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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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118235353470 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for finite-sample analysis

Paper analyzes Greedy-GQ for reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.

problem Analyzing Greedy-GQ for reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
method Develops finite-sample analysis for Greedy-GQ with linear function approximation under Markovian noise.
result Provides theoretical justification for choosing stepsizes for faster convergence.

This paper analyzes momentum Q-learning with finite-sample guarantees.

problem Improving Q-learning performance with momentum schemes.
method Proposes MomentumQ algorithm integrating Nesterov and Polyak's momentum schemes, analyzes convergence for function approximations.
result Establishes finite-sample convergence rates for MomentumQ, demonstrating better performance than vanilla Q-learning.

The paper shows how to learn causal representations with few environments and finite samples.

problem Learning causal representations from limited data and environments.
method Explicit, finite-sample guarantees with a logarithmic number of interventions.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal graph, mixing matrix, and unknown intervention targets.

This work analyzes tree-based methods from a ranking perspective, providing insights and new statistics.

problem Understanding the effectiveness of tree-based methods in finite-sample settings, especially symbolic feature selection.
method Local ranking perspective, finite-sample analysis, oracle bounds, posterior contraction results, concordant divergence statistics.
result New insights and statistics for evaluating symbolic feature mappings.

We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent, or drawn randomly from an L-stable distribution with infinite higher-order moment…

2014-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes PSGLD for adaptive IRL with finite-sample bounds.

problem Estimating cost function of a forward learner using noisy gradients.
method Passive stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (PSGLD) algorithm.
result Explicit bounds on 2-Wasserstein distance between PSGLD sample measure and stationary measure.

This work closes the gap between theory and practice for nICA identifiability.

problem Identifying latent components in nonlinearly mixed data.
method Finite-sample analysis of GCL-based nICA, combining GCL properties, statistical generalization, and numerical differentiation.
result Establishes a trade-off between function learner complexity and expressiveness.

The paper introduces a frequency-domain estimator for low-order systems from noisy data.

problem Estimating frequency responses of low-order systems from noisy measurements.
method Uses a quadratic data-fitting term regularized by the nuclear norm of a Loewner matrix, subject to a convex stability constraint.
result Proves a finite-sample error bound and extends it to all frequencies through rational interpolation.

We study finite sample properties of estimators of power-law cross-correlations -- detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA), height cross-correlation analysis (HXA) and detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (DMCA) -- with a special focus on short-term memory bias as well as power-law coherency. Presen…

2014-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes off-policy TD-learning using generalized Bellman operators and provides finite-sample bounds.

problem High variance in off-policy TD-learning due to importance sampling.
method Derives finite-sample bounds for off-policy TD-like algorithms using generalized Bellman operators.
result First-known finite-sample guarantees for several off-policy TD algorithms.

The paper studies how more data affects prediction risk in high-dimensional models.

problem The impact of increasing data on prediction risk in high-dimensional models.
method Derives central limit theorem and provides finite-sample distribution and confidence interval for prediction risk.
result Demonstrates 'more data hurt' phenomenon in high-dimensional least squares estimation.

Method constructs nonparametric prediction intervals with finite-sample guarantees.

problem Nonparametric instrumental variable regression with finite-sample coverage.
method Conformal inference framework applied to NPIV, combining with various estimators.
result Distribution-free, finite-sample coverage over chosen IV shifts.

Paper introduces a new reinforcement learning method with improved performance.

problem Designing and analyzing efficient reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Proximal gradient temporal difference learning (GTD) with accelerated algorithm GTD2-MP.
result GTD algorithms have linear complexity and improved convergence rate.

Unified framework for finite-sample RL algorithms using Lyapunov theory.

problem Finite-sample convergence guarantees of asynchronous RL algorithms.
method Reformulate RL algorithms as Markovian SA, develop Lyapunov analysis.
result Mean-square error bounds and convergence for various RL algorithms.

New method reduces sample complexity for robust reinforcement learning.

problem Finite sample analysis in robust reinforcement learning.
method Stochastic approximation framework with controlled bias, using MLMC techniques and geometric truncation.
result Order-optimal sample complexity of ildeO(ε2) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-2}) for robust policy evaluation.

The paper investigates topic models, ensuring their statistical identifiability and accuracy.

problem Lack of formal theoretical investigation of topic model identifiability and estimation accuracy.
method Proposes a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) based on integrated likelihood, introducing new geometric identifiability conditions.
result Introduces weaker conditions for topic model identifiability, allowing a broader investigation.

SARSA is an on-policy algorithm to learn a Markov decision process policy in reinforcement learning. We investigate the SARSA algorithm with linear function approximation under the non-i.i.d.\ data, where a single sample trajectory is available. With a Lipschitz continuous policy improvement operator that is smooth eno…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes how the one-dimensional Wasserstein distance captures pointwise density differences in finite samples.

problem Uncertainty in identifying density differences when supports overlap and densities have substantial pointwise differences.
method Analysis using the Poisson process and neural spike train decoding.
result The one-dimensional Wasserstein distance highlights meaningful density differences related to both rate and support.

