SVMs improve forest fire detection accuracy on challenging datasets.
problem Rapid and accurate detection of forest fires.
method Training SVMs on labeled fire image datasets, focusing on data preprocessing, feature extraction, and model training.
result SVMs enhance detection accuracy on complex datasets, revealing key parameters affecting performance.
The paper uses transformed ANOVA to identify important fire detection variables.
problem Identifying key variables for forest fire detection.
method Developed a complete orthonormal system for standard normal distribution, applied Z-score transformation, and used ANOVA approximation.
result Attribute ranking reveals important variables for fire detection.
This paper proposes a vision-based fire and smoke segmentation system which use spatial, temporal and motion information to extract the desired regions from the video frames. The fusion of information is done using multiple features such as optical flow, divergence and intensity values. These features extracted from th…
Chronnet models spatiotemporal data using chronological networks.
problem Handling large spatiotemporal datasets efficiently.
method Chronnet: Grid-based network model representing events chronologically.
result Chronnet captures frequent patterns, spatial changes, outliers, and clusters.
Detects project management anti-patterns using code and issue data.
problem Detecting project management anti-patterns requires expert judgment and is expensive.
method Convert descriptions to detectable metrics, quantify deviations, and optimize patterns.
result Automatic calibration enhances pattern detection and severity assessment.
Machine learning improves wildfire science and management, but requires expert knowledge.
problem Improving wildfire science and management through AI.
method Review of popular ML approaches and their application in six wildfire science domains.
result Opportunities exist for applying more advanced ML methods in wildfire science.
New method predicts positive samples with missing labels.
problem Missing labels due to response-dependent factors.
method P(U)U-O-Mixture algorithm for joint estimation.
result Non-convex algorithm leads to optimal statistical error.
Study creates open-access wildfire dataset for Russia.
problem Data scarcity for comprehensive Eurasian wildfire research.
method Machine learning for exploratory data analysis and predictive modeling.
result Identified key environmental factors influencing fire behavior.
FIRE extracts interpretable rules from tree ensembles.
problem Building sparse and interpretable rule sets from tree ensembles.
method Optimization-based framework with fusion regularization and sparsity-inducing penalties.
result FIRE outperforms state-of-the-art rule ensemble algorithms.
Dynamic risk assessment method for WUI fires improves upon static frameworks.
problem Static risk assessment methods fail to capture dynamic changes in WUI fire risks.
method Dynamic evaluation matrix, grey incidence analysis, optimization model.
result The proposed method effectively captures dynamic risk evolution patterns.
Despite being very effective in several classification tasks, Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques can select classifiers that classify all samples in the region of competence as being from the same class. The Frienemy Indecision REgion DES (FIRE-DES) tackles this problem by pre-selecting classifiers that correc…
Model predicts short-term Amazon rainforest fires with high accuracy.
problem Accurate short-term forecasting of Amazon rainforest fires is challenging.
method Used Seasonal and Trend decomposition based on Loess combined with multi-month-ahead load forecasting algorithms.
result Proposed decomposition-ensemble models provide more accurate forecasts than other models.
Forest Fire Clustering discovers cell types from single-cell data.
problem Discovering cell types from large-scale single-cell sequencing data.
method Iterative label propagation and parallelized Monte Carlo simulation.
result Forest Fire Clustering outperforms state-of-the-art methods on diverse benchmarks.
The firefighter game problem on locally finite connected graphs was introduced by Bert Hartnell. The game on a graph G can be described as follows: let fn be a sequence of positive integers; an initial fire starts at a finite set of vertices; at each (integer) time n≥1, fn vertices which are not on fire b…
New method speeds up neural network training by preprocessing weight-data correlation.
problem Slow neural network training due to high time complexity.
method Stores weight-data correlation in a tree structure for quick detection of firing neurons.
result Achieves o(nmd) time per iteration with only O(nmd) preprocessing time. SAE-FiRE extracts key financial info from long documents, improving earnings surprise predictions.
problem Predicting earnings surprises from long, redundant financial documents.
method Sparse Autoencoder feature selection to filter out noise and identify key dimensions.
result SAE-FiRE significantly outperforms baseline approaches in financial datasets.
