AlphaLogics mines market logic to generate interpretable alpha factors.
problem Complex, opaque alpha factors from factor mining overlook market logic.
method Market Logic Mining, Factor Generation and Optimization, Market Logic Generation and Optimization.
result AlphaLogics improves predictive metrics and risk-adjusted returns over baselines.
We introduce Bayesian multi-tensor factorization, a model that is the first Bayesian formulation for joint factorization of multiple matrices and tensors. The research problem generalizes the joint matrix-tensor factorization problem to arbitrary sets of tensors of any depth, including matrices, can be interpreted as u…
NeuralFactors uses deep learning to improve factor analysis in equity modeling.
problem Enhancing classical factor models for better risk forecasting and portfolio construction.
method Introduces a novel machine-learning approach (NeuralFactors) that outputs factor exposures and returns, trained using variational autoencoders.
result NeuralFactors outperforms prior approaches in log-likelihood performance and computational efficiency.
Here we propose a novel model family with the objective of learning to disentangle the factors of variation in data. Our approach is based on the spike-and-slab restricted Boltzmann machine which we generalize to include higher-order interactions among multiple latent variables. Seen from a generative perspective, the …
Large language models improve futures market factor models in China.
problem Designing effective factor models for Chinese futures markets.
method Used large language models (GPT) to generate 40 factors for single and multi-factor portfolios.
result GPT-generated factors outperform benchmarks with high Sharpe ratios and alphas.
AlphaForge mines and dynamically combines alpha factors for better investment performance.
problem Inconsistency and inflexibility of fixed factor weights in alpha factor mining.
method Generative-predictive neural network for factor generation and dynamic weight adjustment.
result Demonstrated superior performance in formulaic alpha factor mining and portfolio returns.
N-VAE separates class-specific and shared factors in data.
problem Multimodal distribution of generative factors due to class distinction.
method N-VAE model with class-conditioned and shared latent spaces.
result Model effectively disentangles class-dependent and shared factors.
A new method for non-negative matrix factorization using generalized dual divergence.
problem Non-negative matrix factorization for various noise structures.
method Theoretical framework based on generalized dual Kullback-Leibler divergence, with algorithms developed and proven convergence using Expectation-Maximization.
result Generalizes existing methods and provides an alternative for non-negative matrix factorizations.
New method disentangles correlated factors without independence assumption.
problem Learning disentangled representations from correlated data.
method Hausdorff Factorized Support (HFS) criterion for disentanglement.
result HFS consistently improves disentanglement and recovery across various correlation settings.
Factor Engine simplifies financial factor computation and analysis in Python.
problem Efficient computation and analysis of financial factors.
method Modular, extensible Python library with decorators, integrates with data science ecosystem.
result Mispricing factors computed by Factor Engine and Stata implementation are highly similar.
Proposes a model to generate high-dimensional financial returns using latent factor structure.
problem Challenges in financial scenario simulation, especially in high-dimensional and small data settings.
method Integrates latent factor structure into generative diffusion processes, decomposing the score function using time-varying orthogonal projections.
result Establishes rigorous statistical guarantees for score estimation and generated distribution, surpassing dimension-dependent limits.
Learning multimodal representations is a fundamentally complex research problem due to the presence of multiple heterogeneous sources of information. Although the presence of multiple modalities provides additional valuable information, there are two key challenges to address when learning from multimodal data: 1) mode…
Survey of factor analysis, PCA, variational inference, and VAE.
problem Dimensionality reduction and generative modeling of data.
method Variational inference, factor analysis, probabilistic PCA, and VAE.
result Derivation and explanation of ELBO, EM, and closed-form solutions.
Discond-VAE separates continuous and discrete factors in data.
problem Separating shared and class-specific variations in real-world data.
method Introduces private and public latent variables to represent continuous and discrete factors, respectively.
result Discond-VAE successfully disentangles class-dependent continuous factors from discrete factors.
Paper introduces metrics to assess and control nuisance factors in sentiment analysis.
problem Challenges in learning invariant representations for sentiment analysis due to entangled nuisance factors.
method Developed two generalization metrics and a data filtering approach to control nuisance factors.
result Simple text classification baseline can be badly affected by product ID in sentiment analysis.
