Latent force models are systems whereby there is a mechanistic model describing the dynamics of the system state, with some unknown forcing term that is approximated with a Gaussian process. If such dynamics are non-linear, it can be difficult to estimate the posterior state and forcing term jointly, particularly when …
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48 results for “force estimation”
Method estimates fingertip forces, torques, and curvatures from fingernail images.
problem Estimating fingertip forces and curvatures in various contact scenarios.
method Deformation and color distribution analysis of fingernail images using neural networks.
result High accuracy in predicting fingertip forces, torques, and curvatures.
Method estimates forces from agent trajectories to infer static obstacles.
problem Estimating forces from agent trajectories to infer static obstacles.
method Artificial neural networks to estimate non-parametric velocity fields.
result Incrementally learns velocity fields due to static objects.
We apply the potential force estimation method to artificial time series of market price produced by a deterministic dealer model. We find that dealers' feedback of linear prediction of market price based on the latest mean price changes plays the central role in the market's potential force. When markets are dominated…
Inflation, unemployment, and labour force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Austriaq-fin.GN
We model the rate of inflation and unemployment in Austria since the early 1960s within the Phillips/Fisher framework. The change in labour force is the driving force representing economic activity in the Phillips curve. For Austria, this macroeconomic variable was first tested as a predictor of inflation and unemploym…
In this paper we contribute a novel algorithm family, which generalizes many unsupervised techniques including unnormalized and energy models, and allows us to infer different statistical modalities (e.g. data likelihood and ratio between densities) from data samples. The proposed unsupervised technique, named Probabil…
The paper presents a method to infer unknown forcing functions in differential equations using Gaussian processes and adjoints.
problem Inferring unknown forcing functions in differential equations from noisy observations.
method Using adjoint methods to efficiently infer Gaussian process (GP) driven differential equations, with truncated basis expansions of the GP kernel.
result Efficient Bayesian inference of forcing functions modeled as GPs using adjoints, with lower computation than MCMC methods.
An empirical model is presented linking inflation and unemployment rate to the change in the level of labour force in Switzerland. The involved variables are found to be cointegrated and we estimate lagged linear deterministic relationships using the method of cumulative curves, a simplified version of the 1D Boundary …
A Gaussian process latent force model for joint input-state estimation in linear structural systemscs.LG
The problem of combined state and input estimation of linear structural systems based on measured responses and a priori knowledge of structural model is considered. A novel methodology using Gaussian process latent force models is proposed to tackle the problem in a stochastic setting. Gaussian process latent force mo…
In recent years, there has been a growing interest in geometric evolution in heterogeneous media. Here we consider curvature driven fows of planar curves, with an additional space-dependent forcing term. Motivated by a homogenization problem, we look for estimates which depend only on the uniform norm of the forcing te…
In earlier work, we provided a general description of the forces of attraction and repulsion, encountered by two parallel vertical plates of infinite extent and of possibly differing materials, when partially immersed in an infinite liquid bath and subject to surface tension forces. In the present study, we examine som…
Inflation, unemployment, and labor force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Japanq-fin.GN
The evolution of the rate of price inflation and unemployment in Japan has been modeled within the Phillips curve framework. As an extension to the Phillips curve, we represent both variables as linear functions of the change rate of labor force. All models were first estimated in 2005 for the period between 1980 and 2…
Latent force models (LFM) are principled approaches to incorporating solutions to differential equations within non-parametric inference methods. Unfortunately, the development and application of LFMs can be inhibited by their computational cost, especially when closed-form solutions for the LFM are unavailable, as is …
ITF improves DSR but inflates curvature, while marginal likelihood reduces it, affecting QoIs.
problem Curvature mismatch between teacher forcing and marginal likelihood in chaotic dynamical systems.
method Comparing objective-induced curvatures of ITF and marginal likelihood in a probabilistic switching augmentation of AL-RNNs.
result Curvature inflation by ITF and reduction by marginal likelihood affect dynamical quantities of interest.
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force change rate, p(t)= A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1)+A2 was found for developed economies. For the USA, A1=4.0, A2=-0.03075, and t1=2 years. It provides a RMS forecasting error (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best amon…
Study uses GPLFM to create Digital Twin for ferry quay health monitoring.
problem Deterioration of ferry quays due to harsh maritime environments and impacts.
method Gaussian Process Latent Force Model (GPLFM) integrating physics-based model and machine learning.
result GPLFM provides accurate acceleration response estimates, even under simplifying assumptions.
