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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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13253850 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for exchangeable GPs

It is well-known that the distribution over functions induced through a zero-mean iid prior distribution over the parameters of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) converges to a Gaussian process (GP), under mild conditions. We extend this result firstly to independent priors with general zero or non-zero means, and secondl…

2019-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a general and analytically tractable way of modeling complex time-varying, nonparametric functions. The Automatic Bayesian Covariance Discovery (ABCD) system constructs natural-language description of time-series data by treating unknown time-series data nonparametrically using GP with …

2015-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Gaussian process inference for spatio-temporal data.

problem Cubic computational costs in Gaussian process inference, especially in spatio-temporal settings.
method Proposes the Vanilla-SPDE Exchange, leveraging an equivalence between standard and SPDE formulations to achieve improved computational cost.
result Demonstrates improved computational efficiency through complexity analysis and numerical experiments.

Algorithm optimizes collaborative learning among distributed clients using kernel-based bandits.

problem Optimizing personalized objectives in a distributed system with limited global information.
method Kernel-based bandit framework with surrogate Gaussian process models, sparse approximations.
result Order-optimal regret performance (up to polylogarithmic factors) and reduced communication overhead.

BALLAST optimizes Lagrangian observer placement for ocean vector fields.

problem Optimizing Lagrangian observer placement for time-dependent ocean vector fields.
method Bayesian active learning with look-ahead amendment for sea-drifter trajectories using a physics-informed spatio-temporal Gaussian process surrogate model.
result Noticeable benefits of BALLAST-aided observer placement strategies on synthetic and high-fidelity ocean models.

We introduce a framework for analyzing transductive combination of Gaussian process (GP) experts, where independently trained GP experts are combined in a way that depends on test point location, in order to scale GPs to big data. The framework provides some theoretical justification for the generalized product of GP e…

2015-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently optimize GPs by reusing candidate solutions multiple times.

problem High computational cost of Gaussian process optimization due to unique historical points.
method Sticking to a candidate solution for multiple evaluation steps and limiting switches.
result Improved efficiency and practicality of Gaussian process optimization algorithms.

HIP-GP improves GP inference for inter-domain observations with millions of inducing points.

problem Inference for Gaussian Processes across different domains.
method Hierarchical inducing point Gaussian process with grid structure and stationary kernel assumption.
result Improved approximation accuracy through increased number of inducing points.

This paper improves GP for learning complex data distributions.

problem Vanilla Gaussian processes struggle with complex data distributions.
method Introduces scalable GP paradigms with latent variables and variational inference.
result Scalable modulated GPs, especially latent GPs, learn diverse data distributions better.

Develops SGP-VAE for efficient sparse GP inference in multi-dimensional datasets.

problem Sparse GP approximations and missing data in multi-dimensional spatio-temporal datasets.
method Leverages partial inference networks for sparse GP approximations and amortized variational inference.
result Outperforms multi-output GPs and structured VAEs in various experiments.

Framework for applying GPs to real-world data with scalability guidelines.

problem Deployment of Gaussian Processes (GPs) is hindered by computational costs and lack of guidelines.
method Proposed a framework for identifying GP suitability and setting up robust models, formalizing decisions of experienced practitioners.
result More accurate results at test time for glacier elevation change case study.

It has long been known that a single-layer fully-connected neural network with an i.i.d. prior over its parameters is equivalent to a Gaussian process (GP), in the limit of infinite network width. This correspondence enables exact Bayesian inference for infinite width neural networks on regression tasks by means of eva…

2017-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a multiresolution Gaussian process to capture long-range, non-Markovian dependencies while allowing for abrupt changes. The multiresolution GP hierarchically couples a collection of smooth GPs, each defined over an element of a random nested partition. Long-range dependencies are captured by the top-level GP…

2012-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for faster prediction in distributed Gaussian processes.

problem Inefficient aggregation of distributed Gaussian processes with correlations.
method Proposes a novel approach for aggregated prediction in distributed GPs that incorporates correlations among experts.
result Results in more stable predictions in less time compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Deep Gaussian processes (DGP) have appealing Bayesian properties, can handle variable-sized data, and learn deep features. Their limitation is that they do not scale well with the size of the data. Existing approaches address this using a deep random feature (DRF) expansion model, which makes inference tractable by app…

2019-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

GP-KAN uses Gaussian Processes in KANs for robust, parameter-efficient non-linear modeling.

problem Non-linear modeling with limited parameters and uncertainty estimates.
method Integrates Gaussian Processes into Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) for robust non-linear modeling.
result GP-KAN achieves 98.5% accuracy on MNIST with 80k parameters compared to 1.5M for state-of-the-art models.

This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ1/δ with probability δδ.

In this paper we introduce deep Gaussian process (GP) models. Deep GPs are a deep belief network based on Gaussian process mappings. The data is modeled as the output of a multivariate GP. The inputs to that Gaussian process are then governed by another GP. A single layer model is equivalent to a standard GP or the GP …

2012-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This work studies the problem of stochastic dynamic filtering and state propagation with complex beliefs. The main contribution is GP-SUM, a filtering algorithm tailored to dynamic systems and observation models expressed as Gaussian Processes (GP), and to states represented as a weighted sum of Gaussians. The key attr…

2017-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks (DNN) and Gaussian processes (GP) are two powerful models with several theoretical connections relating them, but the relationship between their training methods is not well understood. In this paper, we show that certain Gaussian posterior approximations for Bayesian DNNs are equivalent to GP post…

2019-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the sequential Bayesian optimization problem with bandit feedback, adopting a formulation that allows for the reward function to vary with time. We model the reward function using a Gaussian process whose evolution obeys a simple Markov model. We introduce two natural extensions of the classical Gaussian pr…

2016-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Two methods improve Gaussian process predictive distributions' calibration.

problem Improving the reliability of Gaussian process predictive intervals.
method Introduces two methods: cps-gp and bcr-gp, both adapting conformal predictive systems to GP interpolation.
result Both methods provide finite-sample marginal calibration and smooth predictive distributions.