Paper examines adversarial attacks on event cause analysis in power grids.
problem Adversarial attacks manipulate data to mislead event classifiers.
method Investigated adversarial attacks on CNN-based event cause analysis.
result Demonstrated adversaries can misclassify events through stealthy data manipulations.
Adversarial model estimates event-time distributions from health data.
problem Nonparametric estimation of event-time distributions in time-to-event analysis.
method Adversarial learning approach with a principled cost function for censored events.
result Proposed model yields significant performance gains over parametric alternatives.
New method corrects bias in event study analysis using machine learning.
problem Bias in conventional event study analysis mechanisms.
method Topological machine-learning approach with self-organizing map (SOM).
result Identifies factors of abnormal stock returns and depicts event clusters.
Deep learning models detect nanopore translocation events with high accuracy.
problem Manual parameter selection for nanopore signal analysis is prone to error.
method Developed a synthetic signal generator for training ML models.
result Deep learning models achieve over 99% true event detection.
Paper predicts urban dispersal events using deep survival analysis on mobility data.
problem Predicting abnormal dispersal events in urban areas to mitigate congestion and safety risks.
method Formulated as a survival analysis problem, developed a two-stage deep learning framework (DILSA).
result DILSA predicts dispersal events with F1-score of 0.7 and average time error of 18 minutes.
A deep neural network detects sleep events in polysomnograms with high accuracy.
problem Manual scoring of sleep events in clinical analysis is inconsistent and time-consuming.
method A single deep neural network architecture trained on 1653 recordings for joint detection of arousals, leg movements, and sleep disordered breathing.
result Joint detection of sleep events yields higher accuracy compared to separate models, and correlates well with manual annotations.
Harmoniums model multiple time-to-event variables in survival analysis.
problem Survival analysis with multiple, independently censored time-to-event variables and missing observations.
method Energy-based approach with bi-partite structure (harmoniums).
result Harmoniums capture non-linear patterns between time recordings.
Novel approach models life events using causal discovery and survival analysis.
problem Modeling life event choices and occurrence from a probabilistic perspective.
method Bi-level problem formulation: causal discovery for life events graph, survival analysis for time-to-event modeling.
result Identification of causal relationships and factors influencing transition rates between life events.
Models predict fire and other emergencies in Edmonton.
problem Accurate prediction of emergency events for timely response.
method Data collection, descriptive analysis, feature selection, and negative binomial regression.
result Models perform well, with acceptable prediction errors for weekly and monthly periods.
Deep Recurrent Survival Analysis models for better event prediction and survival rate estimation.
problem Survival analysis challenges in handling data censorship and sequential patterns.
method Combines deep learning for conditional probability prediction and survival analysis for censorship handling.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art solutions in various metrics on real-world tasks.
New approach predicts event probabilities for better event detection.
problem Class imbalance and inaccurate event detection in time series analysis.
method Regression-based approach to predict probability densities at event locations.
result Regression-based approaches outperform segmentation-based methods.
This monograph introduces deep learning models for predicting time-to-event outcomes.
problem Predicting critical events and their timing from time series data.
method Neural networks and deep learning models for survival analysis.
result Improved accuracy in predicting time-to-event outcomes using deep learning.
UNHaP removes noise from physiological events using Hawkes processes.
problem Challenges in identifying true events from spurious ones in physiological signal analysis.
method UNHaP uses marked Hawkes processes to distinguish and unmix true events from noise.
result UNHaP significantly reduces false detection rates and enhances event understanding.
SurvTRACE uses transformers to analyze survival times with competing events.
problem Analyzing survival times with multiple competing events and confounders.
method Transformer-based model for survival analysis, handling competing events and confounders.
result SurvTRACE outperforms existing methods in multi-event scenarios.
SSPN uses deep learning to estimate risk scores in survival analysis with competing risks.
problem Nonidentifiability of cause-specific survival curves in competing risk survival analysis.
method Siamese Survival Prognosis Network (SSPN) that avoids estimating cause-specific survival curves and optimizes an approximation to the C-discrimination index.
result SSPN estimates pairwise concordant time-dependent risks, improving risk scoring in survival analysis with competing risks.
