A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Improved financial VA intent classification accuracy.
The guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) rider, as an add on to a variable annuity (VA), guarantees the return of premiums in the form of peri- odic withdrawals while allowing policyholders to participate fully in any market gains. GMWB riders represent an embedded option on the account value with a fee structu…
VA-LUCB identifies best arm with variance constraint, achieving optimal sample complexity.
Variable annuities (VA) are popular insurance products. VAs provides the insured with a guaranteed accumulation rate on their premium at maturity. In addition, the insured may receive extra benefit if returns of underlying funds are high enough. Here we consider a special case of VA with high-water mark feature and Gua…
Personalized deep learning reduces inappropriate shocks in VA detection.
New tests detect asphericity in complex pairs, simplifying previous proofs.
Study predicts lens performance using neural networks.
This paper stems from the observation (arising from work of T. Delzant) that "most" Kähler groups virtually algebraically fiber, i.e. admit a finite index subgroup that maps onto with finitely generated kernel. For the remaining ones, the Albanese dimension of all finite index subgroups is at most one, i.e. t…
Study analyzes fees linked to VIX index in annuity contracts.
Investigates optimal withdrawal strategies in VA contracts with tax and ratchet mechanisms.
LDP speeds up causal discovery by partitioning, improving VAS recall and runtime.
Automated extraction of concepts from patient clinical records is an essential facilitator of clinical research. For this reason, the 2010 i2b2/VA Natural Language Processing Challenges for Clinical Records introduced a concept extraction task aimed at identifying and classifying concepts into predefined categories (i.…
Paper develops a method for valid inference using language model predictions from verbal autopsy narratives.
Markov state models (MSMs) and Master equation models are popular approaches to approximate molecular kinetics, equilibria, metastable states, and reaction coordinates in terms of a state space discretization usually obtained by clustering. Recently, a powerful generalization of MSMs has been introduced, the variationa…
Variable Annuity (VA) products expose insurance companies to considerable risk because of the guarantees they provide to buyers of these products. Managing and hedging these risks requires insurers to find the value of key risk metrics for a large portfolio of VA products. In practice, many companies rely on nested Mon…
Managing and hedging the risks associated with Variable Annuity (VA) products require intraday valuation of key risk metrics for these products. The complex structure of VA products and computational complexity of their accurate evaluation have compelled insurance companies to adopt Monte Carlo (MC) simulations to valu…
In the aftermath of the 2007 global financial crisis, banks started reflecting into derivative pricing the cost of capital and collateral funding through XVA metrics. Here XVA is a catch-all acronym whereby X is replaced by a letter such as C for credit, D for debt, F for funding, K for capital and so on, and VA stands…
This paper offers a financial economic perspective on the optimal time (and age) at which the owner of a Variable Annuity (VA) policy with a Guaranteed Living Withdrawal Benefit (GLWB) rider should initiate guaranteed lifetime income payments. We abstract from utility, bequest and consumption preference issues by treat…
The purpose of this article is twofold. First, we motivate the need for a new type of stand-alone retirement income insurance product that would help individuals protect against personal longevity risk and possible "retirement ruin" in an economically efficient manner. We label this product a ruin-contingent life annui…
This paper analyzes a novel type of mortality contingent-claim called a ruin-contingent life annuity (RCLA). This product fuses together a path-dependent equity put option with a "personal longevity" call option. The annuitant's (i.e. long position) payoff from a generic RCLA is \$1 of income per year for life, akin to…
VA-OPE improves OPE by incorporating variance information, achieving tighter error bounds.
Over the past few years many research efforts have been devoted to the field of affect analysis. Various approaches have been proposed for: i) discrete emotion recognition in terms of the primary facial expressions; ii) emotion analysis in terms of facial Action Units (AUs), assuming a fixed expression intensity; iii) …
We construct a binomial model for a guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) rider to a variable annuity (VA) under optimal policyholder behaviour. The binomial model results in explicitly formulated perfect hedging strategies funded using only periodic fee income. We consider the separate perspectives of the insur…
Paper assesses GMMB in VAs using FST for accurate net liability calculations.
