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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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58116174232 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for false selection

Nonparametric IPSS selects features with false discovery control.

problem Feature selection in high-dimensional data with theoretical false discovery control.
method Integrated Path Stability Selection (IPSS) applied to nonparametric feature importance scores.
result IPSS accurately controls false discovery rate and detects more true positives than existing methods.

The paper provides high-probability bounds on false discovery proportions in conformal inference.

problem Existing methods fail to provide high-probability bounds on the realized false discovery proportion.
method Constructing a high-probability envelope for the empirical distribution function of null conformal p-values by sampling from their joint distribution.
result Establishes finite-sample, distribution-free upper bounds on the FDP that hold simultaneously over all possible rejection thresholds.

Develops robust knockoffs for controlling false discoveries in financial data.

problem Challenges in variable selection with highly correlated data in finance and economics.
method Robustified knockoff framework addressing high dependence and time correlation.
result Identifies new important groups of factors on top of known drivers.

Develops methods to select informative conformal prediction sets with FCR control.

problem Selecting informative prediction sets with FCR control in supervised learning.
method Unified framework for informative conformal prediction sets with FCR control.
result First procedures providing FCR control for informative prediction sets.

Enhances FDR control in variable selection using neural networks.

problem Balancing rigorous error control with statistical power in high-dimensional variable selection.
method Learning-augmented T-Rex Selector framework with a neural network trained on synthetic datasets.
result Achieves superior detection of true variables compared to existing approaches.

SI-CLAD improves clustering-based anomaly detection by controlling false positives.

problem Lack of reliability in clustering-based anomaly detection.
method SI-CLAD (Statistical Inference for CLustering-based Anomaly Detection) using Selective Inference framework.
result SI-CLAD rigorously controls false detection probability below a specified significance level.

A statistical test controls false positives in anomaly localization using diffusion models.

problem Uncertainty and bias in generative models for anomaly localization.
method Selective inference to quantify significance and control false positives.
result The method effectively controls false positive detection rates.

The paper addresses errors in online selective conformal prediction and proposes new strategies to ensure valid inference.

problem Online selective conformal prediction's exchangeability issues and false coverage rate control problems.
method Evaluation and correction of existing calibration selection strategies, proposing new ones that preserve exchangeability.
result Novel calibration selection strategies ensure both selection-conditional coverage and FCR control.

In variable or graph selection problems, finding a right-sized model or controlling the number of false positives is notoriously difficult. Recently, a meta-algorithm called Stability Selection was proposed that can provide reliable finite-sample control of the number of false positives. Its benefits were demonstrated …

2017-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

In the context of variable selection, ensemble learning has gained increasing interest due to its great potential to improve selection accuracy and to reduce false discovery rate. A novel ordering-based selective ensemble learning strategy is designed in this paper to obtain smaller but more accurate ensembles. In part…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a statistical test for feature selection pipelines using selective inference.

problem Assessing the significance of feature selection pipelines in data analysis.
method Selective inference technique applied to feature selection pipelines composed of various algorithms.
result The proposed statistical test controls false positive feature selection probabilities.

ACS is an interactive framework for model-free selection with guaranteed error control.

problem Model-free selection with rigorous error control.
method Adaptive conformal selection with human-in-the-loop data exploration and new information incorporation.
result ACS provides concrete selection algorithms for various goals, including model update/selection, diversified selection, and incorporating new data.

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an extremely frugal acquisition of features can be addressed by allowing a feature…

2019-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

T-Rex selector selects variables fast and controls FDR in high-dimensional data.

problem Variable selection in high-dimensional data with FDR control.
method Fused solutions of early terminated random experiments.
result FDR control at target level with high variable selection power.

A new knockoff statistic using conditional prediction function improves variable selection in complex models.

problem Controlling false discovery rate in complex models with nonlinear relationships.
method Introducing a knockoff statistic based on the conditional prediction function for use with machine learning models.
result The CPF statistics provide superior power in detecting prognostic variables over existing knockoff statistics.

The paper proposes a method to test features selected by SeqFS-DA with controlled FPR.

problem Ensuring reliability of feature selection after domain adaptation in high-dimensional regression.
method Proposes a novel method to test features selected by SeqFS-DA with controlled FPR.
result The proposed method controls FPR below a significance level αα (e.g., 0.05) and enhances statistical power.

Online method selects candidates from data streams, ensuring irreversible decisions.

problem Conformal selection's incompatibility with irreversible decisions in online scenarios.
method Online Conformal Selection with Accept-to-Reject Changes (OCS-ARC) incorporating online Benjamini-Hochberg procedure.
result OCS-ARC controls FDR at or below nominal level, improving selection power.

New method identifies causes in time series with latent variables.

problem Identifying direct and indirect causes in time series data with hidden variables.
method Proves necessary and sufficient conditions for causal feature selection using graph constraints and conditional independence tests.
result Method outperforms Granger causality in identifying causes with low false positives and false negatives.

Simple bounds show most cross-sectional predictability findings are likely true.

problem Determining the validity of cross-sectional return predictability findings.
method Developed simple and intuitive bounds on the false discovery rate (FDR).
result Bounds show the FDR is small, indicating most findings are likely true.

Online anomaly detection in surveillance videos with false alarm rate bounds.

problem Lack of theoretical performance analysis and online decision making in anomaly detection.
method Proposes an online anomaly detection method with asymptotic bounds on false alarm rate.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on publicly available data sets, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.

Paper proposes SCQ and P-TAMS for structured OOD testing in high-stakes ML.

problem Difficulty of incorporating auxiliary information in traditional conformal methods.
method Structure-adaptive conformal q-value (SCQ) and pseudo-score-guided transductive automated model selection (P-TAMS).
result Unified framework controls false discovery rate and improves power across diverse settings.

FlowSelect uses normalizing flows to control FDR in feature selection.

problem Controlled feature selection with knockoffs often fails to control false discovery rate (FDR).
method FlowSelect uses normalizing flows for accurate feature modeling and a novel MCMC-based p-value calculation to enforce knockoff properties.
result FlowSelect consistently controls FDR and demonstrates greater power compared to competing methods.

PS-DME evaluates model performance and reliability after data-dependent selection.

problem Evaluating model performance and reliability when data is used for selection and evaluation.
method Post-selection distributional model evaluation (PS-DME) using e-values to control false coverage rate.
result PS-DME provides reliable comparison of model configurations across different reliability levels.

Proposes a method to select features for deep learning in noisy, high-dimensional data.

problem Feature selection for deep learning in ultra-high dimensional and highly correlated data.
method Data-adaptive multi-resolutional screening and cleaning with deep learning.
result Achieves high power while keeping false discovery rate low.

Safe-DRFS selects features robust to covariate shifts for reliable performance.

problem Feature selection fails in diverse deployment environments.
method Safe-DRFS extends safe screening to distributionally robust settings under covariate shift.
result Safe-DRFS identifies a feature subset encompassing optimal subsets across distribution shifts.

Paper introduces PTL-SI for statistical inference in TL-HDR, controlling FPR.

problem Quantifying statistical significance in TL-HDR with limited data.
method PTL-SI framework for valid pp-values in TL-HDR feature selection.
result Valid pp-values and controlled FPR in TL-HDR feature selection.