We present a time-dependent Langevin description of dynamics of stock prices. Based on a simple sliding-window algorithm, the fluctuation of stock prices is discussed in the view of a time-dependent linear restoring force which is the linear approximation of the drift parameter in Langevin equation estimated from the f…
Cointegration helps insurers understand long-range mortality patterns.
problem Insurers struggle to detect long-range dependence in their mortality data.
method Cointegration techniques applied to mixed fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) to capture long-range dependence.
result Cointegration brings long-range dependence information from national mortality data to insurers' models.
Develops Hamiltonian Score Matching and Generative Flows for machine learning.
problem Estimating score functions and designing generative models.
method Introduces Hamiltonian velocity predictors (HVPs) for score matching and generative flows.
result Hamiltonian Generative Flows (HGFs) rival leading generative modeling techniques.
Estimation of Z-Thickness and XY-Anisotropy of Electron Microscopy Images using Gaussian Processeseess.IV
Method estimates section thickness and XY anisotropy in ssEM images.
problem Accurate 3D reconstructions require precise section thickness and XY anisotropy estimates.
method Non-parametric Bayesian regression of image statistics.
result Method has lower estimation error compared to existing methods.
Operator Forces For Coarse-Grained Molecular Dynamicsphysics.chem-ph
New method uses normalizing flows to improve force fields for coarse-grained molecular dynamics.
problem Lack of reference atomistic forces makes force matching infeasible for MLCG force fields.
method Introduces noise-based kernels adapted to low-data regimes using normalizing flows.
result Flow-based kernels reduce local distortions while preserving global accuracy.
In this paper, we would like to give an answer to \textbf{Problem 1} below issued firstly in [J. Mao, Eigenvalue estimation and some results on finite topological type, Ph.D. thesis, IST-UTL, 2013]. In fact, by imposing some conditions on the mean curvature of the initial hypersurface and the coefficient function of th…
Simple and efficient algorithms for training machine learning potentials to force dataphysics.comp-ph
New algorithm efficiently trains machine learning models to atomic forces data.
problem Efficiently training machine learning models to large amounts of force data.
method Developed an efficient algorithm for training machine learning models to all available force data.
result Training to all available force data is only a few times more expensive than training to energies alone.
The paper integrates dissipative and curl forces using geometric methods.
problem Incorporating dissipative forces into curl forces for non-conservative systems.
method Geometric metriplectic approach, Herglotz principle, generalized Euler-Lagrange equation, Galley's method.
result Natural formulations for Lagrangian and Hamiltonian dynamics of non-conservative systems.
Improved CG force-field learning from all-atom data.
problem Training accurate coarse-grained models from all-atom simulations is challenging.
method Optimized force mapping to improve statistical efficiency of force-field learning.
result Substantially improved CG force-fields can be learned from the same simulation data.
Paper introduces a PDE-free method for decomposing forces in any dimension.
problem Analyzing non-conservative forces in arbitrary dimensions.
method Geometric decomposition using homotopy operator and Frobenius theorem.
result Decomposes forces into gradient and antiexact components, characterizing curl forces.
Proposes linking energy and force uncertainty in deep learning potentials.
problem Uncertainty in predicted energies and forces in machine learning models.
method Introduces a spatially correlated noise process to link energy and force uncertainty.
result Demonstrates the approach on molecular datasets, linking energy and force uncertainties.
Study reveals hidden infections and infection dynamics from early data.
problem Understanding early infection dynamics and hidden infections in COVID-19.
method Data-driven machine learning analysis focusing on infection counts over time.
result Significant asymptomatic infections, 10-day lag, and strong infectious force.
We develop SHOPPER, a sequential probabilistic model of shopping data. SHOPPER uses interpretable components to model the forces that drive how a customer chooses products; in particular, we designed SHOPPER to capture how items interact with other items. We develop an efficient posterior inference algorithm to estimat…
We consider a generalization of the notion of a natural mechanical system to the case of additional forces of gyroscopic type. Such forces appear, for example, as a result of global reduction of a natural system with symmetry. We study symmetries in the systems with gyroscopic forces to find out when these systems admi…
In this paper we study the porous medium equation (PME) coupled with the Ricci flow on complete manifolds with bounded nonnegative curvature operator. In particular, we derive Aronson-Bénilan and Li-Yau-Hamilton type differential Harnack estimates for positive solutions to the PME, with a linear forcing term, under the…
Framework predicts responses in misspecified systems using GPLFM and BNNs.
problem Predicting responses in dynamical systems with model misspecification.
method Integrates GPLFM and BNNs for uncertainty-aware inference and prediction.
result Systematic propagation of uncertainty from diagnosis to prediction.
