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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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109219328437 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for flexible conditioning

In this paper we study geometric, algebraic, and computational aspects of flexibility and infinitesimal flexibility of Kokotsakis meshes. A Kokotsakis mesh is a mesh that consists of a face in the middle and a certain band of faces attached to the middle face by its perimeter. In particular any 3x3-mesh made of quadran…

2008-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

ACE models allow flexible conditioning and prediction of latent variables.

problem Lack of flexibility in conditioning and prediction of latent variables in probabilistic models.
method Introduces Amortized Conditioning Engine (ACE) that explicitly represents latent variables and allows runtime conditioning and prediction.
result ACE models outperform existing methods in diverse tasks like image completion, classification, Bayesian optimization, and simulation-based inference.

In this paper we study infinitesimal and finite flexibility for generic semidiscrete surfaces. We prove that generic 2-ribbon semidiscrete surfaces have one degree of infinitesimal and finite flexibility. In particular we write down a system of differential equations describing isometric deformations in the case of exi…

2010-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New inequality for odd-degree flexible curves using surface doubling.

problem Bounding the number of non-empty ovals of odd-degree flexible curves.
method Defining an Arnold surface for odd-degree flexible curves and using it to derive a Viro--Zvonilov-type inequality.
result Upper bound on the number of non-empty ovals of odd-degree flexible curves.

Combines MCTM and NF for flexible multivariate density regression with interpretable marginals.

problem Difficult interpretation of flexible NF models and limitations of MCTM in flexibility.
method Hybrid approach combining MCTM for interpretable marginals and NF for complex joint distributions.
result Demonstrates versatility and improved performance compared to MCTM and other NF models.

New method avoids IV limitations for flexible estimation.

problem Nonparametric estimation of IV regressions with multiple solutions.
method Minimax penalized estimator avoiding identification and closedness conditions.
result Strong L2L_2 convergence rate without closedness condition.

A new method models individual survival curves using conditional normalizing flows.

problem Precise per-individual predictions in survival analysis.
method Conditional normalizing flows for flexible and individualized survival distributions.
result Efficient estimation of individual survival curves without overfitting.

We propose a novel and flexible rank-breaking-then-composite-marginal-likelihood (RBCML) framework for learning random utility models (RUMs), which include the Plackett-Luce model. We characterize conditions for the objective function of RBCML to be strictly log-concave by proving that strict log-concavity is preserved…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

VSPS creates flexible prediction regions for multi-target regression with guaranteed coverage.

problem Uncertainty quantification in multi-target regression with complex distributions.
method Conditional normalizing flows with conformal calibration to identify dense regions.
result VSPS produces smaller, more informative prediction regions with robust coverage guarantees.

MOPI optimizes flexible set-valued mappings to achieve superior shape adaptivity in conformal prediction.

problem Challenges in achieving valid conditional coverage in conformal prediction.
method Minimax Optimization Predictive Inference (MOPI) framework that optimizes over a flexible class of set-valued mappings.
result MOPI achieves superior shape adaptivity and maintains a principled connection to mean squared coverage error.

Signals coming from multivariate higher order conditional moments as well as the information contained in exogenous covariates, can be effectively exploited by rational investors to allocate their wealth among different risky investment opportunities. This paper proposes a new flexible dynamic copula model being able t…

2016-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes an agent-based model that combines both spot and balancing electricity markets. From this model, we develop a multi-agent simulation to study the integration of the consumers' flexibility into the system. Our study identifies the conditions that real-time prices may lead to higher electricity costs,…

2017-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Temporal point processes are the dominant paradigm for modeling sequences of events happening at irregular intervals. The standard way of learning in such models is by estimating the conditional intensity function. However, parameterizing the intensity function usually incurs several trade-offs. We show how to overcome…

2019-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a variational autoencoder for long-term customer revenue forecasting.

problem Predicting long-term customer revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with flexible latent representation.
result Improves upon latest benchmarks in multiple real-world datasets.

The paper provides theoretical guarantees for transformation-based models in variational inference.

problem Theoretical justification for transformation-based models in variational inference.
method Theoretical analysis of non-linear latent variable models and Gaussian process priors.
result Theoretical guarantees for implicit variational inference, achieving optimal risk bounds and approximating the true posterior.

A central problem in machine learning involves modeling complex data-sets using highly flexible families of probability distributions in which learning, sampling, inference, and evaluation are still analytically or computationally tractable. Here, we develop an approach that simultaneously achieves both flexibility and…

2015-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

WDL models density curves using Wasserstein distance and flexible mixture models.

problem Modeling entire distribution and non-negativity constraints.
method Wasserstein distance, Semi-parametric Conditional Gaussian Mixture Models (SCGMM), Majorization-Minimization optimization.
result WDL better characterizes nonlinear dependence of conditional densities.

