We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…
The FCA improved insider trading regulation after 2012, reducing abnormal returns.
problem Regulation of insider trading before and after the UK Financial Services Act 2012.
method Event study methodology using abnormal returns analysis.
result Abnormal returns were reduced after the FCA took over from the FSA.
New mechanism designs regulate herding in financial markets.
problem Herding causes irrational market decisions and volatility.
method A trilateral game framework based on optimal control theory.
result Effective mechanisms improve social welfare.
A method uses Wasserstein clustering to simplify financial data analysis.
problem Processing and analyzing granular financial data with missing values and identifying clusters.
method Variant of Lloyd's algorithm applied to probability distributions, using Wasserstein barycenters.
result Demonstrated usefulness in financial regulation context.
The study enhances financial rule matching using NLP without datasets.
problem Performing semantic matching between financial rules and policies.
method Outperforming pre-trained models with NLP techniques using free resources.
result Improved semantic matching between financial rules and policies.
An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of the following three representative topologies of an interbank loan network betwee…
Regulating crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic advancement.
problem Innovative financial systems pose challenges to traditional regulatory frameworks.
method Formulating regulatory structures that balance innovation and consumer protection.
result Regulatory frameworks are essential for leveraging crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic growth.
Survey examines types of systemic risk in financial networks.
problem Understanding systemic risk in financial networks.
method Taxonomy of systemic risk types and regulatory measures.
result Different types of systemic risk identified.
Study uses LLMs to simplify financial regulation interpretation.
problem Complex financial regulations are hard to interpret and implement.
method Developed prompts to guide LLMs in extracting key information from regulations.
result GPT-4 outperforms other LLMs in processing and executing regulatory requirements.
Complexity science offers new insights into macroeconomics and finance.
problem Insufficient understanding of economic and financial phenomena.
method Adopting complexity science to better understand complex systems.
result Complex system characteristics can benefit financial analysts, regulators, and policymakers.
In addition to constraining bilateral exposures of financial institutions, there are essentially two options for future financial regulation of systemic risk (SR): First, financial regulation could attempt to reduce the financial fragility of global or domestic systemically important financial institutions (G-SIBs or D…
Improved stochastic clocks for financial models without increasing trades.
problem Dealing with asymmetrical and tail risks in financial returns.
method Proposes a new approach to regulate Lévy subordinators for financial models.
result Achieves arbitrarily large skewness and excess kurtosis of returns.
Short selling is key to exploiting arbitrage opportunities in financial markets.
problem Theoretical basis for differences in financial service regulations.
method Analyzing semimartingales to show arbitrage opportunities require short selling.
result Arbitrage opportunities can only be exploited through short selling.
AI threatens financial stability through misuse and stealth adoption.
problem Misuse and stealth adoption of AI in financial regulations.
method Analysis of AI's potential risks and criteria for AI suitability.
result AI will likely become widely used by stealth, affecting high-level financial functions.
Risk statistic is a critical factor not only for risk analysis but also for financial application. However, the traditional risk statistics may fail to describe the characteristics of regulator-based risk. In this paper, we consider the regulator-based risk statistics for portfolios. By further developing the propertie…
Modern physics has demonstrated that matter behaves very differently as it approaches the speed of light. This paper explores the implications of modern physics to the operation and regulation of financial markets. Information cannot move faster than the speed of light. The geographic separation of market centers means…
We present a broad agenda for meaningful banking regulation reform aiming the creation of evolutive competitive environment to maximize the effectiveness of international financial system through the introduction of fair competition process among the banks in free market capitalism. We assume that the international fin…
DRL improves ESG financial portfolio management by regulating returns based on ESG scores.
problem Improving ESG financial portfolio management through market regulation.
method Used Advantage Actor-Critic (A2C) agent and adapted OpenAI Gym environments for comparative analysis.
result DRL agent outperforms standard market conditions in ESG-regulated market.
We educe a perspective on how best to regulate the bank of tomorrow in frames of debate launched by the International Centre for Financial Regulation and Financial Times. Our goal is to create a conceptual framework for policymakers and regulators to shape the international financial system in century of globalization …
regvis.net offers a visual survey of regulatory visualization.
problem Lack of a comprehensive resource for regulatory visualization.
method Collection and manual tagging of 80+ publications, creation of a searchable webpage.
result First publication set tailored for regulatory visualization.
Decentralized finance uses blockchain for $70B in assets, differing from traditional finance.
problem Ensuring compliance and security in decentralized finance.
method Systematic analysis of legal, economic, security, and privacy aspects.
result Decentralized finance offers unique economic effects and security features.
Smart Close-out Netting aims to automate close-out netting processes.
problem Inefficiencies in close-out netting processes for financial institutions.
method Standardisation and automation of legal and regulatory processes using a data-driven framework and controlled natural language.
result Standardisation and automation can improve close-out netting processes for prudentially regulated financial institutions.
Examines AI regulation in finance, highlighting risks and gaps in current laws.
problem Rapid AI adoption in finance introduces risks and compliance challenges.
method Reviews current legislation, industry guidelines, and real-world use cases.
result Need for adaptive, technology-neutral policies to balance innovation and consumer protection.
A deterministic trading strategy by a representative investor on a single market asset, which generates complex and realistic returns with its first four moments similar to the empirical values of European stock indices, is used to simulate the effects of financial regulation that either pricks bubbles, props up crashe…
Develops a framework for synthetic banking microdata evaluation.
problem Lack of evaluation frameworks for synthetic banking microdata.
method Develops a framework considering utility and privacy requirements.
result Synthetic datasets are particularly suited for frequency tables.