Hedonic models predict 84-92% of U.S. real estate prices, highlighting environmental factors' impact.
problem Predicting real estate prices using hedonic models with environmental factors.
method P-spline generalized additive models for real estate prices, contrasting with linear and polynomial models.
result GAM models explain 84-92% of U.S. real estate price variance, with environmental factors contributing minimally.
We give a complete algorithm and source code for constructing general multifactor risk models (for equities) via any combination of style factors, principal components (betas) and/or industry factors. For short horizons we employ the Russian-doll risk model construction to obtain a nonsingular factor covariance matrix.…
Proposes D-CDLF for multi-view data decomposition.
problem Uncorrelatedness between common and distinctive latent factors.
method Decomposes data into common, distinctive, and noise components.
result Effective uncorrelatedness between distinctive latent factors from different views.
The position of the EWS (economy-wide substitution)-ratio vector determines the Rybczynski sign pattern, which expresses the factor endowment--commodity output relationships, and the Stolper-Samuelson sign pattern, which expresses the commodity price--factor price relationships in a three-factor two-good general equili…
Matrix factorization is a well-studied task in machine learning for compactly representing large, noisy data. In our approach, instead of using the traditional concept of matrix rank, we define a new notion of link-rank based on a non-linear link function used within factorization. In particular, by applying the round …
We found that factors decay over time, with momentum fitting best.
problem Understanding how factors decay over time and their impact on performance.
method Derived a hyperbolic decay model for factors, tested against linear and exponential alternatives.
result Momentum exhibits hyperbolic decay, outperforming linear and exponential models.
We show that all finite-dimensional resolvable generalized manifolds with the piecewise disjoint arc-disk property are codimension one manifold factors. We then show how the piecewise disjoint arc-disk property and other general position properties that detect codimension one manifold factors are related. We also note …
While deep representation learning has become increasingly capable of separating task-relevant representations from other confounding factors in the data, two significant challenges remain. First, there is often an unknown and potentially infinite number of confounding factors coinciding in the data. Second, not all of…
Mathematical models reveal key factors for engaging Gen Z at work.
problem Understanding and improving engagement of Generation Z employees.
method Correlation and cluster analyses on engagement surveys.
result Clear responsibilities and challenging work are essential for Gen Z employees.
New insights into how deep models generalize, focusing on matrix factorization.
problem Understanding how deep models generalize and why they work well.
method Using Morse functions and dynamical systems to study implicit regularization.
result Solved a conjecture on implicit regularization in matrix factorization.
New portfolios outperform traditional methods by using factor weights.
problem Improving portfolio allocation in markets driven by factors.
method Factor-weighted Dirichlet portfolios outperform uniform Dirichlet portfolios.
result Factor-weighted portfolios outperform uniformly sampled portfolios in market returns.
Tensor variable elimination for plated factor graphs enables exact inference in models with repeated structure.
problem Efficient inference in models with repeated structure.
method Generalized variable elimination to tensor variable elimination on plated factor graphs.
result Tractable inference for a class of plated factor graphs.
Plug-in method decomposes latent representations into interpretable factors.
problem Decomposing latent representations in neural networks without altering the original models.
method Factors' Decomposer-Entangler Network (FDEN) that learns to decompose latent representations into mutually independent factors.
result FDEN framework effectively decomposes latent representations into interpretable factors, maintaining original model integrity.
This paper diagnoses factor-model pricing errors using a new method.
problem Measuring pricing errors in factor models with general characteristic axes.
method Developed a method to measure factor-model pricing errors as bridge-alpha curves, using a predetermined characteristic order and prefix portfolios.
result Adding a counterpart factor flips the curve's sign on every axis, but only HML and CMA overcorrect enough to be rejected.
FASC clusters data with latent factors, improving on naive methods.
problem Clustering high-dimensional data with correlated variables.
method Factor Adjusted Spectral Clustering (FASC) algorithm.
result FASC achieves an exponentially low mislabeling rate under general assumptions.
