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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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181361542722 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for experimental sample

GEAR uses auxiliary data to estimate optimal decisions in studies with limited primary outcomes.

problem Estimating optimal decisions when primary outcomes are not available in experimental samples.
method GEAR uses augmented inverse propensity weighting to estimate optimal decisions based on auxiliary data.
result GEAR estimators and value estimators have established asymptotic properties and are validated in simulations and a real application.

Optimizes sampling for faster convergence in Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification.

problem Efficiently selecting samples for faster convergence in Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification.
method Output-weighted acquisition functions leveraging likelihood ratio to guide sampling towards relevant regions.
result Superiority of the proposed method in uncertainty quantification and rare event identification.

Experimental design is a process of obtaining a product with target property via experimentation. Bayesian optimization offers a sample-efficient tool for experimental design when experiments are expensive. Often, expert experimenters have 'hunches' about the behavior of the experimental system, offering potentials to …

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves robustness of Bayesian experimental design.

problem Bayesian experimental design's sensitivity to prior distribution changes.
method Introduces robust expected information gain (REIG) and uses KL-divergence ambiguity sets.
result REIG stabilizes sampling-based EIG estimation and compensates for prior variability.

Paper proposes an unbiased optimization method for Bayesian experimental design.

problem Maximizing expected information gain in Bayesian experimental design.
method Randomized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method combined with stochastic gradient descent.
result An unbiased estimator for the gradient of expected information gain.

Optimizes expensive experiments by incorporating expert knowledge.

problem Expensive experiments require minimizing the number of trials.
method Bayesian optimization with posterior sampling of expert knowledge.
result Demonstrates significant efficiency gains in experiments and hyperparameter tuning.

New method combines experimental and observational data for causal inference.

problem Combining internal validity of experiments and larger sample sizes of observations.
method Empirical risk minimization (ERM) framework with cross-validation.
result Efficacy and reliability demonstrated on real and synthetic data.

Optimizes experimental designs for intractable models using mutual information bounds.

problem Finding optimal experimental designs for models with intractable data-generating distributions.
method Maximizes mutual information lower bounds parametrized by neural networks, updating network parameters and designs simultaneously.
result Framework enables experimental design for various tasks including parameter estimation and model discrimination.

New method improves experimental design under model misspecification.

problem Improving experimental design under time and budget constraints with model misspecification.
method Developed a new acquisition function (R-IDeA) that targets representativeness, informativeness, and de-amplification.
result The new method outperforms methods focusing on representativeness or informativeness alone.

Paper proposes a method to use in silico experiments with foundation models to reduce sample size.

problem Costly and uncertain randomized experiments.
method Integrates predictions from multiple foundation models with experimental data.
result Estimator offers substantial precision gains, equivalent to a 20% reduction in sample size.

The paper proposes an efficient method for estimating ATEs using adaptive experiments.

problem Estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal sample size and high accuracy.
method The paper defines and uses the efficient treatment-assignment probability to sequentially assign treatments, estimating ATEs using an Adaptive Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (A2IPW) estimator.
result The proposed experimental design and A2IPW estimator achieve the minimized semiparametric efficiency bound and provide anytime valid confidence intervals for early stopping.

Neyman's framework evaluates personalized treatment rules using experiments.

problem Evaluating the efficacy of individualized treatment rules derived by machine learning.
method Neyman's repeated sampling framework applied to cross-fitted ITRs.
result Ex-post evaluation of ITRs can be more efficient than random assignment.

Unified algorithm for efficient pure exploration using dual variables.

problem Efficiently achieving a specific goal through adaptive experimentation.
method Introducing dual variables to derive optimal allocation conditions, leading to Information-Directed Selection.
result Top-two Thompson sampling attains asymptotic optimality for Gaussian best-arm identification.

Paper introduces IO-NPF for efficient Bayesian experimental design.

problem Efficient Bayesian experimental design in non-exchangeable settings.
method Inside-Out Nested Particle Filter (IO-NPF) for non-Markovian state-space models.
result IO-NPF achieves O(T2)\mathcal{O}(T^2) computational complexity, improving efficiency.

New method uses diffusion models to optimize experimental design efficiently.

problem Optimizing experimental design for high-dimensional and complex settings.
method Introduces a pooled posterior distribution and uses diffusion-based samplers for efficient sampling and optimization.
result Extends Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design to practical scenarios.