Paper analyzes fire sales in a network of banks using VWAP and LOB pricing.
problem Optimal asset liquidation and borrowing strategies in a network of banks.
method Nash equilibrium model with two market clearing mechanisms.
result Existence and uniqueness of clearing solutions for liquidations, borrowing, prices, and haircuts.
Models predict fire and other emergencies in Edmonton.
problem Accurate prediction of emergency events for timely response.
method Data collection, descriptive analysis, feature selection, and negative binomial regression.
result Models perform well, with acceptable prediction errors for weekly and monthly periods.
Complex contagion model explains financial fire sales through continuous asset prices.
problem Modeling financial fire sales with a continuum of asset prices.
method Developed a threshold model of continuous-state cascades using real values for asset prices.
result Discretization approach accurately replicates the distribution of defaulted banks and asset prices.
Paper proposes decision-theoretic approach to combat wildfires.
problem Complexity and uncertainty in wildfire management.
method Partially-observable Markov decision process and data-driven model.
result Forecasting model accurately models wildfire spread.
We might hope that when faced with unexpected inputs, well-designed software systems would fire off warnings. Machine learning (ML) systems, however, which depend strongly on properties of their inputs (e.g. the i.i.d. assumption), tend to fail silently. This paper explores the problem of building ML systems that fail …
RETR improves indoor radar perception with a novel transformer model.
problem Indoor radar perception lacks models tailored for multi-view radar settings.
method RETR extends DETR architecture with depth-prioritized feature similarity, tri-plane loss, and radar-to-camera transformation.
result RETR outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 15.38+ AP for object detection and 11.91+ IoU for instance segmentation.
Mathematical framework investigates fire sales amplification and stability.
problem Market instability caused by fire sales amplification.
method Developed a mathematical framework to investigate system characteristics and resilience.
result Characterized systems resilient to small shocks for financial stability assessment.
Neural population activity often exhibits rich variability and temporal structure. This variability is thought to arise from single-neuron stochasticity, neural dynamics on short time-scales, as well as from modulations of neural firing properties on long time-scales, often referred to as "non-stationarity". To better …
This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized loans. The main results of this work are providing sufficient conditions for exis…
FIRE PBT improves neural network training by focusing on long-term performance.
problem Greedy decision mechanisms in PBT lead to poor long-term performance.
method FIRE PBT uses a fitness metric to encourage long-term performance over short-term improvements.
result FIRE PBT outperforms PBT on ImageNet and matches hand-tuned learning rates.
This paper provides a framework for modeling the financial system with multiple illiquid assets when liquidation of illiquid assets is caused by failure to meet a leverage requirement. This extends the network model of Cifuentes, Shin & Ferrucci (2005) which incorporates a single asset with fire sales and capital adequ…
Visual object detection is a computer vision-based artificial intelligence (AI) technique which has many practical applications (e.g., fire hazard monitoring). However, due to privacy concerns and the high cost of transmitting video data, it is highly challenging to build object detection models on centrally stored lar…
Study shows how capital constraints can lead to systemic crises in financial systems.
problem Impact of regulatory capital constraints on fire sales and financial stability.
method Mean field game model with banks adjusting holdings via trading strategies under regulatory constraints.
result Capital constraints can lead to simultaneous defaults in a substantial proportion of the banking system.
Recently, it has been shown that spiking neural networks (SNNs) can be trained efficiently, in a supervised manner, using backpropagation through time. Indeed, the most commonly used spiking neuron model, the leaky integrate-and-fire neuron, obeys a differential equation which can be approximated using discrete time st…
FIRE method improves model performance in federated learning by penalizing fragmentation-induced covariate shifts.
problem Performance degradation in federated learning due to data fragmentation and covariate shift.
method FIRE method accumulates fragmentation-induced covariate shift divergences via approximate Fisher information and uses it as a per-fragment loss penalty.
result FIRE outperforms importance weighting and federated learning benchmarks by up to 5.3% on shifted validation sets.
Paper compares GRU and LSTM for predicting wildfire spread direction.
problem Predicting wildfire spread direction with limited data.
method Comparison of Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks.
result GRU performs better for longer time series than LSTM.
