The so-called level crossing analysis has been used to investigate the empirical data set. But there is a lack of interpretation for what is reflected by the level crossing results. The fractional Gaussian noise as a well-defined stochastic series could be a suitable benchmark to make the level crossing findings more s…
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Study fractional structures on bundle gerbe modules using rational homotopy theory.
Investment strategy using fractional Kelly portfolios for better growth expectations.
Traditionally, there are three species of classification: unsupervised, supervised, and semi-supervised. Supervised and semi-supervised classification differ by whether or not weight is given to unlabelled observations in the classification procedure. In unsupervised classification, or clustering, all observations are …
Unified model explains volatility memory in stocks and forex.
A new formula approximates knot volume using Jones polynomial evaluations.
New neural operators model turbulence with memory and randomness.
The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null hypothesis is that breaks in different parameters occur at common locations and…
The existence of a phase transition with diverging susceptibility in batch Minority Games (MGs) is the mark of informationally efficient regimes and is linked to the specifics of the agents' learning rules. Here we study how the standard scenario is affected in a mixed population game in which agents with the `optimal'…
The paper analyzes how minority group imbalance affects neural network performance.
Develops a method to ensure accurate quantile forecasts across multiple levels.
Classifies 3-braids from choreographic motions on Lissajous curves, linking them to mapping classes and geodesics.
In this work we present a new approach on studying dynamical systems. Combining the two ways of expressing the uncertainty, using probabilistic theory and credibility theory, we have research the generalized fractional hybrid equations. We have introduced the concepts of generalized fractional Wiener process, generaliz…
Methods from the geometry of nonholonomic manifolds and Lagrange-Finsler spaces are applied in fractional calculus with Caputo derivatives and for elaborating models of fractional gravity and fractional Lagrange mechanics. The geometric data for such models are encoded into (fractional) bi-Hamiltonian structures and as…
New method makes robust estimators work without knowing corruption levels.
Introduces fractional k-dimensional measure bridging fractional length and area.
The theory of derivative of noninteger order goes back to Leibniz, Liouville and Riemann. Derivatives of fractional order have found many applications in recent studies in mechanics, physics, economics. In this paper we define the fractional tangent bundle on a manifold, using a method of Radu Miron. The fractional Lei…
In this short report, we investigate the ability of the DCCA coefficient to measure correlation level between non-stationary series. Based on a wide Monte Carlo simulation study, we show that the DCCA coefficient can estimate the correlation coefficient accurately regardless the strength of non-stationarity (measured b…
In this paper we show that there are applications that transform the movement of a pendulum into movements in . This can be done using Euler top system of differential equations. On the constant level surfaces, Euler top system reduces to the equation of a pendulum. Those properties are also considered in…
This is the second paper in a series of papers aimed at providing a geometric construction of modular functors and topological quantum field theories from conformal field theory building on the constructions in [TUY] and [KNTY]. We give a geometric construct of a modular functor for any simple Lie-algebra and any level…
Let be a closed orientable surface of genus and a simple closed nonseparating curve in . Let denote a left handed Dehn twist about . A \textit{fractional power} of of \textit{exponent} $\fraction{\ell}{n}$ is an $h \in \Mod(S_g)$ such that . Unlike a root of a $t…
We formulate the fractional Ricci flow theory for (pseudo) Riemannian geometries enabled with nonholonomic distributions defining fractional integro-differential structures, for non-integer dimensions. There are constructed fractional analogs of Perelman's functionals and derived the corresponding fractional evolution …
Using Caputo fractional derivative of order we build the fractional jet bundle of order and its main geometrical structures. Defined on that bundle, some fractional dynamical systems with applications to economics are studied.
In order to model volatile real-world network behavior, we analyze phase-flipping dynamical scale-free network in which nodes and links fail and recover. We investigate how stochasticity in a parameter governing the recovery process affects phase-flipping dynamics, and find the probability that no more than q% of nodes…
Paper tackles rough volatility estimation from high-frequency data.
Volatility roughness studied using fractional noise-driven models.
We study the effect of altruism in two simple asset exchange models: the yard sale model (winner gets a random fraction of the poorer player's wealth) and the theft and fraud model (winner gets a random fraction of the loser's wealth). We also introduce in these models the concept of bargaining efficiency, which makes …
This study compares Bitcoin and S&P 500 returns using a new GTS distribution method.
Using the reviewed Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative we introduce the fractional osculator Lagrange space of k order and the main structures on it. The results are applied at the k order fractional prolongation of Lagrange, Finsler and Riemann fractional structures.
We consider a stochastic model of investment on an asset of a stock market for a prudent investor. She decides to buy permanent goods with a fraction $\a$ of the maximum amount of money owned in her life in order that her economic level never decreases. The optimal strategy is obtained by maximizing the exponential gro…
Recently, there has been significant interest in linear regression in the situation where predictors and responses are not observed in matching pairs corresponding to the same statistical unit as a consequence of separate data collection and uncertainty in data integration. Mismatched pairs can considerably impact the …
Develops fractional de Rham theory for Maxwell equations.
Modeling financial markets with memory using fractional calculus and Brownian motion.
Long and short memory in economic processes is usually described by the so-called discrete fractional differencing and fractional integration. We prove that the discrete fractional differencing and integration are the Grunwald-Letnikov fractional differences of non-integer order d. Equations of ARIMA(p,d,q) and ARFIMA(…
In this paper we established the condition for a curve to satisfy stochas- tic fractional HP (Hamilton-Pontryagin) equations. These equations are described using It^o integral. We have also considered the case of stochastic fractional Hamiltonian equa- tions, for a hyperregular Lagrange function. From the stochastic fr…
We study the fractional gravity for spacetimes with non-integer dimensions. Our constructions are based on a geometric formalism with the fractional Caputo derivative and integral calculus adapted to nonolonomic distributions. This allows us to define a fractional spacetime geometry with fundamental geometric/physical …
Extends fractional uncertainty principles with extremizers and stability results.
Approximates derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility.
New method uses fractional posteriors for semiparametric inference with improved uncertainty quantification.
Thanks to the rise of wearable and connected devices, sensor-generated time series comprise a large and growing fraction of the world's data. Unfortunately, extracting value from this data can be challenging, since sensors report low-level signals (e.g., acceleration), not the high-level events that are typically of in…
In this paper we introduce a link between geometry of ordinary continued fractions and trajectories of points that moves according to the second Kepler law. We expand geometric interpretation of ordinary continued fractions to the case of continued fractions with arbitrary elements.
The paper studies inequalities for fractional GJMS operators on conformal infinity.
Using the fractional integration and differentiation on R we build the fractional jet fibre bundle on a differentiable manifold and we emphasize some important geometrical objects. Euler-Lagrange fractional equations are described. Some significant examples from mechanics and economics are presented.
In this paper we study the real time deployment of deep learning algorithms in low resource computational environments. As the use case, we compare the accuracy and speed of neural networks for smile detection using different neural network architectures and their system level implementation on NVidia Jetson embedded p…
New model uses generalized fractional Brownian motion for stock price prediction.
Paper approximates fractional harmonic maps with numerical methods.
New framework for ranking distributions using variable fractional parameters.
The mixed-fractional CEV model improves CDS pricing by accounting for default risk.