Deep density methods improve filtering in high-dimensional systems.
problem Nonlinear filtering in high-dimensional systems.
method Two deep density methods based on Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks.
result Logarithmic deep backward stochastic differential equation filter outperforms classical methods in high dimensions.
New deep learning method approximates Benes filter model.
problem Approximating high-dimensional SPDEs for filtering.
method Deep learning mesh-free neural network representation.
result First study of neural network method for Benes model.
A deep learning method solves nonlinear filtering problems efficiently.
problem Nonlinear filtering problem
method Deep splitting method combined with energy-based neural network approximation
result Computational efficiency and performance comparable to Kalman and bootstrap filters
A new numerical scheme approximates nonlinear filtering densities for noisy and partial measurements.
problem Approximating nonlinear filtering densities for noisy and partial measurements.
method Deep splitting scheme applied to the Fokker--Planck equation followed by Bayes' formula.
result Convergence rate established for the numerical scheme under parabolic Hörmander condition.
Extends nonlinear filtering to predictable jump times.
problem Filtering with jumps in both signal and observation, especially when jump times are known.
method Derive Kushner-Stratonovich and Zakai equations for predictable discontinuities.
result Extends classical nonlinear filtering results to a setting with predictable discontinuities.
New research connects evolutionary dynamics to Bayesian learning.
problem Connecting evolutionary biology and Bayesian learning.
method Rigorous mathematical proof using Kushner-Stratonovich equation and gradient flows.
result Discrete time filtering equations converge to Stratonovich interpretation of Kushner-Stratonovich equation.
A novel method reduces dimensionality for filtering SRNs with observed variables.
problem Challenges in estimating hidden state variables in SRNs with limited observations.
method Filtered Markovian Projection (Filtered MP) for dimensionality reduction in filtering.
result Filtered MP guarantees consistency and superior computational efficiency in high dimensions.
Combines neural networks with splitting-up method for filtering equations.
problem Approximating the solution of filtering equations for signal processes.
method Combines splitting-up method with neural networks.
result Produces an approximation of the unnormalised conditional distribution.
New method improves nonlinear filtering accuracy with reduced computation.
problem Complex nonlinear filtering with small system noise.
method Asymptotic expansion with ordinary differential equations and Edgeworth-type correction.
result Significantly lower computational cost with improved accuracy.
The paper develops a computational method for efficient online filtering of diffusion processes.
problem Online filtering of discretely observed nonlinear diffusion processes.
method The approach involves Doob's h-transforms approximated by solving backward Kolmogorov equations using nonlinear Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks. result The proposed method can be orders of magnitude more efficient than state-of-the-art particle filters.
This paper studies the question of filtering and maximizing terminal wealth from expected utility in a partially information stochastic volatility models. The special features is that the only information available to the investor is the one generated by the asset prices, and the unobservable processes will be modeled …
We simplify Bayesian filtering by framing it as optimization, making it practical for high-dimensional systems.
problem Bayesian filtering struggles in high-dimensional state spaces like neural networks.
method We frame Bayesian filtering as optimization, using gradient descent for nonlinear cases.
result Our method results in effective, robust, and scalable filters for high-dimensional systems.
The aim of this article is to show that systems of linear partial differential equations on filtered manifolds, which are of weighted finite type, can be canonically rewritten as first order systems of a certain type. This leads immediately to obstructions to the existence of solutions. Moreover, we will deduce that th…
We use GANs and signatures to approximate conditional laws in filtering and prediction of diffusion processes.
problem Approximating conditional laws for diffusion processes with noisy observations.
method Conditional GANs combined with signatures for approximation.
result Efficient approximation of conditional laws for diffusion processes.
Introduces numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering for infinite-dimensional systems.
problem Kalman filtering on infinite-dimensional systems.
method Embedding numerical Gaussian processes into Kalman filter equations.
result Ability to perform Kalman filtering on infinite-dimensional systems using Gaussian processes.
