A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Wavelet analysis reveals non-linear dynamics in cryptocurrency prices.
VAEs analyzed using harmonic analysis, showing how variance controls frequency content and robustness.
In this paper, we address the fundamental problem of line spectral estimation in a Bayesian framework. We target model order and parameter estimation via variational inference in a probabilistic model in which the frequencies are continuous-valued, i.e., not restricted to a grid; and the coefficients are governed by a …
We derive asymptotic expansions for option data to detect infinite variation volatility.
We discuss the probabilistic properties of the variation based third and fourth moments of financial returns as estimators of the actual moments of the return distributions. The moment variations are defined under non-parametric assumptions with quadratic variation method but for the computational tractability, we use …
We extend a variational framework to estimate calibration errors for divergences.
Develops a test to distinguish between standard and rough volatility.
Deep network improves electrical tomography across multiple frequencies.
Deep learning models, especially CNNs, can predict radio frequency power faster than traditional methods.
Complex frequency generalizes eigenvalues in LTI systems.
New method estimates volatility for processes with jumps of unbounded variation.
Quantum models can approximate any function if data encoding allows for a rich enough frequency spectrum.
Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.
High-frequency financial data of the foreign exchange market (EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/NOK, EUR/SEK, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/NOK, and USD/SEK) are analyzed by utilizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two normalized spectrograms of the tick frequency and the generalized Jensen-Sha…
This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data. Using a forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple time-frequency decomposed realized volatility measures, we study the influence of different timescales on volatility forecasts. The decomposition of …
New method estimates volatility for Lévy processes with unbounded jumps efficiently.
Flexible method for estimating frequencies in large datasets using sketching.
FredNormer improves time series forecasting by adapting to frequency domain patterns.
Study shows how macroeconomic news affects intraday price and order flow dynamics.
MDS selects assets by combining daily returns and intraday risk curves, improving portfolio performance.
While much research effort has been dedicated to scaling up sparse Gaussian process (GP) models based on inducing variables for big data, little attention is afforded to the other less explored class of low-rank GP approximations that exploit the sparse spectral representation of a GP kernel. This paper presents such a…
New estimator reveals intraday betas mainly driven by correlations.
VDA improves disentanglement of latent representations in complex signals.
Many spectral unmixing methods rely on the non-negative decomposition of spectral data onto a dictionary of spectral templates. In particular, state-of-the-art music transcription systems decompose the spectrogram of the input signal onto a dictionary of representative note spectra. The typical measures of fit used to …
Tumors often contain multiple subpopulations of cancerous cells defined by distinct somatic mutations. We describe a new method, PhyloWGS, that can be applied to WGS data from one or more tumor samples to reconstruct complete genotypes of these subpopulations based on variant allele frequencies (VAFs) of point mutation…
We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or limit orders, which are represented respectively by impulse controls and regular con…
The paper develops methods to estimate frequencies in large discrete data sets with improved coverage and robustness.
The detection of rare variants is important for understanding the genetic heterogeneity in mixed samples. Recently, next-generation sequencing (NGS) technologies have enabled the identification of single nucleotide variants (SNVs) in mixed samples with high resolution. Yet, the noise inherent in the biological processe…
We propose a new method of measuring the third and fourth moments of return distribution based on quadratic variation method when the return process is assumed to have zero drift. The realized third and fourth moments variations computed from high frequency return series are good approximations to corresponding actual …
Advancements in deep generative models such as generative adversarial networks and variational autoencoders have resulted in the ability to generate realistic images that are visually indistinguishable from real images, which raises concerns about their potential malicious usage. In this paper, we present an analysis o…
High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed by Zhang et. al. (2005) for the estimation of the integrated variance of a conti…
Improved accuracy in dynamic response variation analysis using multi-fidelity data fusion.
Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) has been one of the most popular methods for frequency recognition in steady-state visual evoked potential (SSVEP)-based brain-computer interfaces (BCIs). Despite its efficiency, a potential problem is that using pre-constructed sine-cosine waves as the required reference signals in…
We analyze the frequency spectrum of quantum neural networks using algebraic methods and prove maximality results.
DiffObs predicts global precipitation with realistic wave modes and low frequency variations.
Electrical network frequency (ENF) is the signature of a power distribution grid which represents the nominal frequency (50 or 60 Hz) of a power system network. Due to load variations in a power grid, ENF sequences experience fluctuations. These ENF variations are inherently located in a multimedia signal which is reco…
The expressive power of Gaussian processes depends heavily on the choice of kernel. In this work we propose the novel harmonizable mixture kernel (HMK), a family of expressive, interpretable, non-stationary kernels derived from mixture models on the generalized spectral representation. As a theoretically sound treatmen…
New method for fast volatility estimation robust to change points.
We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an estimator based on a ratio of realized power variations. Our new resampling method,…
Researchers developed a generic model to account for structural variability in SHM.
Support Vector Data Description (SVDD) is a machine learning technique used for single class classification and outlier detection. SVDD based K-chart was first introduced by Sun and Tsung for monitoring multivariate processes when underlying distribution of process parameters or quality characteristics depart from Norm…
Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for the sparse spectrum approximation to avoid both issues. We model the covariance fu…
Estimates stationary mass and frequency from non-i.i.d. data.
We introduce wavelet-based methodology for estimation of realized variance allowing its measurement in the time-frequency domain. Using smooth wavelets and Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, we allow for the decomposition of the realized variance into several investment horizons and jumps. Basing our estimator…
BASS efficiently learns time-varying graphs with low complexity and automatic tuning.
In this paper, a generalized multivariate Student-t mixture model is developed for classification and clustering of Low Probability of Intercept radar waveforms. A Low Probability of Intercept radar signal is characterized by a pulse compression waveform which is either frequency-modulated or phase-modulated. The propo…
Generative model simulates financial market price variations from order flow.
Realized statistics based on high frequency returns have become very popular in financial economics. In recent years, different non-parametric estimators of the variation of a log-price process have appeared. These were developed by many authors and were motivated by the existence of complete records of price data. Amo…