MiCA regulation led to a shift in stablecoin dominance.
problem Impact of MiCA regulation on stablecoin trading.
method Comparative analysis of regulated and non-regulated exchanges.
result USDC gained market share and trading volume post-MiCA regulation.
Exchange sets optimal make-take fees to attract liquidity.
problem Setting suitable make-take fees to attract liquidity on an exchange.
method Principal-agent approach to describe optimal contract and quotes.
result Optimal contracting leads to higher quality liquidity and lower trading costs.
Many models of market dynamics make use of the idea of wealth exchanges among economic agents. A simple analogy compares the wealth in a society with the energy in a physical system, and the trade between agents to the energy exchange between molecules during collisions. However, while in physical systems the equiparti…
Global convergence proved for multi-agent LQRs with hierarchical actor-critic.
problem Challenges in understanding multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Developed a hierarchical actor-critic algorithm for partially exchangeable agents.
result Global linear convergence to optimal policy proved.
It is assumed that under suitable economic and information-theoretic conditions, market exchange rates are free from arbitrage. Commodity markets in which trades occur over a complete graph are shown to be trivial. We therefore examine the vector space of no-arbitrage exchange rate ensembles over an arbitrary connected…
Model shows incentives in shared order book can lead to free-rider problem.
problem Incentives in shared order books can lead to free-rider problem.
method Developed a Principal-Agent model with CARA utility functions.
result Equilibrium analysis shows incentives can lead to reduced competition.
We formalize and verify double auctions for multiple-quantity trades.
problem Matching multiple-quantity trade requests in double auctions.
method Formalized algorithms, correctness proofs, Coq proof assistant, verified OCaml and Haskell programs.
result Automatic detection of violations in exchange systems.
Regulated Bitcoin futures led to higher volatility and trading volume.
problem Estimating the impact of regulated Bitcoin futures on volatility and volume.
method Employed a new causal approach, C-ARIMA.
result Regulated Bitcoin futures increased Bitcoin volatility by more than double.
Investment risk on a regulated market is influenced by gold prices and oil trading.
problem Systematic risk of loss in investment portfolios under sanctions.
method Statistical analysis of tail dependence between oil, gold, and Tehran Stock Exchange Index.
result Tail dependence should be considered for systematic risk, and active bartering of oil can prevent market collapse.
Formal methods verify continuous auctions at exchanges.
problem Ensuring fairness and correctness in continuous auctions.
method Formal specification, design, and verification of continuous double auctions.
result A verified algorithm satisfies natural properties of auctions.
In a market system, regulations are designed to prevent or rectify market failures that inhibit fair exchange, such as monopoly or transactions with hidden costs. Because regulations reduce profits to those possessing unfair advantage, these advantaged corporations (whether individuals, companies, or other collective o…
Study optimal liquidation strategies in lit and dark pools with and without regulation.
problem Optimal liquidation strategies in dark and lit pools with execution uncertainty.
method Design optimal make-take fee policies, solve HJB-Fokker-Planck systems, use BSDEs.
result Explicit solutions for optimal strategies in both competitive and regulated markets.
Study finds Binance's tether-margined contracts significantly impact bitcoin volatility.
problem Understanding volatility transmission in the crypto market, especially through Binance.
method Analyzing high-frequency realised volatility dynamics and spillovers in bitcoin market pairs.
result Binance's tether-margined contracts are the primary source of volatility and transmit strong flows.
The FCA improved insider trading regulation after 2012, reducing abnormal returns.
problem Regulation of insider trading before and after the UK Financial Services Act 2012.
method Event study methodology using abnormal returns analysis.
result Abnormal returns were reduced after the FCA took over from the FSA.
Study compares Indian derivatives markets and finds NSE outperforming BSE.
problem Lack of strong regulations and robust framework in Indian derivatives market.
method Comparison of performance of derivatives in BSE and NSE, analysis of derivatives with cash market and market volatility.
result NSE derivatives outperform BSE, need stronger regulations.
