New algorithm for maximizing submodular functions in real-time data changes.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Paper introduces robust, dynamic coreset for outlier-resilient learning problems.
This paper introduces new risk measures for evaluating losses with varying time horizons.
New RL framework simulates financial market dynamics.
Learning the parameters of a (potentially partially observable) random field model is intractable in general. Instead of focussing on a single optimal parameter value we propose to treat parameters as dynamical quantities. We introduce an algorithm to generate complex dynamics for parameters and (both visible and hidde…
We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states and the static parameters of the model. We build up on recent advances in compu…
Generative dynamic texture models (GDTMs) are widely used for dynamic texture (DT) segmentation in the video sequences. GDTMs represent DTs as a set of linear dynamical systems (LDSs). A major limitation of these models concerns the automatic selection of a proper number of DTs. Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) models w…
Temporal-difference (TD) networks are a class of predictive state representations that use well-established TD methods to learn models of partially observable dynamical systems. Previous research with TD networks has dealt only with dynamical systems with finite sets of observations and actions. We present an algorithm…
Neural dynamical systems are dynamical systems that are described at least in part by neural networks. The class of continuous-time neural dynamical systems must, however, be numerically integrated for simulation and learning. Here, we present a compact neural circuit for two common numerical integrators: the explicit …
We present two proofs of the fact, originally due to Reiner Martin, that any fully irreducible hyperbolic element of acts on the projectivized space of geodesic currents with uniform north-south dynamics. The first proof, using purely train-track methods, provides an elaborated and corr…
We study a model of wealth dynamics [Bouchaud and Mézard 2000, \emph{Physica A} \textbf{282}, 536] which mimics transactions among economic agents. The outcomes of the model are shown to depend strongly on the topological properties of the underlying transaction network. The extreme cases of a fully connected and a ful…
Generative adversarial networks reconstruct MRI images without full data.
In this paper we define currents relative to a free factor system. We prove that a fully irreducible outer automorphism relative to a free factor system acts with uniform north-south dynamics on a subspace of the space of projective relative currents.
We show that there exists a natural Tulczyjew triple in the dynamics of objects for which the standard kinematic configuration space , i.e. the tangent bundle, is replaced with its -th exterior power, i.e. the bundle of tangent -vectors. In this framework, which is fully covariant, we geometrically derive pha…
New algorithm tackles multi-agent bandits with heavy-tailed data.
New risk measure considers horizon risk and interest rate uncertainty.
We consider a stochastic model for the dynamics of the two-sided limit order book (LOB). Our model is flexible enough to allow for a dependence of the price dynamics on volumes. For the joint dynamics of best bid and ask prices and the standing buy and sell volume densities, we derive a functional limit theorem, which …
Deep networks are commonly used to model dynamical systems, predicting how the state of a system will evolve over time (either autonomously or in response to control inputs). Despite the predictive power of these systems, it has been difficult to make formal claims about the basic properties of the learned systems. In …
Orthogonal initialization does not speed up training in ultra-wide neural networks.
New GM layers improve neural network performance.
Data-efficient learning in continuous state-action spaces using very high-dimensional observations remains a key challenge in developing fully autonomous systems. In this paper, we consider one instance of this challenge, the pixels to torques problem, where an agent must learn a closed-loop control policy from pixel i…
While increasingly deep networks are still in general desired for achieving state-of-the-art performance, for many specific inputs a simpler network might already suffice. Existing works exploited this observation by learning to skip convolutional layers in an input-dependent manner. However, we argue their binary deci…
In this paper we investigate a dynamic stochastic portfolio optimization problem involving both the expected terminal utility and intertemporal utility maximization. We solve the problem by means of a solution to a fully nonlinear evolutionary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. We propose the so-called Riccati met…
In this paper we continue our analysis of a formulation of electrodynamics fully covariant under the full Poincaré group. Transformations under the four different components of the group force on us the introduction of particles, either in the identification by Feynman or in the identification of Dirac.
In this paper we propose and analyze a method based on the Riccati transformation for solving the evolutionary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation arising from the stochastic dynamic optimal allocation problem. We show how the fully nonlinear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation can be transformed into a quasi-linear paraboli…
We investigate the general structure of optimal investment and consumption with small proportional transaction costs. For a safe asset and a risky asset with general continuous dynamics, traded with random and time-varying but small transaction costs, we derive simple formal asymptotics for the optimal policy and welfa…
This survey paper is focused on qualitative and numerical analyses of fully nonlinear partial differential equations of parabolic type arising in financial mathematics. The main purpose is to review various non-linear extensions of the classical Black-Scholes theory for pricing financial instruments, as well as models …
The roundworm C. elegans exhibits robust escape behavior in response to rapidly rising temperature. The behavior lasts for a few seconds, shows history dependence, involves both sensory and motor systems, and is too complicated to model mechanistically using currently available knowledge. Instead we model the process p…
Spectral decomposition of the Koopman operator is attracting attention as a tool for the analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems. Dynamic mode decomposition is a popular numerical algorithm for Koopman spectral analysis; however, we often need to prepare nonlinear observables manually according to the underlying dynami…
The paper provides a geometric framework for understanding non-equilibrium thermodynamics.
FiniteNet uses a neural network to improve PDE solving methods.
In this paper we prove that a fully irreducible outer automorphism relative to a non-exceptional free factor system acts loxodromically on the relative free factor complex as defined by Handel and Mosher. We also prove a north-south dynamic result for the action of such outer automorphisms on the closure of relative ou…
Algorithm achieves comparable performance to fully dynamic data with only a few batches.
Data-efficient reinforcement learning (RL) in continuous state-action spaces using very high-dimensional observations remains a key challenge in developing fully autonomous systems. We consider a particularly important instance of this challenge, the pixels-to-torques problem, where an RL agent learns a closed-loop con…
The paper classifies solitons for a specific type of flow.
Many real-world systems studied are governed by complex, nonlinear dynamics. By modeling these dynamics, we can gain insight into how these systems work, make predictions about how they will behave, and develop strategies for controlling them. While there are many methods for modeling nonlinear dynamical systems, exist…
Broker uses multi-task dynamic pricing to learn competitive prices in credit markets.
Paper introduces a novel method for dynamic covariance estimation with random forests.
Paper proposes a COP model for Algo trading using LQR.
New model predicts video sequences with latent dynamics.
New limits found for training deep learning models efficiently.
State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system identification) in nonlinear nonparametric state-space models. We place a Gauss…
Deep residual networks (ResNets) and their variants are widely used in many computer vision applications and natural language processing tasks. However, the theoretical principles for designing and training ResNets are still not fully understood. Recently, several points of view have emerged to try to interpret ResNet …
We consider the problem of sampling from a target distribution, which is \emph {not necessarily logconcave}, in the context of empirical risk minimization and stochastic optimization as presented in Raginsky et al. (2017). Non-asymptotic analysis results are established in the -Wasserstein distance for the behavio…
Study shows bifurcating price dynamics in ASME with traders.
We introduce a new strategy designed to help physicists discover hidden laws governing dynamical systems. We propose to use machine learning automatic differentiation libraries to develop hybrid numerical models that combine components based on prior physical knowledge with components based on neural networks. In these…
A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables at time as the shape parameters of those at time , which are linked …
KalmanNet uses neural networks to improve state estimation in systems with unknown dynamics.