We introduce tools to capture the dynamics of three different pathways, in which the synchronization of human decision-making could lead to turbulent periods and contagion phenomena in financial markets. The first pathway is caused when stock market indices, seen as a set of coupled integrate-and-fire oscillators, sync…
Detects harmful distribution shifts in deployed models without false alarms.
problem Detecting harmful distribution shifts in deployed models without false alarms.
method Sequential tools for testing if the difference between source and target distributions leads to a significant increase in a risk function.
result Demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed framework through extensive empirical studies.
Paper models spatio-temporal extremes using conditional variational autoencoders.
problem Modeling co-occurrence of extreme weather events under changing climate conditions.
method Conditional Variational Autoencoder (cXVAE) with CNN integration.
result Accurately emulates spatial fields and recovers extremal dependence with low computational cost.
FIRES framework selects stable features from online data.
problem Efficiently selecting features in online settings with limited data.
method FIRES framework uses model parameter importance for feature selection.
result FIRES selects stable feature sets with minimal model complexity.
Describes explaining neurons in deep representations using compositional logical concepts.
problem Interpreting neuron behavior in deep neural networks.
method Identifying compositional logical concepts that closely approximate neuron behavior.
result Compositional explanations provide insights into model performance and allow for adversarial example creation.
Model detects patterns in noisy binary data, explaining neuron activity in terms of cell assemblies.
problem Detecting structure in noisy or approximate repeats of patterns in sparse binary data.
method Probabilistic binary latent variable model based on Noisy-OR model, inferring sparse activity in latent variables.
result Model successfully extracts and explains latent structure in spiking neural data.
Third-generation neural networks, or Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs), aim at harnessing the energy efficiency of spike-domain processing by building on computing elements that operate on, and exchange, spikes. In this paper, the problem of training a two-layer SNN is studied for the purpose of classification, under a Ge…
This paper presents a Bayesian approach to learning the connectivity structure of a group of neurons from data on configuration frequencies. A major objective of the research is to provide statistical tools for detecting changes in firing patterns with changing stimuli. Our framework is not restricted to the well-under…
Maximal Rate of Stepwise Uncertainty Reduction selects simulations to reduce uncertainty efficiently.
problem Efficiently estimating quantities of interest from multi-fidelity simulations.
method Bayesian sequential strategy that maximizes the ratio of expected uncertainty reduction to simulation cost.
result MR-SUR strategy unifies and provides principled approaches to develop new methods.
DIET-SNN optimizes SNNs for faster, lower-energy image classification.
problem High inference latency and inefficient input encoding in SNNs.
method End-to-end backpropagation to optimize membrane leak and firing threshold.
result Achieves top-1 accuracy of 69% on ImageNet with 5 timesteps and 12x less compute energy.
The seemingly stochastic transient dynamics of neocortical circuits observed in vivo have been hypothesized to represent a signature of ongoing stochastic inference. In vitro neurons, on the other hand, exhibit a highly deterministic response to various types of stimulation. We show that an ensemble of deterministic le…
The mushroom body is the key network for the representation of learned olfactory stimuli in Drosophila and insects. The sparse activity of Kenyon cells, the principal neurons in the mushroom body, plays a key role in the learned classification of different odours. In the specific case of the fruit fly, the sparseness o…
Bayesian hybrid models fuse physics-based insights with machine learning constructs to correct for systematic bias. In this paper, we compare Bayesian hybrid models against physics-based glass-box and Gaussian process black-box surrogate models. We consider ballistic firing as an illustrative case study for a Bayesian …
GeomHerd predicts herding behavior before market prices move, using Ricci curvature of agent interaction graphs.
problem Quantifying herding behavior in markets that lags behind actual price movements.
method Develops a geometric framework to track coordination on agent interaction graphs, bypassing lag in price-correlation statistics.
result GeomHerd anticipates herding long before market baselines, with significant lead times in predictions.
This work bridges theory and practice in spiking reservoirs, identifying robust parameter ranges.
problem Challenging tuning of spiking reservoirs at the edge-of-chaos.
method Introducing robustness interval, systematic evaluations, and control experiments.
result Consistent monotonic trends in robustness interval width across network configurations.
Social media plays a major role during and after major natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes, large-scale fires, etc.), as people ``on the ground'' post useful information on what is actually happening. Given the large amounts of posts, a major challenge is identifying the information that is useful and actionable. Emerg…