Enhances linear regression with Kalman filter for loss minimization.
problem Minimizing loss in linear regression models.
method Integrates Kalman filter and SGD for optimal weight updates.
result Develops optimal linear regression equation with minimum area under curve.
Paper proposes a new Taylor moment expansion for non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing.
problem Non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing in continuous-discrete state-space models.
method Taylor moment expansion (TME) for moment functions directly and in time variable.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in terms of estimation accuracy and numerical stability.
We bound the symmetry algebra of a vector distribution, possibly equipped with an additional structure, by the corresponding Tanaka algebra. The main tool is the theory of weighted jets.
Kernel learning FBSDE filter improves nonlinear filtering efficiency.
problem Nonlinear filtering problem in high-dimensional systems.
method Iterative and adaptive meshfree approach using forward backward SDE and KDE.
result Rigorous convergence analysis provided, supporting empirical results.
Novel filter uses deep BSDE for nonlinear density approximation.
problem Nonlinear filtering problem.
method Bayesian filter based on deep BSDE and neural networks.
result Theoretical convergence rate confirmed in numerical examples.
Improved method using filtered PDEs for robust physics-informed deep learning.
problem Complex real-world problems with noisy and sparse data.
method Proposed a surrogate constraint (FPDE) to filter and reduce the influence of noisy and sparse observation data.
result FPDE models converge better and produce higher quality solutions with less data.
We formulate probabilistic numerical approximations to solutions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) as problems in Gaussian process (GP) regression with non-linear measurement functions. This is achieved by defining the measurement sequence to consist of the observations of the difference between the derivative …
This paper learns state, dynamics, and filtering algorithms together for data assimilation.
problem Costly parameter tuning and inaccurate dynamics models hinder data assimilation algorithms.
method Auto-differentiable data assimilation framework that learns state, dynamics, and parameters via gradient-based optimization.
result Several data assimilation methods can be learned or tuned within this framework.
We consider optimal investment problems for a diffusion market model with non-observable random drifts that evolve as an Ito's process. Admissible strategies do not use direct observations of the market parameters, but rather use historical stock prices. For a non-linear problem with a general performance criterion, th…
New method combines ODE solvers with Bayesian inference for efficient model training.
problem Combining ODE solvers with Bayesian inference for efficient model training.
method Probabilistic state space model using extended Kalman filter for joint inference from differential equations and data.
result Efficient approximate Bayesian inference on latent force and ODE solution.
In this paper we introduce a projection method for the space of probability distributions based on the differential geometric approach to statistics. This method is based on a direct L2 metric as opposed to the usual Hellinger distance and the related Fisher Information metric. We explain how this apparatus can be used…
A new method reduces high-dimensional filtering to quadratic complexity.
problem High-dimensional dynamical systems inference and simulation.
method Low-rank Kalman filtering using dynamical low-rank integrator.
result The method reproduces exact Kalman filter in low-rank limit.
This paper proves long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
problem Ensuring long-term accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for complex dynamical systems.
method Established conditions for long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned dynamical systems.
result Ensemble Kalman filters maintain small estimation error over long time horizons for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
Study of filtering and smoothing in submanifolds of Euclidean space.
problem Filtering and smoothing in continuous-discrete time on submanifolds.
method Formal expressions and projection approach for prediction and smoothing.
result Agreement with classical results for prediction, differences for smoothing.
Develops state-space deep Gaussian processes for irregular signals.
problem Solving deep Gaussian process regression problems for irregular signals/functions.
method Represent DGPs as SDEs, solve using state-space filtering and smoothing methods.
result Rich class of priors compatible with irregular signals/functions.
