A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
In his 2011 work, Maas has shown that the law of any time-reversible continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space evolves like a gradient flow of the relative entropy with respect to its stationary distribution. In this work we show the converse to the above by showing that if the relative law of a Markov chain…
A new layer learns abstract relations from graph structure using finite-state automata.
problem Learning abstract relations from graph structure for program analysis.
method Relaxing the problem into learning finite-state automata policies on a graph-based POMDP and training these policies using implicit differentiation.
result GFSA layer finds shortcuts in grid-world graphs and reproduces simple static analyses on Python programs.
In this paper, we first establish the reflected backward stochastic difference equations with finite state (FS-RBSDEs for short). Then we explore the Existence and Uniqueness Theorem as well as the Comparison Theorem by "one step" method. The connections between FS-RBSDEs and optimal stopping time problems are investig…
We extend a recent synchronization analysis of exact finite-state sources to nonexact sources for which synchronization occurs only asymptotically. Although the proof methods are quite different, the primary results remain the same. We find that an observer's average uncertainty in the source state vanishes exponential…
We study the problem of learning Markov decision processes with finite state and action spaces when the transition probability distributions and loss functions are chosen adversarially and are allowed to change with time. We introduce an algorithm whose regret with respect to any policy in a comparison class grows as t…
Epsilon-machines are minimal, unifilar presentations of stationary stochastic processes. They were originally defined in the history machine sense, as hidden Markov models whose states are the equivalence classes of infinite pasts with the same probability distribution over futures. In analyzing synchronization, though…
Researchers found a regular language for maximal lexicographic representatives in braid monoids.
problem Understanding the language of maximal lexicographic representatives in braid monoids.
method Detailed description of the smallest Finite State Automaton and analysis of the proportion of elements.
result The proportion of elements of length k whose maximal lexicographic representative finishes with the first generator tends to a number P_{n,1} ≥ 1/8 as k tends to infinity.
We analyze how an observer synchronizes to the internal state of a finite-state information source, using the epsilon-machine causal representation. Here, we treat the case of exact synchronization, when it is possible for the observer to synchronize completely after a finite number of observations. The more difficult …
We generalize recent theoretical work on the minimal number of layers of narrow deep belief networks that can approximate any probability distribution on the states of their visible units arbitrarily well. We relax the setting of binary units (Sutskever and Hinton, 2008; Le Roux and Bengio, 2008, 2010; Montúfar and Ay,…
The potential approach is a general and simple method for modelling interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and in principle other types of financial assets. This paper takes data on some liquid interest rate derivatives, and fits potential models using a small finite-state Markov chain as the base Markov process.
We consider the estimation of the policy gradient in partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP) with a special class of structured policies that are finite-state controllers. We show that the gradient estimation can be done in the Actor-Critic framework, by making the critic compute a "value" function that …
In this paper, a finite-state mean-reverting model for the short-rate, based on the continuous time Ehrenfest process, will be examined. Two explicit pricing formulae for zero-coupon bonds will be derived in the general and the special symmetric cases. Its limiting relationship to the Vasicek model will be examined wit…
Study optimal portfolio allocation in credit markets with default contagion.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with default contagion.
method Investigate recursive infinite-dimensional nonlinear dynamical programming equations (DPEs) and develop a verification theorem for optimal feedback strategies.
result Established existence and uniqueness of classical solutions to the recursive DPEs and constructed approximating problems to converge to the original system.
In this work, we study stability of distributed filtering of Markov chains with finite state space, partially observed in conditionally Gaussian noise. We consider a nonlinear filtering scheme over a Distributed Network of Agents (DNA), which relies on the distributed evaluation of the likelihood part of the centralize…