Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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66131197262 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for false-alarm rate

Online anomaly detection in surveillance videos with false alarm rate bounds.

problem Lack of theoretical performance analysis and online decision making in anomaly detection.
method Proposes an online anomaly detection method with asymptotic bounds on false alarm rate.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on publicly available data sets, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.

Detects data drift in deep learning models using neural embeddings.

problem Detecting changes in data distribution in deep learning models.
method Formulates drift detection in a sequential decision framework and introduces a loss function to balance false alarms and quick detection.
result Demonstrates improved ability to balance false alarms and quick detection in change detection.

Paper tackles ICU false alarms by learning features from ECG signals.

problem High rate of false alarms in ICU due to patient movements and sensor detachment.
method Unsupervised feature learning to extract and cluster high-level features from ECG signals.
result The method reduces false arrhythmia alarms using a few high-level features from a single ECG lead.

Balancing graph summarization and change detection in streaming data.

problem Balancing compression rate in graph summarization and accuracy in change detection.
method Introducing a probabilistic hierarchical latent variable model and optimizing parameters based on the minimum description length principle to balance the trade-off.
result Guaranteed suppression of Type I error probability (false alarms) in change detection.

Interpretation of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals can be complicated by obfuscating artifacts. Artifact detection plays an important role in the observation and analysis of EEG signals. Spatial information contained in the placement of the electrodes can be exploited to accurately detect artifacts. However, when few…

2018-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

E-valuator converts verifier scores into reliable decision rules.

problem Ensuring the correctness of agent trajectories based on heuristic scores.
method Sequential hypothesis testing framework for online monitoring of agent trajectories.
result E-valuator provides better false alarm rate control and statistical power than other strategies.

We propose a novel non-parametric adaptive anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data based on rank-SVM. Data points are first ranked based on scores derived from nearest neighbor graphs on n-point nominal data. We then train a rank-SVM using this ranked data. A test-point is declared as an anomaly at alpha-…

2014-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes latency and false alarm probability in change detection problems.

problem Balancing latency and false alarms in non-stationary environments.
method Develops order-optimal change detectors under specified latency and false alarm levels.
result Derives a universal lower bound on latency and develops order-optimal detectors.

Proposes real-time risk monitoring for machine learning systems under unknown shifts.

problem Dynamic distribution shifts challenge real-world machine learning systems' risk assurances.
method Sequential hypothesis testing with 'testing by betting' to detect risk violations.
result Effective real-time risk monitoring under various unknown shifts.

Paper uses optimal transport-based statistics for change point detection.

problem Change point detection in multivariate data.
method Soft rank energy and entropically regularized optimal transport.
result Soft rank energy performs better in real datasets with strong continuity and convergence properties.

Geometric observables detect financial regime shifts with high accuracy.

problem Detecting regime shifts in financial markets.
method Extracted four geometric observables from equity-index returns and evaluated them against various baseline methods.
result The Berry Phase Rate achieves an unbiased out-of-sample median Cohen's d of 0.72, significantly reducing false alarms.

Study speaker verification security using hierarchical Bayesian modeling.

problem Estimating false alarm rate in ASV systems for large speaker databases.
method Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of ASV scores to assess security against closest impostors.
result Neither i-vector nor x-vector systems are secure against increased impostor database size.

We propose a non-parametric anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data. We score each datapoint by its average KK-NN distance, and rank them accordingly. We then train limited complexity models to imitate these scores based on the max-margin learning-to-rank framework. A test-point is declared as an anomaly…

2015-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.

We propose a non-parametric anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data. We first rank scores derived from nearest neighbor graphs on nn-point nominal training data. We then train limited complexity models to imitate these scores based on the max-margin learning-to-rank framework. A test-point is declared as…

2016-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepAISE predicts sepsis onset with high accuracy and low false alarms.

problem Early prediction of sepsis in ICU patients to improve clinical situational awareness.
method Recurrent neural survival model that combines clinical criteria and treatment policies.
result DeepAISE produces the most accurate predictions (AUC=0.90 and 0.87) and lowest false alarm rates (FAR=0.20 and 0.26) compared to baseline models.

DeXposure-Claw supervises decentralized finance risks by grounding LLM decisions in evidence.

problem Weak evidence leads to over-interventions by general-purpose LLM agents in decentralized finance.
method DeXposure-Claw uses a graph time-series foundation model to forecast exposure networks, turning forecasts into alerts and constraining escalation with data-health gates.
result DeXposure-Claw reduces false alarms and improves regulator alignment in decentralized finance risk supervision.