This work analyzes nonexpansive stochastic approximations with Markovian noise, proving convergence in reinforcement learning.

problem Applying stochastic approximation to reinforcement learning settings with nonexpansive operators.
method Investigates nonexpansive stochastic approximations with Markovian noise, providing asymptotic and finite sample analysis.
result First-time proof of convergence for classical tabular average reward temporal difference learning.

Study on distributional TD learning with linear approximations for better return estimation.

problem Estimating the return distribution of a policy in reinforcement learning.
method Finite-sample analysis of distributional TD learning with linear function approximation, using the linear-categorical Bellman equation and exponential stability arguments for products of random matrices.
result Sample complexity of linear distributional TD learning matches that of classic linear TD learning, indicating similar difficulty in estimating return distribution versus its expectation.

Paper provides convergence guarantees for off-policy NAC with finite sample complexity.

problem Convergence analysis of off-policy natural actor-critic algorithm.
method Finite-sample analysis with Importance Sampling and Q-trace algorithm.
result Converges to global optimal policy with sample complexity O(ε3log2(1/ε))\mathcal{O}(ε^{-3}\log^2(1/ε)).

New method predicts state evolution for non-first-order algorithms on nonconvex problems.

problem Analyzing nonconvex optimization problems with random data.
method Developed a state evolution for a broader class of algorithms including first-order and saddle point updates.
result Established rigorous state evolution predictions and finite-sample guarantees for non-first-order methods.

We learn linear models from nonlinear systems using multiple trajectories and regularization.

problem Identifying linear models from data when the underlying dynamics are nonlinear.
method Multiple trajectories data acquisition followed by regularized least squares.
result Learn linearized dynamics with arbitrarily small error given enough samples.

New model-free DR-RL algorithm with finite sample complexity.

problem Limited model-free DR-RL methods with convergence guarantees or sample complexities.
method Integrates Multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) technique with threshold mechanism.
result First model-free DR-RL approach with finite sample complexity for total variation and Chi-square divergence.

A study on a surprising phase transition in model generalization error as parameters approach sample size.

problem Understanding the generalization error of overparametrized ridge models.
method Finite sample analysis using continuous Newton method and 2\ell_2-norm solution performance.
result The generalization error decreases after the threshold p=np=n for ridge models.

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is unknown, the database is sparse, and therefore special tail models are used. Very often…

2019-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm improves online canonical correlation analysis.

problem Online canonical correlation analysis.
method Stochastic Scaled-Gradient Descent (SSGD) for minimizing expectation over Riemannian manifolds.
result Achieved optimal one-time-scale algorithm with explicit rate of local asymptotic convergence.

Unified method for MMD variance estimation improves accuracy and computational efficiency.

problem Variance estimation for MMD in nonparametric testing.
method Unified finite-sample characterization of MMD variance through U-statistic and Hoeffding decomposition; exact acceleration method for univariate case.
result Unified estimators improve accuracy and computational efficiency for MMD variance.

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without external inputs. The objective is to recover the system parameters as well as the Kalm…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified theoretical guarantees for distribution-free changepoint detection and testing.

problem Distribution-free changepoint inference with finite-sample validity and consistency.
method Distribution-free changepoint localization using conformal p-values with theoretical guarantees.
result Unified distribution-free guarantees for changepoint detection, localization, and testing.

Develops methods to adjust prediction set coverage based on post-selection analysis.

problem Adjusting prediction set coverage after initial analysis to better fit specific needs.
method Post-selection conformal inference to adjust miscoverage levels.
result Allows for trade-off between coverage and prediction set quality.

Unified coverage analysis for linear off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning.

problem Lack of a unified understanding of coverage parameters in linear off-policy evaluation.
method Developed a novel finite-sample analysis for LSTDQ algorithm, introducing feature-dynamics coverage.
result Unified understanding of coverage parameters in linear off-policy evaluation.

The paper provides bounds on estimation error in a distributed online learning setting.

problem Estimating an unknown parameter in a distributed and online manner with finite sample guarantees.
method Proposes a distributed online estimation algorithm that improves accuracy through communication, providing non-asymptotic bounds on estimation error.
result Demonstrates a trade-off between estimation error and communication costs, and determines a stopping time for communication based on desired accuracy.

Study shows interpolating predictor's risk is optimal in low-dimensional factor regression models.

problem Understanding the risk of interpolating predictors in high-dimensional factor regression models.
method Detailed finite-sample analysis of minimum-norm interpolating predictor's risk in factor regression models.
result The risk of the minimum-norm interpolating predictor approaches optimal benchmarks in low-dimensional factor regression models.