This paper considers a non-Markov control problem arising in a financial market where asset returns depend on hidden factors. The problem is non-Markov because nonlinear filtering is required to make inference on these factors, and hence the associated dynamic program effectively takes the filtering distribution as one…
We examine some differential geometric approaches to finding approximate solutions to the continuous time nonlinear filtering problem. Our primary focus is a new projection method for the optimal filter infinite dimensional Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE), based on the direct L2 metric and on a family o…
This paper investigates optimal trading strategies in a financial market with multidimensional stock returns where the drift is an unobservable multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Information about the drift is obtained by observing stock returns and expert opinions. The latter provide unbiased estimates on the cu…
An important problem in fiber-optic communications is to invert the nonlinear Schrödinger equation in real time to reverse the deterministic effects of the channel. Interestingly, the popular split-step Fourier method (SSFM) leads to a computation graph that is reminiscent of a deep neural network. This observation all…
Paper tackles singularity detection in PDEs using data-driven self-supervised learning.
problem Detecting singularities in PDE solutions for efficient numerical methods.
method Data-driven self-supervised learning framework with filtering tasks.
result Proposes filtering methods for raw unlabeled data to improve singularity detection.
New method combines ODE filters and numerical quadrature to propagate model uncertainty.
problem Propagation of model uncertainty in ODE solutions with uncertain parameters.
method Combining ODE filters with numerical quadrature.
result Effective propagation of both numerical and parametric uncertainty.
We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility for a power investor who can allocate his wealth in a stock, a defaultable security, and a money market account. The dynamics of these security prices are governed by geometric Brownian motions modulated by a hidden continuous time finite state Markov chain. We red…
We determine the Killing superalgebras underpinning field theories with rigid unextended supersymmetry on Lorentzian four-manifolds by re-interpreting them as filtered deformations of Z-graded subalgebras with maximum odd dimension of the N=1 Poincaré superalgebra in four dimensions. Part of this calcula…
Paper uses optimal transport for Bayesian filtering, deriving new EnKF and FPF formulations.
problem Bayesian filtering for nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian observations.
method Optimal transport theory applied to Bayes' law, constructing Brenier maps.
result New variational formulations of EnKF and FPF for non-Gaussian settings.
Unified approach to stochastic control, filtering, and stopping using rough paths.
problem Addressing gaps in classical problems of stochastic control, filtering, and stopping.
method Combining rough path theory with controlled rough paths to provide a pathwise deterministic framework.
result Established rigorous connection between candidate solutions and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.
The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking via GPS). While the plain Kalman filter for linear systems is well-understood, th…
Improved HGF networks avoid negative precision errors in volatility updates.
problem Negative posterior precision errors in volatility-coupled nodes of HGF networks.
method Introduced a modified quadratic approximation to variational energy.
result Robust update equations across parameter space that track posterior faithfully.
A Kalman filter reduces valuation risk in business valuation models.
problem Reducing valuation risk in business valuation models.
method Recursive FCFF model with Kalman filtering to adjust WACC.
result Significant reduction in valuation risk by implementing Kalman filter.
A non-Euclidean generalization of conditional expectation is introduced and characterized as the minimizer of expected intrinsic squared-distance from a manifold-valued target. The computational tractable formulation expresses the non-convex optimization problem as transformations of Euclidean conditional expectation. …
This paper refines the Gaussian Sinkhorn algorithm for general multivariate models.
problem Finite-dimensional solutions for general Gaussian multivariate models.
method Recursive formulation of the Sinkhorn algorithm for Gaussian models, including closed form expressions of entropic transport maps and Schrödinger bridges.
result Refined convergence analysis of Gaussian Sinkhorn algorithms.
Develops optimal low-dimensional approximations to high-dimensional SDEs.
problem Approximating solutions to high-dimensional SDEs in a low-dimensional space.
method Introduces Ito-vector and Ito-jet projections for optimal approximation.
result Optimal projection filters yield better approximations than Stratonovich projection.
We study the algebraic structure of the Killing superalgebra of a supersymmetric background of 11-dimensional supergravity and show that it is isomorphic to a filtered deformation of a Z-graded subalgebra of the Poincaré superalgebra. We are able to map the classification problem for highly supersymmetric b…
Traditional Kalman filter (KF) is derived under the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion, which is optimal under Gaussian assumption. However, when the signals are non-Gaussian, especially when the system is disturbed by some heavy-tailed impulsive noises, the performance of KF will deteriorate serious…