The paper analyzes errors in mechanical systems with external forces.
problem Error analysis of mechanical systems with external forces.
method Analysis of variational integrators with contact order for discrete mechanical systems.
result The contact order of the integrator is the same as the contact order of the original systems.
Study curve flows with global forcing terms using a distance comparison principle.
problem Analyse the behavior of curves under curve flows with global forcing terms.
method Prove a distance comparison principle for curve shortening flow with arbitrary global forcing terms.
result Established a distance comparison principle for curve flows with global forcing terms.
New method improves sample diversity and efficiency from complex distributions.
problem Sampling from intractable un-normalized distributions with high auto-correlation.
method Stein self-repulsive dynamics using a repulsive force to push samples away from past trajectories.
result Significantly decreases auto-correlation and increases effective sample size.
In this paper we provide a variational derivation of the Euler-Poincaré equations for systems subjected to external forces using an adaptation of the techniques introduced by Galley and others. Moreover, we study in detail the underlying geometry which is related to the notion of Poisson groupoid. Finally, we apply the…
An important task in structural design is to quantify the structural performance of an object under the external forces it may experience during its use. The problem proves to be computationally very challenging as the external forces' contact locations and magnitudes may exhibit significant variations. We present an e…
We show that under suitable non-degeneracy conditions, complete gradient flow lines of the scalar curvature functional of a riemannian manifold perturb into eternal forced mean curvature flows with large forcing term.
The paper finds that circles and logarithmic spirals are the only constant-speed ramps for a specific force field.
problem Determining planar curves for constant-speed motion under specific force conditions.
method Analyzing the motion of a particle under friction and a central force field.
result Every solution to the constant-speed motion problem approaches either a circle or a logarithmic spiral.
Embedded-physics machine learning for coarse-graining and collective variable discovery without datacs.LG
New framework embeds physics in coarse-grained models without big data.
problem Lack of big data and computational demand in data-driven coarse-graining.
method Proposes a novel objective based on reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence that incorporates physics in the form of force fields.
result Generative coarse-grained model predicts atomistic configurations and reveals physicochemical CVs.
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, p(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1)+ A2, where A0, A1, and A2 are empirical country-specific coefficients, was found for developed economies. The relationship obtained for France is characterized by A0=-1, A1=4, A2=0.095, t0=…
The Teacher Forcing algorithm trains recurrent networks by supplying observed sequence values as inputs during training and using the network's own one-step-ahead predictions to do multi-step sampling. We introduce the Professor Forcing algorithm, which uses adversarial domain adaptation to encourage the dynamics of th…
Hybrid models combine domain knowledge and data-driven learning for Earth observation.
problem Challenges in modelling Earth observation data with either purely mechanistic or data-driven methods.
method Gaussian process convolution models, specifically latent force models (LFMs), integrating physical knowledge into multioutput GP models.
result Model automatically estimates soil moisture persistence and discovers latent forces related to precipitation.
Proposes a new model to price options considering market forces beyond Black-Scholes.
problem Tackles the limitations of the Black-Scholes model in capturing unexpected market behaviors.
method Uses the analogy between quantum harmonic oscillator and financial market dynamics to propose a new market force-driven model.
result Shows how various market forces can be incorporated to modify option pricing, providing practical applications.
Proves uniqueness of blowups for forced mean curvature flow.
problem Proving uniqueness of blowups for forced mean curvature flow.
method Adapting methods from Euclidean space mean curvature flow to handle forcing term and blow-up limits.
result Uniqueness of tangent cones for forced mean curvature flow at self-shrinkers and cylindrical self-shrinkers.
The paper simplifies complex mechanical systems with external forces.
problem Analyzing symmetric discrete mechanical systems with external forces.
method Lagrangian reduction and reconstruction for principal bundles.
result Evolution of momentum maps and Poisson structures under different conditions.
New insights into Hessian structure of neural networks reveal two forces.
problem Understanding the Hessian structure of neural networks.
method Analyzing the static and dynamic forces, comparing limit distributions using random matrix theory.
result The Hessian structure arises from a combination of static and dynamic forces, with being a primary driver.
We re-estimate statistical properties and predictive power of a set of Phillips curves, which are expressed as linear and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was u…