PRIME models cryptocurrency exchange market impact.
problem Understanding and predicting market impact in cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Developed a multi-agent simulation to model market impact.
result Allows better estimation of market slippage and knock-on consequences.
The paper explores fair treatment in financial exchanges, finding unbounded fairness unrealistic and proposing ε-fairness as a solution.
problem Ensuring fair treatment of all competing participants in financial exchanges.
method Investigation of unbounded temporal fairness, analysis of real-world incidents, introduction of ε-fairness.
result Unbounded temporal fairness is unrealistic in FIFO markets, and ε-fairness provides a viable alternative.
Study compares price limit and circuit breaker effects in stock markets.
problem Preventing rapid and steep price drops in stock exchanges.
method Agent-based model for financial market simulation.
result Price limit and circuit breaker have similar effects under same conditions, but price limit less effective with shorter limit time range.
Proposes a new jackknife method for time series hyperparameter selection.
problem Hyperparameter selection for time series models.
method Artificial delete-d jackknife approach.
result Asymptotic and finite-sample advantages demonstrated.
This paper detects market manipulation in Mt. Gox's Bitcoin exchange transactions.
problem Detecting market manipulation in cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Mining Mt. Gox's transaction history, categorizing accounts, constructing graphs, and using SVD for analysis.
result Identifies serious market manipulation in Mt. Gox exchange and recommends stronger market supervision.
Formal framework verifies fairness, uniformity, and rationality in financial market trades.
problem Ensuring fairness, uniformity, and rationality in financial market trades.
method Formal definition and proof of properties in a theorem prover (Coq).
result Formal verification of double-sided auctions in financial markets.
We develop the first basic Operational Risk perspective on key risk management issues associated with the development of new forms of electronic currency in the real economy. In particular, we focus on understanding the development of new risks types and the evolution of current risk types as new components of financia…
Study shows SEC crypto classification led to significant market reactions.
problem Impact of SEC classification of crypto assets as securities.
method Event study methodology focusing on explicitly named crypto assets.
result Significant adverse market reactions, with returns plummeting 12% over one week.
Formally verifies fairness and uniformity in financial market trades.
problem Ensuring fairness and uniformity in automated trading systems.
method Formal definition and verification in Coq proof assistant.
result Properties of double-sided auction mechanisms verified.
New AI governance framework tackles risks in finance.
problem Risks from evolving AI models in finance.
method Agent-based framework with modular governance architecture.
result Controls quarantine harmful behavior in real time.
Inequality persists as wealth concentrates in a few agents.
problem Widening wealth gap in society.
method Modeling wealth exchanges and proposing regulatory policies.
result Simple policies can redistribute wealth and prevent inequality.
In this paper we develop a new form of agent-based model for limit order books based on heterogeneous trading agents, whose motivations are liquidity driven. These agents are abstractions of real market participants, expressed in a stochastic model framework. We develop an efficient way to perform statistical calibrati…
Corrects technical error in change of measure for HTB models.
problem Technical error in change of measure for HTB models.
method Provided supplement conditions to correct the error.
result Corrected technical error in change of measure for HTB models.
Federated Extra-Trees protects privacy while improving machine learning performance.
problem Scattered data and privacy concerns in machine learning.
method Local differential privacy in federated trees model.
result Improved accuracy and robustness in federated machine learning.
Trade finance history traced from medieval origins to modern markets.
problem Evolution and standardization of trade finance products.
method Historical analysis of market structures and regulatory changes.
result Global trade finance market evolved from local to centralized, then decentralized.
We investigate the structure of global inter-firm linkages using a dataset that contains information on business partners for about 400,000 firms worldwide, including all the firms listed on the major stock exchanges. Among the firms, we examine three networks, which are based on customer-supplier, licensee-licensor, a…
This paper examines how wash traders exploit market conditions in Bitcoin, finding strategic timing and spillover effects.
problem Wash trading in cryptocurrency markets to inflate volume and manipulate market conditions.
method Analysis of 18 million Mt. Gox transactions, exogenous demand shock study.
result Wash trading intensifies in low legitimate trading volume and responds to demand shocks, indicating strategic behavior.
