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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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71142213284 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for exp-concave losses

Optimizes exp-concave losses with a new risk bound.

problem Optimizing exp-concave losses with stochastic convex optimization.
method Empirical Risk Minimization with a unified geometric assumption and local norms.
result Provides an O(d/n+log(1/δ)/n)O( d / n + \log( 1 / δ) / n ) excess risk bound.

The goal of online prediction with expert advice is to find a decision strategy which will perform almost as well as the best expert in a given pool of experts, on any sequence of outcomes. This problem has been widely studied and O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) and O(logT)O(\log{T}) regret bounds can be achieved for convex losses (\cite{zin…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The overarching goal of this paper is to derive excess risk bounds for learning from exp-concave loss functions in passive and sequential learning settings. Exp-concave loss functions encompass several fundamental problems in machine learning such as squared loss in linear regression, logistic loss in classification, a…

2014-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

SA algorithms control dynamic regret in non-stationary settings with strong convexity or exp-concavity.

problem Non-stationary Online Convex Optimization with dynamic regret control.
method Strongly Adaptive (SA) algorithms view dynamic regret as path variation of the comparator sequence.
result SA algorithms achieve ildeO(TVTlogT) ilde O(\sqrt{TV_T} \vee \log T) and ildeO(dTVTdlogT) ilde O(\sqrt{dTV_T} \vee d\log T) dynamic regret for strongly convex and exp-concave losses, respectively.

Near-logarithmic regret per switch achieved for mixable/exp-concave losses.

problem Online optimization of mixable loss functions with dynamic environments.
method Online mixture framework using static solvers and hyper-expert creations.
result Near-logarithmic regret per switch with sub-polynomial complexity.

Improved online convex optimization with delayed feedback using curvature.

problem Online convex optimization with curved losses and delayed feedback.
method Variant of follow-the-regularized-leader and Online Newton Step algorithm with adaptive learning rate.
result Regret bounds of order min{σmaxlnT,dtot}\min\{σ_{\max}\ln T, \sqrt{d_{\mathrm{tot}}}\} for exp-concave losses.

A new algorithm reduces online exp-concave optimization runtime.

problem Minimizing regret in online learning with exponentially concave losses.
method LightONS, a variant of Online Newton Step (ONS), reduces runtime to O(d2T+dωTlogT)O(d^2 T + d^ω\sqrt{T \log T}).
result Optimal regret with reduced runtime to O(d2T+dωTlogT)O(d^2 T + d^ω\sqrt{T \log T}).

New algorithms minimize dynamic regret in non-stationary online learning.

problem Universal dynamic regret minimization under exp-concave and smooth losses.
method Strongly Adaptive algorithms with a path variational based on second order differences of the comparator sequence.
result Achieve a dynamic regret of ildeO(d2n1/5Cn2/5d2) ilde O(d^2 n^{1/5} C_n^{2/5} \vee d^2), optimal modulo dependencies.

We derive optimal statistical and computational complexity bounds for exp-concave stochastic minimization in terms of the effective dimension. For common eigendecay patterns of the population covariance matrix, this quantity is significantly smaller than the ambient dimension. Our results reveal interesting connections…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes an online learning method with multi-level adaptivity for diverse loss functions.

problem Online learning with unknown types and curvatures of functions.
method Multi-layer online ensemble approach with gradient variations.
result Achieves improved regret bounds for different types of loss functions.

Information concentration of probability measures have important implications in learning theory. Recently, it is discovered that the information content of a log-concave distribution concentrates around their differential entropy, albeit with an unpleasant dependence on the ambient dimension. In this work, we prove th…

2018-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaptron algorithm reduces mistakes in online multiclass classification.

problem Online multiclass classification with limited information.
method Randomized first-order algorithm exploiting the gap between zero-one loss and surrogate losses.
result First linear time algorithm with O(KT)O(K\sqrt{T}) expected regret.

New algorithms minimize dynamic regret for strongly convex losses.

problem Minimizing dynamic regret for strongly convex losses.
method Developed Strongly Adaptive algorithms exploiting KKT conditions.
result Achieved near optimal dynamic regret of O(d1/3n1/3extTV[u1:n]2/3d)O(d^{1/3} n^{1/3} ext{TV}[u_{1:n}]^{2/3} \vee d).

Improved cumulative regret for sequence prediction with limited expert advice.

problem Minimizing cumulative regret in sequence prediction with limited information.
method Convex combination of experts with limited observation, achieving constant regret.
result Strategies achieve constant regret independent of the horizon T, improving over standard bounds.