Study investigates micro-event detection on FLOSS version releases from Stack Overflow.
problem Detecting micro-events in FLOSS version release events from textual messages.
method Developed pipelines using LDA topic modeling, hSBM topics, and sentiment analysis; optimized feature spaces with RFECV; evaluated models with statistical analysis.
result Found characteristic changes in topics or sentiment features before or after FLOSS version releases.
Reduces sound event localization error by 2.6x with hybrid parametric-deep learning.
problem Sound event localization and detection accuracy.
method Hybrid approach combining parametric spatial audio analysis and deep learning.
result Reduction of localization error by 2.6x compared to baseline.
Novel framework for spatio-temporal event analysis using Hawkes processes.
problem Inference of dynamics in spatio-temporal event sequences.
method Randomized Fourier feature-based transformations and gradient descent.
result Improved fitting capability in synthetic and real datasets.
New method clusters hydrological and sediment data for storm event analysis.
problem Analyzing storm events for water quality constituents like turbidity.
method Multivariate time series clustering of river discharge and sediment data.
result Clusters differ from 2-D hysteresis loop classifications.
The paper analyzes sports commentary to automatically recognize events and extract insights.
problem Automatically recognizing and categorizing major actions in sports events from commentary.
method Used multiple Natural Language Processing techniques for classification and sentiment analysis.
result Identified insights from analyzing live sport commentaries and classifying major actions.
SurvCORN predicts survival curves using conditional ordinal ranking networks.
problem Challenges in survival analysis with censored data.
method SurvCORN: Conditional Ordinal Ranking Neural Network.
result SurvCORN improves accuracy in predicting time-to-event outcomes.
A new machine learning framework simplifies survival analysis.
problem Survival analysis challenges including censoring, truncation, and multiple events.
method Data augmentation to standard Poisson regression, using various machine learning algorithms.
result General machine learning methods can be applied to time-to-event analysis without specific assumptions.
Event detection has been one of the most important research topics in social media analysis. Most of the traditional approaches detect events based on fixed temporal and spatial resolutions, while in reality events of different scales usually occur simultaneously, namely, they span different intervals in time and space…
Study finds strong long-range correlations in financial markets, especially over longer time scales.
problem Understanding long-range correlations in limit order book markets.
method Ultra-high frequency order book data from NASDAQ Nordic, detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA).
result Strong evidence of long-range correlation in inter-event durations, becoming stronger over longer time scales.
This paper analyzes sound event detection in synthetic office audio, comparing different systems.
problem Comparing sound event detection systems in synthetic office audio.
method Analysis of systems submitted to DCASE 2016 task, using synthetic office sounds.
result Statistical analysis of results, highlighting system performance under controlled conditions.
Bayesian approach clusters survival data for better risk prediction.
problem Identifying subpopulations with distinct risk profiles in survival analysis.
method Bayesian nonparametric approach in a clustered latent space.
result Consistent improvements in predictive performance and interpretability.
Extracts biological context from biomedical texts to associate with events.
problem Identifying biological context and associating it with biochemical events in texts.
method Analyzed an annotated corpus and developed classifiers using syntactic, distance, and frequency features.
result Developed and evaluated classifiers for context-event association.
PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.
problem Discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks and optional penalization.
method Regularized estimation methods, model evaluation metrics, variable screening tools, and simulation module.
result Supports research and development in discrete-time survival analysis.
A new neural network model for predicting event times without distributional assumptions.
problem Predicting event times from censored data with complex assumptions.
method Deep AFT Rank-regression model (DART) using Gehan's rank statistic.
result DART significantly improves performance on various benchmark datasets.
This study evaluates subgroup analysis methods for time-to-event outcomes in randomized controlled trials.
problem Identifying subgroups of good responders in non-significant randomized controlled trials.
method Evaluation of several subgroup analysis algorithms for time-to-event outcomes using synthetic and semi-synthetic data.
result Provides a new synthetic and semi-synthetic data generation process and an open-source Python package for benchmarking.
Study predicts adverse events in Afghanistan using time series data.
problem Predicting the number of negative events in Afghanistan's theater of war.
method Regression analysis on time series data, non-conventional aggregation of districts, machine learning models.
result Predictive models show reasonable performance on historical data, but other variables do not improve prediction quality.
