We consider first order expansions of convex penalized estimators in high-dimensional regression problems with random designs. Our setting includes linear regression and logistic regression as special cases. For a given penalty function and the corresponding penalized estimator , we construct a quantity ,…
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Develops a martingale expansion for stochastic volatility models.
Taylor expansions improve reinforcement learning policies.
We provide a general method to compute a Taylor expansion in time of implied volatility for stochastic volatility models, using a heat kernel expansion. Beyond the order 0 implied volatility which is already known, we compute the first order correction exactly at all strikes from the scalar coefficient of the heat kern…
In the context of the multi-dimensional infinite horizon optimal consumption-investment problem with proportional transaction costs, we provide the first order expansion in small transact costs. Similar to the one-dimensional derivation in our accompanying paper [42], the asymptotic expansion is expressed in terms of a…
Paper studies the full asymptotic torsion forms of flat bundles.
We derive a small-time expansion for out-of-the-money call options under an exponential Levy model, using the small-time expansion for the distribution function given in Figueroa-Lopez & Houdre (2009), combined with a change of numéraire via the Esscher transform. In particular, we quantify find that the effect of a no…
In the framework of an incomplete financial market where the stock price dynamics are modeled by a continuous semimartingale (not necessarily Markovian) an explicit second-order expansion formula for the power investor's value function - seen as a function of the underlying market price of risk process - is provided. T…
We obtain a first order extension of the large deviation estimates in the Gärtner-Ellis theorem. In addition, for a given family of measures, we find a special family of functions having a similar Laplace principle expansion up to order one to that of the original family of measures. The construction of the special fam…
We review the utility-based valuation method for pricing derivative securities in incomplete markets. In particular, we review the practical approach to the utility-based pricing by the means of computing the first order expansion of marginal utility-based prices with respect to a small number of random endowments.
Paper improves risk estimation for extreme events.
We analyze the semi-hard triplet loss using Edgeworth expansion for better understanding of its behavior.
Iterative tilting fine-tunes diffusion models for reward-tilted distributions.
The paper studies the asymptotic expansion of Gaussian integral operators on Riemannian submanifolds.
In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity expansion of the implied volatility function. The proof is based on saddlepoint methods and classical …
Like all other knot polynomials, the superpolynomials should be defined in arbitrary representation R of the gauge group in (refined) Chern-Simons theory. However, not a single example is yet known of a superpolynomial beyond symmetric or antisymmetric representations. We consider the expansion of the superpolynomial a…
Volatility, fitting with first order Landau expansion, stationarity, and causality of the Taiwan stock market (TAIEX) are investigated based on daily records. Instead of consensuses that consider stock market index change as a random time series we propose the market change as a dual time series consists of the index a…
Paper examines risk measure expansions under FGM dependence, improving accuracy at extreme levels.
Improved stochastic approximation method reduces residual error.
This is the first in a series of papers in which we study an efficient approximation scheme for solving the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation for multi-dimensional problems in stochastic control theory. The method is a combination of a WKB style asymptotic expansion of the value function, which reduces the second order …
The paper optimizes portfolios in a financial market with correlated assets using a stochastic volatility model.
Sharp Sobolev inequality derived for Riemannian manifolds with bounded Ricci curvature.
Roy's `Safety First' criterion for selecting one risky asset from many is adapted to the case of non-normal returns, via Cornish Fisher expansion. The resulting investment objective is consistent with first order stochastic dominance, and is equal to the Sharpe ratio for the case of normal returns. An investor selectin…
The volume weighted average price (VWAP) execution strategy is well known and widely used in practice. In this study, we explicitly introduce a trading volume process into the Almgren-Chriss model, which is a standard model for optimal execution. We then show that the VWAP strategy is the optimal execution strategy for…
Develops a new framework to analyze gradient flow regimes and derive explicit solutions.
Deep neural network solves portfolio optimization with MGARCH and small transaction costs.
Paper applies theorem to find optimal investment boundary in stochastic capacity expansion.
This work introduces a new quantum kernel, quantum tangent kernel, for improved performance.
We consider the classical Merton problem of lifetime consumption-portfolio optimization problem with small proportional transaction costs. The first order term in the asymptotic expansion is explicitly calculated through a singular ergodic control problem which can be solved in closed form in the one-dimensional case. …
This is a survey of recent results on zeta- and eta-function poles and values for realizations of Laplace- and Dirac-type operators defined by pseudodifferential projection boundary conditions (including the Atiyah-Patodi-Singer operator and its square). Section 1 recalls some useful results for ps.d.o.s on closed mani…
Paper approximates XVA for European contingent claims using BSDEs and polynomial expansions.
Asymptotic expansions for call prices and implied volatilities in exponential Lévy models.
We consider the problem of optimal portfolio selection under forward investment performance criteria in an incomplete market. The dynamics of the prices of the traded assets depend on a pair of stochastic factors, namely, a slow factor (e.g. a macroeconomic indicator) and a fast factor (e.g. stochastic volatility). We …
The paper studies the distribution of random degeneracy sets on complex manifolds.
FoSR adds edges to graphs to prevent oversquashing and oversmoothing in GNNs.
Expectation Propagation (EP) provides a framework for approximate inference. When the model under consideration is over a latent Gaussian field, with the approximation being Gaussian, we show how these approximations can systematically be corrected. A perturbative expansion is made of the exact but intractable correcti…
In high dimensions, the mean and geometric median are nearly identical.
We study the sensitivity of the expected utility maximization problem in a continuous semi-martingale market with respect to small changes in the market price of risk. Assuming that the preferences of a rational economic agent are modeled with a general utility function, we obtain a second-order expansion of the value …
The paper establishes preferred coordinates for AE 3-manifolds, improving ADM center of mass convergence.
New method improves counterfactual distribution learning for high-dimensional outcomes.
We introduce two simple models of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with a singular terminal condition and we explain how and why they appear naturally as models for the valuation of CO2 emission allowances. Single phase cap-and-trade schemes lead readily to terminal conditions given by indicator funct…
A first-order formulation of gravity is developed in which the fundamental fields consist of an SL(2,C) connection and two spinor-valued 1-forms. It is shown that the first term of an expansion of the Einstein-Hilbert action leads to an action for these fields which consists of dynamic L2 inner products of their covari…
Paper quantifies uncertainty in pairwise comparison models.
Fractional stochastic volatility models have been widely used to capture the non-Markovian structure revealed from financial time series of realized volatility. On the other hand, empirical studies have identified scales in stock price volatility: both fast-time scale on the order of days and slow-scale on the order of…
Geometric methods integrate Lie systems for optimal control problems.
In this article we study the validity of the Whitney extension property for horizontal curves in sub-Riemannian manifolds endowed with 1-jets that satisfy a first-order Taylor expansion compatibility condition. We first consider the equiregular case, where we show that the extension property holds true whenever a…
Paper analyzes \FedAvg's convergence and introduces a new algorithm to reduce bias.
We consider the problem of utility maximization for investors with power utility functions. Building on the earlier work Larsen et al. (2016), we prove that the value of the problem is a Frechet-differentiable function of the drift of the price process, provided that this drift lies in a suitable Banach space. We then …