A standard introduction to online learning might place Online Gradient Descent at its center and then proceed to develop generalizations and extensions like Online Mirror Descent and second-order methods. Here we explore the alternative approach of putting Exponential Weights (EW) first. We show that many standard meth…

2018-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The speed with which a learning algorithm converges as it is presented with more data is a central problem in machine learning --- a fast rate of convergence means less data is needed for the same level of performance. The pursuit of fast rates in online and statistical learning has led to the discovery of many conditi…

2015-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified derivation of PAC-Bayes and MI bounds for general VC classes with fast rates.

problem Generalization bounds for machine learning models with VC classes.
method Unified derivation of conditional PAC-Bayesian and mutual information bounds, including MAC-Bayesian bounds.
result Nontrivial bounds for general VC classes and faster rates for specific conditions.

New method achieves both universality and adaptivity in online convex optimization.

problem Achieve optimal regret guarantees without prior knowledge of function curvature.
method Introduces UniGrad, a novel approach that achieves both universality and adaptivity.
result Achieves universal regret guarantees that adapt to gradient variation.

Improved regret bounds for online convex optimization under stochastic and adversarial settings.

problem Interpolating between stochastic and adversarial online convex optimization.
method Optimistic online mirror descent (OMD) for the Stochastically Extended Adversarial (SEA) model.
result Established new regret bounds for various function classes.

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determ…

2009-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We present the Tamed Cross Entropy (TCE) loss function, a robust derivative of the standard Cross Entropy (CE) loss used in deep learning for classification tasks. However, unlike other robust losses, the TCE loss is designed to exhibit the same training properties than the CE loss in noiseless scenarios. Therefore, th…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified surrogate loss framework for multi-label learning with strong consistency guarantees.

problem Improving consistency and accounting for label correlations in multi-label learning.
method Introducing multi-label logistic loss and extending it to comprehensive multi-label comp-sum losses, proving strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.
result Unified surrogate loss framework benefiting from strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.

We present αα-loss, α[1,]α\in [1,\infty], a tunable loss function for binary classification that bridges log-loss (α=1α=1) and 00-11 loss (α=α= \infty). We prove that αα-loss has an equivalent margin-based form and is classification-calibrated, two desirable properties for a good surrogate loss function for the ideal y…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This work generalizes calibeating for a broader range of proper losses using Bregman divergence.

problem Calibration for a wide range of proper losses beyond Brier and log loss.
method Regret minimization based on Bregman divergence for a family of proper losses.
result U-calibration results for a family of Tsallis losses with logarithmic regret and dimension independence.

Proposes squentropy loss for improved classification accuracy and model calibration.

problem Theoretical and empirical evidence for cross-entropy loss is lacking.
method Introduces squentropy loss as the sum of cross-entropy and average square loss over incorrect classes.
result Squentropy loss outperforms cross-entropy and rescaled square losses in classification accuracy and model calibration.

The study analyzes a model for aggregate losses with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.

problem Analyzing aggregate loss models with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.
method The study uses a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2) and a Markov renewal process to model the inter-losses times. Severities are modeled using a heavy-tailed, double-Pareto Lognormal distribution. The model is estimated via direct maximization of the likelihood function.
result The model with dependence and overdispersion in inter-losses times leads to higher capital charges compared to a Poisson process.

Two new algorithms improve performance in adversarial bandits with unbounded losses.

problem Adversarial Multi-Armed Bandits with unbounded losses.
method Developed UMAB-NN and UMAB-G for non-negative and general unbounded losses respectively.
result UMAB-NN achieves the first adaptive and scale-free regret bound for non-negative unbounded losses.

Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.

problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.

Theoretical analysis of cross-entropy loss functions and their robustness.

problem Guarantees for using cross-entropy as a surrogate loss function.
method Theoretical analysis of a broad family of loss functions, including cross-entropy.
result First HH-consistency bounds for comp-sum losses and smooth adversarial comp-sum losses.

This paper improves operational risk modeling by selecting better loss severity distributions.

problem Inconsistent regulatory capital calculations due to changing loss severity distribution families.
method Presented truncation probability estimates and a consistent quantile scoring function for selection criteria. Also, recommended collecting loss frequencies below the minimum reporting threshold.
result More stable regulatory capital calculations through better selection of loss severity distributions.

This paper improves loss functions for deep learning with noisy labels.

problem Training deep neural networks with noisy labels.
method The paper introduces a normalization technique to make any loss function robust to noisy labels and proposes a framework called Active Passive Loss (APL) to combine robust loss functions.
result The proposed APL framework consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, especially under high noise rates.

We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP loss probability density function and the percentiles associated to extreme eve…

2012-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