A key problem in financial mathematics is the forecasting of financial crashes: if we perturb asset prices, will financial institutions fail on a massive scale? This was recently shown to be a computationally intractable (NP-hard) problem. Financial crashes are inherently difficult to predict, even for a regulator whic…
Solves financial and non-financial problems using heat potentials.
problem Calibrating default boundaries, calculating default probabilities, and finding hitting time probabilities.
method Classical method of heat potentials, recently extended by the author.
result Successfully solved several financial and non-financial problems.
A quantum financial approach to finite games of strategy is addressed, with an extension of Nash's theorem to the quantum financial setting, allowing for an entanglement of games of strategy with two-period financial allocation problems that are expressed in terms of: the consumption plans' optimization problem in pure…
Improved hardness results for clearing payments in financial networks with CDSs.
problem Determining clearing payments in financial networks with CDSs after financial shocks.
method Analyzing computational complexity of clearing problems, showing PPAD-hardness and FIXP-completeness improvements.
result PPAD-hardness of clearing problem significantly improved to ε ≈ 0.101.
This paper explores deep learning for financial trading, integrating sentiment analysis.
problem Maximizing profit and minimizing loss in financial trading.
method Supervised and reinforcement learning schemes, integrating sentiment analysis.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of deep learning methods in financial trading.
DCE learns customer embeddings from digital activity and financial context.
problem Comprehensive customer understanding in financial services.
method Leverages customers' digital activity and financial context to learn dense representations.
result DCE showed performance lift in three prediction problems.
Comprehensive review of robust portfolio selection models.
problem Addressing uncertainty in financial portfolio optimization.
method Classification and analysis of various models and approaches.
result Identification of open research questions.
FinRobot opens-source AI for financial tasks, breaking down complex problems.
problem Barriers to AI adoption in finance due to proprietary data and specialized knowledge.
method Develops open-source AI agent platform with four layers: Financial AI Agents, LLM Algorithms, LLMOps/DataOps, and Foundation Models.
result FinRobot democratizes AI access for financial analysis.
The sensitivity to risk that most people (hence, financial operators) feel affects the dynamics of financial transactions. Here we present an approach to this problem based on a current generalization of Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics.
Paper uses neural nets for financial optimization problems.
problem Financial optimization and derivative pricing problems.
method Neural networks and deep reinforcement learning for solving PDEs and dynamic optimization.
result Efficient resolution of nonlinear PDEs and dynamic optimization in finance.
The paper introduces a new method for detecting financial data outliers.
problem Detecting outliers in multivariate financial data.
method The approach uses the Cumulant Generating Function (CGF) to maximize projections on directions.
result The CGF maximization approach can be interpreted as an extension of principal component analysis.
Survey and new results link hydrodynamics, molecular physics, and financial engineering.
problem Understanding financial engineering topics like Asian options and volatility swaps.
method Linking Kevin waves, Klein-Kramers, and Kolmogorov equations to financial models.
result Corrected the original solution of the Kolmogorov equation.
GAN improves financial risk prediction by generating synthetic minority events.
problem Data imbalance in financial market supervision.
method Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) to generate synthetic data.
result GAN-generated synthetic data significantly improves prediction accuracy.
Paper tackles optimal network compression for financial systems.
problem Optimal network compression for financial systems under shocks.
method Formulated as an NP-hard problem, studied systemic risk measures, and analyzed specific networks.
result Systemic fragility results no longer hold generally under shocks and heterogeneous networks.
Regshock visualizes financial risks to help regulators manage systemic shocks.
problem Managing systemic risks in financial networks.
method Risk-island visualization algorithm and regshock visual exploration approach.
result Demonstrated improved risk management and control capabilities.
Paper introduces a novel reward function for noisy financial markets using imitation learning.
problem Noisy reward function in financial markets hinders RL agent performance.
method Integrates imitation learning feedback with reinforcement learning to improve reward function design.
result Improves financial performance metrics compared to traditional benchmarks and RL agents.
Paper separates financial time series into fast and slow components.
problem Multiscale behavior in financial time series data.
method Uses variance and tail stationarity criteria as generalized eigenvalue problems.
result Identifies slow and fast components in asset returns and prices.
This tutorial introduces quantum computing for financial portfolio optimization.
problem Combinatorial portfolio optimization in financial markets.
method Application of Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) to portfolio optimization.
result Quality of combinatorial portfolio optimization solutions using QAOA on quantum simulator.
New financial ratios using compositional data improve analysis of firm health.
problem Statistical issues with standard financial ratios, especially skewness and outliers.
method Compositional data (CoDa) methodology to analyze financial statements.
result Outliers and skewness reduced, results invariant to numerator and denominator permutation.
The paper solves optimal control problems for stochastic delay equations.
problem Optimal control of stochastic delay differential equations.
method Rewriting the problem in an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space, using dynamic programming and viscosity solutions.
result Characterizes the value function as the unique viscosity solution of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.
K-means algorithm improves financial market risk prediction accuracy.
problem High error rate and low precision in financial market risk prediction.
method Applied K-means algorithm in machine learning to financial market risk forecasting.
result Achieved a 94.61% accuracy rate in financial market risk prediction.
Study financial market graphs with Laplacian constraints.
problem Learning undirected graphs in financial markets.
method Proposes algorithms to estimate graphs accounting for financial data properties.
result Guidelines for estimating graphs in financial markets.
BiN normalizes financial time-series for better forecasting.
problem Non-stationarity and multimodality in financial time-series data.
method Bilinear Normalization (BiN) incorporated into TABL networks.
result BiN-TABL outperforms other normalization methods in financial forecasting.