Local discovery method uncovers direct unfairness in complex systems.
Diffusion-VAE tackles multi-step stock price prediction with stochastic noise.
In a market with stochastic volatility and jumps, we consider a VIX-linked fee structure for variable annuity contracts with guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits (GMWB). Our goal is to assess the effectiveness of the VIX-linked fee structure in decreasing the sensitivity of the insurer's liability to volatility risk.…
We prove that the homotopy class of a Morin mapping f: P^p --> Q^q with p-q odd contains a cusp mapping. This affirmatively solves a strengthened version of the Chess conjecture [DS Chess, A note on the classes [S_1^k(f)], Proc. Symp. Pure Math., 40 (1983) 221-224] and [VI Arnol'd, VA Vasil'ev, VV Goryunov, OV Lyashenk…
Study BNS invariants to prove algebraic fibrations of certain groups.
As part of the new regulatory framework of Solvency II, introduced by the European Union, insurance companies are required to monitor their solvency by computing a key risk metric called the Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR). The official description of the SCR is not rigorous and has lead researchers to develop their…
We study the space of L^2 harmonic forms on complete manifolds with metrics of fibred boundary or fibred cusp type. These metrics generalize the geometric structures at infinity of several different well-known classes of metrics, including asymptotically locally Euclidean manifolds, the (known types of) gravitational i…
In this paper we consider the pricing of variable annuities (VAs) with guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits. We consider two pricing approaches, the classical risk-neutral approach and the benchmark approach, and we examine the associated static and optimal behaviors of both the investor and insurer. The first model …
Developing reliable workload predictive models can affect many aspects of clinical decision making procedure. The primary challenge in healthcare systems is handling the demand uncertainty over the time. This issue becomes more critical for the healthcare facilities that provide service for chronic disease treatment be…
This work studies the class of algorithms for learning with side-information that emerge by extending generative models with embedded context-related variables. Using finite mixture models (FMM) as the prototypical Bayesian network, we show that maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) of parameters through expectation-maxi…
In this paper we investigate price and Greeks computation of a Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) Variable Annuity (VA) when both stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate are considered together in the Heston Hull-White model. We consider a numerical method the solves the dynamic control problem due…
Many wireless networks, including 5G NR (New Radio) and future beyond 5G cellular systems, are expected to operate on multiple frequency bands. This paper considers the band assignment (BA) problem in dual-band systems, where the basestation (BS) chooses one of the two available frequency bands (centimeter-wave and mil…
FGTSVA improves Thompson Sampling for contextual bandits with optimal variance-aware regret.
Study examines financial structure's impact on non-financial firms' growth in Kenya.
Study shows financial literacy, social capital, and financial tech positively impact financial inclusion of Indonesian students.
Training deep neural networks with spatio-temporal (i.e., 3D) or multidimensional convolutions of higher-order is computationally challenging due to millions of unknown parameters across dozens of layers. To alleviate this, one approach is to apply low-rank tensor decompositions to convolution kernels in order to compr…
Financial planners helped preserve and increase household net financial assets during the Great Recession.
Motivated by recent financial crises significant research efforts have been put into studying contagion effects and herding behaviour in financial markets. Much less has been said about influence of financial news on financial markets. We propose a novel measure of collective behaviour in financial news on the Web, New…
Proposes LSTM for financial market trend forecasting.
Financial system being the place of metting capital flows (equality between saving and investment), a volatility of capital flows can destroy the robustness and good working of financial system, it means subvert financial stability. The same a weak financial system, few regulated and bad manage can exacerbate volatilit…
We consider dynamics of financial markets as dynamics of expectations and discuss such a dynamics from the point of view of phenomenological thermodynamics. We describe a financial Carnot cycle and the financial analogue of a heat machine. We see, that while in physics a perpetuum mobile is absolutely impossible, in ec…
This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank credit network and an investment portfolio of banks. Bankruptcy reproductive ratio …
Model financial time series with MOGP for imputation and prediction.
Paper aims to use AI for detecting financial crimes, focusing on money laundering.