Optimal tensor PCA for estimating factors and loadings in high-dimensional panel data.
problem Estimating factors and loadings in high-dimensional panel data with non-negligible correlations.
method Tensor Principal Component Analysis (TPCA) for estimating factors and loadings in a tensor factor model.
result Simple TPCA is optimal for strong factors and can be improved for weak factors with alternating least-squares iterations.
Method ranks generative models without needing latent factor supervision.
problem Challenges in selecting generative models for qualities like disentanglement.
method Ranking generative models based on training dynamics, without requiring labels for latent factors.
result Method correlates with supervised disentanglement metrics and can predict downstream performance.
DMSTF models spatio-temporal data with deep Markov priors.
problem Analyzing nonlinear multimodal spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization with stochastic variational inference.
result DMSTF outperforms other methods in predictive performance and clustering.
Style Miner generates stable and significant style factors for time series analysis.
problem Finding significant and stable explanatory factors in high-dimensional time series data.
method Proposes a reinforcement learning method to balance explanatory power and stability constraints.
result Outperforms existing methods by a large margin and achieves a 10% gain in R-squared explanatory power.
Improved portfolio optimization using GAM factor models.
problem Enhancing CVaR portfolio optimization performance.
method Combines autoregressive filters with factor regressions to predict stock returns.
result Substantial improvement in portfolio performances with GAM models.
Integrates regression trees to explain latent factor models in recommendation systems.
problem Difficulty in explaining latent factor models in personalized recommendations.
method Builds regression trees on users and items using user-generated reviews to guide latent factor model learning and explain latent factors.
result Model generates explainable recommendations by tracking latent profiles through regression tree paths.
Deep models improve factor analysis by capturing non-linearity and interaction effects.
problem Improving factor models to better capture complex asset relationships.
method Developed deep fundamental factor models with uncertainty quantification and hidden layers.
result Generated information ratios approximately 1.5x greater than traditional models.
Probabilistic inference in graphical models is the task of computing marginal and conditional densities of interest from a factorized representation of a joint probability distribution. Inference algorithms such as variable elimination and belief propagation take advantage of constraints embedded in this factorization …
We construct a 2-generated 2-related group without non-trivial finite factors. That answers a question of J. Button.
We present a general framework, the coupled compound Poisson factorization (CCPF), to capture the missing-data mechanism in extremely sparse data sets by coupling a hierarchical Poisson factorization with an arbitrary data-generating model. We derive a stochastic variational inference algorithm for the resulting model …
The paper develops a new model for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing.
problem Estimating spatial interactions in high-dimensional asset pricing.
method Integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis using generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing models.
Deep model learns complex latent codes without assuming factor structure.
problem Learning latent codes with complex, non-factorial distributions.
method Deep generative factor analysis with beta process prior and stochastic EM algorithm.
result Preliminary results show model can approximate complex distributions.
The Matrix Factorization models, sometimes called the latent factor models, are a family of methods in the recommender system research area to (1) generate the latent factors for the users and the items and (2) predict users' ratings on items based on their latent factors. However, current Matrix Factorization models p…
The paper explores indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.
problem Indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.
method Analyzes the fundamental problem of indeterminacy in latent factor projections and discusses its implications for data representation.
result Latent factor determinacy across all facets is achieved when the feature-dimension grows to infinity.
The paper proposes a method to identify latent factors from sampled and fired graph data.
problem Identifying latent factors from sampled and fired graph data.
method The paper presents a theoretical and practical approach to build an identifier of latent factor activations.
result The method successfully identifies latent factor activations from sampled and fired graph data.
FAVAE learns disentangled representations from sequential data.
problem Learning disentangled and interpretable representations from sequential data.
method FAVAE uses the information bottleneck principle without supervision.
result FAVAE can disentangle multiple dynamic factors.
We propose a new IRT model that directly factors test items without factor analysis.
problem Existing multidimensional IRT methods require factorization, which is posthoc and linear.
method We use a sparsity-promoting horseshoe prior to factorize items directly within the IRT model.
result Our model performs factorization directly and consistently selects the correct number of factors.
QRAFTI uses multi-agent framework to improve equity factor research.
problem Replicating and developing new equity factors in large financial datasets.
method Integrates a research toolkit with MCP servers for data access and custom coding operations.
result Improves performance and explainability in multi-step empirical tasks.