Mining financial text documents and understanding the sentiments of individual investors, institutions and markets is an important and challenging problem in the literature. Current approaches to mine sentiments from financial texts largely rely on domain specific dictionaries. However, dictionary based methods often f…
Study optimizes financial strategies in markets with uncertain drift.
problem Optimizing portfolios in markets with unpredictable drift.
method Combines worst-case optimization with filtering techniques to define uncertainty sets.
result Proves minimax theorem and derives optimal strategies for continuous updates.
Quantum computing offers financial industry new optimization and risk management tools.
problem Traditional computing limits financial industry's problem-solving capabilities.
method Structured review of quantum computing platforms, algorithms, and use cases.
result Quantum computing can enhance financial industry applications like optimization and risk management.
Financial institutions use LSTM models to predict customer goals.
problem Predicting customer goals and actions in financial services.
method Used LSTM models with state-space graph embeddings on historical customer traces.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of LSTM models in predicting customer goals and actions.
Bayesian inference identifies model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
problem Identifying model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
method Bayesian inference approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm.
result Bayesian inference can estimate unknown trend and volatility coefficients from measured data.
The 2008 financial crisis has been attributed to "excessive complexity" of the financial system due to financial innovation. We employ computational complexity theory to make this notion precise. Specifically, we consider the problem of clearing a financial network after a shock. Prior work has shown that when banks ca…
REALFIN benchmarks financial reasoning by removing implicit assumptions, revealing model weaknesses.
problem Models struggle when implicit assumptions are missing, leading to incorrect answers.
method Developed a bilingual benchmark that systematically removes essential premises from financial questions.
result General-purpose models over-commit, while finance-specialized models fail to identify missing premises.
FinTech framework clusters innovations for financial services.
problem Lack of comprehensive definition and analysis of FinTech.
method Narrative review of over 100 studies, clustering framework development.
result Developed a comprehensive FinTech clustering framework.
This review covers AI in finance, challenges, techniques, and opportunities.
problem Challenges and opportunities in AI applications in finance.
method Comprehensive categorization and overview of AI research in finance over decades.
result A dense roadmap of AI challenges, techniques, and opportunities in finance.
We adapt continuous time random walk (CTRW) formalism to describe asset price evolution and discuss some of the problems that can be treated using this approach. We basically focus on two aspects: (i) the derivation of the price distribution from high-frequency data, and (ii) the inverse problem, obtaining information …
Study bounds financial path expectations using martingale distributions.
problem Bounding path-dependent financial expectations over martingale distributions.
method Relaxed martingale optimal transport problem, approximated via linear programming.
result Empirical relaxation can be approximated within O(n^(-1/2)) error.
Solves VaR-constrained portfolio optimization in markets with stochastic volatility.
problem Optimizing portfolio in markets with stochastic volatility under VaR constraints.
method Dynamic programming approach to Heston's stochastic volatility model.
result Optimal investment strategy linked to unconstrained problem via a vega-neutral derivative.
In this paper, we consider the problem of hedging Asian options in financial markets with transaction costs. For this, we use the asymptotic hedging approach. The main task of asymptotic hedging in financial markets with transaction costs is to prove the probability convergence of the terminal value of the investment p…
The paper analyzes financial networks with default charges and defines a model using fixpoint problems.
problem Modeling systemic risk in interbank networks with crossholdings and default charges.
method Mixed integer-linear programming and Gaussian elimination algorithm for computing clearing pairs.
result Developed methods to compute maximal and minimal clearing pairs.
Framework for robust control under model uncertainty, improving financial derivatives hedging.
problem Model uncertainty in financial derivatives hedging.
method Dynamic programming principle for solving one-step optimization problems.
result Robust hedging strategy outperforms model-based strategies during adverse scenarios.
The problem of hedging and pricing sequences of contingent claims in large financial markets is studied. Connection between asymptotic arbitrage and behavior of the α~-~quantile price is shown. The large Black-Scholes model is carefully examined.
Paper reduces expensive financial risk simulations through efficient MOR.
problem Expensive simulations of financial risk models.
method Model order reduction (MOR) using proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) with adaptive greedy sampling.
result MOR approach reduces computational cost for financial risk analysis.
The paper examines how CoCo bonds can enhance financial stability in interconnected banking systems.
problem Enhancing financial stability in interconnected banking systems.
method Financial network model with contingent convertible (CoCo) debt obligations.
result Replacing unsecured interbank debt with CoCo debt decreases systemic risk and increases bank shareholder value.
Paper offers a simpler solution for managing complex financial options.
problem Managing a large number of financial assets with diverse dynamics.
method Developed a simple analytical approximation for market making.
result Shows significant flexibility over existing market making strategies.
A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion dynamics of financial shocks, and to assess the resilience of specific financial ma…
The accurate prediction of time-changing covariances is an important problem in the modeling of multivariate financial data. However, some of the most popular models suffer from a) overfitting problems and multiple local optima, b) failure to capture shifts in market conditions and c) large computational costs. To addr…
ANNs solve financial option valuation problems without numerical methods.
problem Valuation of European and American financial options.
method Unsupervised learning with artificial neural networks (ANNs) for solving PDEs.
result ANNs accurately compute option values for various stock scenarios.
Proposes neural model for stock embeddings to capture nuanced asset correlations.
problem Lack of research on modelling financial asset correlations.
method Neural model using historical returns data to learn nuanced relationships.
result Outperforms benchmarks in two real-world financial analytics tasks.
Expands robust profit opportunities to include distributional uncertainty.
problem Distributional uncertainty in financial markets.
method Formulates infinite dimensional primal problems, simplifies to finite dimensional dual problems using Wasserstein distance.
result Distributional uncertainty can enhance robustness of profit opportunities.
We consider a discrete-time financial market model with finite time horizon and give conditions which guarantee the existence of an optimal strategy for the problem of maximizing expected terminal utility. Equivalent martingale measures are constructed using optimal strategies.