This study optimizes covariate density and propensity score for efficient ATE estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal variance.
method Adaptive experiment optimizing both covariate density and propensity score.
result Proposed method minimizes the semiparametric efficiency bound for ATE estimation.

The scientific method relies on the iterated processes of inference and inquiry. The inference phase consists of selecting the most probable models based on the available data; whereas the inquiry phase consists of using what is known about the models to select the most relevant experiment. Optimizing inquiry involves …

2010-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by the widespread adoption of large-scale A/B testing in industry, we propose a new experimentation framework for the setting where potential experiments are abundant (i.e., many hypotheses are available to test), and observations are costly; we refer to this as the experiment-rich regime. Such scenarios requ…

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel neural architecture improves Bayesian experimental design efficiency.

problem Intractable evaluation of expected information gain (EIG) in Bayesian optimal experimental design.
method Develops a neural architecture that optimizes a single variational model for estimating EIG across many designs, using a lower bound for computational efficiency.
result Significantly improves accuracy in Bayesian experimental design with better sample efficiency.

New method uses SDEs for accurate non-uniformly sampled time series analysis.

problem Characterizing non-uniformly sampled time series with high accuracy.
method Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) for modeling, incremental estimation, and model truncation.
result Increased accuracy in characterizing non-uniformly sampled time series.

New algorithm for adaptive experimental design in scientific settings.

problem Identifying true positives while controlling false discoveries in adaptive experimental design.
method Provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for FDR control.
result First provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for adaptive experimental design.

New insights into negative sampling for graph representation learning.

problem Challenges in generating high-quality graph representations for large node sets.
method Theoretical analysis and derivation of negative sampling distribution correlation, proposing MCNS method.
result The negative sampling distribution should be positively but sub-linearly correlated to the positive sampling distribution.

Develops methods to estimate gradient of EIG for Bayesian Experimental Design.

problem Optimizing Bayesian inference through efficient experimental design.
method Introduces UEEG-MCMC and BEEG-AP methods for estimating EIG gradient.
result Both methods improve upon existing benchmarks in EIG optimization.

Improves content allocation in educational platforms with sparse data.

problem Imbalanced content allocation and delayed convergence in adaptive strategies.
method Introduces WAPTS, an algorithm that refines Thompson Sampling for data-sparse environments.
result Demonstrates earlier and more reliable identification of promising treatments.

New method learns from non-uniform data and partial physical knowledge.

problem Identifying dynamical systems from non-uniformly sampled data.
method Physics-informed neural networks integrating numerical integration methods.
result Learning unknown kinetic rates and estimating parameters from non-uniform data.

AL methods show inconsistent performance gains over random sampling, highlighting variability in neural network-based approaches.

problem Inconsistent performance of AL methods using neural networks.
method Different types of AL algorithms (uncertainty based, diversity based, and committee based) were tested under identical experimental settings.
result AL methods do not consistently outperform random sampling, revealing variability in performance metrics.

A method to uniformly sample graph-encoded surfaces of fixed size.

problem Sampling uniformly from combinatorial isomorphism types of balanced triangulations of surfaces.
method Relies on connections between graph-encoded surfaces and permutations, and basic properties of the symmetric group.
result Empirical mean genus of the sample is very close to a specific formula as nn increases.

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible, this task is particularly difficult and therefore largely unexplored. This is mai…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian adaptive designs can be biased by active learning, especially with misspecified models.

problem Active learning bias in Bayesian adaptive experimental designs.
method Analysis of linear and preference learning models, empirical testing.
result Model misspecification and noise influence active learning bias in Bayesian designs.

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.

We study the effectiveness of non-uniform randomized feature selection in decision tree classification. We experimentally evaluate two feature selection methodologies, based on information extracted from the provided dataset: (i)(i) \emph{leverage scores-based} and (ii)(ii) \emph{norm-based} feature selection. Experimenta…

2014-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new sampling scheme based on DOE improves Shapley value estimation accuracy and speed.

problem Heavy computational burden of calculating Shapley values in large coalition games.
method Design of Experiments (DOE) order-of-addition experimental designs for sampling.
result DOE-based sampling scheme yields more accurate and sometimes deterministic estimates of Shapley values.

Unified framework for robust A/B testing under model misspecification.

problem Improving sample efficiency in A/B testing with model misspecification.
method Unified framework for contextual bandit and dynamic settings, proving worst-case mean squared error bounds.
result Empirically validated approach using synthetic and real-world datasets.