This paper proposes a use of an ordinal classifier to evaluate the financial solidity of non-life insurance companies as strong, moderate, weak, and insolvency. This study constructed an efficient classification model that can be used by regulators to evaluate the financial solidity and to determine the priority of fur…
Blockchain disrupts corporate finance, but challenges remain.
problem Challenges in adopting blockchain for corporate finance.
method Exploring the impact of blockchain on corporate finance valuation and capital allocation.
result Blockchain offers new perspectives but faces regulatory, environmental, and legal challenges.
Synthetic data improves financial models without real data.
problem Lack of real financial data due to privacy and regulation.
method Application of synthetic data across various financial data types.
result Synthetic data enhances financial model accuracy and fairness.
Unified AI system for data quality control and governance in regulated environments.
problem Isolated data quality control steps in existing systems.
method AI-driven framework integrating rule-based, statistical, and AI methods.
result Empirical gains in anomaly detection, reduced manual remediation, improved auditability.
Survey of determinism issues in financial AI systems.
problem Vulnerabilities in reproducibility of financial AI systems.
method Literature review and first-party experiments on public financial datasets.
result Proposed a layered evaluation framework linking modality-specific metrics to audit readiness.
Model predicts trade volume changes from financial filings.
problem Improving financial market understanding through machine learning.
method Hierarchical Reformer model trained on SEDAR filings.
result Model can predict trade volume changes without explicit training.
As demonstrated during the recent financial crisis, regulators require additional analytical tools to assess systemic risk in the financial sector. This paper describes one such tool; namely a novel market modeling and analysis capability. Our model builds upon two leading market models: one which emphasizes market mic…
The paper explores AI in finance, focusing on XAI's role in enhancing interpretability and trust.
problem The need for AI in finance and the importance of XAI for better decision-making.
method Tracing AI's evolution in finance, highlighting XAI's role, and demonstrating through simulations.
result XAI enhances trust in AI systems, leading to more responsible decision-making.
AI enhances financial forecasting with challenges in regulation and privacy.
problem Challenges in integrating AI with financial services and regulations.
method Integration of AI technologies like deep learning and reinforcement learning.
result AI improves financial forecasting but faces regulatory and privacy issues.
New risk measure improves creditor protection in financial regulation.
problem Current solvency requirements fail to control the size of recovery on creditors' claims.
method Developed Recovery Value at Risk (Recovery VaR) to control recovery on creditors' claims.
result Recovery VaR flexibly controls recovery on creditors' claims and integrates protection needs into management incentives.
The paper analyzes financial networks with default charges and defines a model using fixpoint problems.
problem Modeling systemic risk in interbank networks with crossholdings and default charges.
method Mixed integer-linear programming and Gaussian elimination algorithm for computing clearing pairs.
result Developed methods to compute maximal and minimal clearing pairs.
Online surveillance detects systemic risk in financial markets.
problem Detecting and monitoring systemic risk in financial markets.
method Online monitoring procedures for multiple series, controlling for false rejections.
result Procedures allow timely detection of financial distress.
Model proposes how regulators should oversee complex algorithms in high-stakes applications.
problem Regulating complex algorithms used in high-stakes applications like lending, testing, and hiring.
method Proposes a model where regulators are limited in learning about complex algorithms with misaligned preferences, and explores different regulatory approaches.
result Complex algorithms can improve welfare, but regulation should focus on the source of incentive misalignment for optimal results.
Regshock visualizes financial risks to help regulators manage systemic shocks.
problem Managing systemic risks in financial networks.
method Risk-island visualization algorithm and regshock visual exploration approach.
result Demonstrated improved risk management and control capabilities.
Research capacity is critical in understanding systemic risk and informing new regulation. Banking regulation has not kept pace with all the complexities of financial innovation. The academic literature on systemic risk is rapidly expanding. The majority of papers analyse a single source or a consolidated source of ris…
This paper tackles interpretability of LLMs in finance.
problem Complexity and lack of transparency of LLMs in finance.
method Mechanistic interpretability to understand LLM behavior.
result Demonstrates practical relevance of mechanistic interpretability in financial use cases.
Paper presents a risk management framework for blockchain protocols.
problem Blockchain protocol risks affecting DLT and digital assets.
method Developed a comprehensive risk management framework using traditional taxonomy.
result Structured approach to identify, measure, monitor and report blockchain protocol risks.
Financial advisors use KYC info but not client behaviours to guide investments.
problem Financial advisors use KYC info but not client behaviours to guide investments.
method Modified behavioural finance recency, frequency, monetary model for features; machine learning clustering algorithms.
result Trade and transaction frequency and volume are most informative for investor behaviours.
We introduce a model in which a regulator employs mechanism design to embed her human capital beta signal(s) in a firm's capital structure, in order to enhance the value of her post career change indexed executive stock option contract with the firm. We prove that the agency cost of this revolving door behavior increas…
We study insolvency cascades in an interbank system when banks are allowed to insure their loans with credit default swaps (CDS) sold by other banks. We show that, by properly shifting financial exposures from one institution to another, a CDS market can be designed to rewire the network of interbank exposures in a way…
Paper proposes a GRU model to detect spoofing in retail investors.
problem Spoofing in unregulated markets with retail investors.
method GRU-based detection model using market variables.
result Model performs well in early detection of spoofing attempts.
GAICF proposes a framework for governing generative AI in banking.
problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI applications.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.
GAICF proposes a framework for managing generative AI risks in banking.
problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.