selection bias affects the evaluation of causal models' prediction performance.
method Re-evaluated prediction performance of causal models on a genetic perturbation data set, proposing a less-biased evaluation set.
result Causal models have similar or worse performance when evaluated on a less-biased set compared to standard association-based estimators.

Enhances genetic programming for stock alpha discovery with warm start and structural constraints.

problem Overwhelming search space and computational burden in traditional genetic programming for alpha factor discovery.
method Proposes a new GP framework with warm start and structural constraints to enhance search performance and interpretability.
result Superior out-of-sample prediction results and higher portfolio returns compared to benchmarks.

This paper demonstrates how to apply machine learning algorithms to distinguish good stocks from the bad stocks. To this end, we construct 244 technical and fundamental features to characterize each stock, and label stocks according to their ranking with respect to the return-to-volatility ratio. Algorithms ranging fro…

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

BayesMR estimates causal effects and directionality from genetic data.

problem Challenges in finding good genetic instruments and estimating causal effects.
method Bayesian Mendelian randomization approach that accounts for pleiotropy and reverse causation.
result BayesMR provides a posterior distribution over causal effects and uncertainty.