A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study shows climate change can cause a 'run on fossil fuels' affecting prices and production.
To achieve the ambitious aims of the Paris climate agreement, the majority of fossil-fuel reserves needs to remain underground. As current national government commitments to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions are insufficient by far, actors such as institutional and private investors and the social movement on divestmen…
This paper has been withdrawn by the author due to some inaccurate descriptions in the section of INTRODUCTION and CONCLUSIONS.
Fossil power firms have recently profited more than renewables, but this may be a temporary phenomenon.
AI speeds up hydrogen fuel cell stack development time.
Conversion of corn to ethanol in the US since 2005 has been a major cause of global food price increases during that time and has been shown to be ineffective in achieving US energy independence and reducing environmental impact. We make three key statements to enhance understanding and communication about ethanol prod…
Due to the threat of climate change, a transition from a fossil-fuel based system to one based on zero-carbon is required. However, this is not as simple as instantaneously closing down all fossil fuel energy generation and replacing them with renewable sources -- careful decisions need to be taken to ensure rapid but …
Paper provides a method to price electricity storage contracts using COS technique.
Deep hedging strategies for Green PPAs in electricity markets reduce risk.
Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are mainstay tools for assessing the long-term interactions between climate and the economy and for deriving optimal policy responses in the form of carbon prices. IAMs have been criticized for controversial discount rate assumptions, arbitrary climate damage functions, and the inade…
Wind power, as an alternative to burning fossil fuels, is abundant and inexhaustible. To fully utilize wind power, wind farms are usually located in areas of high altitude and facing serious ice conditions, which can lead to serious consequences. Quick detection of blade ice accretion is crucial for the maintenance of …
Long-range climate forecasts use integrated assessment models to link the global economy to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper evaluates an alternative economic framework outlined in part 1 of this study (Garrett, 2014) that approaches the global economy using purely physical principles rather than explicitly resolve…
Policy shifts between Trump and Biden impact ESG investments, creating volatility.
A model is presented in this work for simulating endogenously the evolution of the marginal costs of production of energy carriers from non-renewable resources, their consumption, depletion pathways and timescales. Such marginal costs can be used to simulate the long term average price formation of energy commodities. …
Fast, interpretable electricity consumption scenarios for individual consumers.
Study builds ML models to predict fuel properties accurately.
Airlines optimize fuel loading with better flight time predictions.
Real-time fuel leakage detection framework MOCPD improves accuracy.
Study assesses climate risks on supply chains and financial systems using detailed firm emissions data.
Climate change is widely expected to increase weather related damage and the insurance claims that result from it. This will increase insurance premiums, in a way that is independent of a customer's contribution to the causes of climate change. Insurance provides a financial mechanism that mitigates some of the consequ…
Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV) play an important role in the decarbonization of the transportation sector. For a wider adoption of ZEVs, providing a reliable infrastructure is critical. We present a machine learning approach that uses unsupervised temporal clustering algorithm along with survey analysis to determine infr…
Study on AI-driven modeling for high burnup accident-tolerant fuels in SMRs.
Fuel poverty affects between 50 and 125 million households in Europe and is a significant issue for both developed and developing countries globally. This means that fuel poor residents are unable to adequately warm their home and run the necessary energy services needed for lighting, cooking, hot water, and electrical…
Study shows visual feedback and monetary incentives reduce plugload energy consumption in commercial buildings.
Paper develops robust neural network sensors for fuel injection quantities.
The paper analyzes MENA region's energy consumption and policy needs for renewable energy.
Custom loss functions improve accuracy of wildfire rate of spread forecasts.
This paper describes a pattern recognition approach aiming to estimate fuel cell duration time from electrochemical impedance spectroscopy measurements. It consists in first extracting features from both real and imaginary parts of the impedance spectrum. A parametric model is considered in the case of the real part, w…
Foraminifera are single-celled marine organisms, which may have a planktic or benthic lifestyle. During their life cycle they construct shells consisting of one or more chambers, and these shells remain as fossils in marine sediments. Classifying and counting these fossils have become an important tool in e.g. oceanogr…
This research assesses uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis for DTs in nuclear fuel performance.
A method for quickly determining deployment schedules that meet a given fuel cycle demand is presented here. This algorithm is fast enough to perform in situ within low-fidelity fuel cycle simulators. It uses Gaussian process regression models to predict the production curve as a function of time and the number of depl…
We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity spot prices. The stack structure allows for a range of generator efficiencies p…
Estimates reliability of nuclear fuel using advanced modeling techniques.
We introduce two Python frameworks to train neural networks on large datasets: Blocks and Fuel. Blocks is based on Theano, a linear algebra compiler with CUDA-support. It facilitates the training of complex neural network models by providing parametrized Theano operations, attaching metadata to Theano's symbolic comput…
In April 2009, we introduced a model representing the evolution of motor fuel price (a subcategory of the consumer price index of transportation) relative to the overall CPI as a linear function of time. Under our framework, all price deviations from the linear trend are transient and the price must promptly return to …
Deep learning detects corrosion in nuclear fuel canisters.
We solve a class of control problems with fuel constraint by means of the log-Laplace transforms of -functionals of Dawson-Watanabe superprocesses. This solution is related to the superprocess solution of quasilinear parabolic PDEs with singular terminal condition. For the probabilistic verification proof, we develo…
Study forecasts Turkish residential NGD using JITL-GPR, reducing errors.
We propose a new structural model that can compute the electricity spot and forward prices in two coupled markets with limited interconnection and multiple fuels. We choose a structural approach in order to represent some key characteristics of electricity spot prices such as their link to fuel prices, consumption leve…
We consider a semilinear parabolic degenerated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with singularity which is related to a stochastic control problem with fuel constraint. The fuel constraint translates into a singular initial condition for the HJB equation. We first propose a transformation based on a change of vari…
Paper quantifies uncertainties in EIS spectra of SOFCs, proposing VB method for online monitoring.
China's rapid economic growth resulted in serious air pollution, which caused substantial losses to economic development and residents' health. In particular, the road transport sector has been blamed to be one of the major emitters. During the past decades, fluctuation in the international oil prices has imposed signi…
Time-warping improves RNN transfer learning for diverse time scales.
Bayesian modeling predicts hydroxide ion conductivity in polymer membranes.
BP fails to find sparsest solution for structured matrices.
Paper reduces hyperparameters in mixed-categorical Gaussian processes for green aircraft optimization.
The purpose of the paper is to present a new pricing method for clean spread options, and to illustrate its main features on a set of numerical examples produced by a dedicated computer code. The novelty of the approach is embedded in the use of structural models as opposed to reduced-form models which fail to capture …
Machine learning predicts ship performance changes over time.