Paper develops risk statistics for portfolios considering regulator-based risk.
problem Traditional risk statistics fail to describe regulator-based risk.
method Develop dual representation for regulator-based risk statistics.
result Derived dual representation for regulator-based risk statistics.
Proposes a method to find traffic regulations efficiently.
problem Finding appropriate traffic regulations in congested events.
method Graph Convolutional Networks for modeling regulation effects.
result The method can find a road to close that reduces travel time.
Study compares financial and gambling markets, finding similarities and potential applications.
problem Lack of comprehensive study on gambling markets compared to financial markets.
method Comprehensive comparison of five aspects: platform, product, procedure, participant, and strategy.
result Well-established financial strategies can be applied to gambling markets, particularly in peer-to-peer betting exchanges.
Model proposes how regulators should oversee complex algorithms in high-stakes applications.
problem Regulating complex algorithms used in high-stakes applications like lending, testing, and hiring.
method Proposes a model where regulators are limited in learning about complex algorithms with misaligned preferences, and explores different regulatory approaches.
result Complex algorithms can improve welfare, but regulation should focus on the source of incentive misalignment for optimal results.
Federated Forest tackles privacy-preserving machine learning for scattered data.
problem Privacy and data integration challenges for AI applications.
method Proposes Federated Forest, a privacy-preserving machine learning model based on random forest.
result Achieves the same accuracy as non-privacy-preserving models without data exchange.
Regulated curves on Banach manifolds with continuous projections and regulated derivatives are studied.
problem Regulated curves on Banach manifolds with continuous projections and regulated derivatives.
method Building a Banach manifold structure on the set of such curves.
result Existence of a 'local addition' on such a manifold for any Banach manifold.
We provide direct evidence of market manipulation at the beginning of the financial crisis in November 2007. The type of manipulation, a "bear raid," would have been prevented by a regulation that was repealed by the Securities and Exchange Commission in July 2007. The regulation, the uptick rule, was designed to preve…
ETF on CRIX reduces crypto risk and diversifies growth.
problem High volatility in cryptocurrencies makes them risky investments.
method Dynamic ETF construction on CRIX, considering fees, spreads, and rebalancing.
result ETF remains robust in core, low trading costs, increased liquidity.
We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…
New mechanism designs regulate herding in financial markets.
problem Herding causes irrational market decisions and volatility.
method A trilateral game framework based on optimal control theory.
result Effective mechanisms improve social welfare.
Efficient verified double auctions improve matching speed and detect errors.
problem Improving the efficiency and reliability of double auctions in financial markets.
method Formally verified implementation using Coq proof assistant, reducing time complexity and improving error detection.
result Improved efficiency with O(nlogn) time complexity, reducing runtime from days to minutes. New risk statistics for loss-based regulation.
problem Regulatory focus on losses over gains.
method Developed new risk statistics using scenario analysis.
result New risk statistics extend existing measures.
Optimal insurance investment under VaR regulation improves policyholders' utility.
problem Optimal investment for participating insurance contracts under VaR-regulation.
method Martingale approach for constrained non-concave optimization problems.
result VaR constraints lead to more prudent investment, improving policyholders' utility.
We use ellipsoids to solve power system voltage regulation problems.
problem Voltage regulation in power systems under uncertainty.
method Tractable ellipsoidal approximation for chance constrained optimizations.
result Efficiently trained machine learning model approximates uncertainty region.
2024 saw Bitcoin ETF approval, offering regulated exposure.
problem Understanding unique liquidity risks in Bitcoin ETFs.
method Analyzed premium/discount patterns in first four months.
result Premium/discount behavior differs from traditional ETFs.
We look at the effect of the tick size changes on the TOPIX 100 index names made by the Tokyo Stock Exchange on Jan-14-2014 and Jul-22-2104. The intended consequence of the change is price improvement and shorter time to execution. We look at security level metrics that include the spread, trading volume, number of tra…