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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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137275412549 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for finite-state distributions

In his 2011 work, Maas has shown that the law of any time-reversible continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space evolves like a gradient flow of the relative entropy with respect to its stationary distribution. In this work we show the converse to the above by showing that if the relative law of a Markov chain…

2014-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper simplifies multi-agent RL dynamics in finite-state Markov games using homogenization.

problem Approximating complex multi-agent reinforcement learning dynamics in finite-state Markov games.
method Rescaling learning process by reducing learning rate and increasing update frequency, proving convergence to an ODE.
result The rescaled process converges to an ODE that approximates the agent's learning dynamics.

A new layer learns abstract relations from graph structure using finite-state automata.

problem Learning abstract relations from graph structure for program analysis.
method Relaxing the problem into learning finite-state automata policies on a graph-based POMDP and training these policies using implicit differentiation.
result GFSA layer finds shortcuts in grid-world graphs and reproduces simple static analyses on Python programs.

We extend a recent synchronization analysis of exact finite-state sources to nonexact sources for which synchronization occurs only asymptotically. Although the proof methods are quite different, the primary results remain the same. We find that an observer's average uncertainty in the source state vanishes exponential…

2010-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores geometric calculations on probability manifolds derived from master equations.

problem Understanding geometric properties of probability manifolds from master equations.
method Deriving geometric quantities like Levi-Civita connection, gradient, Hessian, parallel transport, and curvatures on probability manifolds.
result Calculation of geometric quantities in probability manifolds, including curvatures and connections.

The method approximates stationary distributions of Markov models by truncating irrelevant states.

problem Computing the stationary distribution of complex Markov models is computationally challenging.
method A state-space lumping scheme that aggregates states in a grid structure, iteratively refining the state-space.
result The method provides a well-justified finite-state projection tailored to the stationary behavior of Markov models.

Epsilon-machines are minimal, unifilar presentations of stationary stochastic processes. They were originally defined in the history machine sense, as hidden Markov models whose states are the equivalence classes of infinite pasts with the same probability distribution over futures. In analyzing synchronization, though…

2011-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

State-regularized RNNs improve interpretability and performance on long-term memory tasks.

problem RNNs struggle with long-term memory and lack of interpretability.
method Introduce a stochastic state transition mechanism to limit state transitions to a finite set.
result State-regularized RNNs perform better on tasks requiring long-term memory.

A novel method reduces dimensionality for filtering SRNs with observed variables.

problem Challenges in estimating hidden state variables in SRNs with limited observations.
method Filtered Markovian Projection (Filtered MP) for dimensionality reduction in filtering.
result Filtered MP guarantees consistency and superior computational efficiency in high dimensions.

Modeling and learning turn-taking behaviors in multi-agent systems.

problem Modeling and predicting turn-taking behaviors in dynamic multi-agent systems.
method Individual behavior models (WFSTs) and multi-agent fusion model (logistic regression classifier).
result Accurately models and predicts turn-taking behaviors with high precision.

Researchers found a regular language for maximal lexicographic representatives in braid monoids.

problem Understanding the language of maximal lexicographic representatives in braid monoids.
method Detailed description of the smallest Finite State Automaton and analysis of the proportion of elements.
result The proportion of elements of length k whose maximal lexicographic representative finishes with the first generator tends to a number P_{n,1} ≥ 1/8 as k tends to infinity.

Reservoir computers and RNNs fall short of optimal prediction for stochastic PDFA.

problem Predicting stochastic processes generated by probabilistic deterministic finite-state automata.
method Generalized linear models, Reservoir computers, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) RNNs were tested.
result Each method can fall short of maximal predictive accuracy by up to 50% after training.

We analyze how an observer synchronizes to the internal state of a finite-state information source, using the epsilon-machine causal representation. Here, we treat the case of exact synchronization, when it is possible for the observer to synchronize completely after a finite number of observations. The more difficult …

2010-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method uses Mean Field Games to optimize mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.

problem Optimizing parameters of finite mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.
method Mean Field Games theory applied to multi-population systems.
result The Mean Field Games approach provides a method to compute mixture model parameters.