New test uncovers causal links in rare event dynamics.
problem Causal discovery for rare event phenomena in dynamic systems.
method Nonparametric conditional independence test on time-invariant data.
result Validated across simulated and real-world datasets.
Paper decomposes C-index to analyze survival prediction model performance.
problem Evaluating the performance of survival prediction models.
method Decomposes C-index into two weighted quantities: ranking observed vs. other events and observed vs. censored cases.
result Deep learning models outperform classical models in ranking observed events, leading to better C-index stability.
New method generates synthetic survival data by conditioning on event times and censoring indicators.
problem Generating accurate synthetic survival data with censored event times.
method Conditioning covariates on event times and censoring indicators using existing tabular data generation models.
result Our method consistently outperforms baselines and improves survival model performance.
This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of oil market during the last three decades, and examines changes in informational efficiency with major geopolitical events, such as terrorist attacks, financial crisis and other important events. The series under study is the daily prices of West Texas Intermediate (WT…
Paper compares different models for time-to-event analysis.
problem Comparing models for time-to-event analysis.
method Experimental comparison of semi-parametric, parametric, and machine learning models.
result Models' performance evaluated using concordance index.
Paper proposes kernelized Stein tests for time-to-event data with censoring.
problem Testing goodness-of-fit for time-to-event data with censoring.
method Combining Stein's method and kernelized discrepancies for non-parametric testing.
result Proposed kernelized Stein discrepancy tests perform better than existing methods.
Neural network model predicts alternating event-free periods.
problem Dynamic prediction of alternating recurrent events with statistical nuance.
method Developed an online dynamic prediction framework using neural network theory.
result Outstanding performance in predicting alternating recurrent event-free time.
A new method prices time-to-event cash flows using survival analysis.
problem Pricing insurance investment portfolios with time-to-event cash flows.
method Discrete-time survival analysis framework, hazard rate estimators, asymptotic multivariate normality.
result Pricing model yields estimates closer to actual cash flows than non-random models.
Survey of machine learning methods for survival analysis.
problem Predicting event times in censored data.
method Statistical and machine learning techniques.
result Comprehensive review of survival analysis methods.
Study uncovers financial trends from cross-lingual news data.
problem Understanding financial dynamics across diverse global economies.
method Sentiment analysis, NER, and semantic textual similarity for news articles.
result Meaningful correlation between stock price movements and cross-linguistic news sentiments.
Paper detects important sub-events in disaster tweets.
problem Identifying useful information during large-scale disasters.
method Extract noun-verb pairs, learn semantic embeddings, rank and cluster.
result Effective unsupervised learning framework for sub-event detection.
The method learns to partition event time space for better prediction.
problem Improving event time prediction in clinical settings with limited data.
method Develops a method to learn cut points for partitioning event time space.
result Improved prediction performance on real-world datasets.
Enhances survival analysis by separating population behavior from individual dynamics.
problem Improving the training and inference of survival analysis models for sparsely occurring events.
method Decouples survival analysis into an aggregated baseline hazard and independent survival scores.
result Achieves competitive performance and robust results without fine-tuning.
Research shows Twitter is permeable to financial events, influencing its content and sentiment.
problem Investigating how Twitter reacts to financial events.
method Conducted experiments on a specific financial event (Tesco PLC and Booker Group PLC merger announcement).
result Twitter is permeable to financial events, affecting its content and sentiment.
New STH distance finds patterns in event timeseries without resampling.
problem Lack of efficient analysis methods for event and state timeseries.
method Define STE-ts, propose STH, leveraging both time and state duration.
result Improved precision and computation time compared to resampled metrics.
Estimates treatment effects in rare extreme events using EVT.
problem Estimating treatment effects in rare, impactful events like extreme climate events.
method Introduces a novel framework using EVT and multivariate regular variation for consistent treatment effect estimation.
result Developed a consistent estimator for extreme treatment effects with rigorous non-asymptotic analysis.
Proposes a model for predicting events from event streams.
problem Predicting events like part replacement and failure in manufacturing and teleservice systems.
method Non-parametric prognostic framework using MGCP modulated Poisson processes.
result MGCP prior facilitates sharing of information and analysis of flexible event patterns.