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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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132264396528 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for financial market analysis

The paper introduces a new financial market for environmental indices to attract investors.

problem Inherent risks and sustainability concerns in environmental investments.
method Quantitative measures, econometric analysis, dynamic asset pricing tools, and financial options.
result Monetization and construction of country-specific environmental indices as dollar-denominated assets.

Enhanced stock market strategy using stress index and financial news sentiment analysis.

problem Improving risk assessment and prediction in equity markets.
method Combines financial stress indicator with sentiment analysis of financial news.
result Improved performance with higher Sharpe ratio and reduced drawdowns.

Study evaluates financial anomaly detection methods on Canadian stock market.

problem Detecting financial anomalies in the Canadian stock market.
method Topological data analysis (TDA), principal component analysis (PCA), and neural network-based approaches.
result Neural network-based methods achieve the strongest performance in detecting financial anomalies.

Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.

problem Financial markets' complexity and mainstream models' limitations in capturing non-linear structures.
method Neural networks for non-linear associations combined with multiscale decomposition.
result Improved understanding of financial market data substructures.

FNSPID dataset integrates financial news and stock prices for improved market predictions.

problem Lack of comprehensive datasets combining quantitative and qualitative financial data.
method Developed a large-scale dataset (FNSPID) with 29.7M stock prices and 15.7M financial news records.
result FNSPID significantly boosts market prediction accuracy and sentiment analysis.

Persistence norms explain financial uncertainty better than volatility.

problem Capturing financial instability and predictability.
method Applied topological data analysis to financial markets.
result Persistence norms are significant in explaining financial uncertainty, while volatility is less effective.

BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.

Enhanced AI analysis predicts S&P 500 stock dynamics using various financial metrics.

problem Predicting S&P 500 stock performance with complex interplay of factors.
method Advanced financial metrics, machine learning, and integration of traditional and modern analytics.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy in market behavior and investment strategies.

The paper explores states of financial markets using correlation matrices and their dynamics.

problem Understanding the states of financial markets based on correlations.
method Revisits previous work and introduces recent developments in practical applications.
result Analysis of trajectories and symbolic dynamics in correlation matrix space.

Multifractality is ubiquitously observed in complex natural and socioeconomic systems. Multifractal analysis provides powerful tools to understand the complex nonlinear nature of time series in diverse fields. Inspired by its striking analogy with hydrodynamic turbulence, from which the idea of multifractality originat…

2018-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New model predicts financial market abnormalities using stock index uncertainties.

problem Forecasting abnormal financial fluctuations in the market.
method Quantitative analysis of mean and volatility uncertainties, constructing early warning indicators.
result Established a new abnormal fluctuations warning model.

Hybrid QNN-LSTM predicts financial stock market trends using quantum computing.

problem Complex temporal dependencies and market fluctuations in financial time-series forecasting.
method Custom QNN regressor with hybrid optimization strategies.
result Hybrid models integrate quantum computing into financial forecasting workflows.

We calculate the realized volatility in the spin model of financial markets and examine the returns standardized by the realized volatility. We find that moments of the standardized returns agree with the theoretical values of standard normal variables. This is the first evidence that the return dynamics of the spin fi…

2015-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses deep learning to analyze sentiment in financial forums and improve stock market prediction.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through sentiment analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training BERT model on financial corpus, and using maximum information coefficient.
result Sentiment features from financial text can reflect stock market fluctuations and improve prediction accuracy.

Paper presents a hybrid framework combining sentiment analysis and market indicators for financial portfolio optimization.

problem Improving financial portfolio optimization through better integration of sentiment and market data.
method A three-tier hierarchical RL framework integrating LLMs, DRL, and market data.
result Achieved a 26% annualized return and Sharpe ratio of 1.2, outperforming benchmarks.

The study uses DCC for financial market analysis, revealing hidden correlations.

problem Identifying hidden nonlinear correlations in financial markets.
method Agglomerative hierarchical clustering with distance correlation coefficient.
result DCC reveals more information than Pearson correlation for financial data.

Paper uses agent-based simulation to identify investor types in financial markets.

problem Identifying investor types in real financial markets.
method Computational adaptation of PCA with agent-based simulation.
result A reduced set of investor models can approximate financial time series.

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such information flow. It is now an established fact that a stock market crash in one co…

2019-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines how Trump tariffs and COVID-19 affected financial market efficiency.

problem Impact of geopolitical and systemic shocks on financial market efficiency.
method Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis applied to financial asset returns.
result Trump tariffs had moderate but observable effects on market efficiency, while COVID-19 induced substantial changes.

Research shows Twitter is permeable to financial events, influencing its content and sentiment.

problem Investigating how Twitter reacts to financial events.
method Conducted experiments on a specific financial event (Tesco PLC and Booker Group PLC merger announcement).
result Twitter is permeable to financial events, affecting its content and sentiment.

Novel framework for systemic risk analysis in financial markets.

problem Systemic risk in financial markets.
method Multi-scale network dynamics, transfer entropy networks, agent-based modeling, wavelet decomposition, Model Context Protocol (MCP).
result Multi-scale approach reveals hidden systemic risk patterns.

This paper analyzes financial sentiment using LLMs and FinBERT, improving accuracy with few-shot examples.

problem Financial sentiment analysis for market evaluation.
method Application of large language models and FinBERT, with focus on prompt engineering and few-shot learning.
result GPT-4o achieves similar sentiment classification accuracy to FinBERT with fewer examples.

Proposes TNCM-VAE for generating causal financial time series.

problem Lack of causal reasoning in market generators.
method Combines VAE with structural causal models, enforcing causal constraints through DAGs and using causal Wasserstein distance.
result Superior performance in counterfactual probability estimation, L1 distances as low as 0.03-0.10.

New framework models stock relationships and investor expectations for better financial market predictions.

problem Limited by predefined stock relationships and immediate effects, current financial market analysis methods need improvement.
method Jointly models investor expectations and automatically mines latent stock relationships.
result Annual return exceeds 10%, surpassing existing benchmarks.

Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.

problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.

Study proposes a new financial market representation for machine learning.

problem Complex analysis of financial time series for machine learning.
method Volume-price-based statistical approach.
result Proposed method outperforms price levels-based method on liquid markets.

FinBERT-BiLSTM predicts cryptocurrency prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting volatile cryptocurrency market prices.
method Hybrid model combining Bi-LSTM and FinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result Enhanced forecasting accuracy for volatile financial markets.

DeepSupp detects financial support levels using attention mechanisms.

problem Traditional SR identification methods fail to adapt to modern markets.
method Multi-head attention mechanisms, dynamic correlation matrices, DBSCAN clustering.
result DeepSupp outperforms six baseline methods across six financial metrics.