The paper develops a Hoeffding inequality for Markov chains and applies it to bandit problems.

problem Developing a Hoeffding inequality for Markov chains and applying it to bandit problems.
method Developed a Hoeffding inequality for the partial sums of an irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space.
result Demonstrated the inequality's effectiveness in identifying approximately best Markovian arms and minimizing regret in Markovian bandits.

New model estimates unknown number of users in asynchronous multiuser communication.

problem Estimating unknown number of users in asynchronous multiuser communication.
method Infinite factorial finite state machine model with Bayesian nonparametric approach.
result Effective recovery of data-generating process for various scenarios.

A simplified model shows how wealth distribution can be derived from random exchanges.

problem Understanding wealth inequality and its distribution over time.
method Stylized random exchange model, Markov chain, discrete and continuous stochastic processes, Boltzmann-type kinetic equations.
result Existence of equilibrium distribution in the stylized model.

The potential approach is a general and simple method for modelling interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and in principle other types of financial assets. This paper takes data on some liquid interest rate derivatives, and fits potential models using a small finite-state Markov chain as the base Markov process.

2012-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study of multi-armed bandits with state-switching rewards using Markov models.

problem Multi-armed bandit problem with state-switching rewards.
method Spectral method-of-moments estimations for hidden Markov models, belief error control, upper-confidence-bound methods.
result Upper bound of O(T2/3logT)O(T^{2/3}\sqrt{\log T}) for the learning algorithm performance.

New method improves convergence of gradient descent for non-convex, non-reversible Markov chains.

problem Improving convergence of gradient descent for non-convex, non-reversible Markov chains.
method Introducing a new technique that varies the mixing levels of the Markov chains to establish non-ergodic convergence under wider step sizes.
result Established non-ergodic convergence for non-convex problems and non-reversible finite-state Markov chains.

The paper tackles restless bandits with limited observation, proposing a method to analyze and approximate their optimal strategies.

problem Restless bandits with limited observation.
method General probabilistic model, PCL analysis, and approximation process.
result The proposed method can transform the problem into a finite-state problem, enabling the use of existing algorithms.

Study shows challenges in converting RNNs to FSMs due to computational complexity.

problem Understanding the equivalence and distance between RNNs and FSMs.
method Computational proofs for equivalence and distance problems between RNNs and FSMs.
result Undecidability and hardness of approximation problems between RNNs and FSMs.

Study provides convergence guarantees for discrete diffusion models on finite and infinite state spaces.

problem Challenges in understanding discrete diffusion models on combinatorial state spaces.
method Established convergence bounds for three discrete diffusion models using Euler approximations.
result Optimal non-asymptotic convergence guarantees for discrete diffusion models without boundedness assumptions.

Recurrent neural networks trained on regular languages exhibit stable states that can recover from noise.

problem Stability of internal states in recurrent neural networks trained on regular languages.
method Empirical study with analysis of network activation and transitions between states.
result Recurrent neural networks trained on regular languages can recover from random perturbations and maintain stable states.

In this paper, a finite-state mean-reverting model for the short-rate, based on the continuous time Ehrenfest process, will be examined. Two explicit pricing formulae for zero-coupon bonds will be derived in the general and the special symmetric cases. Its limiting relationship to the Vasicek model will be examined wit…

2010-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal portfolio allocation in credit markets with default contagion.

problem Risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with default contagion.
method Investigate recursive infinite-dimensional nonlinear dynamical programming equations (DPEs) and develop a verification theorem for optimal feedback strategies.
result Established existence and uniqueness of classical solutions to the recursive DPEs and constructed approximating problems to converge to the original system.

Sparse regularization reduces NLP model complexity without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Excessive parameter usage in neural models for NLP leads to high memory and runtime usage.
method Apply group lasso to rational RNNs to learn sparse, parameter-efficient models.
result Sparse rational RNNs can have significantly fewer parameters than non-sparse models without losing performance.