Paper develops an algorithm with PAC guarantees for detecting alien categories.

problem Detecting alien categories not seen in training data reliably.
method Develops an algorithm with PAC-style guarantees for alien detection under known upper bounds on alien fraction.
result Empirical results show the algorithm's effectiveness in detecting aliens.

In this paper, we propose a general framework to learn a robust large-margin binary classifier when corrupt measurements, called anomalies, caused by sensor failure might be present in the training set. The goal is to minimize the generalization error of the classifier on non-corrupted measurements while controlling th…

2016-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose a general framework to learn a robust large-margin binary classifier when corrupt measurements, called anomalies, caused by sensor failure might be present in the training set. The goal is to minimize the generalization error of the classifier on non-corrupted measurements while controlling th…

2015-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Automated seizure detection using clinical electroencephalograms is a challenging machine learning problem because the multichannel signal often has an extremely low signal to noise ratio. Events of interest such as seizures are easily confused with signal artifacts (e.g, eye movements) or benign variants (e.g., slowin…

2017-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Optimization improves machine learning for detecting network attacks.

problem Detecting network attacks to secure critical information.
method Bayesian Optimization for tuning machine learning algorithms (SVM-RBF, RF, k-NN).
result The proposed framework achieves high accuracy and low false alarms.

A new method detects and ranks anomalies in cloud computing platforms using multi-view learning.

problem High false-alarm rate in traditional anomaly detection methods.
method Online model using machine learning theory, ELM for efficiency, and multi-view feature fusion.
result Improved accuracy and efficiency in anomaly detection and ranking.

New algorithm for adaptive experimental design in scientific settings.

problem Identifying true positives while controlling false discoveries in adaptive experimental design.
method Provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for FDR control.
result First provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for adaptive experimental design.

Detects model changes in machine learning with empirical difference test.

problem Detect significant model changes between pre-change and post-change parameters.
method Constructs an empirical difference test (EDT) to approximate GLRT, with low computational complexity and false alarm constraint.
result EDT approximates GLRT and provides a method to set threshold for false alarm constraint.

Prior-weighted logistic regression has become a standard tool for calibration in speaker recognition. Logistic regression is the optimization of the expected value of the logarithmic scoring rule. We generalize this via a parametric family of proper scoring rules. Our theoretical analysis shows how different members of…

2013-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

KQT-EWMA monitors multivariate data streams online with flexible and practical change detection.

problem Online monitoring of multivariate data streams for detecting changes.
method Combines Kernel-QuantTree histogram and EWMA statistic for non-parametric monitoring.
result Controls Average Run Length (ARL0) while achieving comparable detection delays.

We study the problem of detecting an abrupt change to the signal covariance matrix. In particular, the covariance changes from a "white" identity matrix to an unknown spiked or low-rank matrix. Two sequential change-point detection procedures are presented, based on the largest and the smallest eigenvalues of the sampl…

2017-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Detects harmful distribution shifts in deployed models without false alarms.

problem Detecting harmful distribution shifts in deployed models without false alarms.
method Sequential tools for testing if the difference between source and target distributions leads to a significant increase in a risk function.
result Demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed framework through extensive empirical studies.

Real-time detection of out-of-distribution data in CPS control systems.

problem Detecting out-of-distribution data in CPS control systems for safety.
method Inductive conformal prediction and anomaly detection using variational autoencoders and deep support vector data description.
result Efficient real-time detection with low false alarm rates and comparable execution time.

PITMonitor monitors model calibration over time with formal error guarantees.

problem Fixed-sample tests applied to models over time can lead to false alarms.
method PITMonitor uses mixture e-processes to detect distributional shifts in probability integral transforms.
result PITMonitor achieves competitive detection rates on river's FriedmanDrift benchmark.

Detecting faults and SLA violations in a timely manner is critical for telecom providers, in order to avoid loss in business, revenue and reputation. At the same time predicting SLA violations for user services in telecom environments is difficult, due to time-varying user demands and infrastructure load conditions. In…

2015-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning detects and characterizes whistler radio waves for real-time monitoring of the plasmasphere.

problem Detect and characterise whistler radio waves generated by lightning strokes for real-time monitoring of the plasmasphere.
method Developed a machine learning model using image classification and localisation on spectrogram data to identify and localise whistlers.
result The proposed detectors achieve a misdetection and false alarm rate of less than 15% on Marion's dataset.