Novel neural GP kernels learn stable, flexible covariance structures.

problem Scalable and flexible covariance kernels for Gaussian processes.
method Directly learn kriging coefficients and conditional standard deviations using deep neural architectures exploiting permutation-equivariant structure.
result Improved training stability and data efficiency with expressive, non-stationary kernels.

We investigate a generic problem of learning pairwise exponential family graphical models with pairwise sufficient statistics defined by a global mapping function, e.g., Mercer kernels. This subclass of pairwise graphical models allow us to flexibly capture complex interactions among variables beyond pairwise product. …

2013-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a method to learn causal response representations through direct effect analysis.

problem Uncovering direct causal effects in complex, multivariate settings.
method Our method bridges conditional independence testing with causal representation learning, formulating an optimisation problem to maximise evidence against conditional independence.
result The largest eigenvalue distribution can be bounded by an FF-distribution, providing testable conditional independence.

DDN models flexible free-form conditional distributions.

problem Difficulty in explicitly approximating arbitrary conditional distributions.
method Deconvolutional neural network framework for discretizing continuous domains.
result DDN outperforms other density-estimation methods on various tasks.

New model captures time and mark inter-dependence in TPPs.

problem Limited predictive performance of conditionally independent TPP models on entangled time and mark interactions.
method Developed a multivariate TPP that models conditional inter-dependence of time and mark, using both intensity-based and intensity-free models.
result Proposed TPP models outperform conditionally independent and dependent models in standard prediction tasks.

RegFlow models future states with flexible probability distributions.

problem Predicting future states under complex, non-deterministic scenarios.
method Hypernetwork architecture and continuous normalizing flow model.
result RegFlow achieves state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets.

MGLM models all possible language channel factorizations for improved multilingual generation.

problem Generating multilingual text with flexibility and quality.
method Generative joint distribution model over language channels, marginalizing all possible factorizations.
result MGLM outperforms traditional models in multilingual generation tasks.

Learning a distribution conditional on a set of discrete-valued features is a commonly encountered task. This becomes more challenging with a high-dimensional feature set when there is the possibility of interaction between the features. In addition, many frequently applied techniques consider only prediction of the me…

2013-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Diffusion models enhance SBI with flexible parameter and observation learning.

problem Efficient and accurate estimation of latent parameters from simulations and real data.
method Score-based diffusion models, guidance, score composition, flow matching, consistency models, joint modeling.
result Flexibility and versatility in modeling various problems.

Recent financial disasters have emphasised the need to accurately predict extreme financial losses and their consequences for the institutions belonging to a given financial market. The ability of econometric models to predict extreme events strongly relies on their flexibility to account for the highly nonlinear and a…

2015-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Let X=G/P be cominuscule rational homogeneous variety. (Equivalently, X admits the structure of a compact Hermitian symmetric space.) We say a Schubert class [S] is Schur rigid if the only irreducible subvarieties Y of X with homology class [Y] = r [S], for an integer r, are Schubert varieties. Robles and The identifie…

2012-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Semiparametric Bayesian networks combine parametric and nonparametric models for flexible data analysis.

problem Combining the advantages of parametric and nonparametric models for flexible data analysis.
method Semiparametric Bayesian networks combining parametric and nonparametric conditional probability distributions. Modifications of two algorithms for structure learning from data.
result Accurately learns the combination of parametric and nonparametric components, comparable to state-of-the-art methods.

Researchers develop flexible kernels for biological sequences with guaranteed reliability.

problem Challenges in applying machine learning to biological sequences, including unreliable methods.
method Theoretical analysis and development of modified kernels to ensure reliability and accuracy.
result Developed kernels that are universal, characteristic, and metrize the space of distributions for biological sequences.

We demonstrate a conditional autoregressive pipeline for efficient music recomposition, based on methods presented in van den Oord et al.(2017). Recomposition (Casal & Casey, 2010) focuses on reworking existing musical pieces, adhering to structure at a high level while also re-imagining other aspects of the work. This…

2018-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we define and study flexible links and flexible isotopy in projective space. Flexible links are meant to capture the topological properties of real algebraic links. We classify all flexible links up to flexible isotopy using Ekholms interpretation of Viros encomplexed writhe.

2012-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The authors characterize flexibility in power and energy markets considering time, spatiality, resource, and risk.

problem Evaluating and maximizing flexibility in power systems and markets.
method Characterization of flexibility dimensions (time, spatiality, resource, risk) and their interrelations with flexibility assets, products, and services.
result Flexibility should be evaluated based on multiple dimensions for efficient power systems and markets.

The recent success of raw audio waveform synthesis models like WaveNet motivates a new approach for music synthesis, in which the entire process --- creating audio samples from a score and instrument information --- is modeled using generative neural networks. This paper describes a neural music synthesis model with fl…

2018-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