arXiv research

The new notion of maturity-independent risk measures is introduced and contrasted with the existing risk measurement concepts. It is shown, by means of two examples, one set on a finite probability space and the other in a diffusion framework, that, surprisingly, some of the widely utilized risk measures cannot be used…

Study pricing of American put options with stochastic interest rate and finite maturity.

Study near-maturity convergence rates of American put prices in Lévy models.

We provide explicit conditions on the distribution of risk-neutral log-returns which yield sharp asymptotic estimates on the implied volatility smile. We allow for a variety of asymptotic regimes, including both small maturity (with arbitrary strike) and extreme strike (with arbitrary bounded maturity), extending previ…

Establish C^{1,2} regularity of American value functions in Heston model

Paper solves stock loan pricing with finite maturity using integral equations.

We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential Lévy models. This expansion applies to both small and large maturities and is based solely on the p…

We characterize the set of market models when there are a finite number of traded Vanilla and Barrier options with maturity $T$ written on the asset $S$. From a probabilistic perspective, our result describes the set of joint distributions for $(S_T, \sup_{u \leq T} S_u)$ when a finite number of marginal law constraint…

Study shows non-convergence of short-maturity expansion in SABR model.

We study the behavior of the critical price of an American put option near maturity in the exponential Lévy model when the underlying stock pays dividends at a continuous rate. In particular, we prove that, in situations where the limit of the critical price is equal to the stock price, the rate of convergence to the l…

Study on VIX options pricing in SABR model, showing infinite prices due to volatility explosion.

This paper extends static hedging for European options over multiple maturities.

We consider the problem of hedging a European interest rate contingent claim with a portfolio of zero-coupon bonds and show that an HJM type Markovian model driven by an infinite number of sources of randomness does not have some of the shortcomings found in the classical finite-factor models. Indeed, under natural con…

The paper develops a model for sovereign debt dynamics with explicit maturity structure.

We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its asymptotic properties in the limit of a large number of time steps under a certai…

Given a finite set of European call option prices on a single underlying, we want to know when there is a market model which is consistent with these prices. In contrast to previous studies, we allow models where the underlying trades at a bid-ask spread. The main question then is how large (in terms of a deterministic…

Study variance-optimal hedging of forward curve derivatives under stochastic volatility.

We show that the moment explosion time in the rough Heston model [El Euch, Rosenbaum 2016, arxiv:1609.02108] is finite if and only if it is finite for the classical Heston model. Upper and lower bounds for the explosion time are established, as well as an algorithm to compute the explosion time (under some restrictions…

Model-free approach to hedge path-dependent options using min-max optimization.

The completeness problem of the bond market model with the random factors determined by a Wiener process and Poisson random measure is studied. Hedging portfolios use bonds with maturities in a countable, dense subset of a finite time interval. It is shown that under natural assumptions the market is not complete unles…

Improved AMM protocol supports diverse loan maturities in DeFi.

The paper analyzes the mathematics of the relationship between the default risk and yield-to-maturity of a coupon bond. It is shown that the yield-to-maturity is driven not only by the default probability and recovery rate of the bond but also by other contractual characteristics of the bond that are not commonly assoc…

We propose and analyze numerical methods for the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) model. To construct the methods, we first discretize the infinite dimensional HJM equation in maturity time variable using quadrature rules for approximating the arbitrage-free drift. This results in a finite dimensional system of stochastic dif…

Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, substantial academic effort has been dedicated to improving our understanding of interbank lending networks (ILNs). Because of data limitations or by choice, the literature largely lacks multiple loan maturities. We employ a complete interbank loan contract dataset to investigate w…

A stock loan is a contract whereby a stockholder uses shares as collateral to borrow money from a bank or financial institution. In Xia and Zhou (2007), this contract is modeled as a perpetual American option with a time varying strike and analyzed in detail within a risk--neutral framework. In this paper, we extend th…

Flexible model captures commodity skews with maturity effects.

The paper analyzes short maturity Asian options using large deviations theory.

Study short maturity Asian options in jump-diffusion models with local volatility.

This paper proposes a Monte Carlo technique for pricing the forward yield to maturity, when the volatility of the zero-coupon bond is known. We make the assumption of deterministic default intensity (Hazard Rate Function). We make no assumption on the volatility of the yield. We actually calculate the initial value of …

We correct a mistake in the published version of our paper. Our new conclusion is that the "implied leverage effect" for single stocks is underestimated by option markets for short maturities and overestimated for long maturities, while it is always overestimated for OEX options, except for the shortest maturities wher…

Study short-maturity VIX and European option prices with jumps.

Asymptotic analysis of short-maturity options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models.

Investor optimizes consumption and investment in a bond market described by HJM model.

Develops a PIDE framework for option pricing with stochastic volatility and jumps.

We present a rigorous study of the short maturity asymptotics for Asian options with continuous-time averaging, under the assumption that the underlying asset follows the Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model. We present an analytical approximation for the Asian options prices which has the appropriate short matu…

This paper discusses the short-maturity behavior of Asian option prices and hedging portfolios. We consider the risk-neutral valuation and the delta value of the Asian option having a Hölder continuous payoff function in a local volatility model. The main idea of this analysis is that the local volatility model can be …

In this paper we show how to approximate a Heath-Jarrow-Morton dynamics for the forward prices in commodity markets with arbitrage-free models which have a finite dimensional state space. Moreover, we recover a closed form representation of the forward price dynamics in the approximation models and derive the rate of c…

Cryptocurrencies show mature market characteristics but vary by size.

We consider the at-the-money strike derivative of implied volatility as the maturity tends to zero. Our main results quantify the behavior of the slope for infinite activity exponential Lévy models including a Brownian component. As auxiliary results, we obtain asymptotic expansions of short maturity at-the-money digit…

New method for pricing barrier options in time-dependent λ-SABR model.

Paper models non-maturing deposits using a Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

Based on 1-minute price changes recorded since year 2012, the fluctuation properties of the rapidly-emerging Bitcoin (BTC) market are assessed over chosen sub-periods, in terms of return distributions, volatility autocorrelation, Hurst exponents and multiscaling effects. The findings are compared to the stylized facts …

We consider a stochastic volatility model which captures relevant stylized facts of financial series, including the multi-scaling of moments. The volatility evolves according to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with super-linear mean reversion. Using large deviations techniques, we determine the asymptotic sh…

Paper introduces TtT, market-implied transition time, from greenium term structure.

We consider the problem of finding a consistent upper price bound for exotic options whose payoff depends on the stock price at two different predetermined time points (e.g. Asian option), given a finite number of observed call prices for these maturities. A model-free approach is used, only taking into account that th…

We analyze an optimal stopping problem with random maturity under a nonlinear expectation with respect to a weakly compact set of mutually singular probabilities $\mathcal{P}$. The maturity is specified as the hitting time to level $0$ of some continuous index process at which the payoff process is even allowed to have…

Study short-term behavior of up-and-in barrier options using Malliavin calculus.

We build on the work in Fackler and King 1990, and propose a more general calibration model for implied risk neutral densities. Our model allows for the joint calibration of a set of densities at different maturities and dates through a Bayesian dynamic Beta Markov Random Field. Our approach allows for possible time de…